The TWISTR Ratings are an iterative least-squares, score-based ratings system built in the spirit of an Elo model. Team ratings are agnostic to the final result of a game, as only the scoring margins are important when rating teams. No additional benefit is provided for a win or penalty for a loss. The TWISTR ratings for FOOTBALL incorporate three key concepts:
The RATING represents the number of points a team would be favored by against an average opponent. Teams with a positive RATING are considered better than average, while teams with a negative RATING are considered worse than average. The RATING can be thought of as a composite of the INDEPENDENT (INDY) rating, in which the time a game was played does not matter, and the FORECASTER (CASTER) rating, where recent results are weighted more heavily.
Both the STRENGTH OF RECORD (SoR) and Z-SCORE (Z-SCR) are resume ratings - SoR only considers a team's win-loss record and is independent of margin of victory, while Z-SCR is a blend of RATING and SoR.
TWISTR IHSAA TEAM RATINGS | SCHEDULE & RESUME | COMPONENT RATINGS | TEAM PROFILE | |||||||||||||||||
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RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | SCORING | Rk | DEVIANCE | Rk | |
52 | Brownstown Central | 1 | +28.76 | 10 | 0 | .899 | 43 | +.101 | 4 | +1.49 | 3 | +28.42 | 55 | +28.87 | 53 | 34.47 | 140 | 3.63 | 7 | |
72 | Adams Central | 2 | +23.13 | 9 | 1 | .737 | 21 | +.160 | 2 | +1.49 | 2 | +22.87 | 72 | +23.32 | 75 | 33.59 | 157 | 4.89 | 21 | |
75 | Lafayette Central Catholic | 3 | +22.68 | 9 | 0 | .624 | 6 | +.379 | 1 | +1.83 | 1 | +22.19 | 74 | +22.94 | 77 | 25.71 | 292 | 6.11 | 44 | |
79 | Indianapolis Lutheran | 4 | +21.94 | 9 | 1 | .807 | 30 | +.092 | 5 | +1.36 | 5 | +19.19 | 87 | +23.51 | 74 | 36.22 | 101 | 21.09 | 309 | |
86 | Andrean | 5 | +20.28 | 6 | 4 | .467 | 1 | +.137 | 3 | +1.40 | 4 | +20.56 | 80 | +20.20 | 88 | 24.74 | 299 | 4.38 | 12 | |
111 | Western Boone | 6 | +10.93 | 8 | 2 | .724 | 17 | +.076 | 6 | +1.15 | 6 | +10.08 | 114 | +11.37 | 110 | 34.42 | 142 | 6.76 | 61 | |
123 | Heritage Christian | 7 | +7.36 | 7 | 3 | .643 | 8 | +.060 | 7 | +1.06 | 7 | +7.76 | 121 | +7.25 | 123 | 41.56 | 33 | 8.60 | 126 | |
124 | Monrovia | 8 | +6.59 | 8 | 2 | .803 | 29 | -.002 | 13 | +0.95 | 11 | +6.60 | 122 | +6.53 | 124 | 41.01 | 38 | 7.17 | 71 | |
126 | Bremen | 9 | +5.63 | 6 | 4 | .599 | 4 | +.003 | 11 | +0.94 | 12 | +5.11 | 126 | +6.04 | 125 | 28.87 | 259 | 12.27 | 259 | |
131 | Linton-Stockton | 10 | +3.14 | 8 | 1 | .887 | 42 | -.001 | 12 | +0.90 | 13 | +4.06 | 129 | +2.64 | 132 | 32.05 | 191 | 8.31 | 113 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | SCORING | Rk | DEVIANCE | Rk | |
