The TWISTR Ratings are an iterative least-squares, score-based ratings system built in the spirit of an Elo model. Team ratings are agnostic to the final result of a game, as only the scoring margins are important when rating teams. No additional benefit is provided for a win or penalty for a loss. The TWISTR ratings for FOOTBALL incorporate three key concepts:
The RATING represents the number of points a team would be favored by against an average opponent. Teams with a positive RATING are considered better than average, while teams with a negative RATING are considered worse than average. The RATING can be thought of as a composite of the INDEPENDENT (INDY) rating, in which the time a game was played does not matter, and the FORECASTER (CASTER) rating, where recent results are weighted more heavily.
Both the STRENGTH OF RECORD (SoR) and Z-SCORE (Z-SCR) are resume ratings - SoR only considers a team's win-loss record and is independent of margin of victory, while Z-SCR is a blend of RATING and SoR.
TWISTR IHSAA TEAM RATINGS | SCHEDULE & RESUME | COMPONENT RATINGS | TEAM PROFILE | |||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | SCORING | Rk | DEVIANCE | Rk | |
53 | North Judson | 1 | +28.73 | 10 | 0 | .789 | 17 | +.212 | 2 | +2.01 | 1 | +29.71 | 50 | +28.50 | 55 | 38.49 | 65 | 7.52 | 79 | |
97 | Madison-Grant | 2 | +16.74 | 9 | 1 | .767 | 14 | +.128 | 3 | +1.68 | 3 | +17.52 | 92 | +16.26 | 98 | 38.27 | 68 | 11.28 | 234 | |
112 | Providence | 3 | +10.88 | 7 | 0 | .704 | 7 | +.291 | 1 | +1.86 | 2 | +10.86 | 110 | +10.70 | 113 | 26.94 | 279 | 3.39 | 6 | |
129 | South Putnam | 4 | +3.45 | 8 | 2 | .805 | 22 | -.005 | 8 | +1.25 | 5 | +1.61 | 140 | +4.42 | 127 | 34.97 | 130 | 11.74 | 250 | |
147 | Carroll (Flora) | 5 | -0.42 | 10 | 0 | .924 | 54 | +.076 | 4 | +1.33 | 4 | -1.68 | 154 | +0.07 | 145 | 29.58 | 247 | 8.67 | 129 | |
149 | Springs Valley | 6 | -0.63 | 8 | 2 | .840 | 29 | -.042 | 13 | +1.13 | 8 | -0.57 | 147 | -0.80 | 150 | 45.52 | 6 | 13.30 | 272 | |
163 | North Decatur | 7 | -3.50 | 9 | 1 | .877 | 41 | +.025 | 6 | +1.19 | 6 | -3.47 | 165 | -3.51 | 161 | 34.89 | 133 | 11.67 | 249 | |
166 | Milan | 8 | -5.25 | 6 | 4 | .559 | 3 | +.040 | 5 | +1.19 | 7 | -2.95 | 163 | -6.50 | 167 | 37.62 | 77 | 9.30 | 150 | |
171 | LaVille | 9 | -7.66 | 5 | 5 | .498 | 1 | +.005 | 7 | +1.10 | 9 | -7.62 | 172 | -7.45 | 171 | 30.20 | 233 | 9.18 | 148 | |
174 | Triton | 10 | -8.61 | 7 | 3 | .744 | 10 | -.041 | 12 | +1.00 | 10 | -6.14 | 169 | -10.10 | 177 | 30.81 | 223 | 7.73 | 92 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | SCORING | Rk | DEVIANCE | Rk | |
