The TWISTR Ratings are an iterative least-squares, score-based ratings system built in the spirit of an Elo model. Team ratings are agnostic to the final result of a game, as only the scoring margins are important when rating teams. No additional benefit is provided for a win or penalty for a loss. The TWISTR ratings for FOOTBALL incorporate three key concepts:
The RATING represents the number of points a team would be favored by against an average opponent. Teams with a positive RATING are considered better than average, while teams with a negative RATING are considered worse than average. The RATING can be thought of as a composite of the INDEPENDENT (INDY) rating, in which the time a game was played does not matter, and the FORECASTER (CASTER) rating, where recent results are weighted more heavily.
Both the STRENGTH OF RECORD (SoR) and Z-SCORE (Z-SCR) are resume ratings - SoR only considers a team's win-loss record and is independent of margin of victory, while Z-SCR is a blend of RATING and SoR.
TWISTR IHSAA TEAM RATINGS | SCHEDULE & RESUME | COMPONENT RATINGS | TEAM PROFILE | |||||||||||||||||
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RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | SCORING | Rk | DEVIANCE | Rk | |
9 | New Palestine | 1 | +59.70 | 14 | 0 | .559 | 7 | +.442 | 1 | +2.01 | 1 | +57.70 | 9 | +60.75 | 7 | 41.49 | 29 | 11.86 | 246 | |
17 | Indianapolis Chatard | 2 | +48.42 | 9 | 2 | .496 | 2 | +.322 | 2 | +1.61 | 2 | +48.26 | 17 | +48.64 | 16 | 32.49 | 188 | 4.66 | 15 | |
20 | East Noble | 3 | +46.33 | 13 | 2 | .578 | 14 | +.290 | 3 | +1.52 | 3 | +44.54 | 24 | +47.17 | 19 | 34.69 | 136 | 12.53 | 262 | |
26 | Indianapolis Roncalli | 4 | +42.03 | 6 | 4 | .493 | 1 | +.105 | 12 | +1.13 | 6 | +41.53 | 26 | +42.33 | 26 | 29.74 | 252 | 7.79 | 85 | |
31 | Mishawaka | 5 | +38.44 | 11 | 3 | .577 | 13 | +.210 | 5 | +1.25 | 4 | +38.31 | 31 | +38.65 | 31 | 28.11 | 278 | 5.07 | 16 | |
36 | Fort Wayne Dwenger | 6 | +34.21 | 6 | 5 | .508 | 3 | +.038 | 19 | +0.88 | 11 | +33.39 | 36 | +34.59 | 35 | 24.30 | 303 | 12.12 | 254 | |
37 | Leo | 7 | +33.63 | 8 | 3 | .614 | 25 | +.114 | 10 | +1.00 | 9 | +33.18 | 37 | +33.77 | 38 | 29.68 | 254 | 7.84 | 87 | |
41 | Martinsville | 8 | +30.79 | 12 | 2 | .597 | 17 | +.262 | 4 | +1.20 | 5 | +30.74 | 42 | +30.97 | 42 | 37.82 | 71 | 8.99 | 137 | |
42 | Brebeuf Jesuit | 9 | +30.74 | 8 | 3 | .528 | 4 | +.200 | 6 | +1.10 | 7 | +31.34 | 40 | +30.48 | 45 | 52.68 | 1 | 9.57 | 165 | |
44 | Columbia City | 10 | +30.48 | 8 | 2 | .630 | 28 | +.172 | 7 | +1.04 | 8 | +32.24 | 39 | +29.61 | 46 | 41.34 | 32 | 18.52 | 306 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | SCORING | Rk | DEVIANCE | Rk | |
