The TWISTR Ratings are an iterative least-squares, score-based ratings system built in the spirit of an Elo model. Team ratings are agnostic to the final result of a game, as only the scoring margins are important when rating teams. No additional benefit is provided for a win or penalty for a loss. The TWISTR ratings for FOOTBALL incorporate three key concepts:
The RATING represents the number of points a team would be favored by against an average opponent. Teams with a positive RATING are considered better than average, while teams with a negative RATING are considered worse than average. The RATING can be thought of as a composite of the INDEPENDENT (INDY) rating, in which the time a game was played does not matter, and the FORECASTER (CASTER) rating, where recent results are weighted more heavily.
Both the STRENGTH OF RECORD (SoR) and Z-SCORE (Z-SCR) are resume ratings - SoR only considers a team's win-loss record and is independent of margin of victory, while Z-SCR is a blend of RATING and SoR.
TWISTR IHSAA TEAM RATINGS | SCHEDULE & RESUME | COMPONENT RATINGS | TEAM PROFILE | |||||||||||||||||
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RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | SCORING | Rk | DEVIANCE | Rk | |
57 | Adams Central | 1 | +25.49 | 14 | 1 | .578 | 5 | +.355 | 1 | +1.71 | 1 | +24.92 | 57 | +25.76 | 55 | 33.84 | 155 | 8.17 | 102 | |
69 | Brownstown Central | 2 | +22.34 | 12 | 1 | .634 | 29 | +.289 | 3 | +1.54 | 2 | +23.30 | 66 | +21.81 | 70 | 36.16 | 104 | 7.30 | 64 | |
79 | Andrean | 3 | +20.25 | 9 | 5 | .511 | 1 | +.134 | 10 | +1.24 | 6 | +19.84 | 77 | +20.52 | 77 | 24.22 | 305 | 5.07 | 17 | |
80 | Indianapolis Lutheran | 4 | +19.86 | 12 | 2 | .617 | 22 | +.241 | 5 | +1.42 | 4 | +19.12 | 82 | +20.10 | 81 | 37.02 | 82 | 18.24 | 305 | |
89 | Lafayette Central Catholic | 5 | +17.74 | 11 | 1 | .588 | 11 | +.329 | 2 | +1.53 | 3 | +18.03 | 88 | +17.65 | 90 | 25.32 | 296 | 4.66 | 14 | |
109 | Western Boone | 6 | +10.87 | 8 | 3 | .598 | 14 | +.129 | 11 | +1.07 | 7 | +10.49 | 111 | +11.06 | 110 | 33.24 | 169 | 6.21 | 33 | |
113 | Linton-Stockton | 7 | +9.03 | 12 | 2 | .602 | 16 | +.255 | 4 | +1.26 | 5 | +8.71 | 116 | +9.14 | 113 | 34.32 | 144 | 14.75 | 284 | |
125 | Heritage Christian | 8 | +5.81 | 7 | 3 | .584 | 7 | +.118 | 12 | +0.97 | 10 | +6.84 | 123 | +5.30 | 125 | 41.69 | 27 | 9.10 | 141 | |
127 | Bremen | 9 | +4.69 | 7 | 5 | .565 | 3 | +.019 | 20 | +0.78 | 17 | +4.29 | 129 | +4.95 | 127 | 29.40 | 259 | 14.44 | 281 | |
128 | Monrovia | 10 | +4.50 | 9 | 3 | .616 | 21 | +.134 | 9 | +0.97 | 9 | +5.65 | 126 | +3.69 | 129 | 40.03 | 47 | 7.07 | 55 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | SCORING | Rk | DEVIANCE | Rk | |
