The TWISTR Ratings are an iterative least-squares, score-based ratings system built in the spirit of an Elo model. Team ratings are agnostic to the final result of a game, as only the scoring margins are important when rating teams. No additional benefit is provided for a win or penalty for a loss. The TWISTR ratings for FOOTBALL incorporate three key concepts:
The RATING represents the number of points a team would be favored by against an average opponent. Teams with a positive RATING are considered better than average, while teams with a negative RATING are considered worse than average. The RATING can be thought of as a composite of the INDEPENDENT (INDY) rating, in which the time a game was played does not matter, and the FORECASTER (CASTER) rating, where recent results are weighted more heavily.
Both the STRENGTH OF RECORD (SoR) and Z-SCORE (Z-SCR) are resume ratings - SoR only considers a team's win-loss record and is independent of margin of victory, while Z-SCR is a blend of RATING and SoR.
TWISTR IHSAA TEAM RATINGS | SCHEDULE & RESUME | COMPONENT RATINGS | TEAM PROFILE | |||||||||||||||||
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RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | SCORING | Rk | DEVIANCE | Rk | |
11 | New Palestine | 1 | +54.09 | 9 | 0 | .816 | 27 | +.184 | 2 | +1.67 | 2 | +52.17 | 12 | +55.49 | 10 | 41.40 | 34 | 14.09 | 281 | |
15 | Indianapolis Chatard | 2 | +50.69 | 7 | 1 | .539 | 2 | +.336 | 1 | +1.85 | 1 | +50.70 | 14 | +50.70 | 16 | 33.05 | 172 | 6.45 | 54 | |
26 | Indianapolis Roncalli | 3 | +40.73 | 5 | 3 | .482 | 1 | +.141 | 4 | +1.37 | 3 | +40.64 | 26 | +40.76 | 26 | 26.71 | 282 | 5.83 | 38 | |
27 | East Noble | 4 | +40.01 | 9 | 1 | .798 | 24 | +.104 | 6 | +1.30 | 5 | +39.00 | 28 | +40.50 | 27 | 35.71 | 110 | 6.71 | 58 | |
32 | Mishawaka | 5 | +38.12 | 8 | 2 | .755 | 14 | +.048 | 7 | +1.18 | 7 | +38.74 | 30 | +37.84 | 34 | 29.96 | 239 | 5.03 | 24 | |
34 | Fort Wayne Dwenger | 6 | +37.15 | 5 | 4 | .546 | 3 | +.008 | 9 | +1.10 | 8 | +35.41 | 35 | +37.97 | 33 | 24.36 | 301 | 10.78 | 215 | |
37 | Brebeuf Jesuit | 7 | +34.46 | 8 | 2 | .624 | 4 | +.177 | 3 | +1.32 | 4 | +34.53 | 36 | +34.45 | 36 | 52.86 | 1 | 8.47 | 122 | |
38 | Leo | 8 | +34.08 | 8 | 2 | .837 | 34 | -.037 | 12 | +0.98 | 10 | +33.34 | 38 | +34.28 | 37 | 30.90 | 222 | 6.63 | 55 | |
43 | Martinsville | 9 | +32.51 | 9 | 1 | .789 | 21 | +.114 | 5 | +1.19 | 6 | +32.22 | 41 | +32.80 | 44 | 37.94 | 71 | 7.04 | 69 | |
44 | Greenfield-Central | 10 | +31.83 | 8 | 2 | .831 | 30 | -.028 | 10 | +0.95 | 11 | +29.44 | 52 | +33.41 | 42 | 36.00 | 107 | 15.34 | 295 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | SCORING | Rk | DEVIANCE | Rk | |
