The TWISTR Ratings are an iterative least-squares, score-based ratings system built in the spirit of an Elo model. Team ratings are agnostic to the final result of a game, as only the scoring margins are important when rating teams. No additional benefit is provided for a win or penalty for a loss. The TWISTR ratings for FOOTBALL incorporate three key concepts:
The RATING represents the number of points a team would be favored by against an average opponent. Teams with a positive RATING are considered better than average, while teams with a negative RATING are considered worse than average. The RATING can be thought of as a composite of the INDEPENDENT (INDY) rating, in which the time a game was played does not matter, and the FORECASTER (CASTER) rating, where recent results are weighted more heavily.
TWISTR IHSAA TEAM RATINGS | SCHEDULE & RESUME | COMPONENT RATINGS | TEAM PROFILE | |||||||||||||||
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RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | RANK | SoR | RANK | INDY | RANK | CASTER | RANK | SCORING | RANK | DEVIANCE | RANK | |
13 | Indianapolis Chatard | 1 | +47.20 | 14 | 0 | .500 | 1 | +.500 | 1 | +47.62 | 14 | +47.12 | 14 | 26.39 | 295 | 9.03 | 154 | |
36 | Gibson Southern | 2 | +32.72 | 10 | 1 | .757 | 15 | +.153 | 2 | +33.50 | 37 | +32.35 | 37 | 32.21 | 174 | 4.59 | 10 | |
38 | Tippecanoe Valley | 3 | +31.03 | 9 | 1 | .758 | 16 | +.142 | 5 | +31.49 | 39 | +30.85 | 39 | 36.31 | 94 | 8.44 | 129 | |
43 | Guerin Catholic | 4 | +28.47 | 8 | 3 | .584 | 3 | +.143 | 4 | +29.07 | 44 | +28.30 | 43 | 26.70 | 293 | 7.16 | 71 | |
44 | Heritage Hills | 5 | +28.09 | 13 | 2 | .723 | 12 | +.143 | 3 | +28.91 | 45 | +27.77 | 44 | 30.92 | 206 | 6.86 | 60 | |
51 | Knox | 6 | +26.05 | 13 | 1 | .796 | 24 | +.132 | 6 | +24.98 | 55 | +26.57 | 49 | 35.71 | 104 | 9.63 | 172 | |
61 | Hanover Central | 7 | +22.37 | 11 | 1 | .899 | 52 | +.018 | 12 | +23.15 | 62 | +22.11 | 60 | 37.00 | 82 | 5.53 | 25 | |
63 | Tri-West | 8 | +21.69 | 11 | 2 | .808 | 30 | +.038 | 10 | +22.44 | 66 | +21.30 | 64 | 31.57 | 187 | 10.13 | 198 | |
66 | West Noble | 9 | +21.07 | 10 | 1 | .838 | 38 | +.071 | 8 | +20.56 | 70 | +21.36 | 63 | 34.10 | 133 | 6.44 | 47 | |
67 | Batesville | 10 | +20.71 | 11 | 2 | .785 | 22 | +.061 | 9 | +20.30 | 72 | +21.03 | 67 | 27.88 | 273 | 4.58 | 9 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | RANK | SoR | RANK | INDY | RANK | CASTER | RANK | SCORING | RANK | DEVIANCE | RANK | |