177 | South Adams | 11 | -9.63 | 5 | 5 | .662 | 5 | -.165 | 19 | +0.78 | 16 | -9.81 | 177 | -9.41 | 174 | 34.48 | 139 | 10.22 | 194 | |
186 | North Miami | 12 | -12.47 | 8 | 2 | .837 | 28 | -.038 | 11 | +0.95 | 11 | -11.18 | 183 | -13.38 | 187 | 27.64 | 273 | 7.79 | 96 | |
187 | South Spencer | 13 | -13.12 | 5 | 5 | .626 | 4 | -.138 | 17 | +0.77 | 17 | -12.95 | 188 | -13.34 | 186 | 36.27 | 98 | 10.39 | 207 | |
188 | Forest Park | 14 | -13.59 | 6 | 4 | .724 | 8 | -.128 | 15 | +0.78 | 15 | -13.50 | 190 | -13.69 | 188 | 34.33 | 144 | 14.81 | 287 | |
193 | Riverton Parke | 15 | -15.26 | 7 | 3 | .843 | 33 | -.137 | 16 | +0.74 | 18 | -15.45 | 194 | -15.26 | 192 | 34.77 | 135 | 10.30 | 200 | |
197 | Pioneer | 16 | -17.41 | 7 | 3 | .743 | 9 | -.043 | 14 | +0.87 | 13 | -14.70 | 193 | -19.03 | 204 | 36.52 | 91 | 12.49 | 261 | |
200 | Frontier | 17 | -17.89 | 8 | 1 | .930 | 55 | -.035 | 10 | +0.87 | 12 | -17.92 | 202 | -18.04 | 199 | 44.10 | 15 | 9.65 | 167 | |
207 | Tri | 18 | -20.01 | 7 | 3 | .888 | 47 | -.190 | 21 | +0.58 | 19 | -20.98 | 210 | -19.73 | 207 | 40.18 | 47 | 12.24 | 257 | |
212 | Sheridan | 19 | -21.20 | 5 | 5 | .798 | 19 | -.291 | 26 | +0.39 | 22 | -20.82 | 209 | -21.41 | 212 | 29.32 | 252 | 11.05 | 225 | |
213 | Cloverdale | 20 | -21.21 | 4 | 4 | .800 | 20 | -.300 | 28 | +0.38 | 23 | -21.24 | 212 | -21.16 | 210 | 33.55 | 161 | 9.70 | 168 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | SCORING | Rk | DEVIANCE | Rk | |
217 | North Vermillion | 21 | -22.68 | 8 | 1 | .892 | 50 | -.005 | 9 | +0.85 | 14 | -22.25 | 217 | -22.94 | 217 | 36.09 | 104 | 10.21 | 192 | |
229 | Covington | 22 | -28.59 | 6 | 4 | .897 | 51 | -.298 | 27 | +0.27 | 24 | -29.86 | 234 | -28.04 | 228 | 34.47 | 141 | 9.07 | 143 | |
231 | Monroe Central | 23 | -29.45 | 6 | 4 | .787 | 16 | -.186 | 20 | +0.44 | 20 | -28.06 | 229 | -30.35 | 234 | 35.94 | 108 | 12.44 | 260 | |
235 | Knightstown | 24 | -30.93 | 5 | 5 | .798 | 18 | -.302 | 29 | +0.23 | 25 | -29.63 | 233 | -31.81 | 235 | 44.08 | 16 | 7.83 | 99 | |
239 | Clinton Prairie | 25 | -32.84 | 5 | 5 | .886 | 45 | -.381 | 32 | +0.07 | 30 | -32.69 | 240 | -32.89 | 238 | 33.56 | 160 | 10.93 | 219 | |
240 | Fountain Central | 26 | -33.48 | 4 | 6 | .809 | 23 | -.409 | 34 | +0.01 | 31 | -34.77 | 244 | -32.89 | 239 | 33.60 | 156 | 8.95 | 135 | |
241 | North Daviess | 27 | -33.69 | 7 | 3 | .863 | 36 | -.160 | 18 | +0.42 | 21 | -32.62 | 239 | -34.27 | 243 | 31.74 | 196 | 7.75 | 93 | |
244 | Hagerstown | 28 | -34.20 | 4 | 6 | .871 | 39 | -.472 | 40 | -0.11 | 34 | -34.41 | 242 | -34.28 | 244 | 29.14 | 255 | 9.40 | 155 | |
