The TWISTR Ratings are an iterative least-squares, score-based ratings system built in the spirit of an Elo model. Team ratings are agnostic to the final result of a game, as only the scoring margins are important when rating teams. No additional benefit is provided for a win or penalty for a loss. The TWISTR ratings for BASKETBALL incorporate three key concepts:
The RATING represents the number of points a team would be favored by against an average opponent. Teams with a positive RATING are considered better than average, while teams with a negative RATING are considered worse than average. The RATING can be thought of as a composite of the INDEPENDENT (INDY) rating, in which the time a game was played does not matter, and the FORECASTER (CASTER) rating, where recent results are weighted more heavily.
TWISTR IHSAA TEAM RATINGS | SCHEDULE & RESUME | COMPONENT RATINGS | TEAM PROFILE | |||||||||||||||
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RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | SCORING | Rk | DEVIANCE | Rk | |
1 | Lawrence Central | 1 | +46.63 | 28 | 0 | .674 | 12 | +.326 | 1 | +46.75 | 1 | +46.58 | 1 | 58.40 | 54 | 7.80 | 158 | |
2 | Center Grove | 2 | +44.54 | 27 | 2 | .685 | 14 | +.246 | 2 | +44.54 | 2 | +44.54 | 2 | 59.29 | 42 | 9.24 | 303 | |
3 | Jennings County | 3 | +42.89 | 22 | 4 | .709 | 21 | +.137 | 6 | +42.97 | 3 | +42.86 | 3 | 58.66 | 51 | 8.53 | 234 | |
4 | Fort Wayne Snider | 4 | +41.13 | 22 | 3 | .702 | 18 | +.178 | 4 | +41.41 | 4 | +41.00 | 4 | 58.80 | 48 | 9.25 | 304 | |
5 | Lawrence North | 5 | +40.85 | 18 | 6 | .576 | 1 | +.174 | 5 | +41.28 | 5 | +40.65 | 5 | 63.64 | 11 | 7.60 | 134 | |
6 | Columbia City | 6 | +39.86 | 22 | 3 | .760 | 34 | +.120 | 8 | +41.21 | 6 | +39.20 | 6 | 62.44 | 20 | 10.65 | 364 | |
7 | Hamilton Southeastern | 7 | +39.07 | 21 | 4 | .649 | 8 | +.191 | 3 | +40.00 | 7 | +38.62 | 8 | 67.45 | 2 | 7.88 | 168 | |
9 | Noblesville | 8 | +37.98 | 18 | 8 | .583 | 2 | +.110 | 11 | +38.48 | 9 | +37.75 | 9 | 59.43 | 39 | 8.03 | 182 | |
10 | Franklin | 9 | +37.60 | 24 | 4 | .729 | 24 | +.128 | 7 | +38.22 | 10 | +37.35 | 10 | 57.85 | 64 | 10.05 | 346 | |
11 | South Bend Washington | 10 | +37.23 | 17 | 3 | .822 | 50 | +.028 | 16 | +38.05 | 11 | +36.78 | 11 | 58.91 | 45 | 8.75 | 259 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | SCORING | Rk | DEVIANCE | Rk | |
12 | Lake Central | 11 | +35.28 | 25 | 4 | .749 | 28 | +.113 | 10 | +35.55 | 13 | +35.13 | 12 | 54.55 | 121 | 10.59 | 361 | |
