The TWISTR Ratings are an iterative least-squares, score-based ratings system built in the spirit of an Elo model. Team ratings are agnostic to the final result of a game, as only the scoring margins are important when rating teams. No additional benefit is provided for a win or penalty for a loss. The TWISTR ratings for FOOTBALL incorporate three key concepts:
The RATING represents the number of points a team would be favored by against an average opponent. Teams with a positive RATING are considered better than average, while teams with a negative RATING are considered worse than average. The RATING can be thought of as a composite of the INDEPENDENT (INDY) rating, in which the time a game was played does not matter, and the FORECASTER (CASTER) rating, where recent results are weighted more heavily.
Both the STRENGTH OF RECORD (SoR) and Z-SCORE (Z-SCR) are resume ratings - SoR only considers a team's win-loss record and is independent of margin of victory, while Z-SCR is a blend of RATING and SoR.
TWISTR IHSAA TEAM RATINGS | SCHEDULE & RESUME | COMPONENT RATINGS | TEAM PROFILE | |||||||||||||||||
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RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | SCORING | Rk | DEVIANCE | Rk | |
12 | Heritage Hills | 1 | +53.14 | 9 | 0 | .801 | 17 | +.198 | 2 | +1.91 | 1 | +53.16 | 11 | +53.06 | 13 | 31.52 | 204 | 5.07 | 25 | |
25 | Evansville Memorial | 2 | +41.37 | 10 | 0 | .721 | 12 | +.280 | 1 | +1.84 | 2 | +41.99 | 25 | +41.04 | 25 | 36.95 | 86 | 12.01 | 255 | |
39 | West Noble | 3 | +33.50 | 9 | 1 | .891 | 37 | +.015 | 9 | +1.25 | 5 | +32.48 | 40 | +34.11 | 38 | 30.95 | 220 | 6.72 | 59 | |
45 | Garrett | 4 | +31.70 | 10 | 0 | .837 | 25 | +.164 | 3 | +1.48 | 3 | +30.67 | 46 | +32.38 | 45 | 33.70 | 155 | 7.81 | 98 | |
46 | Gibson Southern | 5 | +31.23 | 6 | 2 | .647 | 4 | +.099 | 4 | +1.36 | 4 | +30.69 | 45 | +31.36 | 48 | 28.36 | 271 | 2.92 | 2 | |
55 | Mississinewa | 6 | +27.85 | 10 | 0 | .951 | 54 | +.050 | 6 | +1.21 | 6 | +29.89 | 48 | +26.95 | 58 | 32.93 | 173 | 7.02 | 68 | |
60 | Evansville Mater Dei | 7 | +26.32 | 7 | 3 | .653 | 6 | +.051 | 5 | +1.19 | 7 | +26.99 | 57 | +25.94 | 60 | 31.09 | 217 | 8.98 | 139 | |
62 | Guerin Catholic | 8 | +25.44 | 5 | 5 | .527 | 1 | -.027 | 11 | +1.04 | 10 | +25.32 | 61 | +25.51 | 64 | 42.32 | 22 | 4.91 | 22 | |
66 | Fort Wayne Luers | 9 | +24.16 | 6 | 4 | .649 | 5 | -.052 | 13 | +0.97 | 11 | +23.66 | 68 | +24.54 | 67 | 22.37 | 307 | 10.80 | 216 | |
