The TWISTR Ratings are an iterative least-squares, score-based ratings system built in the spirit of an Elo model. Team ratings are agnostic to the final result of a game, as only the scoring margins are important when rating teams. No additional benefit is provided for a win or penalty for a loss. The TWISTR ratings for FOOTBALL incorporate three key concepts:
The RATING represents the number of points a team would be favored by against an average opponent. Teams with a positive RATING are considered better than average, while teams with a negative RATING are considered worse than average. The RATING can be thought of as a composite of the INDEPENDENT (INDY) rating, in which the time a game was played does not matter, and the FORECASTER (CASTER) rating, where recent results are weighted more heavily.
TWISTR IHSAA TEAM RATINGS | SCHEDULE & RESUME | COMPONENT RATINGS | TEAM PROFILE | |||||||||||||||
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RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | RANK | SoR | RANK | INDY | RANK | CASTER | RANK | SCORING | RANK | DEVIANCE | RANK | |
70 | Fort Wayne Luers | 1 | +19.98 | 12 | 3 | .522 | 3 | +.278 | 1 | +18.91 | 82 | +20.52 | 69 | 28.38 | 264 | 12.17 | 266 | |
75 | Triton Central | 2 | +18.85 | 11 | 2 | .717 | 15 | +.129 | 3 | +20.18 | 74 | +18.04 | 78 | 39.27 | 47 | 9.04 | 155 | |
84 | Bluffton | 3 | +17.41 | 10 | 3 | .693 | 8 | +.076 | 5 | +17.70 | 88 | +17.26 | 82 | 27.65 | 278 | 8.39 | 127 | |
88 | North Posey | 4 | +16.06 | 13 | 2 | .723 | 16 | +.144 | 2 | +16.52 | 93 | +15.85 | 89 | 32.06 | 180 | 13.19 | 287 | |
104 | Rochester | 5 | +12.81 | 7 | 3 | .752 | 19 | -.052 | 11 | +12.79 | 108 | +13.37 | 100 | 38.07 | 66 | 11.28 | 239 | |
107 | Alexandria | 6 | +11.66 | 8 | 2 | .797 | 30 | +.003 | 7 | +12.99 | 107 | +11.03 | 109 | 30.80 | 212 | 6.88 | 61 | |
110 | Lafayette Central Catholic | 7 | +11.25 | 10 | 4 | .690 | 6 | +.024 | 6 | +10.44 | 117 | +11.73 | 108 | 28.98 | 252 | 11.00 | 228 | |
118 | Brownstown Central | 8 | +9.06 | 9 | 2 | .836 | 36 | -.018 | 8 | +9.87 | 118 | +8.64 | 119 | 39.75 | 42 | 6.92 | 63 | |
119 | Evansville Mater Dei | 9 | +8.58 | 3 | 8 | .427 | 1 | -.155 | 19 | +8.86 | 122 | +8.54 | 120 | 29.73 | 238 | 10.08 | 197 | |
121 | Linton-Stockton | 10 | +8.42 | 9 | 2 | .863 | 43 | -.045 | 9 | +9.44 | 121 | +7.95 | 121 | 30.86 | 210 | 7.56 | 92 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | RANK | SoR | RANK | INDY | RANK | CASTER | RANK | SCORING | RANK | DEVIANCE | RANK | |
123 | LaVille | 11 | +6.97 | 11 | 2 | .756 | 21 | +.090 | 4 | +7.17 | 127 | +6.98 | 125 | 24.90 | 300 | 5.67 | 27 | |
130 | Cascade | 12 | +4.93 | 6 | 5 | .709 | 12 | -.164 | 21 | +5.58 | 131 | +4.63 | 132 | 36.37 | 90 | 6.04 | 37 | |
133 | Eastside | 13 | +4.52 | 7 | 4 | .715 | 14 | -.079 | 13 | +3.53 | 143 | +5.13 | 131 | 25.06 | 299 | 9.54 | 169 | |
134 | Andrean | 14 | +4.26 | 3 | 7 | .482 | 2 | -.182 | 22 | +5.09 | 133 | +3.94 | 137 | 27.62 | 280 | 6.51 | 50 | |
135 | Lapel | 15 | +4.25 | 5 | 5 | .696 | 9 | -.196 | 24 | +5.26 | 132 | +3.79 | 138 | 34.09 | 134 | 8.42 | 128 | |
141 | Greencastle | 16 | +2.90 | 8 | 3 | .779 | 26 | -.052 | 10 | +4.21 | 138 | +2.48 | 142 | 32.71 | 163 | 7.30 | 77 | |