13 | Zionsville | 12 | +34.88 | 16 | 7 | .645 | 6 | +.051 | 15 | +35.78 | 12 | +34.45 | 15 | 58.03 | 60 | 6.07 | 31 | |
14 | Fishers | 13 | +34.81 | 17 | 6 | .665 | 11 | +.074 | 12 | +35.32 | 14 | +34.57 | 13 | 57.95 | 63 | 7.31 | 109 | |
15 | Bedford North Lawrence | 14 | +34.74 | 20 | 5 | .686 | 15 | +.114 | 9 | +35.15 | 16 | +34.53 | 14 | 53.92 | 138 | 8.67 | 245 | |
16 | Homestead | 15 | +34.45 | 22 | 5 | .749 | 29 | +.066 | 13 | +35.18 | 15 | +34.09 | 16 | 61.03 | 26 | 8.26 | 207 | |
20 | Northridge | 16 | +33.18 | 24 | 4 | .805 | 43 | +.052 | 14 | +33.41 | 19 | +33.09 | 20 | 58.36 | 55 | 7.71 | 148 | |
21 | Warsaw | 17 | +31.72 | 14 | 8 | .743 | 27 | -.107 | 28 | +31.78 | 21 | +31.72 | 21 | 63.61 | 12 | 10.04 | 344 | |
22 | Brownsburg | 18 | +30.60 | 13 | 12 | .649 | 7 | -.129 | 33 | +30.48 | 22 | +30.66 | 22 | 63.00 | 15 | 7.92 | 172 | |
27 | Warren Central | 19 | +29.17 | 13 | 10 | .655 | 9 | -.090 | 27 | +29.38 | 28 | +29.07 | 29 | 60.56 | 30 | 6.61 | 59 | |
28 | Plainfield | 20 | +29.15 | 18 | 8 | .734 | 26 | -.042 | 19 | +29.12 | 29 | +29.16 | 27 | 58.95 | 44 | 7.28 | 107 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | SCORING | Rk | DEVIANCE | Rk | |
31 | Fort Wayne Northrop | 21 | +28.63 | 14 | 8 | .708 | 20 | -.071 | 22 | +29.61 | 27 | +28.13 | 31 | 64.43 | 6 | 8.72 | 255 | |
32 | Franklin Central | 22 | +27.52 | 15 | 9 | .688 | 16 | -.063 | 21 | +27.64 | 35 | +27.46 | 32 | 57.30 | 67 | 7.42 | 122 | |
33 | Silver Creek | 23 | +27.38 | 17 | 5 | .781 | 37 | -.008 | 17 | +28.05 | 34 | +27.06 | 35 | 51.91 | 193 | 8.43 | 224 | |
34 | Mooresville | 24 | +27.35 | 20 | 5 | .813 | 44 | -.013 | 18 | +27.52 | 37 | +27.30 | 33 | 54.77 | 118 | 6.94 | 81 | |
35 | Valparaiso | 25 | +27.34 | 19 | 8 | .793 | 40 | -.089 | 26 | +27.52 | 36 | +27.24 | 34 | 56.55 | 78 | 6.79 | 73 | |
36 | Westfield | 26 | +26.88 | 13 | 10 | .639 | 5 | -.074 | 24 | +28.07 | 32 | +26.29 | 36 | 53.29 | 156 | 6.64 | 60 | |
39 | Jeffersonville | 27 | +25.54 | 13 | 10 | .707 | 19 | -.142 | 34 | +25.63 | 40 | +25.52 | 39 | 52.46 | 181 | 8.04 | 183 | |
41 | Evansville Central | 28 | +25.18 | 20 | 6 | .846 | 59 | -.077 | 25 | +25.62 | 41 | +24.97 | 41 | 57.78 | 65 | 8.52 | 232 | |
43 | Carmel | 29 | +24.88 | 11 | 12 | .634 | 4 | -.156 | 35 | +25.42 | 43 | +24.63 | 44 | 53.39 | 150 | 6.67 | 61 | |