45 | Greenfield-Central | 11 | +30.41 | 8 | 3 | .639 | 32 | +.090 | 14 | +0.90 | 10 | +28.88 | 47 | +31.37 | 40 | 35.26 | 123 | 15.54 | 295 | |
47 | Mount Vernon (Fortville) | 12 | +29.36 | 4 | 6 | .536 | 5 | -.133 | 29 | +0.50 | 23 | +26.84 | 52 | +30.82 | 43 | 34.92 | 131 | 10.38 | 194 | |
52 | Pendleton Heights | 13 | +26.04 | 6 | 6 | .576 | 12 | -.074 | 24 | +0.55 | 22 | +23.42 | 64 | +27.53 | 49 | 34.72 | 134 | 10.30 | 189 | |
55 | NorthWood | 14 | +25.68 | 6 | 6 | .606 | 22 | -.106 | 28 | +0.49 | 24 | +25.35 | 54 | +25.99 | 54 | 24.78 | 299 | 6.55 | 42 | |
58 | Huntington North | 15 | +25.43 | 9 | 4 | .647 | 37 | +.047 | 18 | +0.74 | 16 | +25.03 | 55 | +25.60 | 56 | 38.56 | 62 | 9.27 | 149 | |
61 | Evansville Reitz | 16 | +24.32 | 10 | 3 | .642 | 35 | +.126 | 9 | +0.86 | 12 | +24.03 | 62 | +24.48 | 62 | 33.79 | 158 | 10.30 | 191 | |
62 | Lebanon | 17 | +23.82 | 9 | 3 | .667 | 43 | +.084 | 16 | +0.78 | 14 | +22.91 | 67 | +24.23 | 63 | 32.72 | 181 | 6.33 | 36 | |
63 | Danville | 18 | +23.76 | 8 | 2 | .693 | 47 | +.108 | 11 | +0.82 | 13 | +22.30 | 70 | +24.51 | 61 | 31.66 | 203 | 9.19 | 147 | |
65 | New Prairie | 19 | +23.54 | 9 | 4 | .659 | 40 | +.034 | 20 | +0.69 | 19 | +22.73 | 69 | +23.98 | 64 | 27.52 | 281 | 8.11 | 98 | |
66 | Fort Wayne Wayne | 20 | +23.36 | 4 | 6 | .561 | 8 | -.161 | 31 | +0.35 | 28 | +23.48 | 63 | +23.34 | 65 | 29.59 | 256 | 10.73 | 215 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | SCORING | Rk | DEVIANCE | Rk | |
72 | Logansport | 21 | +21.51 | 9 | 2 | .722 | 54 | +.097 | 13 | +0.76 | 15 | +21.53 | 74 | +21.49 | 72 | 33.69 | 164 | 4.44 | 12 | |
73 | Northridge | 22 | +21.05 | 3 | 7 | .565 | 9 | -.265 | 39 | +0.13 | 32 | +20.64 | 76 | +21.37 | 73 | 25.37 | 295 | 3.82 | 7 | |
82 | Hanover Central | 23 | +19.34 | 9 | 3 | .689 | 46 | +.061 | 17 | +0.66 | 20 | +19.75 | 78 | +19.24 | 84 | 32.04 | 197 | 5.82 | 22 | |
85 | Yorktown | 24 | +18.91 | 7 | 4 | .609 | 24 | +.029 | 21 | +0.60 | 21 | +16.65 | 89 | +20.26 | 78 | 30.17 | 244 | 16.58 | 298 | |
87 | Northview | 25 | +18.60 | 8 | 2 | .714 | 53 | +.084 | 15 | +0.69 | 18 | +18.56 | 84 | +18.65 | 87 | 37.63 | 75 | 10.49 | 199 | |
88 | Plymouth | 26 | +18.50 | 6 | 5 | .604 | 21 | -.059 | 23 | +0.44 | 25 | +18.39 | 85 | +18.77 | 86 | 33.11 | 171 | 10.55 | 203 | |
92 | Hobart | 27 | +16.68 | 6 | 5 | .651 | 39 | -.105 | 27 | +0.33 | 29 | +16.03 | 92 | +17.10 | 92 | 33.77 | 160 | 9.13 | 143 | |
