The TWISTR Ratings are an iterative least-squares, score-based ratings system built in the spirit of an Elo model. Team ratings are agnostic to the final result of a game, as only the scoring margins are important when rating teams. No additional benefit is provided for a win or penalty for a loss. The TWISTR ratings for FOOTBALL incorporate three key concepts:
The RATING represents the number of points a team would be favored by against an average opponent. Teams with a positive RATING are considered better than average, while teams with a negative RATING are considered worse than average. The RATING can be thought of as a composite of the INDEPENDENT (INDY) rating, in which the time a game was played does not matter, and the FORECASTER (CASTER) rating, where recent results are weighted more heavily.
TWISTR IHSAA TEAM RATINGS | SCHEDULE & RESUME | COMPONENT RATINGS | TEAM PROFILE | |||||||||||||||
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RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | RANK | SoR | RANK | INDY | RANK | CASTER | RANK | SCORING | RANK | DEVIANCE | RANK | |
27 | Adams Central | 1 | +37.66 | 14 | 1 | .586 | 2 | +.347 | 2 | +39.11 | 27 | +37.05 | 30 | 37.12 | 79 | 9.23 | 160 | |
35 | Indianapolis Lutheran | 2 | +33.26 | 13 | 0 | .541 | 1 | +.459 | 1 | +34.91 | 34 | +32.54 | 36 | 33.09 | 158 | 10.52 | 212 | |
59 | Providence | 3 | +22.82 | 11 | 1 | .853 | 25 | +.063 | 3 | +24.36 | 59 | +22.09 | 61 | 31.47 | 190 | 6.08 | 40 | |
79 | Carroll (Flora) | 4 | +17.85 | 12 | 1 | .882 | 33 | +.041 | 4 | +20.06 | 76 | +16.95 | 84 | 33.42 | 145 | 9.60 | 171 | |
102 | South Putnam | 5 | +12.93 | 9 | 2 | .789 | 18 | +.029 | 5 | +13.19 | 106 | +12.82 | 104 | 32.55 | 167 | 7.33 | 79 | |
126 | North Judson | 6 | +6.67 | 9 | 5 | .693 | 9 | -.050 | 9 | +5.85 | 130 | +7.04 | 124 | 32.05 | 181 | 14.71 | 299 | |
131 | Madison-Grant | 7 | +4.64 | 8 | 4 | .722 | 10 | -.055 | 10 | +6.00 | 129 | +3.98 | 136 | 36.27 | 95 | 12.98 | 282 | |
149 | Triton | 8 | -0.74 | 8 | 4 | .746 | 14 | -.080 | 12 | -1.13 | 153 | -0.44 | 149 | 31.14 | 198 | 15.00 | 304 | |
150 | Milan | 9 | -1.66 | 8 | 4 | .743 | 13 | -.076 | 11 | -0.14 | 150 | -2.36 | 151 | 30.58 | 217 | 11.68 | 251 | |
153 | South Adams | 10 | -2.24 | 6 | 4 | .615 | 3 | -.015 | 6 | -1.97 | 155 | -2.41 | 152 | 33.20 | 155 | 8.87 | 150 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | RANK | SoR | RANK | INDY | RANK | CASTER | RANK | SCORING | RANK | DEVIANCE | RANK | |
156 | Park Tudor | 11 | -2.84 | 12 | 1 | .941 | 50 | -.018 | 7 | -3.41 | 160 | -2.73 | 155 | 45.70 | 6 | 11.71 | 252 | |
174 | Pioneer | 12 | -7.04 | 5 | 5 | .686 | 8 | -.186 | 15 | -5.99 | 175 | -7.52 | 175 | 32.59 | 166 | 7.96 | 109 | |
179 | Sheridan | 13 | -8.29 | 10 | 4 | .798 | 19 | -.083 | 13 | -7.74 | 179 | -8.50 | 179 | 30.93 | 205 | 4.83 | 13 | |
184 | Springs Valley | 14 | -9.49 | 10 | 2 | .881 | 32 | -.048 | 8 | -8.58 | 185 | -10.05 | 186 | 36.07 | 100 | 11.45 | 244 | |
185 | Covenant Christian | 15 | -9.74 | 7 | 4 | .838 | 23 | -.201 | 17 | -9.49 | 188 | -9.90 | 185 | 36.31 | 92 | 5.92 | 31 | |