132 | Paoli | 11 | +2.26 | 10 | 1 | .714 | 52 | +.195 | 7 | +1.04 | 8 | +3.64 | 130 | +1.36 | 135 | 36.63 | 89 | 9.51 | 159 | |
136 | North Posey | 12 | +1.68 | 7 | 3 | .601 | 15 | +.097 | 16 | +0.86 | 13 | +2.38 | 133 | +1.34 | 136 | 37.25 | 79 | 8.71 | 130 | |
138 | Bluffton | 13 | +0.28 | 6 | 4 | .607 | 19 | -.007 | 21 | +0.66 | 19 | +0.54 | 141 | +0.14 | 137 | 36.48 | 96 | 11.86 | 248 | |
140 | Triton Central | 14 | +0.12 | 9 | 3 | .635 | 31 | +.115 | 13 | +0.87 | 12 | +1.72 | 136 | -0.99 | 144 | 27.93 | 279 | 9.18 | 146 | |
141 | Lapel | 15 | +0.01 | 9 | 4 | .584 | 6 | +.109 | 14 | +0.85 | 14 | +0.79 | 140 | -0.53 | 141 | 31.39 | 212 | 10.31 | 192 | |
144 | Wheeler | 16 | -0.89 | 8 | 3 | .644 | 35 | +.085 | 17 | +0.80 | 16 | -0.62 | 145 | -0.98 | 143 | 30.20 | 243 | 8.41 | 114 | |
150 | South Vermillion | 17 | -3.15 | 10 | 1 | .708 | 49 | +.201 | 6 | +0.96 | 11 | -2.31 | 149 | -3.56 | 150 | 39.65 | 48 | 10.59 | 208 | |
154 | Rochester | 18 | -3.56 | 8 | 3 | .705 | 48 | +.022 | 19 | +0.64 | 20 | -3.22 | 157 | -3.63 | 152 | 33.84 | 156 | 6.27 | 35 | |
157 | Tipton | 19 | -3.82 | 7 | 5 | .632 | 28 | -.048 | 24 | +0.52 | 22 | -3.20 | 156 | -4.14 | 155 | 20.93 | 308 | 5.40 | 19 | |
165 | Centerville | 20 | -6.29 | 9 | 2 | .713 | 51 | +.106 | 15 | +0.74 | 18 | -5.13 | 163 | -7.02 | 166 | 28.55 | 269 | 8.40 | 113 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | SCORING | Rk | DEVIANCE | Rk | |
168 | Northeastern | 21 | -7.68 | 9 | 1 | .733 | 55 | +.168 | 8 | +0.82 | 15 | -6.71 | 168 | -8.34 | 169 | 35.04 | 128 | 9.41 | 156 | |
169 | Eastern Hancock | 22 | -7.85 | 5 | 5 | .622 | 24 | -.122 | 29 | +0.32 | 26 | -6.29 | 167 | -8.77 | 173 | 39.03 | 56 | 11.21 | 230 | |
172 | Eastside | 23 | -8.66 | 6 | 6 | .587 | 10 | -.087 | 26 | +0.37 | 24 | -8.83 | 174 | -8.62 | 171 | 33.37 | 168 | 7.68 | 80 | |
173 | Greencastle | 24 | -9.07 | 5 | 7 | .586 | 9 | -.170 | 34 | +0.22 | 28 | -9.98 | 178 | -8.64 | 172 | 40.61 | 39 | 13.51 | 274 | |
175 | Churubusco | 25 | -9.57 | 5 | 6 | .554 | 2 | -.100 | 27 | +0.33 | 25 | -9.43 | 177 | -9.62 | 175 | 33.12 | 170 | 7.47 | 75 | |
177 | North Putnam | 26 | -9.84 | 7 | 3 | .635 | 30 | +.064 | 18 | +0.61 | 21 | -8.97 | 176 | -10.27 | 177 | 44.95 | 10 | 11.56 | 241 | |
180 | Rensselaer Central | 27 | -10.51 | 3 | 6 | .606 | 18 | -.273 | 42 | +0.02 | 34 | -10.29 | 180 | -10.59 | 180 | 28.70 | 265 | 10.99 | 224 | |
183 | Eastbrook | 28 | -11.39 | 4 | 6 | .603 | 17 | -.204 | 37 | +0.12 | 31 | -10.21 | 179 | -12.02 | 186 | 30.95 | 219 | 7.39 | 68 | |
