The TWISTR Ratings are an iterative least-squares, score-based ratings system built in the spirit of an Elo model. Team ratings are agnostic to the final result of a game, as only the scoring margins are important when rating teams. No additional benefit is provided for a win or penalty for a loss. The TWISTR ratings for FOOTBALL incorporate three key concepts:
The RATING represents the number of points a team would be favored by against an average opponent. Teams with a positive RATING are considered better than average, while teams with a negative RATING are considered worse than average. The RATING can be thought of as a composite of the INDEPENDENT (INDY) rating, in which the time a game was played does not matter, and the FORECASTER (CASTER) rating, where recent results are weighted more heavily.
Both the STRENGTH OF RECORD (SoR) and Z-SCORE (Z-SCR) are resume ratings - SoR only considers a team's win-loss record and is independent of margin of victory, while Z-SCR is a blend of RATING and SoR.
TWISTR IHSAA TEAM RATINGS | SCHEDULE & RESUME | COMPONENT RATINGS | TEAM PROFILE | |||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | SCORING | Rk | DEVIANCE | Rk | |
25 | Decatur Central | 1 | +44.24 | 11 | 2 | .561 | 1 | +.286 | 2 | +1.43 | 1 | +42.28 | 25 | +45.28 | 21 | 36.29 | 100 | 10.71 | 214 | |
27 | Warsaw | 2 | +41.17 | 10 | 4 | .592 | 9 | +.123 | 7 | +1.06 | 6 | +40.10 | 27 | +41.76 | 27 | 32.21 | 194 | 8.60 | 120 | |
28 | Concord | 3 | +40.75 | 10 | 1 | .608 | 14 | +.301 | 1 | +1.38 | 2 | +39.84 | 28 | +41.31 | 28 | 32.11 | 196 | 4.05 | 9 | |
30 | Merrillville | 4 | +39.01 | 11 | 2 | .609 | 15 | +.237 | 4 | +1.23 | 3 | +39.36 | 30 | +38.87 | 29 | 34.30 | 145 | 11.07 | 225 | |
32 | East Central | 5 | +37.64 | 8 | 2 | .660 | 22 | +.141 | 6 | +1.02 | 7 | +37.57 | 32 | +37.88 | 32 | 27.30 | 282 | 6.20 | 32 | |
34 | Plainfield | 6 | +35.72 | 9 | 2 | .610 | 16 | +.209 | 5 | +1.10 | 5 | +34.99 | 35 | +36.24 | 33 | 35.40 | 118 | 11.10 | 227 | |
35 | Lafayette Jeff | 7 | +34.42 | 11 | 1 | .666 | 24 | +.250 | 3 | +1.15 | 4 | +35.76 | 33 | +33.78 | 37 | 38.54 | 63 | 11.54 | 239 | |
40 | Bloomington South | 8 | +30.94 | 8 | 5 | .599 | 13 | +.016 | 11 | +0.65 | 9 | +30.27 | 44 | +31.25 | 41 | 36.74 | 86 | 9.09 | 140 | |
48 | Fort Wayne North | 9 | +29.30 | 5 | 5 | .563 | 2 | -.065 | 14 | +0.46 | 12 | +28.89 | 46 | +29.56 | 47 | 26.62 | 285 | 10.59 | 210 | |
50 | Castle | 10 | +27.21 | 9 | 3 | .654 | 20 | +.095 | 8 | +0.71 | 8 | +26.92 | 50 | +27.37 | 50 | 29.42 | 258 | 7.10 | 57 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | SCORING | Rk | DEVIANCE | Rk | |
51 | Michigan City | 11 | +26.73 | 3 | 7 | .567 | 3 | -.267 | 21 | +0.04 | 17 | +27.69 | 49 | +26.25 | 53 | 21.13 | 307 | 8.17 | 101 | |
53 | Whiteland | 12 | +25.94 | 4 | 5 | .587 | 7 | -.142 | 16 | +0.25 | 14 | +24.76 | 59 | +26.68 | 52 | 32.53 | 185 | 10.21 | 182 | |