133 | Triton Central | 11 | +2.80 | 8 | 2 | .758 | 23 | +.040 | 10 | +0.96 | 10 | +3.18 | 131 | +2.45 | 134 | 28.38 | 270 | 9.17 | 147 | |
134 | South Vermillion | 12 | +2.79 | 10 | 0 | .950 | 61 | +.050 | 9 | +0.97 | 8 | +2.66 | 132 | +2.81 | 131 | 39.75 | 51 | 6.87 | 62 | |
137 | North Posey | 13 | +1.85 | 7 | 3 | .736 | 20 | -.040 | 16 | +0.81 | 14 | +2.50 | 135 | +1.51 | 138 | 37.24 | 82 | 7.58 | 86 | |
139 | Paoli | 14 | +1.19 | 10 | 0 | .940 | 58 | +.058 | 8 | +0.96 | 9 | +2.65 | 133 | +0.18 | 142 | 34.00 | 153 | 11.23 | 231 | |
140 | Wheeler | 15 | +1.03 | 8 | 2 | .837 | 37 | -.034 | 14 | +0.81 | 15 | +1.28 | 141 | +1.02 | 139 | 31.58 | 202 | 9.83 | 173 | |
142 | Tipton | 16 | +0.13 | 6 | 4 | .753 | 22 | -.151 | 25 | +0.61 | 21 | -0.52 | 145 | +0.47 | 141 | 20.86 | 308 | 4.41 | 13 | |
152 | Lapel | 17 | -1.04 | 7 | 3 | .811 | 32 | -.111 | 22 | +0.65 | 19 | +0.02 | 143 | -1.68 | 153 | 32.72 | 175 | 9.75 | 170 | |
154 | Bluffton | 18 | -1.60 | 6 | 4 | .674 | 11 | -.074 | 18 | +0.70 | 17 | -1.21 | 150 | -1.74 | 154 | 36.48 | 93 | 11.56 | 245 | |
156 | Centerville | 19 | -2.30 | 9 | 1 | .944 | 59 | -.045 | 17 | +0.74 | 16 | -1.97 | 155 | -2.71 | 158 | 29.56 | 248 | 6.22 | 47 | |
161 | Rochester | 20 | -3.44 | 8 | 2 | .910 | 45 | -.112 | 23 | +0.61 | 20 | -2.60 | 161 | -3.83 | 163 | 34.96 | 131 | 4.61 | 16 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | SCORING | Rk | DEVIANCE | Rk | |
162 | Rensselaer Central | 21 | -3.50 | 3 | 5 | .586 | 3 | -.209 | 27 | +0.45 | 25 | -4.73 | 166 | -2.85 | 160 | 27.18 | 277 | 10.29 | 199 | |
168 | Eastern Hancock | 22 | -6.62 | 5 | 5 | .827 | 35 | -.329 | 35 | +0.21 | 29 | -5.26 | 167 | -7.46 | 172 | 39.00 | 61 | 11.13 | 226 | |
169 | Northeastern | 23 | -6.69 | 9 | 1 | .940 | 57 | -.040 | 15 | +0.67 | 18 | -5.88 | 168 | -7.31 | 169 | 35.02 | 129 | 9.90 | 177 | |
170 | Eastbrook | 24 | -6.88 | 4 | 6 | .652 | 9 | -.255 | 30 | +0.32 | 27 | -6.90 | 170 | -6.96 | 168 | 30.95 | 221 | 7.90 | 100 | |
175 | North Putnam | 25 | -9.36 | 7 | 3 | .789 | 26 | -.093 | 20 | +0.54 | 22 | -8.76 | 175 | -9.73 | 176 | 45.00 | 8 | 10.99 | 220 | |
178 | Greencastle | 26 | -10.01 | 4 | 6 | .677 | 12 | -.283 | 31 | +0.22 | 28 | -10.87 | 181 | -9.67 | 175 | 39.81 | 50 | 13.59 | 274 | |
179 | Eastside | 27 | -10.43 | 5 | 5 | .643 | 7 | -.140 | 24 | +0.45 | 26 | -10.55 | 179 | -10.34 | 179 | 31.29 | 211 | 8.42 | 120 | |
180 | Churubusco | 28 | -11.02 | 5 | 5 | .609 | 5 | -.110 | 21 | +0.48 | 24 | -10.70 | 180 | -11.13 | 180 | 31.84 | 194 | 6.36 | 52 | |