245 | Fremont | 29 | -35.47 | 4 | 6 | .840 | 30 | -.438 | 35 | -0.07 | 33 | -36.07 | 246 | -35.24 | 245 | 28.27 | 272 | 11.22 | 230 | |
247 | Greenwood Christian | 30 | -37.66 | 7 | 3 | .950 | 58 | -.252 | 24 | +0.20 | 26 | -36.84 | 248 | -38.15 | 248 | 39.00 | 62 | 10.12 | 187 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | SCORING | Rk | DEVIANCE | Rk | |
249 | Northfield | 31 | -37.71 | 3 | 7 | .821 | 26 | -.519 | 41 | -0.24 | 37 | -36.31 | 247 | -38.38 | 250 | 36.07 | 105 | 9.26 | 149 | |
251 | Tri-Central | 32 | -38.15 | 2 | 8 | .809 | 24 | -.604 | 48 | -0.39 | 41 | -38.06 | 252 | -38.24 | 249 | 27.44 | 275 | 8.98 | 138 | |
255 | Tri-County | 33 | -40.48 | 7 | 3 | .979 | 60 | -.279 | 25 | +0.11 | 27 | -40.15 | 257 | -40.95 | 255 | 33.17 | 167 | 10.57 | 210 | |
257 | Clinton Central | 34 | -41.49 | 3 | 7 | .891 | 49 | -.587 | 47 | -0.41 | 43 | -39.89 | 255 | -42.25 | 257 | 37.70 | 73 | 14.30 | 283 | |
258 | Southwood | 35 | -41.99 | 0 | 10 | .753 | 12 | -.753 | 55 | -0.69 | 49 | -39.92 | 256 | -43.06 | 258 | 32.86 | 174 | 8.01 | 104 | |
261 | North Knox | 36 | -42.85 | 2 | 8 | .762 | 13 | -.564 | 44 | -0.39 | 42 | -42.18 | 262 | -43.24 | 259 | 30.36 | 229 | 7.56 | 83 | |
265 | Taylor | 37 | -43.72 | 5 | 5 | .902 | 52 | -.396 | 33 | -0.13 | 36 | -44.45 | 266 | -43.45 | 262 | 26.55 | 284 | 18.80 | 305 | |
266 | Perry Central | 38 | -44.28 | 6 | 4 | .843 | 32 | -.250 | 23 | +0.10 | 28 | -45.08 | 270 | -43.63 | 263 | 27.26 | 276 | 8.70 | 131 | |
267 | West Washington | 39 | -44.39 | 4 | 6 | .864 | 37 | -.466 | 39 | -0.26 | 38 | -44.66 | 268 | -44.28 | 267 | 25.41 | 295 | 10.28 | 198 | |
269 | Indianapolis Tindley | 40 | -45.36 | 5 | 4 | .888 | 46 | -.333 | 30 | -0.05 | 32 | -46.31 | 274 | -44.93 | 270 | 23.50 | 304 | 8.59 | 125 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | SCORING | Rk | DEVIANCE | Rk | |
272 | Winamac | 41 | -46.59 | 4 | 5 | .802 | 21 | -.357 | 31 | -0.11 | 35 | -44.44 | 265 | -47.77 | 272 | 30.41 | 227 | 9.64 | 166 | |
273 | West Central | 42 | -46.79 | 6 | 4 | .848 | 35 | -.249 | 22 | +0.07 | 29 | -44.86 | 269 | -47.98 | 274 | 29.59 | 246 | 7.38 | 76 | |
274 | Caston | 43 | -46.96 | 2 | 8 | .748 | 11 | -.543 | 42 | -0.42 | 44 | -45.99 | 273 | -47.83 | 273 | 29.12 | 256 | 11.55 | 244 | |
276 | Union City | 44 | -48.72 | 2 | 8 | .842 | 31 | -.644 | 53 | -0.62 | 46 | -47.68 | 275 | -49.59 | 275 | 41.93 | 27 | 8.40 | 119 | |
277 | Eastern Greene | 45 | -49.91 | 3 | 6 | .781 | 15 | -.449 | 37 | -0.31 | 39 | -49.63 | 277 | -50.13 | 276 | 36.87 | 87 | 13.88 | 277 | |