44 | Indianapolis Roncalli | 30 | +24.77 | 13 | 9 | .757 | 31 | -.166 | 37 | +25.44 | 42 | +24.43 | 45 | 58.43 | 53 | 8.47 | 231 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | SCORING | Rk | DEVIANCE | Rk | |
46 | Penn | 31 | +23.91 | 18 | 7 | .838 | 55 | -.118 | 31 | +23.90 | 47 | +23.94 | 46 | 54.97 | 113 | 8.90 | 270 | |
47 | Castle | 32 | +23.84 | 12 | 8 | .722 | 23 | -.122 | 32 | +24.64 | 45 | +23.41 | 47 | 55.57 | 100 | 9.76 | 325 | |
49 | Pendleton Heights | 33 | +22.29 | 15 | 10 | .805 | 42 | -.205 | 43 | +23.15 | 48 | +21.88 | 51 | 59.19 | 43 | 8.98 | 277 | |
51 | Pike | 34 | +21.78 | 12 | 15 | .697 | 17 | -.252 | 48 | +21.40 | 55 | +21.96 | 50 | 64.09 | 10 | 11.64 | 384 | |
53 | McCutcheon | 35 | +21.45 | 21 | 5 | .865 | 69 | -.057 | 20 | +22.08 | 53 | +21.14 | 53 | 54.84 | 114 | 7.62 | 136 | |
56 | Ben Davis | 36 | +21.01 | 6 | 18 | .660 | 10 | -.410 | 70 | +21.09 | 56 | +20.95 | 54 | 55.88 | 94 | 6.91 | 80 | |
57 | North Central (Indianapolis) | 37 | +20.47 | 7 | 17 | .613 | 3 | -.321 | 61 | +20.30 | 62 | +20.56 | 57 | 62.29 | 21 | 9.49 | 317 | |
58 | Evansville Reitz | 38 | +20.25 | 12 | 6 | .849 | 60 | -.183 | 39 | +20.67 | 58 | +20.04 | 59 | 53.53 | 144 | 8.74 | 256 | |
59 | Evansville North | 39 | +20.13 | 16 | 11 | .828 | 53 | -.236 | 45 | +20.19 | 63 | +20.12 | 58 | 53.28 | 157 | 7.70 | 146 | |
60 | Merrillville | 40 | +20.12 | 17 | 9 | .820 | 48 | -.166 | 36 | +20.44 | 61 | +19.94 | 60 | 59.77 | 37 | 7.54 | 128 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | SCORING | Rk | DEVIANCE | Rk | |
62 | Avon | 41 | +19.97 | 8 | 14 | .683 | 13 | -.320 | 59 | +20.63 | 59 | +19.65 | 62 | 66.85 | 3 | 11.25 | 377 | |
64 | Floyd Central | 42 | +19.48 | 13 | 11 | .818 | 47 | -.276 | 50 | +19.72 | 65 | +19.37 | 63 | 51.72 | 202 | 7.88 | 169 | |
66 | Indianapolis Cathedral | 43 | +19.27 | 11 | 12 | .720 | 22 | -.242 | 47 | +19.58 | 66 | +19.10 | 67 | 51.40 | 216 | 6.73 | 67 | |
67 | Jasper | 44 | +19.22 | 17 | 8 | .858 | 67 | -.178 | 38 | +19.48 | 67 | +19.12 | 66 | 49.52 | 273 | 5.71 | 18 | |
71 | Seymour | 45 | +18.17 | 11 | 12 | .754 | 30 | -.276 | 51 | +18.37 | 71 | +18.08 | 71 | 54.38 | 125 | 6.07 | 30 | |
74 | Bloomington South | 46 | +17.54 | 12 | 11 | .816 | 46 | -.294 | 55 | +17.27 | 76 | +17.67 | 73 | 52.52 | 179 | 10.31 | 356 | |
76 | Shelbyville | 47 | +17.15 | 15 | 8 | .872 | 74 | -.220 | 44 | +17.05 | 77 | +17.20 | 76 | 52.83 | 167 | 9.43 | 313 | |
80 | Munster | 48 | +15.88 | 17 | 5 | .887 | 81 | -.114 | 30 | +15.70 | 83 | +15.93 | 80 | 59.77 | 36 | 12.31 | 387 | |
