The TWISTR Ratings are an iterative least-squares, score-based ratings system built in the spirit of an Elo model. Team ratings are agnostic to the final result of a game, as only the scoring margins are important when rating teams. No additional benefit is provided for a win or penalty for a loss. The TWISTR ratings for FOOTBALL incorporate three key concepts:
The RATING represents the number of points a team would be favored by against an average opponent. Teams with a positive RATING are considered better than average, while teams with a negative RATING are considered worse than average. The RATING can be thought of as a composite of the INDEPENDENT (INDY) rating, in which the time a game was played does not matter, and the FORECASTER (CASTER) rating, where recent results are weighted more heavily.
Both the STRENGTH OF RECORD (SoR) and Z-SCORE (Z-SCR) are resume ratings - SoR only considers a team's win-loss record and is independent of margin of victory, while Z-SCR is a blend of RATING and SoR.
TWISTR IHSAA TEAM RATINGS | SCHEDULE & RESUME | COMPONENT RATINGS | TEAM PROFILE | |||||||||||||||||
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RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | SCORING | Rk | DEVIANCE | Rk | |
1 | Lawrence North | 1 | +75.20 | 10 | 1 | .614 | 14 | +.296 | 2 | +1.48 | 1 | +73.71 | 1 | +75.83 | 1 | 32.88 | 179 | 11.35 | 233 | |
2 | Westfield | 2 | +70.52 | 12 | 2 | .592 | 11 | +.266 | 3 | +1.33 | 3 | +69.59 | 2 | +70.97 | 2 | 31.36 | 213 | 8.68 | 127 | |
3 | Center Grove | 3 | +67.96 | 6 | 4 | .569 | 5 | +.030 | 11 | +0.84 | 7 | +67.05 | 4 | +68.36 | 3 | 35.09 | 126 | 7.94 | 90 | |
4 | Brownsburg | 4 | +67.65 | 13 | 1 | .566 | 3 | +.362 | 1 | +1.46 | 2 | +67.65 | 3 | +67.72 | 4 | 30.80 | 225 | 10.82 | 218 | |
5 | Indianapolis Cathedral | 5 | +65.24 | 6 | 3 | .582 | 8 | +.084 | 6 | +0.89 | 6 | +65.05 | 5 | +65.38 | 5 | 32.38 | 191 | 7.96 | 92 | |
6 | Warren Central | 6 | +65.20 | 10 | 2 | .630 | 17 | +.204 | 4 | +1.11 | 4 | +64.96 | 6 | +65.32 | 6 | 27.07 | 283 | 8.03 | 95 | |
7 | Crown Point | 7 | +60.23 | 11 | 1 | .722 | 24 | +.194 | 5 | +1.00 | 5 | +60.60 | 7 | +60.20 | 9 | 36.55 | 93 | 8.78 | 132 | |
8 | Ben Davis | 8 | +59.99 | 5 | 6 | .569 | 4 | -.114 | 16 | +0.41 | 12 | +58.62 | 8 | +60.62 | 8 | 36.61 | 91 | 9.77 | 171 | |
10 | Hamilton Southeastern | 9 | +55.97 | 7 | 4 | .606 | 13 | +.030 | 12 | +0.60 | 8 | +56.40 | 10 | +55.79 | 10 | 30.45 | 233 | 9.08 | 139 | |
11 | Fishers | 10 | +54.74 | 7 | 5 | .586 | 9 | -.002 | 14 | +0.52 | 10 | +53.94 | 11 | +55.15 | 11 | 34.09 | 149 | 8.43 | 115 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | SCORING | Rk | DEVIANCE | Rk | |
12 | Pike | 11 | +51.69 | 5 | 5 | .622 | 16 | -.121 | 17 | +0.23 | 15 | +50.95 | 12 | +52.05 | 12 | 30.43 | 235 | 7.16 | 59 | |
13 | Lawrence Central | 12 | +49.83 | 3 | 6 | .561 | 2 | -.228 | 21 | -0.01 | 18 | +49.80 | 13 | +49.79 | 13 | 31.46 | 209 | 9.69 | 169 | |