93 | Jasper | 28 | +16.52 | 6 | 5 | .630 | 29 | -.083 | 25 | +0.37 | 27 | +15.67 | 94 | +16.95 | 93 | 33.72 | 162 | 10.97 | 223 | |
97 | Mooresville | 29 | +15.61 | 4 | 7 | .568 | 10 | -.206 | 35 | +0.14 | 31 | +14.25 | 103 | +16.42 | 94 | 33.86 | 154 | 10.51 | 201 | |
104 | Culver Academy | 30 | +14.23 | 8 | 2 | .666 | 42 | +.136 | 8 | +0.70 | 17 | +13.44 | 105 | +14.65 | 101 | 37.66 | 73 | 10.55 | 204 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | SCORING | Rk | DEVIANCE | Rk | |
106 | South Bend St. Joseph | 31 | +13.44 | 6 | 5 | .638 | 31 | -.093 | 26 | +0.30 | 30 | +12.76 | 108 | +13.86 | 106 | 25.69 | 292 | 9.52 | 162 | |
107 | Indianapolis Attucks | 32 | +13.38 | 6 | 2 | .789 | 61 | -.040 | 22 | +0.39 | 26 | +14.33 | 102 | +12.99 | 107 | 40.79 | 37 | 5.62 | 20 | |
111 | New Castle | 33 | +9.96 | 4 | 6 | .582 | 15 | -.181 | 33 | +0.09 | 33 | +7.62 | 120 | +11.39 | 109 | 32.50 | 186 | 11.12 | 229 | |
116 | DeKalb | 34 | +8.63 | 4 | 6 | .603 | 19 | -.202 | 34 | +0.03 | 35 | +10.55 | 110 | +7.60 | 122 | 38.52 | 64 | 11.47 | 235 | |
117 | Fort Wayne South | 35 | +8.41 | 2 | 8 | .554 | 6 | -.354 | 44 | -0.23 | 40 | +7.42 | 121 | +9.03 | 114 | 20.56 | 309 | 12.40 | 258 | |
122 | Greenwood | 36 | +7.77 | 4 | 8 | .609 | 23 | -.275 | 41 | -0.11 | 37 | +6.91 | 122 | +8.31 | 118 | 38.26 | 70 | 12.52 | 261 | |
129 | Marion | 37 | +4.41 | 5 | 5 | .649 | 38 | -.150 | 30 | +0.05 | 34 | +5.27 | 127 | +3.94 | 128 | 41.42 | 30 | 15.17 | 291 | |
133 | Boonville | 38 | +2.24 | 6 | 6 | .675 | 44 | -.175 | 32 | -0.03 | 36 | +2.16 | 134 | +2.27 | 132 | 30.13 | 246 | 6.55 | 41 | |
139 | Kankakee Valley | 39 | +0.26 | 5 | 6 | .694 | 48 | -.238 | 37 | -0.18 | 38 | +1.28 | 139 | -0.21 | 139 | 32.41 | 190 | 7.42 | 70 | |
142 | Lowell | 40 | -0.09 | 4 | 6 | .640 | 33 | -.239 | 38 | -0.18 | 39 | +0.03 | 143 | -0.06 | 138 | 34.33 | 142 | 10.25 | 187 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | SCORING | Rk | DEVIANCE | Rk | |
143 | Evansville Harrison | 41 | -0.57 | 2 | 8 | .619 | 27 | -.419 | 45 | -0.50 | 43 | +0.10 | 142 | -0.95 | 142 | 39.04 | 55 | 10.70 | 213 | |
156 | New Haven | 42 | -3.67 | 1 | 9 | .604 | 20 | -.504 | 52 | -0.70 | 46 | -2.04 | 148 | -4.59 | 158 | 41.35 | 31 | 13.46 | 273 | |
160 | Muncie Central | 43 | -4.72 | 2 | 8 | .641 | 34 | -.440 | 47 | -0.61 | 44 | -4.52 | 161 | -4.96 | 161 | 34.93 | 130 | 10.62 | 211 | |
182 | South Bend Riley | 44 | -11.17 | 2 | 7 | .646 | 36 | -.424 | 46 | -0.69 | 45 | -11.77 | 186 | -10.83 | 182 | 26.11 | 290 | 8.23 | 108 | |
188 | Washington | 45 | -12.08 | 5 | 5 | .722 | 55 | -.223 | 36 | -0.36 | 41 | -11.64 | 185 | -12.28 | 187 | 34.91 | 132 | 5.95 | 25 | |