182 | Alexandria | 29 | -11.81 | 7 | 3 | .788 | 25 | -.092 | 19 | +0.50 | 23 | -10.54 | 178 | -12.51 | 185 | 41.70 | 28 | 7.72 | 91 | |
191 | Indianapolis Scecina | 30 | -14.42 | 3 | 7 | .693 | 13 | -.396 | 42 | -0.03 | 35 | -13.88 | 191 | -14.76 | 191 | 29.90 | 241 | 7.53 | 80 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | SCORING | Rk | DEVIANCE | Rk | |
201 | Eastern (Greentown) | 31 | -17.90 | 6 | 4 | .934 | 53 | -.332 | 36 | +0.01 | 34 | -19.10 | 204 | -17.37 | 197 | 35.13 | 124 | 8.98 | 140 | |
203 | Sullivan | 32 | -18.04 | 3 | 7 | .702 | 14 | -.408 | 43 | -0.11 | 39 | -15.90 | 195 | -19.14 | 205 | 32.56 | 180 | 10.12 | 185 | |
204 | Southmont | 33 | -18.16 | 3 | 7 | .671 | 10 | -.370 | 40 | -0.05 | 37 | -18.03 | 203 | -18.22 | 201 | 32.68 | 176 | 5.80 | 37 | |
205 | Boone Grove | 34 | -18.95 | 6 | 4 | .916 | 50 | -.316 | 33 | +0.02 | 32 | -19.61 | 207 | -18.53 | 203 | 28.53 | 267 | 8.96 | 136 | |
208 | Indianapolis Ritter | 35 | -20.81 | 3 | 6 | .795 | 27 | -.462 | 46 | -0.25 | 42 | -19.36 | 205 | -21.64 | 213 | 31.41 | 208 | 6.35 | 51 | |
209 | North Montgomery | 36 | -20.94 | 4 | 6 | .579 | 2 | -.184 | 26 | +0.20 | 30 | -21.67 | 215 | -20.58 | 208 | 40.38 | 44 | 13.90 | 279 | |
211 | Tell City | 37 | -21.13 | 5 | 4 | .849 | 40 | -.295 | 32 | +0.02 | 33 | -17.77 | 201 | -22.89 | 216 | 37.39 | 79 | 20.66 | 308 | |
216 | Shenandoah | 38 | -22.23 | 6 | 4 | .915 | 48 | -.316 | 34 | -0.03 | 36 | -21.37 | 213 | -22.85 | 215 | 31.14 | 214 | 7.47 | 78 | |
220 | Salem | 39 | -23.67 | 5 | 5 | .833 | 36 | -.333 | 37 | -0.09 | 38 | -24.09 | 223 | -23.52 | 220 | 36.49 | 92 | 14.96 | 289 | |
222 | Winchester | 40 | -24.38 | 4 | 6 | .951 | 62 | -.551 | 48 | -0.45 | 46 | -24.13 | 224 | -24.69 | 222 | 24.51 | 300 | 7.54 | 81 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | SCORING | Rk | DEVIANCE | Rk | |
223 | Delphi | 41 | -24.56 | 6 | 4 | .848 | 39 | -.244 | 29 | +0.04 | 31 | -24.01 | 221 | -24.90 | 223 | 28.57 | 265 | 9.52 | 162 | |
224 | Pike Central | 42 | -25.20 | 3 | 7 | .824 | 34 | -.526 | 47 | -0.42 | 45 | -24.40 | 225 | -25.63 | 225 | 35.25 | 120 | 10.17 | 190 | |
230 | Manchester | 43 | -29.44 | 5 | 5 | .937 | 55 | -.437 | 45 | -0.35 | 43 | -28.23 | 230 | -30.05 | 231 | 31.53 | 203 | 8.28 | 111 | |
233 | Prairie Heights | 44 | -30.11 | 4 | 5 | .797 | 28 | -.354 | 39 | -0.23 | 41 | -29.58 | 232 | -30.30 | 233 | 32.25 | 187 | 7.58 | 85 | |
236 | Lewis Cass | 45 | -31.46 | 5 | 5 | .922 | 51 | -.420 | 44 | -0.36 | 44 | -30.69 | 235 | -31.88 | 236 | 42.02 | 25 | 8.12 | 107 | |