14 | Noblesville | 13 | +48.79 | 2 | 8 | .600 | 12 | -.401 | 27 | -0.36 | 22 | +48.66 | 15 | +48.84 | 15 | 31.47 | 208 | 7.84 | 88 | |
15 | Carroll (Fort Wayne) | 14 | +48.68 | 9 | 3 | .681 | 18 | +.070 | 8 | +0.53 | 9 | +48.35 | 16 | +48.86 | 14 | 30.94 | 221 | 10.45 | 198 | |
18 | Franklin Central | 15 | +47.04 | 6 | 4 | .588 | 10 | +.012 | 13 | +0.39 | 13 | +46.60 | 19 | +47.23 | 18 | 30.21 | 242 | 11.09 | 226 | |
19 | Avon | 16 | +46.41 | 3 | 7 | .573 | 6 | -.272 | 24 | -0.16 | 20 | +45.10 | 22 | +47.11 | 20 | 28.21 | 275 | 9.53 | 163 | |
21 | Columbus North | 17 | +45.97 | 8 | 2 | .717 | 23 | +.083 | 7 | +0.50 | 11 | +47.38 | 18 | +45.26 | 22 | 30.60 | 227 | 9.30 | 153 | |
22 | Zionsville | 18 | +45.44 | 4 | 7 | .573 | 7 | -.208 | 20 | -0.06 | 19 | +45.84 | 21 | +45.24 | 23 | 34.03 | 153 | 7.77 | 84 | |
23 | Carmel | 19 | +45.30 | 2 | 6 | .615 | 15 | -.365 | 26 | -0.36 | 23 | +46.09 | 20 | +44.84 | 24 | 31.95 | 198 | 9.77 | 172 | |
24 | Fort Wayne Snider | 20 | +44.29 | 8 | 3 | .696 | 20 | +.031 | 9 | +0.37 | 14 | +44.68 | 23 | +44.13 | 25 | 24.26 | 304 | 10.36 | 193 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | SCORING | Rk | DEVIANCE | Rk | |
33 | Elkhart | 21 | +35.93 | 8 | 2 | .770 | 30 | +.031 | 10 | +0.21 | 16 | +35.44 | 34 | +36.20 | 34 | 18.44 | 310 | 3.22 | 4 | |
38 | Penn | 22 | +33.40 | 8 | 3 | .761 | 29 | -.035 | 15 | +0.03 | 17 | +32.46 | 38 | +33.93 | 36 | 28.21 | 276 | 6.59 | 43 | |
39 | Homestead | 23 | +32.36 | 5 | 5 | .690 | 19 | -.189 | 19 | -0.28 | 21 | +31.29 | 41 | +32.91 | 39 | 30.42 | 236 | 11.42 | 234 | |
56 | North Central (Indianapolis) | 24 | +25.58 | 0 | 10 | .552 | 1 | -.551 | 31 | -1.10 | 28 | +26.85 | 51 | +24.83 | 59 | 44.94 | 11 | 10.58 | 207 | |
74 | Portage | 25 | +21.02 | 4 | 6 | .717 | 22 | -.317 | 25 | -0.75 | 26 | +21.79 | 73 | +20.61 | 76 | 25.02 | 297 | 6.08 | 28 | |
76 | Perry Meridian | 26 | +20.62 | 5 | 6 | .722 | 25 | -.267 | 23 | -0.66 | 25 | +19.59 | 81 | +21.24 | 74 | 36.01 | 108 | 8.64 | 124 | |
84 | Harrison (West Lafayette) | 27 | +19.15 | 6 | 4 | .761 | 28 | -.162 | 18 | -0.49 | 24 | +19.72 | 79 | +18.80 | 85 | 36.03 | 106 | 8.18 | 103 | |
102 | Lake Central | 28 | +14.68 | 3 | 6 | .737 | 27 | -.404 | 28 | -1.04 | 27 | +15.37 | 98 | +14.39 | 104 | 26.28 | 289 | 6.41 | 40 | |
121 | Fort Wayne Northrop | 29 | +7.96 | 2 | 8 | .711 | 21 | -.510 | 30 | -1.37 | 30 | +6.71 | 124 | +8.75 | 116 | 39.60 | 49 | 9.91 | 175 | |
152 | Southport | 30 | -3.30 | 0 | 10 | .723 | 26 | -.722 | 32 | -1.99 | 31 | -2.78 | 154 | -3.56 | 151 | 36.53 | 95 | 6.78 | 46 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | SCORING | Rk | DEVIANCE | Rk | |
155 | Jeffersonville | 31 | -3.59 | 5 | 4 | .810 | 31 | -.254 | 22 | -1.11 | 29 | -2.43 | 150 | -4.30 | 156 | 33.46 | 167 | 11.66 | 243 | |
254 | Indianapolis Tech | 32 | -38.56 | 3 | 5 | .813 | 32 | -.438 | 29 | -2.15 | 32 | -37.30 | 253 | -39.23 | 254 | 34.18 | 147 | 16.76 | 302 |