The TWISTR Ratings are an iterative least-squares, score-based ratings system built in the spirit of an Elo model. Team ratings are agnostic to the final result of a game, as only the scoring margins are important when rating teams. No additional benefit is provided for a win or penalty for a loss. The TWISTR ratings for FOOTBALL incorporate three key concepts:
The RATING represents the number of points a team would be favored by against an average opponent. Teams with a positive RATING are considered better than average, while teams with a negative RATING are considered worse than average. The RATING can be thought of as a composite of the INDEPENDENT (INDY) rating, in which the time a game was played does not matter, and the FORECASTER (CASTER) rating, where recent results are weighted more heavily.
TWISTR IHSAA TEAM RATINGS | SCHEDULE & RESUME | COMPONENT RATINGS | TEAM PROFILE | |||||||||||||||
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RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | RANK | SoR | RANK | INDY | RANK | CASTER | RANK | SCORING | RANK | DEVIANCE | RANK | |
1 | East Central | 1 | +71.98 | 14 | 0 | .678 | 16 | +.322 | 1 | +69.25 | 1 | +73.55 | 1 | 41.51 | 30 | 11.15 | 233 | |
17 | New Palestine | 2 | +42.11 | 11 | 3 | .627 | 7 | +.158 | 3 | +40.92 | 20 | +42.86 | 15 | 37.17 | 77 | 11.45 | 245 | |
22 | East Noble | 3 | +39.69 | 8 | 3 | .660 | 11 | +.067 | 8 | +40.25 | 22 | +39.31 | 23 | 36.13 | 99 | 10.62 | 215 | |
28 | NorthWood | 4 | +37.42 | 12 | 3 | .631 | 8 | +.169 | 2 | +36.56 | 30 | +37.95 | 27 | 37.92 | 68 | 12.82 | 280 | |
30 | Leo | 5 | +36.25 | 11 | 3 | .730 | 24 | +.056 | 10 | +36.10 | 32 | +36.35 | 31 | 35.28 | 112 | 10.82 | 223 | |
33 | Evansville Reitz | 6 | +34.12 | 11 | 1 | .801 | 35 | +.116 | 4 | +35.98 | 33 | +33.17 | 35 | 27.27 | 288 | 12.64 | 276 | |
41 | Northridge | 7 | +28.83 | 9 | 3 | .659 | 10 | +.091 | 5 | +28.09 | 49 | +29.39 | 40 | 27.53 | 283 | 7.48 | 86 | |
42 | Indianapolis Roncalli | 8 | +28.54 | 4 | 6 | .466 | 1 | -.066 | 16 | +30.30 | 41 | +27.69 | 45 | 29.18 | 248 | 13.37 | 291 | |
47 | Greenfield-Central | 9 | +27.12 | 9 | 2 | .728 | 23 | +.090 | 6 | +27.72 | 50 | +27.07 | 47 | 34.68 | 121 | 8.05 | 113 | |
49 | Mooresville | 10 | +26.97 | 7 | 6 | .622 | 5 | -.084 | 18 | +28.47 | 47 | +26.46 | 51 | 31.27 | 196 | 7.95 | 106 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | RANK | SoR | RANK | INDY | RANK | CASTER | RANK | SCORING | RANK | DEVIANCE | RANK | |