185 | Eastern (Greentown) | 29 | -11.72 | 8 | 5 | .648 | 36 | -.033 | 22 | +0.41 | 23 | -13.98 | 190 | -10.61 | 181 | 33.01 | 177 | 11.53 | 238 | |
195 | Indianapolis Scecina | 30 | -16.11 | 3 | 7 | .591 | 12 | -.293 | 43 | -0.11 | 37 | -14.56 | 193 | -17.16 | 197 | 29.93 | 249 | 7.58 | 76 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | SCORING | Rk | DEVIANCE | Rk | |
197 | Sullivan | 31 | -16.94 | 3 | 7 | .619 | 23 | -.321 | 45 | -0.18 | 39 | -15.64 | 197 | -17.67 | 198 | 32.55 | 184 | 10.43 | 195 | |
198 | Alexandria | 32 | -17.53 | 7 | 4 | .678 | 44 | -.042 | 23 | +0.29 | 27 | -15.49 | 196 | -18.58 | 200 | 38.90 | 59 | 8.60 | 121 | |
200 | Tell City | 33 | -18.36 | 6 | 5 | .663 | 38 | -.118 | 28 | +0.15 | 30 | -16.17 | 198 | -19.49 | 202 | 36.22 | 102 | 17.67 | 304 | |
204 | Southmont | 34 | -19.64 | 3 | 7 | .607 | 20 | -.307 | 44 | -0.20 | 40 | -18.74 | 202 | -20.26 | 205 | 30.83 | 224 | 7.70 | 81 | |
207 | Boone Grove | 35 | -20.50 | 6 | 4 | .740 | 59 | -.138 | 31 | +0.08 | 32 | -20.86 | 208 | -20.31 | 207 | 28.55 | 270 | 8.65 | 125 | |
210 | Delphi | 36 | -21.38 | 6 | 4 | .674 | 41 | -.073 | 25 | +0.17 | 29 | -21.74 | 211 | -21.19 | 209 | 28.66 | 266 | 8.25 | 109 | |
212 | Indianapolis Ritter | 37 | -22.06 | 3 | 7 | .624 | 25 | -.325 | 46 | -0.27 | 44 | -19.89 | 205 | -23.42 | 214 | 31.43 | 210 | 6.11 | 29 | |
215 | North Montgomery | 38 | -23.05 | 5 | 7 | .572 | 4 | -.157 | 32 | +0.00 | 35 | -22.82 | 218 | -23.28 | 213 | 38.42 | 68 | 9.49 | 158 | |
216 | Shenandoah | 39 | -23.07 | 6 | 5 | .672 | 40 | -.127 | 30 | +0.05 | 33 | -21.88 | 212 | -23.87 | 217 | 30.51 | 230 | 7.08 | 56 | |
219 | Pike Central | 40 | -23.92 | 3 | 7 | .640 | 33 | -.342 | 48 | -0.33 | 45 | -23.53 | 219 | -24.10 | 218 | 35.33 | 121 | 10.50 | 200 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | SCORING | Rk | DEVIANCE | Rk | |
220 | Salem | 41 | -24.14 | 5 | 6 | .662 | 37 | -.207 | 38 | -0.10 | 36 | -23.69 | 220 | -24.50 | 220 | 35.60 | 113 | 14.17 | 280 | |
223 | Winchester | 42 | -25.64 | 4 | 6 | .740 | 58 | -.338 | 47 | -0.35 | 46 | -25.08 | 225 | -26.04 | 223 | 24.52 | 300 | 7.05 | 54 | |
228 | Manchester | 43 | -27.73 | 5 | 5 | .696 | 47 | -.198 | 36 | -0.15 | 38 | -26.78 | 227 | -28.25 | 228 | 31.54 | 206 | 8.73 | 131 | |
229 | Prairie Heights | 44 | -28.22 | 4 | 6 | .642 | 34 | -.243 | 41 | -0.23 | 41 | -27.95 | 230 | -28.34 | 229 | 34.65 | 138 | 6.66 | 44 | |
230 | Lewis Cass | 45 | -29.04 | 5 | 6 | .689 | 46 | -.235 | 40 | -0.23 | 42 | -28.72 | 233 | -29.24 | 230 | 42.64 | 21 | 8.89 | 135 | |