54 | Bloomington North | 13 | +25.87 | 8 | 3 | .653 | 19 | +.075 | 10 | +0.64 | 10 | +26.34 | 53 | +25.60 | 57 | 31.76 | 202 | 10.83 | 220 | |
64 | Valparaiso | 14 | +23.54 | 8 | 4 | .585 | 6 | +.082 | 9 | +0.60 | 11 | +24.36 | 60 | +23.11 | 66 | 32.93 | 178 | 6.90 | 50 | |
67 | Chesterton | 15 | +22.72 | 6 | 5 | .593 | 10 | -.048 | 13 | +0.35 | 13 | +22.78 | 68 | +22.64 | 67 | 24.39 | 302 | 7.36 | 67 | |
81 | Franklin | 16 | +19.52 | 4 | 7 | .595 | 12 | -.231 | 20 | -0.05 | 19 | +18.22 | 86 | +20.25 | 79 | 30.87 | 223 | 10.44 | 197 | |
86 | Terre Haute South | 17 | +18.70 | 2 | 7 | .581 | 5 | -.360 | 25 | -0.31 | 22 | +19.65 | 80 | +18.21 | 88 | 42.34 | 24 | 7.58 | 77 | |
98 | Evansville North | 18 | +15.48 | 5 | 6 | .665 | 23 | -.209 | 19 | -0.10 | 20 | +15.49 | 96 | +15.49 | 99 | 25.90 | 291 | 6.11 | 30 | |
101 | Columbus East | 19 | +14.75 | 6 | 4 | .688 | 26 | -.089 | 15 | +0.10 | 16 | +15.07 | 101 | +14.59 | 103 | 36.54 | 94 | 12.27 | 256 | |
103 | Kokomo | 20 | +14.40 | 5 | 5 | .654 | 21 | -.155 | 17 | -0.02 | 18 | +15.12 | 100 | +13.97 | 105 | 31.81 | 200 | 8.21 | 105 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | SCORING | Rk | DEVIANCE | Rk | |
110 | Floyd Central | 21 | +10.70 | 6 | 2 | .752 | 32 | -.001 | 12 | +0.17 | 15 | +10.84 | 109 | +10.62 | 111 | 40.40 | 41 | 12.43 | 259 | |
114 | McCutcheon | 22 | +8.87 | 4 | 6 | .674 | 25 | -.274 | 22 | -0.36 | 23 | +9.23 | 113 | +8.61 | 117 | 30.78 | 226 | 8.60 | 119 | |
118 | Terre Haute North | 23 | +8.27 | 2 | 8 | .594 | 11 | -.396 | 26 | -0.60 | 24 | +8.71 | 115 | +7.99 | 121 | 33.59 | 165 | 7.46 | 74 | |
126 | Hammond Morton | 24 | +4.77 | 5 | 4 | .716 | 28 | -.160 | 18 | -0.24 | 21 | +4.35 | 128 | +5.09 | 126 | 43.05 | 19 | 10.54 | 202 | |
146 | Seymour | 25 | -2.39 | 4 | 6 | .692 | 27 | -.293 | 23 | -0.64 | 25 | -1.61 | 147 | -2.84 | 147 | 29.80 | 251 | 7.83 | 86 | |
162 | LaPorte | 26 | -4.77 | 0 | 10 | .579 | 4 | -.579 | 30 | -1.22 | 29 | -4.84 | 162 | -4.75 | 160 | 31.92 | 199 | 8.54 | 117 | |
164 | South Bend Adams | 27 | -6.27 | 2 | 8 | .631 | 17 | -.431 | 28 | -0.98 | 27 | -7.01 | 169 | -5.86 | 163 | 32.67 | 183 | 7.62 | 78 | |
179 | Hammond Central | 28 | -10.40 | 3 | 5 | .732 | 31 | -.356 | 24 | -0.93 | 26 | -10.69 | 181 | -10.13 | 176 | 36.31 | 99 | 10.70 | 212 | |
199 | New Albany | 29 | -17.91 | 3 | 7 | .717 | 29 | -.418 | 27 | -1.21 | 28 | -17.51 | 201 | -18.20 | 199 | 34.05 | 151 | 7.24 | 62 | |
206 | Munster | 30 | -20.45 | 2 | 8 | .723 | 30 | -.523 | 29 | -1.46 | 30 | -21.60 | 210 | -19.88 | 203 | 37.63 | 74 | 9.23 | 148 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | SCORING | Rk | DEVIANCE | Rk | |
252 | Anderson | 31 | -37.67 | 0 | 10 | .647 | 18 | -.647 | 32 | -2.06 | 31 | -36.67 | 249 | -38.26 | 253 | 48.79 | 3 | 10.93 | 221 | |
274 | Goshen | 32 | -47.60 | 0 | 10 | .588 | 8 | -.588 | 31 | -2.17 | 32 | -50.89 | 279 | -45.76 | 270 | NA | NA | NA | NA |