50 | New Haven | 11 | +26.61 | 8 | 2 | .714 | 20 | +.086 | 7 | +28.81 | 46 | +25.39 | 52 | 36.16 | 98 | 12.19 | 267 | |
52 | New Prairie | 12 | +24.94 | 10 | 3 | .795 | 33 | -.026 | 13 | +24.53 | 58 | +24.70 | 54 | 32.10 | 178 | 11.46 | 246 | |
53 | Pendleton Heights | 13 | +24.91 | 7 | 3 | .757 | 27 | -.057 | 15 | +25.69 | 53 | +24.74 | 53 | 29.24 | 245 | 6.50 | 49 | |
54 | Brebeuf Jesuit | 14 | +24.54 | 6 | 5 | .627 | 6 | -.082 | 17 | +26.25 | 51 | +23.70 | 58 | 43.21 | 19 | 8.39 | 126 | |
56 | Jasper | 15 | +24.08 | 7 | 4 | .768 | 30 | -.132 | 23 | +24.55 | 57 | +24.02 | 55 | 30.72 | 213 | 8.78 | 146 | |
57 | Fort Wayne Dwenger | 16 | +23.77 | 6 | 6 | .531 | 2 | -.031 | 14 | +23.62 | 60 | +23.83 | 56 | 33.26 | 152 | 5.00 | 16 | |
58 | Evansville Memorial | 17 | +23.12 | 9 | 4 | .678 | 17 | +.014 | 12 | +24.76 | 56 | +22.34 | 59 | 20.00 | 316 | 11.85 | 260 | |
60 | Martinsville | 18 | +22.44 | 7 | 4 | .574 | 4 | +.062 | 9 | +23.39 | 61 | +22.09 | 62 | 30.59 | 216 | 11.56 | 248 | |
72 | Mount Vernon (Fortville) | 19 | +19.52 | 7 | 5 | .678 | 15 | -.095 | 19 | +20.37 | 71 | +19.33 | 72 | 38.07 | 67 | 5.52 | 23 | |
73 | Mississinewa | 20 | +19.01 | 12 | 1 | .904 | 52 | +.019 | 11 | +20.07 | 75 | +18.41 | 76 | 32.00 | 182 | 8.97 | 152 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | RANK | SoR | RANK | INDY | RANK | CASTER | RANK | SCORING | RANK | DEVIANCE | RANK | |
77 | Fort Wayne Wayne | 21 | +18.54 | 5 | 5 | .697 | 19 | -.197 | 27 | +18.61 | 84 | +18.18 | 77 | 28.16 | 267 | 7.53 | 90 | |
87 | Northview | 22 | +16.47 | 6 | 4 | .884 | 50 | -.284 | 30 | +18.04 | 85 | +15.81 | 91 | 37.45 | 75 | 6.27 | 42 | |
89 | Greenwood | 23 | +15.77 | 6 | 6 | .664 | 13 | -.164 | 24 | +17.09 | 90 | +15.04 | 95 | 44.05 | 15 | 9.38 | 164 | |
94 | Kokomo | 24 | +15.34 | 9 | 3 | .849 | 45 | -.099 | 20 | +18.68 | 83 | +13.64 | 99 | 28.04 | 271 | 10.40 | 208 | |
95 | Hobart | 25 | +15.30 | 7 | 3 | .817 | 38 | -.117 | 21 | +15.78 | 95 | +15.85 | 90 | 40.30 | 39 | 11.86 | 261 | |
98 | Bedford North Lawrence | 26 | +13.81 | 7 | 4 | .811 | 37 | -.175 | 26 | +16.64 | 92 | +12.47 | 105 | 30.01 | 232 | 9.34 | 163 | |
100 | South Bend St. Joseph | 27 | +13.11 | 4 | 6 | .750 | 26 | -.350 | 33 | +13.44 | 105 | +12.97 | 102 | 31.30 | 195 | 8.61 | 137 | |
105 | Wawasee | 28 | +12.65 | 2 | 9 | .570 | 3 | -.388 | 37 | +11.91 | 111 | +13.20 | 101 | 29.54 | 239 | 11.84 | 259 | |
108 | DeKalb | 29 | +11.44 | 6 | 5 | .767 | 29 | -.221 | 28 | +12.66 | 109 | +10.77 | 112 | 41.49 | 32 | 9.92 | 187 | |
