The TWISTR Ratings are an iterative least-squares, score-based ratings system built in the spirit of an Elo model. Team ratings are agnostic to the final result of a game, as only the scoring margins are important when rating teams. No additional benefit is provided for a win or penalty for a loss. The TWISTR ratings for FOOTBALL incorporate three key concepts:
The RATING represents the number of points a team would be favored by against an average opponent. Teams with a positive RATING are considered better than average, while teams with a negative RATING are considered worse than average. The RATING can be thought of as a composite of the INDEPENDENT (INDY) rating, in which the time a game was played does not matter, and the FORECASTER (CASTER) rating, where recent results are weighted more heavily.
TWISTR IHSAA TEAM RATINGS | SCHEDULE & RESUME | COMPONENT RATINGS | TEAM PROFILE | |||||||||||||||
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RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | RANK | SoR | RANK | INDY | RANK | CASTER | RANK | SCORING | RANK | DEVIANCE | RANK | |
2 | Ben Davis | 1 | +64.28 | 13 | 0 | .763 | 8 | +.237 | 1 | +64.69 | 2 | +64.16 | 2 | 38.87 | 55 | 11.19 | 236 | |
3 | Brownsburg | 2 | +63.53 | 9 | 1 | .747 | 5 | +.153 | 2 | +64.10 | 3 | +63.13 | 3 | 37.14 | 78 | 7.39 | 81 | |
4 | Center Grove | 3 | +61.06 | 8 | 1 | .753 | 7 | +.136 | 3 | +61.13 | 4 | +61.10 | 4 | 35.40 | 109 | 5.43 | 21 | |
5 | Indianapolis Cathedral | 4 | +59.10 | 6 | 4 | .743 | 4 | -.143 | 9 | +59.04 | 5 | +59.22 | 5 | 33.26 | 151 | 8.36 | 123 | |
6 | Hamilton Southeastern | 5 | +55.17 | 9 | 3 | .811 | 17 | -.061 | 6 | +55.79 | 6 | +54.96 | 7 | 30.42 | 221 | 4.85 | 14 | |
7 | Westfield | 6 | +51.88 | 11 | 2 | .789 | 10 | +.058 | 4 | +52.48 | 8 | +51.78 | 8 | 33.16 | 157 | 7.90 | 102 | |
8 | Fishers | 7 | +50.51 | 7 | 4 | .795 | 14 | -.159 | 10 | +52.24 | 9 | +49.76 | 9 | 35.65 | 105 | 8.30 | 120 | |
10 | Lawrence North | 8 | +49.02 | 7 | 4 | .797 | 15 | -.160 | 11 | +48.92 | 12 | +49.18 | 11 | 34.10 | 132 | 12.23 | 268 | |
11 | Penn | 9 | +49.00 | 10 | 2 | .916 | 21 | -.082 | 7 | +49.50 | 11 | +48.82 | 12 | 31.40 | 191 | 7.21 | 73 | |
12 | Crown Point | 10 | +47.65 | 12 | 1 | .896 | 18 | +.027 | 5 | +48.17 | 13 | +47.44 | 13 | 32.94 | 160 | 8.27 | 118 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | RANK | SoR | RANK | INDY | RANK | CASTER | RANK | SCORING | RANK | DEVIANCE | RANK | |
14 | Noblesville | 11 | +43.14 | 4 | 7 | .792 | 12 | -.428 | 19 | +44.13 | 15 | +42.73 | 16 | 30.87 | 209 | 8.81 | 148 | |
18 | Warren Central | 12 | +41.81 | 5 | 6 | .806 | 16 | -.351 | 15 | +41.61 | 19 | +42.04 | 19 | 29.92 | 233 | 13.22 | 288 | |