50 | Columbia City | 11 | +29.76 | 8 | 2 | .784 | 19 | +.022 | 8 | +0.99 | 9 | +31.49 | 44 | +29.01 | 52 | 41.24 | 36 | 18.75 | 304 | |
56 | Mount Vernon (Fortville) | 12 | +27.58 | 4 | 6 | .630 | 6 | -.226 | 25 | +0.57 | 20 | +24.85 | 62 | +29.36 | 50 | 35.09 | 126 | 10.33 | 204 | |
57 | Logansport | 13 | +26.93 | 9 | 1 | .963 | 58 | -.064 | 13 | +0.81 | 12 | +25.89 | 59 | +27.49 | 56 | 33.17 | 166 | 4.76 | 18 | |
63 | Fort Wayne Wayne | 14 | +25.29 | 4 | 5 | .685 | 8 | -.240 | 26 | +0.50 | 24 | +24.81 | 63 | +25.73 | 61 | 29.56 | 249 | 12.72 | 265 | |
64 | Danville | 15 | +24.70 | 8 | 2 | .872 | 44 | -.072 | 14 | +0.76 | 14 | +22.68 | 73 | +25.70 | 62 | 31.69 | 197 | 10.11 | 183 | |
67 | Huntington North | 16 | +24.16 | 7 | 3 | .837 | 33 | -.134 | 20 | +0.65 | 18 | +23.81 | 67 | +24.20 | 70 | 38.46 | 66 | 7.01 | 67 | |
68 | NorthWood | 17 | +24.07 | 5 | 5 | .750 | 13 | -.250 | 27 | +0.47 | 26 | +24.79 | 64 | +23.75 | 72 | 25.86 | 291 | 4.78 | 19 | |
71 | Lebanon | 18 | +23.29 | 8 | 2 | .911 | 51 | -.111 | 18 | +0.67 | 16 | +22.07 | 75 | +23.91 | 71 | 32.60 | 178 | 6.02 | 42 | |
74 | Pendleton Heights | 19 | +22.82 | 5 | 5 | .783 | 18 | -.279 | 30 | +0.40 | 28 | +20.20 | 82 | +24.54 | 68 | 35.30 | 119 | 8.70 | 132 | |
76 | Evansville Reitz | 20 | +22.60 | 8 | 2 | .831 | 31 | -.031 | 11 | +0.79 | 13 | +23.52 | 69 | +22.10 | 78 | 33.05 | 171 | 12.57 | 262 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | SCORING | Rk | DEVIANCE | Rk | |
77 | New Prairie | 21 | +22.53 | 7 | 3 | .886 | 48 | -.186 | 23 | +0.54 | 21 | +21.75 | 77 | +22.96 | 76 | 29.49 | 250 | 9.96 | 178 | |
80 | Hanover Central | 22 | +21.32 | 8 | 2 | .877 | 45 | -.076 | 15 | +0.69 | 15 | +22.00 | 76 | +21.10 | 81 | 30.23 | 232 | 5.19 | 27 | |
84 | Jasper | 23 | +20.44 | 6 | 4 | .826 | 28 | -.221 | 24 | +0.45 | 27 | +19.23 | 86 | +21.06 | 82 | 33.38 | 162 | 10.27 | 196 | |
87 | Northridge | 24 | +20.14 | 3 | 7 | .629 | 5 | -.333 | 33 | +0.27 | 30 | +20.39 | 81 | +20.01 | 89 | 25.45 | 294 | 3.91 | 10 | |
88 | Northview | 25 | +20.06 | 8 | 2 | .882 | 46 | -.087 | 16 | +0.65 | 17 | +19.72 | 83 | +20.23 | 87 | 37.60 | 78 | 10.09 | 181 | |
90 | Plymouth | 26 | +18.67 | 6 | 4 | .740 | 12 | -.143 | 21 | +0.54 | 22 | +18.89 | 89 | +18.71 | 92 | 32.43 | 183 | 11.04 | 223 | |
91 | Yorktown | 27 | +18.66 | 7 | 3 | .800 | 26 | -.098 | 17 | +0.61 | 19 | +16.00 | 99 | +20.37 | 86 | 30.17 | 235 | 16.85 | 300 | |
