The TWISTR Ratings are an iterative least-squares, score-based ratings system built in the spirit of an Elo model. Team ratings are agnostic to the final result of a game, as only the scoring margins are important when rating teams. No additional benefit is provided for a win or penalty for a loss. The TWISTR ratings for FOOTBALL incorporate three key concepts:
The RATING represents the number of points a team would be favored by against an average opponent. Teams with a positive RATING are considered better than average, while teams with a negative RATING are considered worse than average. The RATING can be thought of as a composite of the INDEPENDENT (INDY) rating, in which the time a game was played does not matter, and the FORECASTER (CASTER) rating, where recent results are weighted more heavily.
Both the STRENGTH OF RECORD (SoR) and Z-SCORE (Z-SCR) are resume ratings - SoR only considers a team's win-loss record and is independent of margin of victory, while Z-SCR is a blend of RATING and SoR.
TWISTR IHSAA TEAM RATINGS | SCHEDULE & RESUME | COMPONENT RATINGS | TEAM PROFILE | |||||||||||||||||
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RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | SCORING | Rk | DEVIANCE | Rk | |
16 | Heritage Hills | 1 | +48.56 | 14 | 0 | .598 | 16 | +.401 | 1 | +1.99 | 1 | +48.83 | 14 | +48.49 | 17 | 36.77 | 85 | 6.35 | 37 | |
29 | Evansville Memorial | 2 | +39.02 | 11 | 1 | .562 | 6 | +.354 | 2 | +1.73 | 2 | +39.39 | 29 | +38.86 | 30 | 35.88 | 110 | 10.01 | 177 | |
43 | West Noble | 3 | +30.70 | 10 | 2 | .648 | 33 | +.186 | 5 | +1.27 | 4 | +30.73 | 43 | +30.72 | 44 | 32.28 | 193 | 6.87 | 47 | |
46 | Gibson Southern | 4 | +29.46 | 6 | 2 | .570 | 7 | +.179 | 6 | +1.24 | 5 | +29.34 | 45 | +29.47 | 48 | 34.84 | 133 | 2.85 | 3 | |
49 | Garrett | 5 | +27.28 | 13 | 1 | .595 | 14 | +.334 | 3 | +1.48 | 3 | +27.71 | 48 | +27.14 | 51 | 33.75 | 161 | 8.59 | 118 | |
59 | Fort Wayne Luers | 6 | +25.17 | 10 | 5 | .546 | 3 | +.120 | 11 | +1.05 | 10 | +24.84 | 58 | +25.38 | 58 | 25.37 | 294 | 8.65 | 126 | |
60 | Evansville Mater Dei | 7 | +24.71 | 7 | 3 | .571 | 8 | +.130 | 10 | +1.06 | 9 | +25.00 | 56 | +24.56 | 60 | 31.11 | 216 | 8.16 | 100 | |
68 | Mississinewa | 8 | +22.60 | 11 | 1 | .692 | 42 | +.225 | 4 | +1.20 | 6 | +24.14 | 61 | +21.98 | 68 | 31.06 | 217 | 6.90 | 49 | |
71 | Southridge | 9 | +21.76 | 8 | 3 | .634 | 26 | +.091 | 14 | +0.94 | 12 | +21.89 | 72 | +21.67 | 71 | 38.48 | 66 | 6.16 | 31 | |