189 | North Decatur | 16 | -10.70 | 9 | 4 | .891 | 35 | -.199 | 16 | -9.95 | 190 | -10.84 | 188 | 31.55 | 188 | 9.51 | 168 | |
200 | North Vermillion | 17 | -13.51 | 8 | 3 | .943 | 52 | -.216 | 18 | -12.82 | 201 | -14.37 | 199 | 38.19 | 64 | 8.66 | 142 | |
207 | Tri | 18 | -16.60 | 7 | 4 | .919 | 46 | -.283 | 22 | -16.50 | 210 | -16.73 | 209 | 31.10 | 202 | 13.92 | 295 | |
212 | Clinton Prairie | 19 | -19.73 | 6 | 5 | .879 | 31 | -.334 | 25 | -18.83 | 213 | -20.20 | 213 | 43.95 | 17 | 7.04 | 67 | |
214 | Southwood | 20 | -20.13 | 5 | 6 | .684 | 6 | -.229 | 19 | -18.87 | 214 | -20.68 | 216 | 32.24 | 172 | 10.28 | 205 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | RANK | SoR | RANK | INDY | RANK | CASTER | RANK | SCORING | RANK | DEVIANCE | RANK | |
219 | North White | 21 | -20.50 | 9 | 1 | .990 | 56 | -.090 | 14 | -19.64 | 219 | -20.86 | 219 | 32.70 | 164 | 8.26 | 116 | |
221 | Fountain Central | 22 | -20.70 | 6 | 4 | .892 | 36 | -.292 | 23 | -19.55 | 218 | -21.38 | 222 | 38.45 | 60 | 9.97 | 191 | |
224 | Eastern Greene | 23 | -21.69 | 4 | 5 | .770 | 15 | -.326 | 24 | -20.60 | 226 | -22.30 | 226 | 34.95 | 118 | 5.91 | 30 | |
225 | Monroe Central | 24 | -22.07 | 6 | 6 | .907 | 40 | -.407 | 31 | -22.37 | 231 | -21.92 | 224 | 35.18 | 113 | 8.55 | 134 | |
227 | Northfield | 25 | -22.41 | 4 | 6 | .734 | 11 | -.334 | 26 | -21.45 | 227 | -22.85 | 228 | 27.73 | 275 | 12.69 | 278 | |
233 | Caston | 26 | -24.78 | 2 | 9 | .680 | 5 | -.498 | 35 | -25.52 | 236 | -24.31 | 233 | 30.37 | 225 | 8.72 | 144 | |
237 | Hagerstown | 27 | -25.73 | 5 | 4 | .919 | 45 | -.363 | 28 | -23.30 | 232 | -26.95 | 239 | 33.23 | 153 | 18.77 | 315 | |
239 | South Spencer | 28 | -27.04 | 3 | 7 | .686 | 7 | -.386 | 30 | -26.39 | 240 | -27.43 | 240 | 36.62 | 85 | 9.81 | 182 | |
240 | West Central | 29 | -27.25 | 8 | 3 | .991 | 57 | -.264 | 20 | -25.60 | 237 | -28.03 | 241 | 32.12 | 177 | 10.22 | 201 | |
250 | Riverton Parke | 30 | -32.15 | 5 | 6 | .877 | 28 | -.422 | 32 | -30.89 | 251 | -32.91 | 252 | 28.43 | 261 | 7.29 | 76 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | RANK | SoR | RANK | INDY | RANK | CASTER | RANK | SCORING | RANK | DEVIANCE | RANK | |
255 | West Washington | 31 | -33.60 | 5 | 5 | .925 | 47 | -.425 | 33 | -31.84 | 254 | -34.57 | 257 | 36.31 | 93 | 10.25 | 202 | |
258 | North Daviess | 32 | -36.66 | 5 | 6 | .883 | 34 | -.428 | 34 | -34.28 | 258 | -38.00 | 259 | 38.29 | 63 | 11.95 | 263 | |
259 | North Miami | 33 | -37.94 | 2 | 9 | .814 | 20 | -.632 | 46 | -37.75 | 261 | -38.01 | 260 | 28.11 | 268 | 6.01 | 35 | |
262 | Tri-Central | 34 | -39.45 | 5 | 7 | .788 | 17 | -.372 | 29 | -38.87 | 263 | -39.74 | 262 | 28.28 | 266 | 12.38 | 271 | |
263 | Covington | 35 | -39.49 | 4 | 6 | .957 | 54 | -.557 | 41 | -38.02 | 262 | -40.35 | 264 | 32.79 | 162 | 11.09 | 231 | |
265 | Wes-Del | 36 | -42.74 | 4 | 6 | .915 | 43 | -.515 | 37 | -43.79 | 269 | -42.19 | 265 | 31.85 | 184 | 11.19 | 235 | |