83 | Huntington North | 49 | +15.46 | 11 | 12 | .774 | 36 | -.296 | 56 | +16.31 | 80 | +15.06 | 84 | 53.37 | 152 | 10.63 | 363 | |
85 | Crown Point | 50 | +15.12 | 15 | 11 | .855 | 65 | -.278 | 52 | +15.49 | 84 | +14.93 | 85 | 54.31 | 129 | 5.65 | 17 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | SCORING | Rk | DEVIANCE | Rk | |
87 | Elkhart | 51 | +14.78 | 13 | 10 | .802 | 41 | -.237 | 46 | +14.60 | 89 | +14.89 | 86 | 52.32 | 185 | 8.94 | 273 | |
89 | Carroll (Fort Wayne) | 52 | +14.32 | 9 | 15 | .734 | 25 | -.359 | 65 | +14.51 | 91 | +14.21 | 89 | 62.61 | 18 | 10.71 | 368 | |
93 | Chesterton | 53 | +14.10 | 16 | 8 | .869 | 71 | -.202 | 41 | +14.12 | 95 | +14.08 | 92 | 58.67 | 49 | 6.82 | 76 | |
94 | Mount Vernon (Fortville) | 54 | +13.93 | 13 | 14 | .825 | 52 | -.343 | 64 | +13.88 | 98 | +13.96 | 93 | 47.04 | 325 | 8.66 | 244 | |
95 | Columbus North | 55 | +13.93 | 11 | 13 | .770 | 35 | -.312 | 58 | +14.56 | 90 | +13.62 | 96 | 58.22 | 57 | 8.25 | 206 | |
97 | Bloomington North | 56 | +13.58 | 19 | 6 | .871 | 73 | -.111 | 29 | +13.21 | 101 | +13.79 | 95 | 55.56 | 101 | 8.38 | 221 | |
98 | Decatur Central | 57 | +13.52 | 10 | 12 | .787 | 39 | -.333 | 62 | +14.16 | 94 | +13.20 | 101 | 64.46 | 5 | 11.73 | 385 | |
100 | Greenfield-Central | 58 | +13.44 | 17 | 7 | .894 | 83 | -.185 | 40 | +14.05 | 96 | +13.12 | 102 | 52.86 | 165 | 9.21 | 302 | |
102 | DeKalb | 59 | +13.23 | 14 | 8 | .839 | 56 | -.202 | 42 | +13.17 | 102 | +13.25 | 100 | 51.45 | 210 | 10.16 | 350 | |
103 | Hammond Central | 60 | +12.89 | 18 | 3 | .929 | 95 | -.071 | 23 | +13.12 | 103 | +12.80 | 103 | 62.83 | 16 | 6.96 | 85 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | SCORING | Rk | DEVIANCE | Rk | |
105 | Harrison (West Lafayette) | 61 | +12.58 | 13 | 13 | .820 | 49 | -.320 | 60 | +13.06 | 104 | +12.32 | 106 | 54.43 | 123 | 8.18 | 197 | |
106 | New Palestine | 62 | +12.47 | 14 | 11 | .843 | 58 | -.283 | 54 | +12.05 | 109 | +12.66 | 104 | 51.79 | 200 | 8.78 | 261 | |
118 | East Noble | 63 | +10.55 | 13 | 9 | .865 | 70 | -.274 | 49 | +11.05 | 117 | +10.30 | 118 | 54.04 | 137 | 8.31 | 213 | |
132 | Kokomo | 64 | +8.58 | 15 | 10 | .899 | 87 | -.299 | 57 | +8.78 | 131 | +8.48 | 131 | 45.69 | 351 | 6.02 | 27 | |
139 | Whiteland | 65 | +7.61 | 12 | 13 | .823 | 51 | -.343 | 63 | +7.16 | 144 | +7.84 | 138 | 56.60 | 75 | 12.46 | 388 | |
143 | Columbus East | 66 | +7.06 | 5 | 18 | .757 | 32 | -.540 | 82 | +7.14 | 145 | +7.04 | 143 | 52.70 | 171 | 10.04 | 343 | |