73 | Cascade | 10 | +23.11 | 10 | 0 | .964 | 57 | +.035 | 7 | +1.10 | 8 | +19.40 | 85 | +25.25 | 65 | 41.10 | 37 | 19.32 | 306 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | SCORING | Rk | DEVIANCE | Rk | |
78 | Lawrenceburg | 11 | +22.42 | 8 | 1 | .859 | 29 | +.030 | 8 | +1.08 | 9 | +24.00 | 65 | +21.61 | 80 | 29.59 | 245 | 9.43 | 157 | |
81 | Southridge | 12 | +21.25 | 8 | 2 | .827 | 22 | -.028 | 12 | +0.96 | 12 | +21.65 | 78 | +20.95 | 85 | 40.12 | 49 | 7.59 | 87 | |
93 | West Lafayette | 13 | +17.14 | 7 | 3 | .833 | 24 | -.132 | 18 | +0.71 | 15 | +16.57 | 96 | +17.48 | 93 | 28.79 | 261 | 5.16 | 26 | |
94 | Jimtown | 14 | +17.09 | 7 | 3 | .817 | 20 | -.115 | 16 | +0.74 | 14 | +16.74 | 95 | +17.38 | 94 | 35.32 | 118 | 9.40 | 156 | |
96 | Knox | 15 | +16.75 | 7 | 3 | .876 | 33 | -.179 | 21 | +0.63 | 17 | +17.03 | 94 | +16.79 | 96 | 42.95 | 19 | 10.20 | 191 | |
98 | Franklin County | 16 | +15.84 | 7 | 3 | .847 | 28 | -.146 | 19 | +0.66 | 16 | +16.56 | 97 | +15.40 | 101 | 35.63 | 112 | 10.23 | 195 | |
99 | Delta | 17 | +15.74 | 5 | 5 | .690 | 7 | -.190 | 22 | +0.59 | 18 | +13.26 | 105 | +17.26 | 95 | 34.76 | 136 | 14.97 | 290 | |
103 | Tri-West | 18 | +14.69 | 6 | 4 | .825 | 21 | -.227 | 26 | +0.51 | 22 | +13.82 | 103 | +15.15 | 102 | 36.41 | 94 | 8.85 | 134 | |
105 | Mishawaka Marian | 19 | +14.18 | 5 | 5 | .697 | 9 | -.200 | 23 | +0.54 | 21 | +14.89 | 100 | +13.89 | 106 | 31.79 | 195 | 9.51 | 158 | |
114 | Batesville | 20 | +10.48 | 6 | 3 | .830 | 23 | -.161 | 20 | +0.55 | 20 | +11.72 | 108 | +9.81 | 117 | 30.71 | 224 | 11.03 | 221 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | SCORING | Rk | DEVIANCE | Rk | |
115 | Angola | 21 | +9.58 | 4 | 6 | .694 | 8 | -.288 | 31 | +0.31 | 26 | +8.98 | 118 | +10.02 | 115 | 34.09 | 151 | 11.29 | 237 | |
117 | Vincennes Lincoln | 22 | +9.09 | 4 | 6 | .701 | 10 | -.297 | 34 | +0.29 | 27 | +9.26 | 116 | +9.04 | 119 | 32.62 | 177 | 7.32 | 74 | |
120 | Lakeland | 23 | +8.67 | 5 | 5 | .738 | 13 | -.231 | 27 | +0.39 | 24 | +8.98 | 117 | +8.70 | 120 | 36.02 | 106 | 7.75 | 94 | |
122 | Heritage | 24 | +7.91 | 8 | 2 | .920 | 47 | -.119 | 17 | +0.57 | 19 | +8.68 | 119 | +7.67 | 122 | 35.39 | 116 | 12.59 | 264 | |
125 | Maconaquah | 25 | +5.64 | 10 | 0 | .996 | 62 | +.004 | 10 | +0.74 | 13 | +5.29 | 125 | +5.80 | 126 | 37.36 | 80 | 11.92 | 254 | |
128 | Fairfield | 26 | +3.53 | 5 | 5 | .783 | 15 | -.278 | 30 | +0.22 | 28 | +2.09 | 137 | +4.33 | 128 | 40.56 | 43 | 15.00 | 292 | |
130 | Tippecanoe Valley | 27 | +3.34 | 7 | 3 | .920 | 46 | -.217 | 24 | +0.32 | 25 | +3.79 | 130 | +3.24 | 130 | 29.37 | 251 | 8.80 | 133 | |
