The TWISTR Ratings are an iterative least-squares, score-based ratings system built in the spirit of an Elo model. Team ratings are agnostic to the final result of a game, as only the scoring margins are important when rating teams. No additional benefit is provided for a win or penalty for a loss. The TWISTR ratings for FOOTBALL incorporate three key concepts:
The RATING represents the number of points a team would be favored by against an average opponent. Teams with a positive RATING are considered better than average, while teams with a negative RATING are considered worse than average. The RATING can be thought of as a composite of the INDEPENDENT (INDY) rating, in which the time a game was played does not matter, and the FORECASTER (CASTER) rating, where recent results are weighted more heavily.
Both the STRENGTH OF RECORD (SoR) and Z-SCORE (Z-SCR) are resume ratings - SoR only considers a team's win-loss record and is independent of margin of victory, while Z-SCR is a blend of RATING and SoR.
TWISTR IHSAA TEAM RATINGS | SCHEDULE & RESUME | COMPONENT RATINGS | TEAM PROFILE | |||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | SCORING | Rk | DEVIANCE | Rk | |
70 | North Judson | 1 | +21.82 | 14 | 1 | .614 | 14 | +.319 | 2 | +1.88 | 2 | +23.37 | 65 | +21.14 | 75 | 42.52 | 22 | 12.58 | 263 | |
91 | Providence | 2 | +17.07 | 12 | 0 | .547 | 5 | +.450 | 1 | +2.04 | 1 | +16.44 | 91 | +17.26 | 91 | 29.57 | 257 | 6.89 | 48 | |
120 | South Putnam | 3 | +7.98 | 11 | 3 | .605 | 12 | +.180 | 5 | +1.42 | 4 | +5.90 | 125 | +9.01 | 115 | 36.65 | 88 | 11.51 | 237 | |
124 | Madison-Grant | 4 | +6.81 | 10 | 2 | .628 | 19 | +.205 | 4 | +1.44 | 3 | +8.66 | 117 | +5.94 | 124 | 39.58 | 51 | 14.86 | 286 | |
134 | Springs Valley | 5 | +2.00 | 8 | 2 | .679 | 44 | +.120 | 8 | +1.22 | 6 | +1.64 | 137 | +2.12 | 133 | 45.38 | 7 | 11.56 | 240 | |
148 | Milan | 6 | -2.93 | 8 | 5 | .536 | 2 | +.079 | 11 | +1.07 | 8 | -1.51 | 146 | -3.70 | 154 | 35.48 | 116 | 9.47 | 157 | |
159 | South Adams | 7 | -4.60 | 8 | 6 | .568 | 8 | +.003 | 16 | +0.91 | 10 | -5.20 | 164 | -4.40 | 157 | 36.63 | 90 | 11.89 | 250 | |
161 | North Decatur | 8 | -4.75 | 10 | 2 | .664 | 39 | +.170 | 6 | +1.20 | 7 | -4.14 | 159 | -5.16 | 162 | 33.10 | 172 | 9.74 | 170 | |
166 | Carroll (Flora) | 9 | -6.45 | 10 | 1 | .626 | 18 | +.283 | 3 | +1.37 | 5 | -6.15 | 166 | -6.66 | 164 | 36.66 | 87 | 16.64 | 301 | |
170 | LaVille | 10 | -8.01 | 6 | 6 | .538 | 4 | -.038 | 18 | +0.78 | 14 | -8.18 | 170 | -7.83 | 168 | 31.40 | 211 | 7.94 | 91 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | SCORING | Rk | DEVIANCE | Rk | |