109 | South Bend Riley | 30 | +11.27 | 8 | 2 | .925 | 57 | -.125 | 22 | +12.03 | 110 | +10.99 | 110 | 27.34 | 285 | 7.43 | 82 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | RANK | SoR | RANK | INDY | RANK | CASTER | RANK | SCORING | RANK | DEVIANCE | RANK | |
111 | Columbia City | 31 | +11.19 | 6 | 5 | .787 | 31 | -.241 | 29 | +13.70 | 103 | +9.86 | 115 | 37.69 | 71 | 12.38 | 270 | |
112 | Evansville Bosse | 32 | +11.09 | 3 | 7 | .719 | 22 | -.419 | 40 | +11.68 | 112 | +10.90 | 111 | 44.47 | 12 | 8.36 | 124 | |
120 | Lebanon | 33 | +8.56 | 5 | 6 | .805 | 36 | -.351 | 34 | +10.44 | 116 | +7.62 | 123 | 33.78 | 137 | 6.63 | 54 | |
137 | Angola | 34 | +4.05 | 2 | 8 | .825 | 39 | -.625 | 56 | +3.73 | 141 | +4.23 | 134 | 30.40 | 222 | 6.79 | 56 | |
139 | Boonville | 35 | +3.42 | 5 | 5 | .789 | 32 | -.289 | 31 | +3.91 | 140 | +3.15 | 139 | 24.32 | 303 | 4.82 | 12 | |
140 | Culver Academy | 36 | +3.24 | 5 | 7 | .839 | 44 | -.423 | 42 | +3.64 | 142 | +3.03 | 140 | 29.15 | 250 | 6.52 | 51 | |
143 | Kankakee Valley | 37 | +1.88 | 5 | 6 | .910 | 55 | -.456 | 45 | +1.95 | 146 | +1.92 | 143 | 33.46 | 144 | 12.50 | 275 | |
145 | Shelbyville | 38 | +0.89 | 3 | 7 | .675 | 14 | -.375 | 35 | +1.47 | 147 | +0.81 | 145 | 31.36 | 193 | 9.42 | 165 | |
152 | Lowell | 39 | -2.14 | 4 | 6 | .797 | 34 | -.397 | 38 | -1.11 | 152 | -2.57 | 154 | 33.31 | 150 | 13.17 | 285 | |
164 | Jay County | 40 | -4.48 | 4 | 6 | .875 | 48 | -.475 | 47 | -3.50 | 161 | -5.07 | 170 | 23.38 | 308 | 7.03 | 66 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | RANK | SoR | RANK | INDY | RANK | CASTER | RANK | SCORING | RANK | DEVIANCE | RANK | |
165 | New Castle | 41 | -4.53 | 1 | 9 | .662 | 12 | -.562 | 51 | -4.27 | 168 | -4.42 | 166 | 33.37 | 148 | 9.22 | 158 | |
168 | Beech Grove | 42 | -4.78 | 5 | 6 | .877 | 49 | -.422 | 41 | -4.28 | 169 | -5.02 | 169 | 39.18 | 50 | 11.10 | 232 | |
170 | Indianapolis Attucks | 43 | -5.05 | 8 | 2 | .966 | 62 | -.166 | 25 | -4.91 | 172 | -5.26 | 171 | 33.20 | 154 | 11.49 | 247 | |
177 | Silver Creek | 44 | -8.16 | 6 | 4 | .931 | 58 | -.331 | 32 | -7.99 | 180 | -8.24 | 178 | 35.11 | 116 | 7.61 | 94 | |
178 | Western | 45 | -8.17 | 4 | 6 | .894 | 51 | -.494 | 48 | -6.77 | 176 | -8.81 | 180 | 37.26 | 76 | 7.86 | 101 | |
181 | Plymouth | 46 | -9.07 | 2 | 8 | .647 | 9 | -.447 | 44 | -8.18 | 182 | -9.27 | 183 | 32.48 | 168 | 14.86 | 303 | |
193 | Muncie Central | 47 | -12.40 | 4 | 6 | .908 | 54 | -.508 | 50 | -10.90 | 196 | -13.16 | 196 | 42.18 | 25 | 8.65 | 140 | |