136 | Rushville | 28 | +1.85 | 6 | 4 | .893 | 38 | -.290 | 32 | +0.17 | 30 | +2.00 | 138 | +1.71 | 136 | 35.17 | 123 | 12.86 | 267 | |
141 | Madison | 29 | +0.14 | 4 | 4 | .886 | 36 | -.384 | 36 | -0.02 | 36 | -0.02 | 144 | +0.11 | 144 | 25.54 | 293 | 6.96 | 66 | |
143 | Hamilton Heights | 30 | +0.07 | 4 | 6 | .839 | 26 | -.441 | 42 | -0.12 | 39 | -1.31 | 151 | +0.73 | 140 | 26.83 | 280 | 7.18 | 72 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | SCORING | Rk | DEVIANCE | Rk | |
144 | South Dearborn | 31 | -0.03 | 4 | 6 | .803 | 18 | -.401 | 38 | -0.05 | 37 | +1.75 | 139 | -0.96 | 151 | 30.17 | 234 | 14.14 | 282 | |
150 | Twin Lakes | 32 | -0.69 | 5 | 5 | .843 | 27 | -.343 | 35 | +0.04 | 35 | -1.39 | 152 | -0.31 | 148 | 37.14 | 85 | 9.52 | 159 | |
155 | Scottsburg | 33 | -2.19 | 7 | 3 | .935 | 51 | -.232 | 28 | +0.20 | 29 | -2.62 | 162 | -2.04 | 155 | 33.59 | 158 | 9.87 | 175 | |
157 | Oak Hill | 34 | -2.39 | 6 | 4 | .860 | 30 | -.268 | 29 | +0.14 | 32 | -2.00 | 157 | -2.69 | 157 | 32.11 | 190 | 5.95 | 39 | |
158 | Fort Wayne Concordia | 35 | -2.41 | 2 | 8 | .592 | 2 | -.397 | 37 | -0.08 | 38 | -2.27 | 159 | -2.29 | 156 | 32.52 | 182 | 9.15 | 145 | |
160 | Griffith | 36 | -2.94 | 9 | 1 | .993 | 61 | -.093 | 15 | +0.43 | 23 | -1.13 | 149 | -3.79 | 162 | 39.19 | 57 | 14.88 | 288 | |
165 | Mount Vernon (Posey) | 37 | -4.26 | 5 | 5 | .790 | 16 | -.290 | 33 | +0.06 | 33 | -3.37 | 164 | -4.81 | 164 | 41.65 | 30 | 12.25 | 258 | |
173 | John Glenn | 38 | -8.48 | 1 | 7 | .862 | 32 | -.734 | 58 | -0.77 | 46 | -8.20 | 174 | -8.47 | 173 | 26.50 | 285 | 9.52 | 161 | |
176 | Indian Creek | 39 | -9.42 | 5 | 5 | .915 | 43 | -.426 | 40 | -0.26 | 40 | -8.14 | 173 | -10.23 | 178 | 32.17 | 189 | 11.05 | 224 | |
181 | North Harrison | 40 | -11.25 | 7 | 3 | .926 | 48 | -.224 | 25 | +0.05 | 34 | -11.14 | 182 | -11.45 | 181 | 29.24 | 253 | 10.09 | 180 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | SCORING | Rk | DEVIANCE | Rk | |
184 | Norwell | 41 | -12.01 | 2 | 8 | .603 | 3 | -.406 | 39 | -0.27 | 41 | -12.00 | 184 | -12.31 | 184 | 37.62 | 76 | 6.18 | 45 | |
185 | Woodlan | 42 | -12.25 | 5 | 5 | .938 | 52 | -.439 | 41 | -0.33 | 42 | -13.06 | 189 | -11.80 | 183 | 33.57 | 159 | 13.78 | 275 | |
189 | River Forest | 43 | -13.84 | 5 | 5 | .966 | 58 | -.466 | 44 | -0.40 | 43 | -12.68 | 186 | -14.24 | 189 | 35.35 | 117 | 8.39 | 117 | |
194 | Jay County | 44 | -16.35 | 3 | 7 | .928 | 49 | -.628 | 51 | -0.73 | 45 | -15.90 | 196 | -16.56 | 195 | 28.82 | 260 | 11.29 | 235 | |
195 | Speedway | 45 | -17.28 | 4 | 6 | .938 | 53 | -.538 | 47 | -0.59 | 44 | -15.99 | 197 | -18.13 | 200 | 34.04 | 152 | 8.68 | 130 | |