68 | Hamilton Heights | 11 | +20.57 | 11 | 1 | .836 | 36 | +.080 | 7 | +21.26 | 69 | +20.37 | 70 | 29.41 | 243 | 5.79 | 28 | |
74 | West Lafayette | 12 | +18.99 | 9 | 4 | .717 | 11 | -.025 | 14 | +20.21 | 73 | +18.53 | 74 | 35.98 | 101 | 10.01 | 193 | |
76 | Vincennes Lincoln | 13 | +18.77 | 8 | 4 | .647 | 6 | +.019 | 11 | +20.03 | 77 | +18.46 | 75 | 27.91 | 272 | 8.61 | 136 | |
83 | Lawrenceburg | 14 | +17.46 | 7 | 3 | .791 | 23 | -.091 | 21 | +17.40 | 89 | +17.59 | 79 | 31.95 | 183 | 5.02 | 17 | |
90 | Mishawaka Marian | 15 | +15.71 | 5 | 5 | .565 | 2 | -.065 | 18 | +15.19 | 97 | +16.03 | 88 | 30.11 | 231 | 8.96 | 151 | |
92 | Southridge | 16 | +15.50 | 7 | 4 | .761 | 17 | -.125 | 22 | +15.05 | 98 | +15.77 | 92 | 29.78 | 237 | 8.65 | 141 | |
96 | Delta | 17 | +15.25 | 8 | 5 | .657 | 7 | -.041 | 16 | +15.75 | 96 | +15.19 | 94 | 27.57 | 281 | 6.94 | 64 | |
97 | Peru | 18 | +14.55 | 9 | 1 | .897 | 50 | +.003 | 13 | +14.21 | 99 | +14.87 | 96 | 35.94 | 102 | 8.38 | 125 | |
103 | Heritage | 19 | +12.85 | 9 | 2 | .854 | 40 | -.035 | 15 | +13.93 | 100 | +12.20 | 106 | 30.23 | 229 | 10.60 | 214 | |
106 | Yorktown | 20 | +12.55 | 5 | 6 | .696 | 9 | -.241 | 29 | +13.85 | 101 | +12.13 | 107 | 32.35 | 169 | 10.32 | 206 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | RANK | SoR | RANK | INDY | RANK | CASTER | RANK | SCORING | RANK | DEVIANCE | RANK | |
113 | John Glenn | 21 | +10.24 | 7 | 5 | .769 | 18 | -.185 | 23 | +9.65 | 119 | +10.61 | 113 | 32.33 | 170 | 9.28 | 162 | |
114 | Monrovia | 22 | +10.04 | 9 | 3 | .830 | 35 | -.080 | 19 | +10.88 | 114 | +9.82 | 116 | 39.37 | 45 | 8.74 | 145 | |
115 | Lakeland | 23 | +9.83 | 6 | 4 | .800 | 25 | -.200 | 26 | +9.62 | 120 | +9.95 | 114 | 35.58 | 107 | 11.33 | 240 | |
117 | Danville | 24 | +9.24 | 7 | 3 | .782 | 19 | -.082 | 20 | +10.69 | 115 | +8.68 | 118 | 27.27 | 289 | 6.38 | 45 | |
122 | Indian Creek | 25 | +7.78 | 7 | 4 | .822 | 34 | -.186 | 24 | +8.01 | 123 | +7.76 | 122 | 35.15 | 114 | 6.58 | 52 | |
124 | Jimtown | 26 | +6.76 | 4 | 6 | .709 | 10 | -.309 | 35 | +7.46 | 126 | +6.45 | 127 | 27.70 | 277 | 7.80 | 100 | |
128 | Western Boone | 27 | +6.33 | 6 | 4 | .887 | 48 | -.287 | 33 | +7.86 | 124 | +5.53 | 129 | 24.32 | 304 | 9.70 | 175 | |
129 | Garrett | 28 | +5.11 | 6 | 6 | .784 | 20 | -.284 | 32 | +4.31 | 137 | +5.49 | 130 | 23.89 | 306 | 9.73 | 177 | |
132 | Maconaquah | 29 | +4.53 | 7 | 4 | .851 | 39 | -.215 | 27 | +3.95 | 139 | +4.60 | 133 | 36.37 | 89 | 10.28 | 204 | |