92 | Hobart | 28 | +18.62 | 6 | 4 | .854 | 40 | -.251 | 28 | +0.37 | 29 | +18.10 | 91 | +18.98 | 91 | 36.38 | 96 | 8.46 | 121 | |
101 | Indianapolis Attucks | 29 | +15.35 | 6 | 2 | .861 | 41 | -.116 | 19 | +0.53 | 23 | +16.07 | 98 | +15.00 | 104 | 40.79 | 42 | 5.49 | 34 | |
102 | Culver Academy | 30 | +14.97 | 8 | 2 | .947 | 56 | -.145 | 22 | +0.47 | 25 | +13.94 | 102 | +15.58 | 100 | 37.67 | 74 | 9.58 | 164 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | SCORING | Rk | DEVIANCE | Rk | |
104 | Mooresville | 31 | +14.51 | 4 | 6 | .732 | 11 | -.334 | 34 | +0.17 | 33 | +13.52 | 104 | +15.09 | 103 | 33.27 | 163 | 11.61 | 246 | |
107 | South Bend St. Joseph | 32 | +12.40 | 6 | 4 | .864 | 43 | -.266 | 29 | +0.24 | 31 | +11.95 | 107 | +12.69 | 107 | 26.37 | 287 | 10.12 | 186 | |
113 | Marion | 33 | +10.78 | 5 | 4 | .839 | 35 | -.291 | 31 | +0.17 | 32 | +10.09 | 113 | +11.24 | 111 | 40.99 | 39 | 14.62 | 285 | |
116 | Fort Wayne South | 34 | +9.10 | 2 | 8 | .661 | 7 | -.460 | 41 | -0.12 | 37 | +7.84 | 120 | +9.87 | 116 | 22.52 | 306 | 11.29 | 236 | |
118 | New Castle | 35 | +8.94 | 4 | 6 | .762 | 15 | -.360 | 36 | +0.03 | 35 | +6.37 | 124 | +10.69 | 114 | 32.53 | 181 | 11.03 | 222 | |
119 | DeKalb | 36 | +8.72 | 4 | 6 | .731 | 10 | -.323 | 32 | +0.09 | 34 | +10.21 | 112 | +7.86 | 121 | 38.17 | 69 | 11.48 | 241 | |
127 | Greenwood | 37 | +4.17 | 3 | 7 | .775 | 17 | -.472 | 42 | -0.23 | 40 | +4.12 | 127 | +4.32 | 129 | 39.16 | 58 | 11.85 | 253 | |
132 | Kankakee Valley | 38 | +3.04 | 5 | 5 | .941 | 54 | -.438 | 39 | -0.19 | 38 | +4.12 | 128 | +2.53 | 133 | 31.38 | 210 | 8.27 | 109 | |
135 | Evansville Harrison | 39 | +1.96 | 2 | 8 | .800 | 25 | -.597 | 45 | -0.46 | 42 | +2.57 | 134 | +1.63 | 137 | 39.09 | 59 | 11.25 | 232 | |
138 | Lowell | 40 | +1.82 | 4 | 6 | .829 | 29 | -.426 | 38 | -0.20 | 39 | +2.17 | 136 | +1.72 | 135 | 34.32 | 145 | 10.45 | 208 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | SCORING | Rk | DEVIANCE | Rk | |
146 | Boonville | 41 | -0.28 | 5 | 5 | .848 | 37 | -.348 | 35 | -0.11 | 36 | +0.17 | 142 | -0.57 | 149 | 26.94 | 278 | 5.38 | 30 | |
151 | Muncie Central | 42 | -0.78 | 2 | 8 | .833 | 32 | -.635 | 48 | -0.57 | 44 | -2.12 | 158 | -0.06 | 147 | 34.79 | 134 | 9.52 | 160 | |
164 | New Haven | 43 | -3.90 | 1 | 9 | .769 | 16 | -.672 | 49 | -0.68 | 45 | -2.48 | 160 | -4.88 | 165 | 42.11 | 23 | 15.76 | 296 | |
183 | South Bend Riley | 44 | -11.82 | 2 | 7 | .848 | 39 | -.628 | 47 | -0.75 | 47 | -12.22 | 185 | -11.60 | 182 | 26.13 | 290 | 8.37 | 115 | |
190 | Washington | 45 | -13.90 | 5 | 5 | .864 | 42 | -.365 | 37 | -0.37 | 41 | -12.90 | 187 | -14.42 | 190 | 34.90 | 132 | 6.30 | 50 | |