199 | Northwestern | 46 | -17.83 | 9 | 1 | .991 | 60 | -.091 | 14 | +0.17 | 31 | -17.57 | 199 | -17.97 | 198 | 39.07 | 60 | 9.07 | 142 | |
206 | Western | 47 | -19.64 | 0 | 10 | .862 | 31 | -.861 | 60 | -1.18 | 53 | -19.51 | 206 | -19.66 | 206 | 29.88 | 242 | 7.62 | 89 | |
218 | Frankton | 48 | -22.76 | 2 | 8 | .885 | 34 | -.690 | 53 | -0.94 | 51 | -21.86 | 216 | -23.32 | 219 | 45.15 | 7 | 6.96 | 65 | |
221 | Corydon Central | 49 | -24.11 | 3 | 7 | .918 | 44 | -.616 | 49 | -0.84 | 50 | -23.70 | 220 | -24.41 | 221 | 38.32 | 67 | 6.20 | 46 | |
232 | Peru | 50 | -29.60 | 4 | 6 | .930 | 50 | -.530 | 46 | -0.79 | 48 | -29.24 | 231 | -29.83 | 230 | 33.12 | 169 | 6.01 | 41 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | SCORING | Rk | DEVIANCE | Rk | |
234 | West Vigo | 51 | -30.89 | 4 | 6 | .905 | 42 | -.504 | 45 | -0.77 | 47 | -32.44 | 238 | -30.28 | 232 | 36.67 | 90 | 12.78 | 266 | |
243 | Crawfordsville | 52 | -33.92 | 3 | 7 | .886 | 35 | -.592 | 48 | -0.98 | 52 | -34.41 | 243 | -33.75 | 242 | 31.60 | 201 | 9.39 | 154 | |
248 | Calumet | 53 | -37.66 | 5 | 5 | .959 | 56 | -.457 | 43 | -0.81 | 49 | -37.11 | 250 | -37.95 | 246 | 37.22 | 83 | 6.73 | 60 | |
252 | Greensburg | 54 | -38.30 | 1 | 9 | .775 | 14 | -.674 | 52 | -1.19 | 54 | -39.03 | 253 | -38.01 | 247 | 37.35 | 81 | 15.25 | 294 | |
253 | Princeton | 55 | -39.02 | 1 | 9 | .816 | 19 | -.717 | 56 | -1.28 | 55 | -38.02 | 251 | -39.61 | 254 | 31.22 | 212 | 10.47 | 209 | |
275 | Edgewood | 56 | -48.60 | 2 | 8 | .919 | 45 | -.729 | 57 | -1.47 | 57 | -45.68 | 272 | -50.16 | 277 | 34.29 | 146 | 12.99 | 268 | |
278 | Indianapolis Washington | 57 | -50.19 | 3 | 6 | .956 | 55 | -.624 | 50 | -1.32 | 56 | -48.92 | 276 | -50.83 | 278 | 30.30 | 231 | 14.71 | 286 | |
282 | Purdue Poly Englewood | 58 | -52.31 | 1 | 7 | .905 | 41 | -.786 | 59 | -1.63 | 60 | -51.44 | 281 | -52.78 | 282 | 28.39 | 269 | 12.03 | 256 | |
283 | Hammond Noll | 59 | -54.05 | 3 | 7 | .990 | 59 | -.690 | 54 | -1.50 | 58 | -53.49 | 285 | -54.35 | 284 | 38.50 | 64 | 11.64 | 248 | |
288 | Bellmont | 60 | -55.33 | 0 | 10 | .712 | 11 | -.711 | 55 | -1.56 | 59 | -54.80 | 287 | -55.81 | 288 | NA | NA | NA | NA | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | SCORING | Rk | DEVIANCE | Rk | |
300 | Owen Valley | 61 | -72.27 | 0 | 10 | .904 | 40 | -.913 | 62 | -2.20 | 61 | -70.30 | 299 | -73.65 | 300 | 34.20 | 148 | 6.65 | 56 | |
303 | Benton Central | 62 | -82.58 | 0 | 10 | .898 | 39 | -.899 | 61 | -2.36 | 62 | -81.94 | 304 | -83.12 | 303 | 44.29 | 13 | 5.52 | 35 |