75 | Lawrenceburg | 10 | +20.63 | 9 | 2 | .643 | 30 | +.175 | 8 | +1.07 | 7 | +22.00 | 71 | +20.02 | 82 | 28.53 | 271 | 12.49 | 260 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | SCORING | Rk | DEVIANCE | Rk | |
77 | Guerin Catholic | 11 | +20.57 | 6 | 6 | .533 | 1 | -.032 | 23 | +0.69 | 18 | +21.38 | 75 | +20.22 | 80 | 40.31 | 43 | 7.05 | 53 | |
78 | Cascade | 12 | +20.49 | 10 | 1 | .735 | 54 | +.174 | 9 | +1.07 | 8 | +18.20 | 87 | +21.81 | 69 | 40.38 | 42 | 16.39 | 297 | |
83 | Knox | 13 | +19.24 | 9 | 4 | .647 | 32 | +.046 | 16 | +0.81 | 14 | +18.76 | 83 | +19.56 | 83 | 40.98 | 35 | 10.81 | 217 | |
90 | Tri-West | 14 | +17.20 | 8 | 5 | .653 | 34 | -.039 | 24 | +0.62 | 20 | +15.83 | 93 | +17.94 | 89 | 30.48 | 232 | 7.45 | 73 | |
94 | Franklin County | 15 | +16.25 | 7 | 4 | .617 | 22 | +.019 | 20 | +0.71 | 17 | +16.47 | 90 | +16.16 | 96 | 34.70 | 135 | 10.43 | 196 | |
95 | Batesville | 16 | +15.99 | 9 | 4 | .588 | 12 | +.105 | 13 | +0.86 | 13 | +15.44 | 97 | +16.33 | 95 | 30.34 | 241 | 12.74 | 267 | |
96 | Jimtown | 17 | +15.67 | 7 | 4 | .596 | 15 | +.042 | 18 | +0.74 | 15 | +15.65 | 95 | +15.69 | 98 | 35.16 | 124 | 8.97 | 136 | |
99 | Delta | 18 | +15.16 | 5 | 6 | .552 | 5 | -.097 | 27 | +0.47 | 22 | +13.66 | 104 | +15.98 | 97 | 33.02 | 176 | 13.69 | 275 | |
100 | Mishawaka Marian | 19 | +14.97 | 6 | 6 | .582 | 11 | -.082 | 26 | +0.50 | 21 | +15.23 | 99 | +14.90 | 100 | 29.96 | 248 | 9.14 | 144 | |
105 | Maconaquah | 20 | +14.13 | 12 | 1 | .747 | 56 | +.175 | 7 | +0.95 | 11 | +12.95 | 107 | +14.63 | 102 | 32.83 | 180 | 8.88 | 134 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | SCORING | Rk | DEVIANCE | Rk | |
108 | West Lafayette | 21 | +12.76 | 8 | 4 | .640 | 27 | +.027 | 19 | +0.66 | 19 | +12.96 | 106 | +12.69 | 108 | 28.55 | 268 | 4.14 | 10 | |
112 | Vincennes Lincoln | 22 | +9.07 | 4 | 7 | .580 | 10 | -.216 | 37 | +0.15 | 30 | +8.72 | 114 | +9.27 | 112 | 32.69 | 182 | 8.13 | 99 | |
115 | Heritage | 23 | +8.69 | 8 | 2 | .691 | 41 | +.109 | 12 | +0.74 | 16 | +9.68 | 112 | +8.19 | 119 | 35.40 | 120 | 11.86 | 247 | |
119 | Angola | 24 | +8.06 | 4 | 6 | .610 | 19 | -.209 | 36 | +0.14 | 31 | +8.24 | 118 | +8.02 | 120 | 34.08 | 150 | 11.65 | 242 | |
123 | Lakeland | 25 | +7.07 | 5 | 5 | .609 | 18 | -.108 | 28 | +0.31 | 26 | +8.13 | 119 | +6.56 | 123 | 37.03 | 81 | 8.23 | 107 | |
130 | Rushville | 26 | +2.98 | 6 | 4 | .647 | 31 | -.047 | 25 | +0.35 | 25 | +2.80 | 131 | +3.06 | 130 | 34.94 | 129 | 12.15 | 255 | |
131 | Tippecanoe Valley | 27 | +2.27 | 7 | 4 | .641 | 29 | -.003 | 22 | +0.41 | 23 | +2.74 | 132 | +2.07 | 134 | 30.44 | 234 | 8.22 | 106 | |