246 | Switzerland County | 46 | -37.54 | 4 | 3 | .810 | 31 | -.239 | 28 | -0.17 | 40 | -34.88 | 245 | -39.18 | 252 | 33.16 | 168 | 4.22 | 11 | |
256 | Central Noble | 47 | -41.20 | 0 | 10 | .710 | 15 | -.709 | 54 | -0.98 | 52 | -40.48 | 258 | -41.53 | 256 | 31.04 | 218 | 6.91 | 63 | |
259 | Park Tudor | 48 | -42.52 | 6 | 4 | .992 | 63 | -.392 | 41 | -0.50 | 47 | -40.61 | 259 | -43.67 | 264 | 44.22 | 14 | 13.79 | 276 | |
260 | Eastern (Pekin) | 49 | -42.55 | 1 | 9 | .823 | 33 | -.725 | 57 | -1.03 | 53 | -41.18 | 260 | -43.25 | 260 | 28.98 | 258 | 16.43 | 298 | |
262 | Covenant Christian | 50 | -42.95 | 0 | 9 | .733 | 19 | -.734 | 58 | -1.05 | 54 | -42.69 | 264 | -43.26 | 261 | 28.75 | 262 | 4.54 | 15 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | SCORING | Rk | DEVIANCE | Rk | |
263 | Whiting | 51 | -43.26 | 2 | 8 | .840 | 38 | -.641 | 52 | -0.91 | 51 | -42.28 | 263 | -43.77 | 265 | 38.90 | 63 | 13.97 | 280 | |
264 | Blackford | 52 | -43.33 | 2 | 8 | .770 | 24 | -.574 | 50 | -0.80 | 49 | -42.12 | 261 | -43.99 | 266 | 31.68 | 198 | 9.35 | 152 | |
270 | Seeger | 53 | -45.41 | 3 | 7 | .864 | 41 | -.566 | 49 | -0.82 | 50 | -45.63 | 271 | -45.41 | 271 | 36.21 | 102 | 6.69 | 57 | |
279 | Wabash | 54 | -50.94 | 2 | 8 | .905 | 44 | -.704 | 53 | -1.14 | 56 | -50.09 | 279 | -51.44 | 279 | 44.99 | 10 | 10.10 | 182 | |
286 | Elwood | 55 | -54.81 | 1 | 9 | .730 | 18 | -.633 | 51 | -1.09 | 55 | -52.93 | 284 | -55.78 | 287 | 31.19 | 213 | 6.44 | 53 | |
289 | Brown County | 56 | -56.54 | 6 | 4 | .944 | 60 | -.344 | 38 | -0.65 | 48 | -56.67 | 289 | -56.59 | 289 | 26.69 | 283 | 5.40 | 31 | |
292 | Christel House | 57 | -60.81 | 0 | 3 | .712 | 16 | -.712 | 56 | -1.32 | 57 | -59.15 | 293 | -61.90 | 292 | 40.97 | 40 | 28.13 | 310 | |
294 | Whitko | 58 | -65.09 | 0 | 10 | .913 | 47 | -.912 | 61 | -1.71 | 59 | -63.59 | 294 | -65.88 | 294 | 40.23 | 46 | 10.12 | 184 | |
299 | Mitchell | 59 | -71.86 | 1 | 9 | .913 | 46 | -.815 | 59 | -1.67 | 58 | -72.08 | 300 | -71.72 | 299 | 36.38 | 95 | 5.00 | 23 | |
305 | Lake Station | 60 | -84.29 | 2 | 7 | .938 | 56 | -.712 | 55 | -1.71 | 60 | -82.44 | 305 | -85.44 | 305 | 29.84 | 243 | 10.37 | 206 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | SCORING | Rk | DEVIANCE | Rk | |
306 | Crawford County | 61 | -84.98 | 1 | 9 | .935 | 54 | -.837 | 60 | -1.92 | 61 | -84.56 | 307 | -85.34 | 304 | 35.12 | 125 | 7.29 | 73 | |
307 | Clarksville | 62 | -85.09 | 0 | 10 | .922 | 52 | -.923 | 63 | -2.06 | 62 | -83.83 | 306 | -85.92 | 306 | 28.72 | 263 | 9.98 | 179 | |
312 | Union County | 63 | -121.15 | 0 | 10 | .915 | 49 | -.917 | 62 | -2.65 | 63 | -120.94 | 312 | -122.04 | 312 | 45.00 | 9 | 6.00 | 40 |