The TWISTR Ratings are an iterative least-squares, score-based ratings system built in the spirit of an Elo model. Team ratings are agnostic to the final result of a game, as only the scoring margins are important when rating teams. No additional benefit is provided for a win or penalty for a loss. The TWISTR ratings for FOOTBALL incorporate three key concepts:
The RATING represents the number of points a team would be favored by against an average opponent. Teams with a positive RATING are considered better than average, while teams with a negative RATING are considered worse than average. The RATING can be thought of as a composite of the INDEPENDENT (INDY) rating, in which the time a game was played does not matter, and the FORECASTER (CASTER) rating, where recent results are weighted more heavily.
Both the STRENGTH OF RECORD (SoR) and Z-SCORE (Z-SCR) are resume ratings - SoR only considers a team's win-loss record and is independent of margin of victory, while Z-SCR is a blend of RATING and SoR.
TWISTR IHSAA TEAM RATINGS | SCHEDULE & RESUME | COMPONENT RATINGS | TEAM PROFILE | |||||||||||||||||
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RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | SCORING | Rk | DEVIANCE | Rk | |
24 | Merrillville | 1 | +43.16 | 8 | 1 | .759 | 9 | +.130 | 3 | +1.33 | 2 | +43.29 | 24 | +43.21 | 24 | 31.14 | 215 | 9.05 | 141 | |
28 | Lafayette Jeff | 2 | +39.53 | 9 | 0 | .849 | 19 | +.148 | 2 | +1.29 | 3 | +39.95 | 27 | +39.43 | 30 | 36.71 | 89 | 11.27 | 233 | |
29 | Concord | 3 | +39.25 | 9 | 0 | .810 | 16 | +.188 | 1 | +1.35 | 1 | +38.99 | 29 | +39.44 | 29 | 31.51 | 205 | 3.38 | 5 | |
30 | Decatur Central | 4 | +38.83 | 6 | 2 | .758 | 8 | -.009 | 5 | +1.00 | 5 | +37.77 | 32 | +39.56 | 28 | 41.65 | 31 | 11.76 | 251 | |
31 | Plainfield | 5 | +38.52 | 8 | 1 | .838 | 17 | +.054 | 4 | +1.10 | 4 | +37.45 | 33 | +39.18 | 31 | 36.23 | 100 | 9.36 | 153 | |
33 | Warsaw | 6 | +38.03 | 6 | 3 | .710 | 6 | -.046 | 8 | +0.92 | 6 | +37.92 | 31 | +38.09 | 32 | 29.90 | 240 | 7.96 | 102 | |
35 | East Central | 7 | +34.91 | 6 | 1 | .891 | 26 | -.031 | 7 | +0.87 | 7 | +36.76 | 34 | +34.01 | 39 | 30.02 | 237 | 10.15 | 188 | |
41 | Bloomington North | 8 | +33.00 | 7 | 2 | .852 | 20 | -.074 | 9 | +0.76 | 9 | +31.62 | 43 | +33.74 | 40 | 31.50 | 206 | 10.63 | 214 | |
42 | Michigan City | 9 | +32.76 | 3 | 6 | .632 | 1 | -.301 | 17 | +0.36 | 14 | +32.69 | 39 | +32.86 | 43 | 20.27 | 309 | 7.97 | 103 | |
47 | Fort Wayne North | 10 | +31.00 | 5 | 4 | .701 | 4 | -.150 | 12 | +0.58 | 11 | +29.95 | 47 | +31.63 | 46 | 25.20 | 296 | 11.54 | 243 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | SCORING | Rk | DEVIANCE | Rk | |
49 | Castle | 11 | +30.22 | 7 | 2 | .877 | 23 | -.097 | 10 | +0.66 | 10 | +29.70 | 51 | +30.49 | 49 | 28.55 | 266 | 9.73 | 169 | |
51 | Valparaiso | 12 | +29.03 | 6 | 3 | .685 | 2 | -.017 | 6 | +0.77 | 8 | +28.83 | 53 | +29.19 | 51 | 31.92 | 192 | 5.22 | 28 | |