19 | Lawrence Central | 13 | +40.72 | 4 | 6 | .784 | 9 | -.384 | 16 | +40.91 | 21 | +40.73 | 20 | 34.72 | 120 | 8.05 | 114 | |
20 | Franklin Central | 14 | +40.69 | 4 | 6 | .741 | 3 | -.341 | 14 | +41.67 | 18 | +40.32 | 21 | 27.65 | 279 | 4.49 | 7 | |
21 | Carmel | 15 | +39.76 | 4 | 3 | .795 | 13 | -.223 | 13 | +40.20 | 23 | +39.66 | 22 | 23.64 | 307 | 4.69 | 11 | |
23 | Avon | 16 | +38.95 | 2 | 8 | .716 | 2 | -.516 | 24 | +39.75 | 24 | +38.64 | 24 | 30.20 | 230 | 5.28 | 19 | |
24 | Carroll (Fort Wayne) | 17 | +38.47 | 7 | 3 | .909 | 19 | -.209 | 12 | +39.56 | 25 | +38.07 | 26 | 29.30 | 244 | 11.05 | 230 | |
26 | Zionsville | 18 | +38.09 | 3 | 7 | .791 | 11 | -.491 | 23 | +39.41 | 26 | +37.50 | 28 | 28.98 | 253 | 7.95 | 107 | |
32 | Warsaw | 19 | +34.67 | 9 | 2 | .946 | 27 | -.128 | 8 | +33.64 | 36 | +35.31 | 32 | 24.36 | 302 | 12.44 | 272 | |
37 | Pike | 20 | +31.09 | 3 | 8 | .750 | 6 | -.478 | 22 | +31.19 | 40 | +31.17 | 38 | 34.48 | 123 | 7.62 | 95 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | RANK | SoR | RANK | INDY | RANK | CASTER | RANK | SCORING | RANK | DEVIANCE | RANK | |
40 | Homestead | 21 | +29.30 | 5 | 5 | .919 | 23 | -.419 | 18 | +30.01 | 43 | +29.33 | 41 | 27.54 | 282 | 12.03 | 265 | |
64 | Columbus North | 22 | +21.67 | 5 | 6 | .914 | 20 | -.459 | 21 | +23.00 | 63 | +21.05 | 66 | 32.22 | 173 | 10.58 | 213 | |
69 | Perry Meridian | 23 | +20.29 | 2 | 8 | .963 | 29 | -.763 | 27 | +21.75 | 67 | +19.74 | 71 | 29.16 | 249 | 9.74 | 178 | |
78 | Lafayette Jeff | 24 | +18.07 | 5 | 5 | .916 | 22 | -.416 | 17 | +19.48 | 78 | +17.28 | 81 | 36.45 | 88 | 7.46 | 85 | |
85 | Elkhart | 25 | +17.32 | 3 | 6 | .933 | 25 | -.600 | 25 | +17.86 | 87 | +17.07 | 83 | 28.40 | 263 | 5.45 | 22 | |
91 | Lake Central | 26 | +15.63 | 5 | 5 | .943 | 26 | -.443 | 20 | +16.03 | 94 | +15.50 | 93 | 28.66 | 256 | 7.56 | 93 | |
99 | North Central (Indianapolis) | 27 | +13.65 | 0 | 10 | .705 | 1 | -.705 | 26 | +13.77 | 102 | +13.67 | 98 | 41.72 | 28 | 2.99 | 3 | |
125 | Portage | 28 | +6.68 | 0 | 10 | .960 | 28 | -.960 | 30 | +7.62 | 125 | +6.21 | 128 | 25.79 | 296 | 9.22 | 159 | |
166 | Fort Wayne Northrop | 29 | -4.55 | 1 | 9 | .921 | 24 | -.821 | 29 | -5.56 | 173 | -4.00 | 161 | 38.68 | 56 | 8.03 | 112 | |
192 | Southport | 30 | -11.69 | 2 | 9 | .968 | 31 | -.786 | 28 | -11.11 | 197 | -11.93 | 192 | 39.29 | 46 | 16.63 | 311 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | RANK | SoR | RANK | INDY | RANK | CASTER | RANK | SCORING | RANK | DEVIANCE | RANK | |
217 | Jeffersonville | 31 | -20.45 | 0 | 9 | .995 | 32 | -.995 | 32 | -19.16 | 215 | -21.06 | 221 | 32.09 | 179 | 4.50 | 8 | |
270 | Indianapolis Tech | 32 | -45.52 | 0 | 10 | .967 | 30 | -.967 | 31 | -43.80 | 270 | -46.57 | 271 | 25.72 | 297 | 10.64 | 216 |