178 | Triton | 11 | -10.17 | 8 | 4 | .633 | 23 | +.033 | 13 | +0.87 | 11 | -8.37 | 171 | -11.07 | 183 | 30.53 | 229 | 8.61 | 122 | |
184 | North Miami | 12 | -11.62 | 10 | 3 | .635 | 25 | +.134 | 7 | +1.03 | 9 | -10.99 | 182 | -11.94 | 185 | 31.54 | 205 | 8.19 | 104 | |
187 | South Spencer | 13 | -12.03 | 5 | 5 | .536 | 3 | -.041 | 19 | +0.71 | 17 | -12.27 | 187 | -11.93 | 184 | 36.28 | 101 | 10.59 | 209 | |
189 | Forest Park | 14 | -12.65 | 6 | 5 | .560 | 7 | -.015 | 17 | +0.75 | 16 | -12.82 | 188 | -12.55 | 189 | 34.35 | 140 | 14.71 | 283 | |
193 | Pioneer | 15 | -15.16 | 8 | 4 | .614 | 13 | +.052 | 12 | +0.83 | 13 | -13.98 | 191 | -15.69 | 194 | 38.57 | 61 | 20.79 | 309 | |
194 | Sheridan | 16 | -15.79 | 7 | 6 | .591 | 10 | -.051 | 23 | +0.64 | 19 | -16.48 | 200 | -15.41 | 192 | 33.77 | 159 | 12.59 | 265 | |
205 | Riverton Parke | 17 | -20.20 | 8 | 4 | .651 | 32 | +.016 | 15 | +0.69 | 18 | -19.65 | 204 | -20.45 | 208 | 35.58 | 114 | 9.29 | 152 | |
208 | Tri | 18 | -20.55 | 7 | 4 | .679 | 45 | -.043 | 20 | +0.58 | 20 | -21.28 | 209 | -20.29 | 206 | 40.47 | 40 | 11.24 | 231 | |
209 | Frontier | 19 | -21.00 | 8 | 1 | .779 | 60 | +.110 | 9 | +0.84 | 12 | -20.03 | 206 | -21.64 | 210 | 44.18 | 15 | 9.63 | 167 | |
221 | Cloverdale | 20 | -24.28 | 5 | 5 | .656 | 35 | -.156 | 29 | +0.32 | 23 | -24.07 | 221 | -24.28 | 219 | 35.57 | 115 | 10.30 | 190 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | SCORING | Rk | DEVIANCE | Rk | |
222 | North Vermillion | 21 | -25.02 | 8 | 2 | .697 | 49 | +.100 | 10 | +0.76 | 15 | -24.34 | 222 | -25.34 | 222 | 36.04 | 105 | 9.37 | 155 | |
233 | Monroe Central | 22 | -30.12 | 6 | 4 | .650 | 30 | -.050 | 22 | +0.41 | 22 | -28.55 | 231 | -31.10 | 234 | 35.94 | 109 | 12.59 | 264 | |
234 | Clinton Prairie | 23 | -31.13 | 5 | 6 | .656 | 36 | -.201 | 33 | +0.13 | 28 | -31.24 | 236 | -31.00 | 232 | 35.06 | 127 | 11.87 | 249 | |
237 | Knightstown | 24 | -31.86 | 5 | 5 | .651 | 33 | -.152 | 27 | +0.21 | 26 | -30.45 | 234 | -32.74 | 240 | 44.07 | 16 | 8.53 | 116 | |
238 | North Daviess | 25 | -31.97 | 8 | 4 | .651 | 31 | +.016 | 14 | +0.50 | 21 | -31.45 | 237 | -32.25 | 238 | 30.88 | 222 | 7.44 | 72 | |
239 | Covington | 26 | -32.27 | 6 | 5 | .697 | 50 | -.152 | 28 | +0.20 | 27 | -32.74 | 239 | -31.95 | 237 | 34.54 | 139 | 9.28 | 150 | |
240 | Taylor | 27 | -33.51 | 7 | 6 | .632 | 21 | -.093 | 24 | +0.28 | 25 | -35.78 | 247 | -32.50 | 239 | 27.71 | 280 | 19.96 | 308 | |
242 | Tri-Central | 28 | -35.01 | 2 | 8 | .616 | 15 | -.415 | 46 | -0.31 | 41 | -35.60 | 245 | -34.72 | 241 | 29.39 | 260 | 8.70 | 129 | |