280 | Wes-Del | 46 | -51.56 | 5 | 5 | .953 | 59 | -.453 | 38 | -0.35 | 40 | -51.94 | 282 | -51.56 | 280 | 44.52 | 12 | 19.63 | 307 | |
281 | Parke Heritage | 47 | -51.60 | 1 | 9 | .868 | 38 | -.769 | 56 | -0.87 | 54 | -51.10 | 280 | -51.93 | 281 | 35.24 | 121 | 13.13 | 270 | |
284 | Culver | 48 | -54.08 | 2 | 8 | .822 | 27 | -.622 | 51 | -0.67 | 48 | -52.18 | 283 | -55.31 | 285 | 31.67 | 199 | 10.22 | 193 | |
285 | North Central (Farmersburg) | 49 | -54.33 | 3 | 6 | .946 | 57 | -.611 | 50 | -0.65 | 47 | -54.91 | 288 | -54.16 | 283 | 37.65 | 75 | 10.30 | 202 | |
290 | Tecumseh | 50 | -57.49 | 0 | 9 | .681 | 6 | -.687 | 54 | -0.83 | 52 | -57.30 | 290 | -57.25 | 290 | 16.85 | 311 | 7.80 | 97 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | SCORING | Rk | DEVIANCE | Rk | |
291 | North White | 51 | -60.49 | 4 | 6 | .981 | 61 | -.581 | 46 | -0.70 | 50 | -58.45 | 292 | -61.82 | 291 | 26.37 | 288 | 7.56 | 84 | |
293 | South Decatur | 52 | -60.86 | 4 | 5 | .882 | 43 | -.438 | 36 | -0.47 | 45 | -57.86 | 291 | -62.39 | 293 | 41.66 | 29 | 13.89 | 278 | |
295 | Fort Wayne Blackhawk | 53 | -65.71 | 0 | 8 | .846 | 34 | -.849 | 58 | -1.22 | 56 | -64.09 | 296 | -66.62 | 295 | 35.06 | 128 | 10.90 | 218 | |
297 | South Central (Union Mills) | 54 | -68.04 | 2 | 8 | .811 | 25 | -.609 | 49 | -0.86 | 53 | -65.75 | 297 | -69.43 | 298 | 40.26 | 45 | 17.59 | 302 | |
298 | South Newton | 55 | -68.36 | 3 | 7 | .879 | 42 | -.580 | 45 | -0.82 | 51 | -67.01 | 298 | -69.29 | 297 | 35.77 | 109 | 4.62 | 17 | |
301 | Edinburgh | 56 | -78.31 | 0 | 10 | .883 | 44 | -.881 | 59 | -1.47 | 59 | -76.57 | 301 | -79.38 | 301 | 39.20 | 56 | 16.87 | 301 | |
302 | Cambridge City Lincoln | 57 | -81.79 | 1 | 9 | .874 | 40 | -.776 | 57 | -1.35 | 58 | -81.59 | 303 | -82.66 | 302 | 42.95 | 18 | 2.54 | 1 | |
308 | Attica | 58 | -91.82 | 0 | 10 | .889 | 48 | -.890 | 60 | -1.70 | 60 | -89.94 | 308 | -93.04 | 308 | 42.00 | 26 | 3.90 | 9 | |
309 | Southern Wells | 59 | -92.88 | 0 | 9 | .553 | 2 | -.556 | 43 | -1.16 | 55 | -90.98 | 309 | -93.85 | 309 | 47.00 | 4 | 3.30 | 4 | |
310 | North Newton | 60 | -94.58 | 3 | 7 | .931 | 56 | -.627 | 52 | -1.31 | 57 | -91.53 | 310 | -96.30 | 310 | 42.07 | 24 | 13.41 | 273 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | SCORING | Rk | DEVIANCE | Rk | |
311 | Bowman Academy | 61 | -114.23 | 0 | 10 | .906 | 53 | -.906 | 61 | -2.07 | 61 | -112.56 | 311 | -115.35 | 311 | 45.98 | 5 | 11.16 | 227 | |
314 | Irvington Prep | 62 | -159.32 | 0 | 7 | .988 | 62 | -.988 | 62 | -2.91 | 62 | -159.33 | 314 | -159.31 | 314 | 25.00 | 298 | NA | NA |