The TWISTR Ratings are an iterative least-squares, score-based ratings system built in the spirit of an Elo model. Team ratings are agnostic to the final result of a game, as only the scoring margins are important when rating teams. No additional benefit is provided for a win or penalty for a loss. The TWISTR ratings for FOOTBALL incorporate three key concepts:
The RATING represents the number of points a team would be favored by against an average opponent. Teams with a positive RATING are considered better than average, while teams with a negative RATING are considered worse than average. The RATING can be thought of as a composite of the INDEPENDENT (INDY) rating, in which the time a game was played does not matter, and the FORECASTER (CASTER) rating, where recent results are weighted more heavily.
TWISTR IHSAA TEAM RATINGS | SCHEDULE & RESUME | COMPONENT RATINGS | TEAM PROFILE | |||||||||||||||
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RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | RANK | SoR | RANK | INDY | RANK | CASTER | RANK | SCORING | RANK | DEVIANCE | RANK | |
9 | Fort Wayne Snider | 1 | +49.48 | 13 | 1 | .734 | 5 | +.194 | 1 | +50.02 | 10 | +49.33 | 10 | 31.60 | 185 | 10.80 | 221 | |
15 | Bloomington South | 2 | +42.63 | 11 | 2 | .857 | 21 | -.011 | 6 | +43.83 | 16 | +42.14 | 18 | 38.65 | 57 | 9.93 | 189 | |
16 | Mishawaka | 3 | +42.25 | 9 | 3 | .730 | 4 | +.020 | 4 | +41.78 | 17 | +42.62 | 17 | 31.54 | 189 | 8.48 | 130 | |
25 | Valparaiso | 4 | +38.25 | 9 | 3 | .767 | 8 | -.017 | 7 | +38.62 | 28 | +38.12 | 25 | 32.17 | 176 | 6.35 | 44 | |
29 | Decatur Central | 5 | +36.96 | 11 | 3 | .739 | 6 | +.047 | 3 | +36.54 | 31 | +37.15 | 29 | 30.27 | 227 | 12.95 | 281 | |
31 | Harrison (West Lafayette) | 6 | +35.52 | 9 | 2 | .895 | 27 | -.077 | 9 | +37.96 | 29 | +34.62 | 33 | 30.69 | 214 | 10.79 | 220 | |
34 | Merrillville | 7 | +34.06 | 10 | 3 | .768 | 9 | +.001 | 5 | +33.91 | 35 | +34.19 | 34 | 29.50 | 241 | 8.69 | 143 | |
39 | Bloomington North | 8 | +29.86 | 9 | 1 | .831 | 14 | +.069 | 2 | +31.51 | 38 | +29.16 | 42 | 33.97 | 135 | 6.24 | 41 | |
45 | Plainfield | 9 | +27.69 | 6 | 4 | .782 | 11 | -.182 | 11 | +30.14 | 42 | +26.48 | 50 | 26.86 | 291 | 13.18 | 286 | |
46 | Evansville North | 10 | +27.49 | 8 | 4 | .840 | 15 | -.174 | 10 | +28.35 | 48 | +26.91 | 48 | 32.65 | 165 | 10.40 | 209 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | RANK | SoR | RANK | INDY | RANK | CASTER | RANK | SCORING | RANK | DEVIANCE | RANK | |
48 | Concord | 11 | +26.98 | 6 | 5 | .775 | 10 | -.230 | 13 | +26.16 | 52 | +27.59 | 46 | 28.45 | 259 | 9.82 | 183 | |
55 | Whiteland | 12 | +24.16 | 7 | 5 | .847 | 18 | -.263 | 15 | +25.11 | 54 | +23.79 | 57 | 28.30 | 265 | 14.30 | 298 | |