243 | Fremont | 29 | -35.28 | 4 | 7 | .629 | 20 | -.264 | 36 | -0.05 | 33 | -35.64 | 246 | -35.18 | 243 | 28.86 | 262 | 10.83 | 219 | |
244 | Hagerstown | 30 | -35.39 | 4 | 7 | .672 | 41 | -.308 | 38 | -0.12 | 36 | -35.30 | 243 | -35.52 | 244 | 29.19 | 261 | 9.54 | 164 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | SCORING | Rk | DEVIANCE | Rk | |
246 | Northfield | 31 | -36.30 | 3 | 7 | .621 | 17 | -.322 | 40 | -0.16 | 37 | -35.11 | 242 | -36.92 | 247 | 36.02 | 107 | 9.34 | 154 | |
248 | Fountain Central | 32 | -36.36 | 4 | 6 | .647 | 28 | -.248 | 35 | -0.03 | 32 | -36.93 | 251 | -36.08 | 246 | 31.79 | 201 | 9.28 | 151 | |
249 | Greenwood Christian | 33 | -37.07 | 7 | 3 | .745 | 56 | -.047 | 21 | +0.31 | 24 | -36.32 | 248 | -37.52 | 249 | 38.98 | 58 | 10.25 | 186 | |
250 | Clinton Central | 34 | -37.37 | 3 | 7 | .657 | 37 | -.357 | 42 | -0.24 | 38 | -36.75 | 250 | -37.64 | 250 | 38.39 | 69 | 14.88 | 287 | |
258 | Southwood | 35 | -40.13 | 0 | 10 | .584 | 9 | -.585 | 57 | -0.69 | 50 | -38.32 | 254 | -41.11 | 258 | 33.06 | 174 | 8.37 | 112 | |
260 | North Knox | 36 | -41.62 | 2 | 8 | .598 | 11 | -.399 | 45 | -0.38 | 42 | -41.39 | 261 | -41.76 | 259 | 30.37 | 239 | 7.36 | 66 | |
262 | Winamac | 37 | -43.57 | 4 | 5 | .634 | 24 | -.191 | 32 | -0.05 | 34 | -42.90 | 262 | -43.69 | 262 | 30.39 | 237 | 7.11 | 58 | |
263 | West Washington | 38 | -43.65 | 4 | 7 | .681 | 46 | -.318 | 39 | -0.27 | 40 | -43.79 | 266 | -43.66 | 261 | 25.47 | 293 | 10.94 | 222 | |
265 | Perry Central | 39 | -44.32 | 6 | 5 | .689 | 48 | -.145 | 26 | +0.02 | 29 | -44.66 | 269 | -44.11 | 264 | 30.03 | 247 | 7.75 | 83 | |
267 | Tri-County | 40 | -45.25 | 7 | 4 | .800 | 62 | -.164 | 30 | -0.02 | 31 | -44.43 | 268 | -45.83 | 271 | 33.05 | 175 | 12.28 | 257 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | SCORING | Rk | DEVIANCE | Rk | |
269 | Caston | 41 | -45.56 | 2 | 8 | .616 | 16 | -.417 | 47 | -0.48 | 45 | -45.53 | 271 | -45.53 | 267 | 31.54 | 207 | 11.74 | 245 | |
272 | Indianapolis Tindley | 42 | -45.93 | 5 | 5 | .686 | 47 | -.184 | 31 | -0.07 | 35 | -46.61 | 273 | -45.55 | 268 | 24.40 | 301 | 9.02 | 138 | |
275 | West Central | 43 | -47.76 | 6 | 4 | .718 | 52 | -.119 | 25 | +0.02 | 30 | -45.86 | 272 | -49.00 | 276 | 29.64 | 255 | 6.95 | 51 | |
276 | Eastern Greene | 44 | -48.86 | 3 | 7 | .637 | 26 | -.338 | 41 | -0.39 | 43 | -48.78 | 276 | -48.94 | 275 | 36.93 | 83 | 14.10 | 277 | |
277 | Union City | 45 | -49.64 | 2 | 8 | .656 | 34 | -.455 | 50 | -0.61 | 47 | -48.21 | 275 | -50.57 | 277 | 40.75 | 38 | 7.88 | 89 | |