135 | Fairfield | 28 | +1.98 | 5 | 6 | .595 | 13 | -.139 | 32 | +0.16 | 29 | +1.30 | 138 | +2.33 | 131 | 41.76 | 26 | 14.62 | 282 | |
137 | South Dearborn | 29 | +0.45 | 4 | 6 | .632 | 24 | -.232 | 38 | -0.04 | 36 | +1.85 | 135 | -0.24 | 140 | 30.16 | 245 | 14.12 | 279 | |
145 | Madison | 30 | -0.92 | 5 | 5 | .664 | 36 | -.165 | 33 | +0.06 | 34 | -0.52 | 144 | -1.20 | 145 | 23.45 | 306 | 7.39 | 69 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | SCORING | Rk | DEVIANCE | Rk | |
147 | Hamilton Heights | 31 | -2.44 | 4 | 7 | .621 | 23 | -.258 | 40 | -0.14 | 38 | -2.75 | 153 | -2.40 | 146 | 28.19 | 277 | 6.76 | 45 | |
149 | Scottsburg | 32 | -3.07 | 7 | 4 | .745 | 55 | -.109 | 29 | +0.13 | 32 | -2.55 | 151 | -3.43 | 148 | 32.44 | 189 | 8.69 | 128 | |
151 | Mount Vernon (Posey) | 33 | -3.25 | 5 | 5 | .633 | 25 | -.134 | 31 | +0.08 | 33 | -2.74 | 152 | -3.52 | 149 | 43.55 | 18 | 11.66 | 244 | |
153 | Fort Wayne Concordia | 34 | -3.50 | 2 | 8 | .541 | 2 | -.341 | 46 | -0.31 | 41 | -2.94 | 155 | -3.66 | 153 | 32.50 | 187 | 8.27 | 110 | |
158 | Twin Lakes | 35 | -4.54 | 5 | 6 | .659 | 35 | -.204 | 35 | -0.08 | 37 | -4.29 | 160 | -4.70 | 159 | 37.62 | 76 | 10.23 | 184 | |
163 | Griffith | 36 | -5.99 | 9 | 2 | .772 | 59 | +.047 | 15 | +0.36 | 24 | -4.10 | 158 | -6.93 | 165 | 43.75 | 17 | 15.31 | 292 | |
167 | Oak Hill | 37 | -6.56 | 6 | 4 | .711 | 49 | -.112 | 30 | +0.06 | 35 | -5.21 | 165 | -7.32 | 167 | 34.32 | 143 | 7.44 | 71 | |
171 | North Harrison | 38 | -8.45 | 9 | 4 | .693 | 43 | -.000 | 21 | +0.23 | 27 | -8.48 | 172 | -8.59 | 170 | 26.38 | 288 | 9.11 | 142 | |
174 | John Glenn | 39 | -9.20 | 1 | 7 | .611 | 21 | -.484 | 52 | -0.67 | 46 | -8.88 | 175 | -9.32 | 174 | 26.51 | 287 | 9.80 | 173 | |
176 | Indian Creek | 40 | -9.83 | 5 | 6 | .713 | 50 | -.261 | 41 | -0.27 | 40 | -8.63 | 173 | -10.57 | 179 | 29.72 | 253 | 9.67 | 168 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | SCORING | Rk | DEVIANCE | Rk | |
181 | Woodlan | 41 | -10.74 | 5 | 5 | .700 | 46 | -.201 | 34 | -0.18 | 39 | -11.52 | 184 | -10.36 | 178 | 33.71 | 163 | 14.76 | 285 | |
186 | Norwell | 42 | -11.98 | 2 | 8 | .547 | 4 | -.346 | 47 | -0.47 | 43 | -11.42 | 183 | -12.47 | 188 | 34.67 | 137 | 7.63 | 79 | |
190 | Jay County | 43 | -14.70 | 3 | 8 | .683 | 38 | -.410 | 50 | -0.63 | 45 | -14.39 | 192 | -14.90 | 191 | 28.73 | 264 | 10.06 | 179 | |
191 | Northwestern | 44 | -14.75 | 9 | 2 | .775 | 60 | +.043 | 17 | +0.19 | 28 | -14.83 | 195 | -14.76 | 190 | 39.23 | 53 | 8.61 | 123 | |
196 | River Forest | 45 | -16.21 | 5 | 5 | .769 | 58 | -.269 | 42 | -0.40 | 42 | -14.63 | 194 | -17.10 | 196 | 33.82 | 157 | 9.94 | 176 | |