247 | Switzerland County | 46 | -36.32 | 4 | 3 | .733 | 56 | -.163 | 33 | -0.23 | 43 | -34.40 | 241 | -37.32 | 248 | 33.09 | 173 | 3.42 | 6 | |
256 | Central Noble | 47 | -39.80 | 0 | 10 | .585 | 8 | -.585 | 56 | -1.02 | 54 | -39.29 | 257 | -40.09 | 257 | 31.00 | 218 | 6.39 | 38 | |
259 | Eastern (Pekin) | 48 | -41.49 | 1 | 9 | .629 | 26 | -.531 | 53 | -0.96 | 52 | -40.09 | 259 | -42.34 | 260 | 30.95 | 220 | 15.45 | 294 | |
261 | Park Tudor | 49 | -42.56 | 6 | 4 | .784 | 62 | -.185 | 35 | -0.38 | 47 | -40.54 | 260 | -43.86 | 263 | 44.20 | 14 | 13.22 | 271 | |
264 | Covenant Christian | 50 | -43.98 | 0 | 10 | .596 | 13 | -.597 | 57 | -1.11 | 55 | -42.93 | 263 | -44.85 | 265 | 28.76 | 263 | 4.21 | 11 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | SCORING | Rk | DEVIANCE | Rk | |
266 | Whiting | 51 | -44.64 | 2 | 8 | .687 | 45 | -.488 | 52 | -0.94 | 51 | -43.30 | 264 | -45.41 | 266 | 40.81 | 36 | 14.12 | 278 | |
271 | Blackford | 52 | -45.73 | 2 | 8 | .632 | 27 | -.433 | 50 | -0.86 | 49 | -43.32 | 265 | -47.22 | 273 | 33.58 | 166 | 11.48 | 236 | |
273 | Seeger | 53 | -47.46 | 3 | 7 | .722 | 54 | -.423 | 49 | -0.87 | 50 | -47.45 | 274 | -47.48 | 274 | 36.18 | 103 | 8.10 | 97 | |
278 | Wabash | 54 | -50.17 | 2 | 8 | .676 | 42 | -.477 | 51 | -1.01 | 53 | -49.17 | 277 | -50.78 | 278 | 45.72 | 6 | 10.58 | 206 | |
281 | Brown County | 55 | -52.53 | 6 | 5 | .765 | 61 | -.219 | 39 | -0.61 | 48 | -53.78 | 285 | -51.92 | 281 | 30.55 | 228 | 7.20 | 61 | |
290 | Elwood | 56 | -57.93 | 1 | 9 | .635 | 32 | -.537 | 54 | -1.25 | 56 | -54.87 | 289 | -59.66 | 290 | 31.21 | 215 | 6.98 | 52 | |
292 | Christel House | 57 | -60.90 | 0 | 3 | .677 | 43 | -.675 | 61 | -1.54 | 57 | -59.00 | 293 | -62.06 | 292 | 41.00 | 34 | 28.47 | 310 | |
294 | Whitko | 58 | -63.48 | 0 | 10 | .667 | 39 | -.668 | 60 | -1.57 | 58 | -62.14 | 295 | -64.25 | 294 | 40.17 | 46 | 10.23 | 183 | |
299 | Mitchell | 59 | -69.63 | 1 | 9 | .733 | 57 | -.634 | 58 | -1.61 | 59 | -70.41 | 300 | -69.18 | 298 | 36.43 | 97 | 6.23 | 34 | |
303 | Crawford County | 60 | -83.09 | 1 | 9 | .748 | 60 | -.649 | 59 | -1.87 | 61 | -83.18 | 305 | -83.09 | 302 | 36.60 | 92 | 7.31 | 65 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | SCORING | Rk | DEVIANCE | Rk | |
304 | Clarksville | 61 | -83.58 | 0 | 10 | .717 | 53 | -.717 | 63 | -2.00 | 62 | -82.86 | 304 | -83.93 | 304 | 34.05 | 152 | 9.51 | 160 | |
307 | Lake Station | 62 | -85.34 | 2 | 7 | .792 | 63 | -.569 | 55 | -1.77 | 60 | -83.44 | 306 | -86.74 | 306 | 29.84 | 250 | 10.29 | 188 | |
312 | Union County | 63 | -121.94 | 0 | 10 | .709 | 50 | -.709 | 62 | -2.64 | 63 | -120.55 | 312 | -122.85 | 312 | 45.00 | 9 | 6.00 | 27 |