The TWISTR Ratings are an iterative least-squares, score-based ratings system built in the spirit of an Elo model. Team ratings are agnostic to the final result of a game, as only the scoring margins are important when rating teams. No additional benefit is provided for a win or penalty for a loss. The TWISTR ratings for FOOTBALL incorporate three key concepts:
The RATING represents the number of points a team would be favored by against an average opponent. Teams with a positive RATING are considered better than average, while teams with a negative RATING are considered worse than average. The RATING can be thought of as a composite of the INDEPENDENT (INDY) rating, in which the time a game was played does not matter, and the FORECASTER (CASTER) rating, where recent results are weighted more heavily.
Both the STRENGTH OF RECORD (SoR) and Z-SCORE (Z-SCR) are resume ratings - SoR only considers a team's win-loss record and is independent of margin of victory, while Z-SCR is a blend of RATING and SoR.
TWISTR IHSAA TEAM RATINGS | SCHEDULE & RESUME | COMPONENT RATINGS | TEAM PROFILE | |||||||||||||||||
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RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | SCORING | Rk | DEVIANCE | Rk | |
1 | Lawrence North | 1 | +75.04 | 8 | 0 | .805 | 17 | +.197 | 1 | +1.55 | 1 | +72.34 | 1 | +76.49 | 1 | 35.52 | 113 | 13.22 | 271 | |
2 | Westfield | 2 | +71.48 | 8 | 1 | .783 | 12 | +.101 | 4 | +1.30 | 2 | +69.50 | 2 | +72.72 | 2 | 31.01 | 219 | 9.32 | 151 | |
3 | Brownsburg | 3 | +68.41 | 8 | 1 | .774 | 9 | +.111 | 2 | +1.26 | 3 | +68.78 | 3 | +68.49 | 3 | 34.51 | 138 | 12.58 | 263 | |
4 | Crown Point | 4 | +67.05 | 8 | 0 | .987 | 28 | +.013 | 5 | +1.05 | 5 | +68.61 | 4 | +66.44 | 6 | 40.80 | 41 | 8.02 | 105 | |
5 | Indianapolis Cathedral | 5 | +66.89 | 5 | 2 | .721 | 5 | -.010 | 6 | +1.01 | 6 | +66.48 | 5 | +67.20 | 5 | 33.86 | 154 | 6.94 | 64 | |
6 | Warren Central | 6 | +66.65 | 8 | 1 | .784 | 13 | +.107 | 3 | +1.22 | 4 | +65.70 | 6 | +67.24 | 4 | 27.58 | 274 | 8.54 | 123 | |
7 | Center Grove | 7 | +65.76 | 3 | 3 | .603 | 1 | -.108 | 9 | +0.80 | 7 | +64.64 | 7 | +66.43 | 7 | 35.67 | 111 | 5.45 | 32 | |
8 | Hamilton Southeastern | 8 | +60.22 | 6 | 3 | .794 | 16 | -.129 | 11 | +0.65 | 8 | +59.57 | 8 | +60.74 | 8 | 30.07 | 236 | 8.62 | 127 | |
9 | Ben Davis | 9 | +59.50 | 4 | 5 | .712 | 3 | -.272 | 17 | +0.38 | 12 | +57.58 | 9 | +60.61 | 9 | 36.83 | 88 | 13.03 | 269 | |
10 | Fishers | 10 | +54.62 | 5 | 4 | .777 | 11 | -.221 | 15 | +0.37 | 13 | +53.43 | 10 | +55.46 | 11 | 32.40 | 184 | 10.59 | 212 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | SCORING | Rk | DEVIANCE | Rk | |
13 | Pike | 11 | +53.08 | 5 | 4 | .791 | 15 | -.235 | 16 | +0.32 | 15 | +51.58 | 13 | +53.97 | 12 | 29.99 | 238 | 8.28 | 110 | |
14 | Lawrence Central | 12 | +50.82 | 3 | 5 | .713 | 4 | -.339 | 19 | +0.08 | 17 | +50.22 | 15 | +51.19 | 14 | 30.63 | 226 | 9.80 | 172 | |