192 | Silver Creek | 46 | -15.00 | 5 | 5 | .958 | 57 | -.457 | 40 | -0.53 | 43 | -14.14 | 192 | -15.55 | 194 | 30.38 | 228 | 9.87 | 176 | |
198 | Wawasee | 47 | -17.43 | 1 | 9 | .703 | 9 | -.602 | 46 | -0.81 | 48 | -21.16 | 211 | -15.44 | 193 | 41.25 | 35 | 15.96 | 297 | |
202 | Evansville Bosse | 48 | -17.97 | 0 | 9 | .791 | 22 | -.787 | 57 | -1.11 | 52 | -17.64 | 200 | -18.22 | 202 | 35.08 | 127 | 18.14 | 303 | |
210 | Shelbyville | 49 | -21.10 | 1 | 9 | .785 | 20 | -.683 | 50 | -1.00 | 50 | -20.47 | 208 | -21.38 | 211 | 32.38 | 186 | 7.37 | 75 | |
215 | Beech Grove | 50 | -22.21 | 4 | 6 | .892 | 49 | -.492 | 44 | -0.71 | 46 | -21.48 | 214 | -22.69 | 214 | 40.14 | 48 | 7.62 | 88 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | SCORING | Rk | DEVIANCE | Rk | |
219 | South Bend Washington | 51 | -22.99 | 0 | 10 | .842 | 36 | -.843 | 58 | -1.28 | 57 | -22.64 | 219 | -23.13 | 218 | 35.48 | 114 | 9.08 | 144 | |
225 | Richmond | 52 | -26.00 | 1 | 7 | .848 | 38 | -.727 | 55 | -1.15 | 55 | -26.37 | 227 | -25.60 | 224 | 48.81 | 3 | 9.58 | 165 | |
226 | Connersville | 53 | -26.13 | 2 | 8 | .910 | 50 | -.709 | 53 | -1.12 | 53 | -24.78 | 226 | -26.87 | 226 | 37.86 | 72 | 10.17 | 189 | |
227 | Evansville Central | 54 | -26.23 | 1 | 9 | .792 | 23 | -.685 | 51 | -1.09 | 51 | -24.06 | 222 | -27.48 | 227 | 28.44 | 268 | 11.54 | 242 | |
228 | Bedford North Lawrence | 55 | -28.30 | 2 | 8 | .886 | 47 | -.691 | 52 | -1.13 | 54 | -27.99 | 228 | -28.50 | 229 | 37.22 | 84 | 5.35 | 29 | |
237 | Charlestown | 56 | -32.08 | 2 | 8 | .912 | 52 | -.711 | 54 | -1.23 | 56 | -31.97 | 237 | -32.25 | 237 | 39.51 | 55 | 7.71 | 90 | |
238 | Gary West | 57 | -32.45 | 5 | 5 | .977 | 62 | -.478 | 43 | -0.87 | 49 | -30.78 | 236 | -33.22 | 240 | 36.34 | 97 | 14.98 | 291 | |
254 | Indianapolis Shortridge | 58 | -39.37 | 2 | 7 | .976 | 61 | -.754 | 56 | -1.42 | 58 | -39.25 | 254 | -39.48 | 253 | 26.73 | 281 | 10.61 | 213 | |
268 | Highland | 59 | -44.81 | 1 | 9 | .946 | 55 | -.844 | 59 | -1.66 | 59 | -44.53 | 267 | -44.88 | 269 | 28.57 | 264 | 3.29 | 3 | |
287 | Jennings County | 60 | -55.00 | 0 | 10 | .971 | 59 | -.970 | 62 | -2.03 | 60 | -54.02 | 286 | -55.53 | 286 | 39.57 | 53 | 4.79 | 20 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | SCORING | Rk | DEVIANCE | Rk | |
296 | Frankfort | 61 | -65.84 | 0 | 10 | .916 | 53 | -.917 | 61 | -2.14 | 61 | -63.79 | 295 | -66.85 | 296 | 42.35 | 21 | 9.86 | 174 | |
304 | East Chicago Central | 62 | -83.61 | 1 | 9 | .975 | 60 | -.874 | 60 | -2.38 | 62 | -79.34 | 302 | -85.96 | 307 | 34.13 | 150 | 15.17 | 293 |