62 | Michigan City | 13 | +21.82 | 6 | 5 | .741 | 7 | -.195 | 12 | +22.89 | 65 | +21.28 | 65 | 24.55 | 301 | 8.28 | 119 | |
65 | Castle | 14 | +21.36 | 7 | 4 | .893 | 26 | -.257 | 14 | +22.93 | 64 | +20.66 | 68 | 37.91 | 69 | 7.44 | 84 | |
71 | Floyd Central | 15 | +19.85 | 8 | 1 | .958 | 30 | -.070 | 8 | +21.52 | 68 | +19.15 | 73 | 37.08 | 80 | 5.55 | 26 | |
80 | Chesterton | 16 | +17.62 | 2 | 8 | .727 | 1 | -.527 | 23 | +17.86 | 86 | +17.54 | 80 | 24.06 | 305 | 9.27 | 161 | |
81 | McCutcheon | 17 | +17.58 | 6 | 4 | .872 | 25 | -.272 | 16 | +18.92 | 81 | +16.87 | 85 | 28.09 | 269 | 6.48 | 48 | |
82 | Franklin | 18 | +17.51 | 5 | 5 | .844 | 16 | -.344 | 18 | +19.35 | 79 | +16.71 | 86 | 30.38 | 224 | 9.75 | 180 | |
86 | Terre Haute South | 19 | +17.31 | 5 | 6 | .846 | 17 | -.392 | 20 | +18.96 | 80 | +16.63 | 87 | 31.05 | 203 | 6.79 | 57 | |
93 | Seymour | 20 | +15.42 | 6 | 5 | .862 | 22 | -.317 | 17 | +17.06 | 91 | +14.70 | 97 | 45.33 | 9 | 7.77 | 99 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | RANK | SoR | RANK | INDY | RANK | CASTER | RANK | SCORING | RANK | DEVIANCE | RANK | |
101 | Fort Wayne North | 21 | +13.07 | 3 | 7 | .728 | 3 | -.428 | 21 | +13.51 | 104 | +12.88 | 103 | 27.29 | 287 | 6.43 | 46 | |
116 | Hammond Morton | 22 | +9.63 | 5 | 5 | .853 | 20 | -.353 | 19 | +10.93 | 113 | +9.01 | 117 | 44.36 | 13 | 11.16 | 234 | |
127 | LaPorte | 23 | +6.41 | 2 | 8 | .783 | 12 | -.583 | 25 | +6.24 | 128 | +6.47 | 126 | 22.56 | 311 | 13.98 | 296 | |
144 | Columbus East | 24 | +0.95 | 3 | 7 | .868 | 24 | -.568 | 24 | +2.78 | 144 | +0.12 | 146 | 37.03 | 81 | 7.66 | 96 | |
161 | Goshen | 25 | -3.98 | 1 | 9 | .728 | 2 | -.628 | 26 | -4.66 | 170 | -3.30 | 158 | 30.96 | 204 | 7.51 | 88 | |
183 | South Bend Adams | 26 | -9.24 | 1 | 9 | .862 | 23 | -.762 | 30 | -8.09 | 181 | -9.78 | 184 | 29.19 | 247 | 11.26 | 238 | |
187 | New Albany | 27 | -10.18 | 2 | 7 | .928 | 28 | -.706 | 29 | -8.26 | 184 | -11.01 | 191 | 41.98 | 26 | 14.08 | 297 | |
197 | Munster | 28 | -13.03 | 3 | 7 | .932 | 29 | -.632 | 27 | -12.82 | 200 | -13.05 | 195 | 36.16 | 97 | 11.81 | 258 | |
202 | Hammond Central | 29 | -15.12 | 4 | 4 | .974 | 31 | -.474 | 22 | -12.59 | 199 | -16.52 | 208 | 35.12 | 115 | 14.76 | 302 | |
238 | Terre Haute North | 30 | -25.77 | 0 | 10 | .830 | 13 | -.830 | 31 | -26.44 | 241 | -25.52 | 238 | 42.63 | 23 | 19.99 | 316 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | RANK | SoR | RANK | INDY | RANK | CASTER | RANK | SCORING | RANK | DEVIANCE | RANK | |
246 | Anderson | 31 | -30.01 | 2 | 8 | .851 | 19 | -.651 | 28 | -27.97 | 244 | -31.20 | 249 | 31.16 | 197 | 10.38 | 207 |