146 | Paoli | 17 | +0.53 | 10 | 2 | .904 | 50 | -.070 | 12 | +1.46 | 148 | +0.02 | 147 | 39.43 | 44 | 7.94 | 105 | |
147 | Southmont | 18 | +0.36 | 8 | 6 | .704 | 11 | -.133 | 16 | +1.38 | 149 | -0.24 | 148 | 35.39 | 110 | 8.27 | 117 | |
151 | Eastern Hancock | 19 | -2.05 | 8 | 5 | .878 | 44 | -.263 | 30 | -1.11 | 151 | -2.89 | 156 | 36.46 | 86 | 9.93 | 188 | |
155 | Eastbrook | 20 | -2.78 | 7 | 4 | .767 | 22 | -.130 | 15 | -3.53 | 162 | -2.54 | 153 | 32.29 | 171 | 13.02 | 283 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | RANK | SoR | RANK | INDY | RANK | CASTER | RANK | SCORING | RANK | DEVIANCE | RANK | |
157 | Bremen | 21 | -3.12 | 6 | 6 | .715 | 13 | -.215 | 25 | -2.49 | 158 | -3.38 | 159 | 28.05 | 270 | 6.65 | 55 | |
160 | Heritage Christian | 22 | -3.96 | 7 | 4 | .799 | 31 | -.162 | 20 | -2.27 | 156 | -4.89 | 167 | 29.49 | 242 | 7.05 | 68 | |
167 | Eastern (Greentown) | 23 | -4.60 | 9 | 3 | .858 | 41 | -.108 | 14 | -3.84 | 164 | -4.90 | 168 | 39.00 | 54 | 10.99 | 227 | |
169 | Tell City | 24 | -4.85 | 5 | 4 | .702 | 10 | -.146 | 18 | -5.80 | 174 | -4.27 | 163 | 38.51 | 59 | 11.24 | 237 | |
171 | South Vermillion | 25 | -5.19 | 8 | 2 | .946 | 54 | -.146 | 17 | -4.19 | 166 | -5.75 | 172 | 42.34 | 24 | 7.00 | 65 | |
172 | Sullivan | 26 | -6.23 | 5 | 5 | .788 | 27 | -.288 | 32 | -4.88 | 171 | -6.89 | 173 | 30.91 | 207 | 8.13 | 115 | |
173 | Indianapolis Scecina | 27 | -6.58 | 5 | 5 | .693 | 7 | -.193 | 23 | -4.19 | 167 | -7.85 | 177 | 41.09 | 34 | 12.32 | 269 | |
175 | Wheeler | 28 | -7.11 | 6 | 4 | .860 | 42 | -.260 | 28 | -7.30 | 178 | -7.00 | 174 | 28.81 | 254 | 7.31 | 78 | |
182 | North Putnam | 29 | -9.23 | 3 | 7 | .804 | 32 | -.504 | 45 | -9.71 | 189 | -8.85 | 181 | 38.31 | 61 | 7.24 | 75 | |
186 | Lewis Cass | 30 | -9.84 | 6 | 5 | .840 | 38 | -.294 | 33 | -8.74 | 186 | -10.33 | 187 | 34.52 | 122 | 9.95 | 190 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | RANK | SoR | RANK | INDY | RANK | CASTER | RANK | SCORING | RANK | DEVIANCE | RANK | |
188 | Winchester | 31 | -10.53 | 8 | 3 | .947 | 55 | -.220 | 26 | -9.32 | 187 | -10.86 | 189 | 31.37 | 192 | 16.58 | 310 | |
196 | Frankton | 32 | -12.99 | 4 | 6 | .750 | 18 | -.350 | 34 | -11.26 | 198 | -13.66 | 197 | 32.80 | 161 | 12.74 | 279 | |
204 | North Knox | 33 | -15.97 | 5 | 5 | .851 | 40 | -.351 | 35 | -15.70 | 208 | -16.18 | 206 | 30.40 | 223 | 9.69 | 174 | |
208 | Churubusco | 34 | -16.61 | 2 | 8 | .657 | 4 | -.457 | 41 | -17.90 | 211 | -15.87 | 204 | 39.10 | 52 | 14.73 | 301 | |
209 | Northeastern | 35 | -17.22 | 7 | 3 | .963 | 57 | -.263 | 29 | -15.00 | 207 | -18.44 | 210 | 27.02 | 290 | 10.81 | 222 | |
216 | Forest Park | 36 | -20.35 | 6 | 5 | .826 | 35 | -.280 | 31 | -19.37 | 217 | -20.92 | 220 | 40.91 | 35 | 12.44 | 273 | |
223 | Perry Central | 37 | -21.52 | 5 | 5 | .893 | 49 | -.393 | 38 | -20.39 | 224 | -22.21 | 225 | 41.66 | 29 | 9.99 | 192 | |
226 | Seeger | 38 | -22.08 | 8 | 4 | .892 | 48 | -.226 | 27 | -20.39 | 223 | -22.62 | 227 | 30.26 | 228 | 11.42 | 242 | |
230 | Winamac | 39 | -23.49 | 3 | 7 | .746 | 17 | -.446 | 40 | -24.16 | 234 | -23.09 | 229 | 30.89 | 208 | 9.88 | 186 | |