192 | Silver Creek | 46 | -14.79 | 5 | 6 | .725 | 56 | -.272 | 40 | -0.49 | 42 | -13.62 | 189 | -15.54 | 193 | 30.38 | 238 | 10.06 | 178 | |
201 | Wawasee | 47 | -18.41 | 1 | 9 | .575 | 11 | -.475 | 48 | -0.90 | 49 | -22.02 | 214 | -16.35 | 195 | 41.26 | 33 | 16.61 | 300 | |
203 | Shelbyville | 48 | -19.24 | 1 | 9 | .595 | 16 | -.493 | 50 | -0.95 | 50 | -19.22 | 203 | -19.21 | 201 | 32.31 | 192 | 6.00 | 26 | |
213 | South Bend Washington | 49 | -22.91 | 0 | 10 | .631 | 30 | -.630 | 59 | -1.24 | 57 | -22.75 | 217 | -22.94 | 212 | 35.45 | 117 | 8.79 | 133 | |
214 | Evansville Bosse | 50 | -23.01 | 0 | 10 | .616 | 26 | -.616 | 58 | -1.22 | 56 | -22.03 | 215 | -23.50 | 215 | 35.40 | 119 | 16.37 | 296 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | SCORING | Rk | DEVIANCE | Rk | |
218 | Beech Grove | 51 | -23.64 | 4 | 6 | .709 | 52 | -.309 | 43 | -0.71 | 47 | -21.99 | 213 | -24.76 | 221 | 40.19 | 45 | 8.02 | 94 | |
224 | Connersville | 52 | -26.26 | 2 | 8 | .678 | 45 | -.478 | 49 | -1.04 | 51 | -24.87 | 224 | -27.07 | 225 | 37.42 | 77 | 10.20 | 181 | |
226 | Bedford North Lawrence | 53 | -26.77 | 2 | 9 | .695 | 49 | -.514 | 53 | -1.11 | 52 | -26.71 | 226 | -26.82 | 224 | 38.62 | 60 | 6.40 | 39 | |
231 | Richmond | 54 | -29.60 | 1 | 7 | .666 | 41 | -.542 | 55 | -1.21 | 54 | -28.60 | 232 | -30.15 | 231 | 48.91 | 2 | 8.28 | 111 | |
232 | Evansville Central | 55 | -29.90 | 1 | 9 | .601 | 18 | -.500 | 51 | -1.14 | 53 | -27.64 | 229 | -31.16 | 235 | 28.35 | 274 | 10.25 | 185 | |
235 | Charlestown | 56 | -31.41 | 2 | 8 | .729 | 58 | -.529 | 54 | -1.22 | 55 | -30.96 | 235 | -31.82 | 236 | 39.50 | 52 | 7.99 | 93 | |
241 | Gary West | 57 | -34.00 | 5 | 5 | .799 | 62 | -.299 | 42 | -0.87 | 48 | -32.11 | 238 | -35.02 | 242 | 36.36 | 98 | 15.33 | 293 | |
257 | Indianapolis Shortridge | 58 | -39.84 | 2 | 7 | .769 | 59 | -.546 | 56 | -1.39 | 58 | -39.58 | 258 | -39.99 | 256 | 26.74 | 284 | 10.56 | 205 | |
268 | Highland | 59 | -45.50 | 1 | 9 | .707 | 51 | -.606 | 57 | -1.59 | 59 | -45.14 | 270 | -45.71 | 269 | 28.49 | 272 | 4.00 | 8 | |
285 | Jennings County | 60 | -54.39 | 0 | 10 | .725 | 57 | -.726 | 62 | -1.95 | 60 | -53.49 | 284 | -54.86 | 285 | 39.58 | 50 | 4.60 | 13 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | SCORING | Rk | DEVIANCE | Rk | |
296 | Frankfort | 61 | -64.90 | 0 | 10 | .699 | 50 | -.699 | 61 | -2.08 | 61 | -62.71 | 296 | -66.16 | 296 | 42.48 | 23 | 12.05 | 253 | |
306 | East Chicago Central | 62 | -84.56 | 1 | 9 | .789 | 60 | -.688 | 60 | -2.40 | 62 | -80.42 | 302 | -87.10 | 307 | 34.13 | 148 | 15.05 | 290 |