202 | Speedway | 46 | -18.45 | 4 | 6 | .705 | 47 | -.305 | 44 | -0.51 | 44 | -16.19 | 199 | -19.99 | 204 | 35.30 | 122 | 9.15 | 145 | |
211 | Western | 47 | -21.80 | 0 | 10 | .611 | 20 | -.610 | 60 | -1.13 | 53 | -20.73 | 207 | -22.37 | 211 | 28.57 | 267 | 9.62 | 166 | |
217 | Corydon Central | 48 | -23.12 | 3 | 7 | .685 | 39 | -.386 | 48 | -0.74 | 49 | -22.47 | 216 | -23.58 | 216 | 38.43 | 67 | 5.91 | 24 | |
225 | Frankton | 49 | -26.63 | 2 | 8 | .687 | 40 | -.488 | 53 | -0.99 | 52 | -24.75 | 223 | -27.76 | 227 | 45.16 | 8 | 8.06 | 96 | |
227 | Peru | 50 | -27.61 | 4 | 6 | .718 | 52 | -.319 | 45 | -0.70 | 47 | -27.40 | 228 | -27.76 | 226 | 32.16 | 195 | 5.72 | 21 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | SCORING | Rk | DEVIANCE | Rk | |
236 | West Vigo | 51 | -31.81 | 4 | 6 | .695 | 44 | -.295 | 43 | -0.73 | 48 | -33.37 | 240 | -31.04 | 233 | 36.82 | 84 | 12.70 | 266 | |
245 | Crawfordsville | 52 | -35.44 | 3 | 7 | .695 | 45 | -.396 | 49 | -0.98 | 51 | -35.43 | 244 | -35.55 | 245 | 31.62 | 204 | 9.51 | 161 | |
251 | Princeton | 53 | -37.53 | 1 | 9 | .641 | 28 | -.543 | 57 | -1.29 | 55 | -37.04 | 252 | -37.82 | 251 | 31.21 | 214 | 10.17 | 180 | |
253 | Greensburg | 54 | -38.26 | 1 | 10 | .608 | 17 | -.517 | 55 | -1.25 | 54 | -38.88 | 256 | -37.99 | 252 | 37.38 | 78 | 14.99 | 289 | |
255 | Calumet | 55 | -39.23 | 5 | 5 | .756 | 57 | -.255 | 39 | -0.79 | 50 | -38.33 | 255 | -39.78 | 255 | 37.24 | 80 | 7.20 | 60 | |
270 | Edgewood | 56 | -45.72 | 2 | 8 | .718 | 51 | -.520 | 56 | -1.39 | 57 | -43.90 | 267 | -46.72 | 272 | 34.33 | 141 | 12.93 | 268 | |
279 | Indianapolis Washington | 57 | -50.77 | 3 | 6 | .790 | 61 | -.456 | 51 | -1.37 | 56 | -49.41 | 278 | -51.43 | 279 | 30.34 | 240 | 14.94 | 288 | |
283 | Purdue Poly Englewood | 58 | -52.71 | 1 | 7 | .733 | 53 | -.610 | 59 | -1.68 | 60 | -51.73 | 281 | -53.22 | 283 | 28.40 | 273 | 11.95 | 252 | |
287 | Bellmont | 59 | -54.82 | 0 | 10 | .573 | 9 | -.573 | 58 | -1.65 | 59 | -54.12 | 286 | -55.46 | 287 | NA | NA | NA | NA | |
288 | Hammond Noll | 60 | -55.23 | 3 | 7 | .793 | 62 | -.491 | 54 | -1.51 | 58 | -54.37 | 287 | -55.80 | 288 | 38.51 | 65 | 11.90 | 251 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | SCORING | Rk | DEVIANCE | Rk | |
298 | Owen Valley | 61 | -68.75 | 0 | 10 | .681 | 37 | -.683 | 61 | -2.11 | 61 | -67.89 | 298 | -69.54 | 299 | 34.22 | 146 | 7.27 | 63 | |
305 | Benton Central | 62 | -84.21 | 0 | 10 | .709 | 48 | -.709 | 62 | -2.43 | 62 | -83.51 | 307 | -84.83 | 305 | 44.29 | 13 | 5.82 | 23 |