231 | Indianapolis Ritter | 40 | -23.77 | 4 | 7 | .753 | 20 | -.389 | 37 | -22.37 | 230 | -24.50 | 234 | 38.30 | 62 | 10.68 | 218 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | RANK | SoR | RANK | INDY | RANK | CASTER | RANK | SCORING | RANK | DEVIANCE | RANK | |
235 | Central Noble | 41 | -25.55 | 4 | 7 | .791 | 29 | -.428 | 39 | -26.14 | 239 | -25.12 | 236 | 29.19 | 246 | 11.78 | 255 | |
236 | Delphi | 42 | -25.72 | 4 | 6 | .889 | 46 | -.489 | 44 | -26.05 | 238 | -25.44 | 237 | 34.34 | 127 | 11.44 | 243 | |
241 | Manchester | 43 | -28.11 | 5 | 7 | .772 | 24 | -.356 | 36 | -27.82 | 243 | -28.22 | 242 | 27.70 | 276 | 7.67 | 97 | |
244 | Shenandoah | 44 | -29.54 | 1 | 9 | .890 | 47 | -.790 | 57 | -28.21 | 245 | -30.19 | 247 | 25.62 | 298 | 10.28 | 203 | |
249 | Benton Central | 45 | -31.20 | 2 | 8 | .848 | 39 | -.648 | 49 | -30.12 | 248 | -31.73 | 250 | 39.22 | 48 | 10.93 | 226 | |
252 | Tipton | 46 | -32.42 | 2 | 9 | .689 | 5 | -.508 | 46 | -31.02 | 252 | -33.08 | 253 | 34.40 | 125 | 10.19 | 200 | |
253 | Eastern (Pekin) | 47 | -33.22 | 5 | 7 | .885 | 45 | -.469 | 43 | -32.13 | 255 | -33.83 | 255 | 31.11 | 200 | 7.16 | 72 | |
254 | Wabash | 48 | -33.45 | 2 | 8 | .768 | 23 | -.568 | 47 | -33.06 | 256 | -33.62 | 254 | 31.11 | 201 | 6.04 | 38 | |
277 | Whitko | 49 | -50.83 | 1 | 9 | .837 | 37 | -.737 | 53 | -49.13 | 277 | -51.75 | 280 | 28.43 | 260 | 9.73 | 176 | |
279 | Whiting | 50 | -51.45 | 4 | 7 | .945 | 53 | -.581 | 48 | -51.65 | 282 | -51.37 | 278 | 36.33 | 91 | 13.14 | 284 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | RANK | SoR | RANK | INDY | RANK | CASTER | RANK | SCORING | RANK | DEVIANCE | RANK | |
285 | Prairie Heights | 51 | -53.84 | 0 | 9 | .807 | 33 | -.807 | 60 | -56.33 | 291 | -52.39 | 281 | 28.56 | 257 | 11.76 | 254 | |
289 | Mitchell | 52 | -55.29 | 2 | 8 | .964 | 58 | -.764 | 55 | -54.59 | 288 | -55.66 | 290 | 41.35 | 33 | 7.48 | 87 | |
293 | Clarksville | 53 | -57.97 | 1 | 9 | .825 | 34 | -.725 | 52 | -56.88 | 293 | -58.53 | 293 | 45.47 | 7 | 8.60 | 135 | |
295 | Switzerland County | 54 | -62.60 | 4 | 4 | .967 | 59 | -.467 | 42 | -59.21 | 295 | -64.43 | 300 | 28.45 | 258 | 7.94 | 104 | |
296 | Christel House Manual | 55 | -62.72 | 3 | 6 | .986 | 62 | -.653 | 50 | -62.98 | 300 | -62.65 | 295 | 27.30 | 286 | 7.97 | 111 | |
297 | Elwood | 56 | -62.99 | 1 | 9 | .778 | 25 | -.678 | 51 | -62.59 | 299 | -63.29 | 297 | 27.86 | 274 | 1.88 | 2 | |
300 | Hammond Noll | 57 | -64.77 | 2 | 8 | .954 | 56 | -.754 | 54 | -63.89 | 302 | -66.21 | 302 | 29.06 | 251 | 11.79 | 257 | |
303 | Blackford | 58 | -72.99 | 0 | 10 | .791 | 28 | -.791 | 58 | -72.78 | 305 | -73.29 | 304 | 22.00 | 312 | 0.00 | N/A | |
305 | Brown County | 59 | -74.92 | 1 | 9 | .906 | 51 | -.806 | 59 | -72.97 | 306 | -75.83 | 309 | 33.01 | 159 | 6.59 | 53 | |
306 | Crawford County | 60 | -75.16 | 0 | 10 | .944 | 52 | -.944 | 61 | -74.60 | 308 | -75.39 | 307 | 43.45 | 18 | 6.80 | 58 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | RANK | SoR | RANK | INDY | RANK | CASTER | RANK | SCORING | RANK | DEVIANCE | RANK | |
309 | Union County | 61 | -80.81 | 0 | 10 | .971 | 60 | -.971 | 62 | -81.08 | 313 | -80.49 | 312 | 42.98 | 21 | 12.65 | 277 | |
311 | Lake Station | 62 | -94.64 | 2 | 8 | .980 | 61 | -.780 | 56 | -94.51 | 314 | -94.36 | 314 | 29.89 | 234 | 10.06 | 194 |