280 | Wes-Del | 46 | -51.35 | 5 | 5 | .743 | 55 | -.243 | 34 | -0.26 | 39 | -51.51 | 280 | -51.46 | 280 | 44.61 | 12 | 19.24 | 307 | |
282 | Culver | 47 | -52.57 | 2 | 9 | .641 | 27 | -.461 | 51 | -0.67 | 49 | -51.77 | 282 | -52.91 | 282 | 30.49 | 231 | 11.25 | 232 | |
284 | North Central (Farmersburg) | 48 | -54.16 | 3 | 6 | .715 | 51 | -.380 | 44 | -0.55 | 46 | -54.82 | 288 | -53.89 | 284 | 37.71 | 72 | 10.81 | 216 | |
286 | Parke Heritage | 49 | -54.44 | 1 | 9 | .662 | 38 | -.563 | 55 | -0.87 | 53 | -53.36 | 283 | -55.04 | 286 | 35.66 | 112 | 13.15 | 270 | |
289 | Tecumseh | 50 | -57.46 | 0 | 9 | .557 | 6 | -.558 | 54 | -0.91 | 54 | -56.87 | 290 | -57.65 | 289 | 16.85 | 311 | 7.75 | 82 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | SCORING | Rk | DEVIANCE | Rk | |
291 | South Decatur | 51 | -59.76 | 4 | 5 | .736 | 54 | -.291 | 37 | -0.48 | 44 | -57.14 | 291 | -61.11 | 291 | 41.67 | 28 | 13.94 | 276 | |
293 | North White | 52 | -61.04 | 4 | 6 | .763 | 59 | -.363 | 43 | -0.62 | 48 | -58.79 | 292 | -62.55 | 293 | 26.56 | 286 | 9.89 | 174 | |
295 | Fort Wayne Blackhawk | 53 | -63.51 | 0 | 8 | .633 | 22 | -.634 | 58 | -1.14 | 55 | -61.81 | 294 | -64.61 | 295 | 35.16 | 125 | 13.14 | 269 | |
297 | South Central (Union Mills) | 54 | -66.45 | 2 | 8 | .650 | 29 | -.450 | 49 | -0.86 | 51 | -65.31 | 297 | -66.94 | 297 | 40.20 | 44 | 17.10 | 303 | |
300 | South Newton | 55 | -69.70 | 3 | 7 | .724 | 53 | -.426 | 48 | -0.87 | 52 | -68.40 | 299 | -70.74 | 300 | 35.74 | 111 | 5.12 | 18 | |
301 | Edinburgh | 56 | -77.99 | 0 | 10 | .667 | 40 | -.668 | 59 | -1.43 | 58 | -76.39 | 301 | -79.00 | 301 | 39.20 | 54 | 16.58 | 299 | |
302 | Cambridge City Lincoln | 57 | -82.64 | 1 | 9 | .672 | 42 | -.572 | 56 | -1.33 | 56 | -81.23 | 303 | -83.56 | 303 | 42.95 | 20 | 2.59 | 2 | |
308 | Attica | 58 | -91.49 | 0 | 10 | .672 | 43 | -.674 | 60 | -1.65 | 60 | -90.43 | 308 | -92.08 | 308 | 39.00 | 57 | 2.25 | 1 | |
309 | North Newton | 59 | -95.43 | 3 | 8 | .748 | 57 | -.474 | 52 | -1.36 | 57 | -92.47 | 309 | -97.31 | 309 | 42.07 | 25 | 13.41 | 272 | |
310 | Southern Wells | 60 | -95.93 | 0 | 10 | .532 | 1 | -.532 | 53 | -1.47 | 59 | -92.89 | 310 | -97.65 | 310 | 47.00 | 4 | 3.30 | 5 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | SCORING | Rk | DEVIANCE | Rk | |
311 | Bowman Academy | 61 | -115.29 | 0 | 10 | .787 | 61 | -.788 | 62 | -2.23 | 61 | -113.55 | 311 | -116.61 | 311 | 45.98 | 5 | 11.11 | 228 | |
314 | Irvington Prep | 62 | -159.35 | 0 | 7 | .761 | 58 | -.763 | 61 | -2.87 | 62 | -159.34 | 314 | -159.36 | 314 | 25.00 | 298 | NA | NA |