267 | Fremont | 37 | -43.23 | 3 | 6 | .906 | 39 | -.572 | 42 | -43.96 | 272 | -42.68 | 266 | 33.32 | 149 | 4.33 | 5 | |
268 | Parke Heritage | 38 | -44.00 | 2 | 8 | .878 | 30 | -.678 | 48 | -42.22 | 266 | -45.23 | 269 | 30.81 | 211 | 7.52 | 89 | |
269 | Knightstown | 39 | -45.45 | 3 | 7 | .901 | 37 | -.601 | 43 | -43.92 | 271 | -46.19 | 270 | 44.21 | 14 | 10.07 | 196 | |
271 | South Decatur | 40 | -45.84 | 6 | 3 | .931 | 48 | -.264 | 21 | -43.23 | 268 | -47.37 | 272 | 35.64 | 106 | 6.01 | 34 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | RANK | SoR | RANK | INDY | RANK | CASTER | RANK | SCORING | RANK | DEVIANCE | RANK | |
274 | Indianapolis Tindley | 41 | -48.23 | 4 | 6 | .908 | 41 | -.508 | 36 | -47.64 | 275 | -48.49 | 273 | 26.83 | 292 | 15.32 | 306 | |
275 | Tri-County | 42 | -49.55 | 5 | 4 | .903 | 38 | -.348 | 27 | -49.40 | 278 | -49.54 | 276 | 39.89 | 41 | 5.82 | 29 | |
276 | Culver | 43 | -49.58 | 1 | 10 | .741 | 12 | -.650 | 47 | -50.73 | 279 | -48.97 | 275 | 44.87 | 10 | 16.76 | 312 | |
280 | South Central (Union Mills) | 44 | -52.49 | 3 | 7 | .850 | 24 | -.550 | 40 | -48.94 | 276 | -53.75 | 286 | 37.86 | 70 | 20.84 | 317 | |
281 | Union City | 45 | -52.58 | 2 | 8 | .939 | 49 | -.739 | 50 | -51.63 | 281 | -52.97 | 283 | 50.09 | 3 | 7.94 | 103 | |
283 | Taylor | 46 | -53.03 | 1 | 9 | .862 | 26 | -.762 | 52 | -52.36 | 283 | -53.39 | 284 | 30.67 | 215 | 6.83 | 59 | |
287 | Tecumseh | 47 | -54.61 | 0 | 9 | .775 | 16 | -.775 | 53 | -53.12 | 285 | -55.58 | 289 | 40.86 | 36 | 15.80 | 308 | |
288 | Clinton Central | 48 | -54.70 | 1 | 8 | .822 | 22 | -.711 | 49 | -54.95 | 289 | -54.46 | 287 | 33.54 | 142 | 11.86 | 262 | |
290 | Southern Wells | 49 | -56.56 | 1 | 9 | .640 | 4 | -.540 | 38 | -56.62 | 292 | -56.53 | 291 | 22.71 | 310 | 3.55 | 4 | |
292 | Frontier | 50 | -57.81 | 4 | 5 | .988 | 55 | -.543 | 39 | -57.36 | 294 | -58.04 | 292 | 35.88 | 103 | 7.96 | 108 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | RANK | SoR | RANK | INDY | RANK | CASTER | RANK | SCORING | RANK | DEVIANCE | RANK | |
294 | North Central (Farmersburg) | 51 | -62.56 | 1 | 7 | .877 | 29 | -.752 | 51 | -60.40 | 296 | -63.76 | 299 | 43.21 | 20 | 11.37 | 241 | |
298 | Cloverdale | 52 | -63.22 | 2 | 8 | .814 | 21 | -.614 | 45 | -60.72 | 297 | -64.59 | 301 | 30.50 | 220 | 9.46 | 166 | |
299 | South Newton | 53 | -63.37 | 3 | 7 | .911 | 42 | -.611 | 44 | -63.05 | 301 | -63.55 | 298 | 37.51 | 73 | 5.96 | 32 | |
302 | Edinburgh | 54 | -71.71 | 1 | 9 | .945 | 53 | -.845 | 56 | -68.51 | 304 | -73.59 | 305 | 21.90 | 313 | 8.80 | 147 | |
308 | Attica | 55 | -77.86 | 0 | 9 | .942 | 51 | -.942 | 58 | -76.53 | 310 | -78.69 | 311 | 49.82 | 4 | 7.54 | 91 | |
310 | Cambridge City Lincoln | 56 | -81.75 | 1 | 7 | .918 | 44 | -.793 | 54 | -80.52 | 312 | -82.40 | 313 | 51.60 | 2 | 9.14 | 157 | |
312 | Bowman Academy | 57 | -102.60 | 1 | 5 | .997 | 58 | -.831 | 55 | -102.78 | 315 | -103.86 | 316 | 20.22 | 315 | 11.58 | 249 | |
314 | North Newton | 58 | -109.40 | 0 | 10 | .870 | 27 | -.870 | 57 | -108.96 | 317 | -110.05 | 318 | 30.56 | 219 | 8.52 | 131 |