151 | Kankakee Valley | 67 | +6.15 | 15 | 10 | .879 | 76 | -.279 | 53 | +6.77 | 148 | +5.84 | 153 | 49.48 | 276 | 7.77 | 154 | |
172 | Lowell | 68 | +2.61 | 13 | 11 | .925 | 94 | -.383 | 68 | +2.82 | 172 | +2.49 | 173 | 52.81 | 169 | 9.09 | 286 | |
174 | Goshen | 69 | +2.09 | 11 | 12 | .851 | 61 | -.373 | 67 | +2.40 | 173 | +1.96 | 174 | 45.73 | 349 | 6.06 | 29 | |
175 | Plymouth | 70 | +1.76 | 10 | 13 | .891 | 82 | -.456 | 75 | +2.39 | 174 | +1.47 | 177 | 50.39 | 251 | 7.13 | 96 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | SCORING | Rk | DEVIANCE | Rk | |
176 | Anderson | 71 | +1.75 | 9 | 14 | .884 | 79 | -.493 | 77 | +1.76 | 179 | +1.75 | 175 | 62.47 | 19 | 9.33 | 310 | |
178 | Richmond | 72 | +1.67 | 11 | 12 | .923 | 93 | -.445 | 73 | +1.64 | 181 | +1.67 | 176 | 52.63 | 173 | 9.15 | 294 | |
189 | Concord | 73 | +0.55 | 9 | 12 | .887 | 80 | -.458 | 76 | -0.40 | 200 | +1.04 | 181 | 49.74 | 268 | 10.41 | 357 | |
193 | Hammond Morton | 74 | -0.04 | 9 | 11 | .862 | 68 | -.412 | 71 | -0.81 | 205 | +0.32 | 189 | 71.93 | 1 | 12.75 | 390 | |
194 | Fort Wayne Wayne | 75 | -0.14 | 8 | 16 | .851 | 62 | -.518 | 79 | +0.32 | 191 | -0.36 | 194 | 60.87 | 28 | 8.47 | 230 | |
199 | East Central | 76 | -0.56 | 6 | 15 | .876 | 75 | -.591 | 84 | +0.01 | 195 | -0.85 | 200 | 40.31 | 389 | 6.33 | 42 | |
204 | South Bend Adams | 77 | -1.13 | 13 | 11 | .907 | 91 | -.366 | 66 | -0.42 | 202 | -1.52 | 207 | 54.11 | 136 | 7.76 | 152 | |
210 | New Albany | 78 | -1.73 | 2 | 21 | .782 | 38 | -.695 | 90 | -1.25 | 208 | -1.98 | 212 | 60.35 | 32 | 10.70 | 366 | |
222 | Greenwood | 79 | -3.65 | 6 | 17 | .758 | 33 | -.497 | 78 | -4.12 | 226 | -3.41 | 219 | 59.43 | 40 | 10.20 | 355 | |
226 | Portage | 80 | -3.88 | 12 | 12 | .904 | 89 | -.404 | 69 | -3.40 | 222 | -4.10 | 226 | 53.44 | 148 | 9.26 | 305 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | SCORING | Rk | DEVIANCE | Rk | |
231 | Martinsville | 81 | -4.82 | 8 | 17 | .854 | 64 | -.534 | 80 | -5.31 | 234 | -4.56 | 229 | 46.64 | 336 | 7.20 | 101 | |
239 | Mishawaka | 82 | -6.61 | 11 | 13 | .904 | 90 | -.446 | 74 | -6.75 | 243 | -6.56 | 239 | 49.16 | 286 | 9.09 | 287 | |
251 | Evansville Harrison | 83 | -8.06 | 4 | 19 | .870 | 72 | -.696 | 91 | -7.81 | 249 | -8.19 | 251 | 54.33 | 127 | 8.74 | 257 | |
253 | Fort Wayne South | 84 | -8.29 | 5 | 17 | .832 | 54 | -.605 | 85 | -8.20 | 250 | -8.32 | 252 | 55.64 | 98 | 9.66 | 322 | |