54 | Bloomington South | 13 | +28.54 | 5 | 4 | .769 | 11 | -.220 | 15 | +0.41 | 13 | +28.46 | 54 | +28.51 | 54 | 39.55 | 54 | 6.29 | 49 | |
58 | Chesterton | 14 | +26.86 | 5 | 4 | .718 | 7 | -.161 | 13 | +0.47 | 12 | +26.12 | 58 | +27.28 | 57 | 23.45 | 305 | 6.27 | 48 | |
65 | Whiteland | 15 | +24.19 | 4 | 4 | .807 | 15 | -.305 | 18 | +0.17 | 17 | +23.36 | 71 | +24.73 | 66 | 33.08 | 170 | 9.16 | 146 | |
70 | Terre Haute South | 16 | +23.81 | 2 | 6 | .706 | 5 | -.464 | 22 | -0.12 | 19 | +24.00 | 66 | +23.65 | 73 | 42.69 | 20 | 4.48 | 14 | |
82 | Columbus East | 17 | +21.08 | 6 | 3 | .849 | 18 | -.187 | 14 | +0.30 | 15 | +19.44 | 84 | +21.98 | 79 | 35.20 | 122 | 11.42 | 240 | |
85 | Kokomo | 18 | +20.37 | 4 | 4 | .795 | 13 | -.298 | 16 | +0.10 | 18 | +19.18 | 88 | +21.05 | 83 | 30.70 | 225 | 7.46 | 77 | |
95 | Evansville North | 19 | +16.90 | 4 | 5 | .861 | 21 | -.413 | 20 | -0.18 | 20 | +17.25 | 93 | +16.74 | 97 | 23.79 | 303 | 7.06 | 70 | |
100 | Franklin | 20 | +15.48 | 3 | 6 | .802 | 14 | -.466 | 23 | -0.30 | 23 | +14.86 | 101 | +15.91 | 99 | 30.33 | 230 | 8.54 | 124 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | SCORING | Rk | DEVIANCE | Rk | |
106 | McCutcheon | 21 | +13.74 | 4 | 5 | .883 | 25 | -.442 | 21 | -0.30 | 22 | +12.72 | 106 | +14.32 | 105 | 31.11 | 216 | 9.79 | 171 | |
108 | Floyd Central | 22 | +11.97 | 6 | 1 | .983 | 32 | -.125 | 11 | +0.21 | 16 | +11.49 | 109 | +12.26 | 108 | 41.58 | 32 | 14.37 | 284 | |
109 | Hammond Morton | 23 | +11.07 | 4 | 3 | .935 | 28 | -.363 | 19 | -0.22 | 21 | +9.29 | 115 | +12.17 | 109 | 43.11 | 17 | 10.31 | 203 | |
110 | Terre Haute North | 24 | +10.97 | 2 | 7 | .761 | 10 | -.545 | 26 | -0.54 | 24 | +10.69 | 111 | +11.03 | 112 | 34.36 | 143 | 7.54 | 82 | |
148 | LaPorte | 25 | -0.45 | 0 | 9 | .692 | 3 | -.693 | 29 | -1.04 | 27 | -1.44 | 153 | +0.13 | 143 | 31.89 | 193 | 8.32 | 114 | |
153 | Seymour | 26 | -1.45 | 4 | 5 | .930 | 27 | -.484 | 24 | -0.71 | 25 | -1.05 | 148 | -1.67 | 152 | 29.77 | 244 | 8.37 | 116 | |
167 | South Bend Adams | 27 | -6.60 | 2 | 7 | .870 | 22 | -.649 | 28 | -1.10 | 28 | -7.23 | 171 | -6.26 | 166 | 32.38 | 185 | 8.39 | 118 | |
172 | Hammond Central | 28 | -7.96 | 3 | 4 | .972 | 31 | -.542 | 25 | -0.95 | 26 | -8.76 | 176 | -7.39 | 170 | 36.25 | 99 | 9.56 | 163 | |
196 | New Albany | 29 | -17.32 | 3 | 6 | .939 | 29 | -.609 | 27 | -1.27 | 29 | -17.37 | 198 | -17.28 | 196 | 33.23 | 165 | 8.97 | 137 | |
214 | Munster | 30 | -21.46 | 2 | 7 | .952 | 30 | -.729 | 30 | -1.57 | 30 | -22.40 | 218 | -21.01 | 209 | 38.14 | 70 | 10.27 | 197 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | SCORING | Rk | DEVIANCE | Rk | |
242 | Anderson | 31 | -33.75 | 0 | 9 | .882 | 24 | -.886 | 32 | -2.11 | 31 | -34.10 | 241 | -33.43 | 241 | 48.81 | 2 | 11.29 | 238 | |
271 | Goshen | 32 | -46.56 | 0 | 9 | .785 | 12 | -.787 | 31 | -2.22 | 32 | -50.02 | 278 | -44.72 | 268 | NA | NA | NA | NA |