16 | Noblesville | 13 | +50.21 | 2 | 7 | .785 | 14 | -.566 | 29 | -0.35 | 22 | +49.47 | 16 | +50.76 | 15 | 31.39 | 209 | 8.63 | 128 | |
17 | Carroll (Fort Wayne) | 14 | +49.75 | 7 | 2 | .900 | 19 | -.126 | 10 | +0.45 | 10 | +48.71 | 18 | +50.39 | 18 | 31.44 | 207 | 11.34 | 239 | |
18 | Franklin Central | 15 | +49.46 | 5 | 3 | .760 | 8 | -.138 | 12 | +0.43 | 11 | +47.92 | 19 | +50.50 | 17 | 29.21 | 254 | 11.62 | 247 | |
19 | Columbus North | 16 | +48.37 | 8 | 1 | .974 | 26 | -.085 | 7 | +0.50 | 9 | +49.24 | 17 | +47.92 | 19 | 32.24 | 188 | 7.92 | 101 | |
20 | Carmel | 17 | +46.19 | 2 | 5 | .775 | 10 | -.485 | 25 | -0.28 | 21 | +46.44 | 20 | +46.14 | 22 | 32.56 | 179 | 11.20 | 229 | |
21 | Zionsville | 18 | +46.13 | 3 | 6 | .751 | 7 | -.417 | 23 | -0.16 | 20 | +46.29 | 21 | +46.25 | 21 | 34.55 | 137 | 10.37 | 205 | |
22 | Avon | 19 | +46.08 | 3 | 6 | .746 | 6 | -.413 | 22 | -0.15 | 19 | +44.54 | 23 | +47.06 | 20 | 29.03 | 257 | 8.04 | 106 | |
23 | Fort Wayne Snider | 20 | +45.83 | 7 | 2 | .925 | 21 | -.146 | 13 | +0.34 | 14 | +45.56 | 22 | +46.06 | 23 | 26.21 | 289 | 11.82 | 252 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | SCORING | Rk | DEVIANCE | Rk | |
36 | Elkhart | 21 | +34.77 | 8 | 1 | .993 | 31 | -.104 | 8 | +0.20 | 16 | +34.49 | 37 | +34.98 | 35 | 19.26 | 310 | 3.90 | 8 | |
40 | Penn | 22 | +33.03 | 7 | 2 | .992 | 30 | -.215 | 14 | -0.04 | 18 | +32.09 | 42 | +33.59 | 41 | 26.40 | 286 | 5.71 | 36 | |
48 | Homestead | 23 | +30.89 | 5 | 4 | .954 | 23 | -.395 | 21 | -0.42 | 23 | +29.72 | 49 | +31.59 | 47 | 31.64 | 200 | 10.59 | 211 | |
59 | North Central (Indianapolis) | 24 | +26.68 | 0 | 9 | .684 | 2 | -.684 | 30 | -1.03 | 28 | +27.43 | 56 | +26.36 | 59 | 44.93 | 11 | 10.88 | 217 | |
61 | Portage | 25 | +25.49 | 4 | 5 | .932 | 22 | -.488 | 26 | -0.70 | 25 | +25.53 | 60 | +25.56 | 63 | 25.10 | 297 | 5.48 | 33 | |
69 | Harrison (West Lafayette) | 26 | +24.04 | 6 | 3 | .989 | 29 | -.323 | 18 | -0.42 | 24 | +23.42 | 70 | +24.44 | 69 | 36.13 | 103 | 8.29 | 112 | |
83 | Lake Central | 27 | +20.90 | 3 | 5 | .924 | 20 | -.549 | 28 | -0.90 | 26 | +20.82 | 79 | +21.03 | 84 | 23.83 | 302 | 6.06 | 43 | |
89 | Perry Meridian | 28 | +18.92 | 4 | 5 | .978 | 27 | -.533 | 27 | -0.91 | 27 | +18.22 | 90 | +19.36 | 90 | 35.42 | 115 | 7.78 | 95 | |
121 | Fort Wayne Northrop | 29 | +8.23 | 2 | 7 | .972 | 25 | -.749 | 31 | -1.52 | 30 | +6.50 | 123 | +9.26 | 118 | 39.69 | 52 | 11.17 | 228 | |
145 | Southport | 30 | -0.14 | 0 | 9 | .963 | 24 | -.961 | 32 | -2.08 | 32 | -0.52 | 146 | -0.06 | 146 | 34.20 | 147 | 8.21 | 108 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | SCORING | Rk | DEVIANCE | Rk | |
159 | Jeffersonville | 31 | -2.54 | 5 | 3 | .999 | 32 | -.373 | 20 | -1.04 | 29 | -2.00 | 156 | -2.81 | 159 | 33.25 | 164 | 10.30 | 201 | |
250 | Indianapolis Tech | 32 | -38.01 | 3 | 4 | .895 | 18 | -.471 | 24 | -1.92 | 31 | -36.89 | 249 | -38.62 | 251 | 34.17 | 149 | 16.64 | 299 |