136 | Fairfield | 30 | +4.08 | 6 | 5 | .854 | 41 | -.309 | 36 | +4.39 | 136 | +4.05 | 135 | 29.81 | 235 | 11.74 | 253 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | RANK | SoR | RANK | INDY | RANK | CASTER | RANK | SCORING | RANK | DEVIANCE | RANK | |
138 | North Montgomery | 31 | +3.69 | 6 | 5 | .816 | 33 | -.270 | 31 | +5.05 | 134 | +2.97 | 141 | 29.81 | 236 | 10.06 | 195 | |
142 | Norwell | 32 | +2.73 | 3 | 7 | .617 | 4 | -.317 | 38 | +4.50 | 135 | +1.76 | 144 | 35.57 | 108 | 12.45 | 274 | |
148 | Oak Hill | 33 | -0.25 | 5 | 5 | .874 | 45 | -.374 | 43 | +2.33 | 145 | -1.61 | 150 | 33.76 | 138 | 15.99 | 309 | |
154 | Centerville | 34 | -2.71 | 9 | 1 | .959 | 61 | -.059 | 17 | -1.55 | 154 | -3.26 | 157 | 28.68 | 255 | 10.44 | 210 | |
158 | Charlestown | 35 | -3.60 | 6 | 4 | .862 | 44 | -.262 | 30 | -2.31 | 157 | -4.28 | 164 | 40.82 | 37 | 13.83 | 293 | |
159 | Boone Grove | 36 | -3.80 | 8 | 3 | .926 | 57 | -.199 | 25 | -3.56 | 163 | -3.98 | 160 | 34.39 | 126 | 8.98 | 153 | |
162 | South Dearborn | 37 | -3.98 | 5 | 5 | .812 | 32 | -.312 | 37 | -3.15 | 159 | -4.17 | 162 | 33.42 | 146 | 18.32 | 314 | |
163 | Mount Vernon (Posey) | 38 | -4.27 | 5 | 5 | .739 | 14 | -.239 | 28 | -4.08 | 165 | -4.35 | 165 | 35.37 | 111 | 7.75 | 98 | |
176 | Speedway | 39 | -7.46 | 3 | 8 | .838 | 37 | -.565 | 48 | -6.92 | 177 | -7.71 | 176 | 33.19 | 156 | 8.84 | 149 | |
180 | Rensselaer Central | 40 | -8.80 | 6 | 5 | .899 | 51 | -.353 | 42 | -8.25 | 183 | -9.02 | 182 | 36.66 | 84 | 8.30 | 121 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | RANK | SoR | RANK | INDY | RANK | CASTER | RANK | SCORING | RANK | DEVIANCE | RANK | |
190 | Franklin County | 41 | -10.73 | 4 | 7 | .800 | 26 | -.437 | 44 | -10.15 | 191 | -10.86 | 190 | 34.19 | 130 | 13.87 | 294 | |
191 | Twin Lakes | 42 | -11.52 | 5 | 5 | .803 | 27 | -.303 | 34 | -10.20 | 192 | -12.11 | 193 | 30.28 | 226 | 9.59 | 170 | |
203 | Rushville | 43 | -15.31 | 3 | 7 | .854 | 42 | -.554 | 46 | -14.16 | 204 | -15.89 | 205 | 36.45 | 87 | 8.54 | 133 | |
210 | North Harrison | 44 | -17.31 | 6 | 4 | .918 | 55 | -.318 | 39 | -14.85 | 205 | -18.55 | 211 | 30.58 | 218 | 12.02 | 264 | |
211 | Woodlan | 45 | -17.78 | 2 | 8 | .803 | 28 | -.603 | 49 | -16.32 | 209 | -18.63 | 212 | 34.27 | 129 | 9.51 | 167 | |
213 | Owen Valley | 46 | -19.96 | 3 | 7 | .859 | 43 | -.559 | 47 | -19.30 | 216 | -20.22 | 214 | 39.21 | 49 | 8.33 | 122 | |
215 | Bellmont | 47 | -20.32 | 0 | 10 | .675 | 8 | -.675 | 54 | -20.29 | 222 | -20.36 | 215 | 33.83 | 136 | 11.67 | 250 | |