255 | Perry Meridian | 85 | -8.95 | 3 | 19 | .815 | 45 | -.678 | 88 | -8.66 | 255 | -9.06 | 255 | 50.96 | 231 | 10.71 | 370 | |
257 | Michigan City | 86 | -9.30 | 6 | 16 | .880 | 77 | -.607 | 86 | -8.79 | 257 | -9.56 | 257 | 56.77 | 72 | 7.53 | 127 | |
264 | Terre Haute North | 87 | -10.87 | 7 | 15 | .857 | 66 | -.539 | 81 | -10.62 | 263 | -10.99 | 266 | 51.08 | 225 | 6.73 | 70 | |
273 | Fort Wayne North | 88 | -11.70 | 2 | 21 | .840 | 57 | -.754 | 93 | -11.39 | 271 | -11.85 | 273 | 57.07 | 69 | 10.62 | 362 | |
274 | New Haven | 89 | -12.31 | 2 | 20 | .853 | 63 | -.763 | 94 | -12.51 | 274 | -12.18 | 274 | 55.89 | 93 | 7.68 | 141 | |
279 | Hobart | 90 | -13.47 | 6 | 18 | .944 | 99 | -.694 | 89 | -13.55 | 280 | -13.44 | 279 | 50.26 | 255 | 6.45 | 50 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | SCORING | Rk | DEVIANCE | Rk | |
292 | Lafayette Jeff | 91 | -15.39 | 4 | 20 | .883 | 78 | -.717 | 92 | -15.14 | 291 | -15.54 | 294 | 53.25 | 159 | 8.57 | 238 | |
295 | Southport | 92 | -15.76 | 2 | 20 | .894 | 84 | -.803 | 99 | -15.26 | 293 | -16.05 | 295 | 52.05 | 192 | 8.05 | 184 | |
308 | Logansport | 93 | -18.09 | 4 | 19 | .945 | 101 | -.771 | 95 | -17.78 | 305 | -18.26 | 308 | 50.61 | 242 | 7.59 | 132 | |
309 | East Chicago Central | 94 | -18.55 | 8 | 12 | .955 | 102 | -.555 | 83 | -18.45 | 310 | -18.58 | 309 | 47.77 | 311 | 9.17 | 296 | |
313 | LaPorte | 95 | -20.09 | 2 | 20 | .896 | 85 | -.805 | 100 | -19.05 | 312 | -20.65 | 316 | 51.81 | 199 | 7.79 | 157 | |
335 | Indianapolis Attucks | 96 | -26.71 | 10 | 11 | .904 | 88 | -.427 | 72 | -26.87 | 337 | -26.64 | 333 | 52.60 | 176 | 10.56 | 359 | |
336 | Indianapolis Tech | 97 | -27.00 | 7 | 15 | .942 | 98 | -.624 | 87 | -26.53 | 336 | -27.26 | 337 | 55.98 | 89 | 9.45 | 316 | |
337 | South Bend Riley | 98 | -27.19 | 3 | 18 | .929 | 96 | -.786 | 96 | -28.11 | 339 | -26.74 | 335 | 43.45 | 373 | 6.27 | 36 | |
341 | Terre Haute South | 99 | -28.87 | 2 | 18 | .897 | 86 | -.797 | 98 | -28.98 | 342 | -28.83 | 342 | 46.89 | 329 | 7.70 | 144 | |
357 | Muncie Central | 100 | -34.58 | 2 | 20 | .911 | 92 | -.820 | 101 | -34.74 | 358 | -34.60 | 357 | 56.10 | 86 | 8.78 | 260 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | SCORING | Rk | DEVIANCE | Rk | |
362 | Gary West | 101 | -36.19 | 3 | 18 | .933 | 97 | -.790 | 97 | -36.28 | 363 | -36.13 | 361 | 52.15 | 189 | 10.04 | 342 | |
366 | Marion | 102 | -37.26 | 2 | 20 | .945 | 100 | -.854 | 102 | -36.94 | 366 | -37.48 | 365 | 53.50 | 145 | 14.00 | 391 |