194 | Jennings County | 48 | -12.71 | 5 | 6 | .924 | 56 | -.469 | 46 | -10.37 | 193 | -13.69 | 198 | 40.49 | 38 | 9.83 | 184 | |
195 | Fort Wayne South | 49 | -12.91 | 1 | 9 | .691 | 18 | -.591 | 55 | -12.91 | 203 | -12.78 | 194 | 31.31 | 194 | 10.17 | 199 | |
198 | Logansport | 50 | -13.21 | 4 | 6 | .828 | 40 | -.428 | 43 | -10.74 | 194 | -14.65 | 200 | 39.13 | 51 | 7.14 | 70 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | RANK | SoR | RANK | INDY | RANK | CASTER | RANK | SCORING | RANK | DEVIANCE | RANK | |
199 | Marion | 51 | -13.29 | 3 | 8 | .839 | 43 | -.566 | 52 | -10.89 | 195 | -14.66 | 201 | 39.95 | 40 | 7.44 | 83 | |
201 | Huntington North | 52 | -14.30 | 1 | 9 | .766 | 28 | -.666 | 59 | -12.89 | 202 | -15.24 | 202 | 26.65 | 294 | 5.41 | 20 | |
205 | Evansville Harrison | 53 | -15.99 | 1 | 9 | .734 | 25 | -.634 | 57 | -14.97 | 206 | -16.50 | 207 | 36.70 | 83 | 4.89 | 15 | |
206 | South Bend Washington | 54 | -16.56 | 3 | 8 | .860 | 46 | -.588 | 54 | -18.09 | 212 | -15.67 | 203 | 39.74 | 43 | 15.08 | 305 | |
222 | Gary West | 55 | -20.70 | 6 | 4 | .983 | 63 | -.383 | 36 | -20.47 | 225 | -20.76 | 217 | 37.65 | 72 | 10.66 | 217 | |
228 | Evansville Central | 56 | -22.96 | 0 | 10 | .717 | 21 | -.717 | 60 | -21.77 | 228 | -23.57 | 230 | 34.48 | 124 | 4.46 | 6 | |
229 | Highland | 57 | -23.17 | 4 | 7 | .942 | 59 | -.578 | 53 | -22.24 | 229 | -23.58 | 231 | 33.62 | 141 | 7.11 | 69 | |
242 | Indianapolis Shortridge | 58 | -28.75 | 3 | 6 | .835 | 41 | -.502 | 49 | -29.17 | 247 | -28.56 | 243 | 33.52 | 143 | 15.65 | 307 | |
243 | Connersville | 59 | -28.94 | 2 | 8 | .838 | 42 | -.638 | 58 | -27.21 | 242 | -29.83 | 245 | 33.37 | 147 | 7.24 | 74 | |
260 | Richmond | 60 | -39.15 | 1 | 8 | .861 | 47 | -.750 | 61 | -37.18 | 260 | -40.34 | 263 | 28.41 | 262 | 8.61 | 138 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | RANK | SoR | RANK | INDY | RANK | CASTER | RANK | SCORING | RANK | DEVIANCE | RANK | |
261 | Edgewood | 61 | -39.16 | 2 | 8 | .951 | 61 | -.751 | 62 | -39.35 | 264 | -39.23 | 261 | 38.63 | 58 | 10.46 | 211 | |
273 | Frankfort | 62 | -48.13 | 1 | 9 | .943 | 60 | -.843 | 63 | -44.94 | 274 | -50.07 | 277 | 46.43 | 5 | 17.16 | 313 | |
282 | Indianapolis Washington | 63 | -52.88 | 5 | 5 | .904 | 53 | -.404 | 39 | -53.57 | 287 | -52.68 | 282 | 21.51 | 314 | 6.88 | 62 | |
301 | East Chicago Central | 64 | -67.50 | 1 | 8 | .989 | 64 | -.878 | 64 | -67.83 | 303 | -67.66 | 303 | 54.99 | 1 | 6.33 | 43 |