218 | River Forest | 48 | -20.48 | 6 | 4 | .947 | 60 | -.347 | 41 | -19.78 | 220 | -21.44 | 223 | 27.50 | 284 | 14.71 | 300 | |
220 | Scottsburg | 49 | -20.52 | 7 | 5 | .927 | 58 | -.343 | 40 | -20.12 | 221 | -20.79 | 218 | 34.96 | 117 | 10.93 | 225 | |
232 | Northwestern | 50 | -23.90 | 3 | 7 | .935 | 59 | -.635 | 51 | -23.51 | 233 | -24.01 | 232 | 44.57 | 11 | 6.05 | 39 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | RANK | SoR | RANK | INDY | RANK | CASTER | RANK | SCORING | RANK | DEVIANCE | RANK | |
234 | Fort Wayne Concordia | 51 | -24.83 | 0 | 10 | .637 | 5 | -.637 | 52 | -24.96 | 235 | -24.72 | 235 | 38.09 | 65 | 13.25 | 290 | |
245 | Griffith | 52 | -29.56 | 3 | 7 | .991 | 64 | -.691 | 55 | -28.61 | 246 | -29.97 | 246 | 31.12 | 199 | 8.52 | 132 | |
247 | Calumet | 53 | -30.17 | 3 | 7 | .918 | 53 | -.618 | 50 | -30.64 | 250 | -29.47 | 244 | 32.17 | 175 | 10.78 | 219 | |
248 | Washington | 54 | -30.56 | 3 | 8 | .785 | 21 | -.512 | 45 | -30.51 | 249 | -30.35 | 248 | 33.67 | 140 | 13.46 | 292 | |
251 | Crawfordsville | 55 | -32.27 | 1 | 9 | .876 | 46 | -.776 | 62 | -31.41 | 253 | -32.86 | 251 | 39.07 | 53 | 8.65 | 139 | |
257 | Salem | 56 | -34.65 | 3 | 8 | .973 | 63 | -.700 | 56 | -34.34 | 259 | -34.90 | 258 | 34.77 | 119 | 5.98 | 33 | |
264 | Princeton | 57 | -41.98 | 1 | 9 | .806 | 29 | -.706 | 57 | -40.57 | 265 | -42.86 | 267 | 36.24 | 96 | 10.83 | 224 | |
266 | Pike Central | 58 | -43.20 | 2 | 9 | .894 | 49 | -.713 | 58 | -42.33 | 267 | -43.79 | 268 | 34.16 | 131 | 9.74 | 179 | |
272 | Greensburg | 59 | -47.40 | 0 | 10 | .735 | 13 | -.735 | 60 | -44.52 | 273 | -48.95 | 274 | 44.03 | 16 | 11.04 | 229 | |
278 | Corydon Central | 60 | -51.07 | 0 | 10 | .884 | 47 | -.884 | 64 | -50.79 | 280 | -51.42 | 279 | 41.72 | 27 | 7.97 | 110 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | RANK | SoR | RANK | INDY | RANK | CASTER | RANK | SCORING | RANK | DEVIANCE | RANK | |
284 | Madison | 61 | -53.35 | 0 | 9 | .809 | 31 | -.809 | 63 | -53.46 | 286 | -53.42 | 285 | 23.00 | 309 | 6.03 | 36 | |
286 | West Vigo | 62 | -54.31 | 2 | 8 | .918 | 54 | -.718 | 59 | -52.95 | 284 | -54.57 | 288 | 41.49 | 31 | 13.23 | 289 | |
291 | Purdue Polytechnic | 63 | -57.61 | 3 | 7 | .970 | 62 | -.670 | 53 | -55.88 | 290 | -58.69 | 294 | 34.32 | 128 | 11.78 | 256 | |
307 | South Bend Clay | 64 | -75.27 | 1 | 5 | .925 | 56 | -.759 | 61 | -75.13 | 309 | -75.45 | 308 | 37.46 | 74 | 9.12 | 156 |