The TWISTR Ratings are an iterative least-squares, score-based ratings system built in the spirit of an Elo model. Team ratings are agnostic to the final result of a game, as only the scoring margins are important when rating teams. No additional benefit is provided for a win or penalty for a loss. The TWISTR ratings for BASKETBALL incorporate three key concepts:
The RATING represents the number of points a team would be favored by against an average opponent. Teams with a positive RATING are considered better than average, while teams with a negative RATING are considered worse than average. The RATING can be thought of as a composite of the INDEPENDENT (INDY) rating, in which the time a game was played does not matter, and the FORECASTER (CASTER) rating, where recent results are weighted more heavily.
Both the STRENGTH OF RECORD (SoR) and Z-SCORE (Z-SCR) are resume ratings - SoR only considers a team's win-loss record and is independent of margin of victory, while Z-SCR is a blend of RATING and SoR.
TWISTR IHSAA TEAM RATINGS | SCHEDULE & RESUME | COMPONENT RATINGS | TEAM PROFILE | |||||||||||||||||
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RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | SCORING | Rk | DEVIANCE | Rk | |
1 | Lawrence Central | 1 | +54.83 | 17 | 2 | .526 | 1 | +.369 | 2 | +1.82 | 2 | +55.05 | 1 | +54.75 | 1 | 62.60 | 16 | 10.00 | 351 | |
2 | Warsaw | 2 | +50.06 | 26 | 2 | .602 | 21 | +.327 | 3 | +1.62 | 3 | +50.46 | 2 | +49.85 | 3 | 68.46 | 2 | 8.63 | 248 | |
3 | Hamilton Southeastern | 3 | +49.99 | 26 | 1 | .529 | 2 | +.434 | 1 | +1.82 | 1 | +49.66 | 3 | +50.15 | 2 | 58.39 | 46 | 6.62 | 70 | |
4 | Homestead | 4 | +47.06 | 22 | 3 | .578 | 14 | +.302 | 4 | +1.50 | 4 | +47.48 | 4 | +46.86 | 4 | 65.62 | 6 | 9.80 | 339 | |
5 | Lawrence North | 5 | +45.68 | 18 | 7 | .537 | 3 | +.183 | 14 | +1.24 | 7 | +44.75 | 6 | +46.14 | 5 | 60.92 | 22 | 11.11 | 379 | |
6 | South Bend Washington | 6 | +44.35 | 20 | 2 | .622 | 33 | +.288 | 5 | +1.40 | 5 | +45.53 | 5 | +43.74 | 6 | 62.24 | 18 | 9.35 | 308 | |
7 | Brownsburg | 7 | +43.11 | 19 | 5 | .552 | 8 | +.240 | 7 | +1.28 | 6 | +42.97 | 8 | +43.22 | 7 | 62.23 | 19 | 9.10 | 288 | |
10 | Plainfield | 8 | +40.43 | 17 | 6 | .592 | 19 | +.146 | 17 | +1.04 | 13 | +40.96 | 10 | +40.20 | 10 | 59.62 | 33 | 9.02 | 277 | |
11 | Pike | 9 | +39.91 | 17 | 7 | .541 | 6 | +.168 | 15 | +1.07 | 11 | +39.60 | 12 | +40.08 | 11 | 65.04 | 9 | 7.80 | 176 | |
12 | Noblesville | 10 | +39.74 | 19 | 5 | .558 | 11 | +.233 | 10 | +1.19 | 8 | +39.77 | 11 | +39.77 | 12 | 57.48 | 67 | 5.46 | 9 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | SCORING | Rk | DEVIANCE | Rk | |
13 | Center Grove | 11 | +38.83 | 18 | 4 | .583 | 16 | +.235 | 9 | +1.17 | 9 | +39.28 | 13 | +38.62 | 13 | 54.15 | 140 | 9.40 | 314 | |
15 | Northridge | 12 | +37.81 | 21 | 5 | .610 | 23 | +.198 | 12 | +1.07 | 10 | +38.70 | 14 | +37.37 | 16 | 59.96 | 31 | 7.60 | 154 | |
17 | Pendleton Heights | 13 | +36.86 | 19 | 7 | .607 | 22 | +.124 | 19 | +0.91 | 16 | +35.91 | 17 | +37.34 | 17 | 60.91 | 23 | 8.62 | 245 | |
18 | Fishers | 14 | +36.11 | 12 | 9 | .538 | 4 | +.034 | 31 | +0.72 | 23 | +35.60 | 20 | +36.37 | 18 | 53.40 | 159 | 8.42 | 225 | |
19 | Westfield | 15 | +35.90 | 16 | 9 | .556 | 10 | +.084 | 23 | +0.81 | 19 | +35.51 | 21 | +36.09 | 19 | 47.23 | 330 | 6.17 | 43 | |
21 | Penn | 16 | +35.47 | 19 | 6 | .632 | 43 | +.128 | 18 | +0.88 | 17 | +35.62 | 19 | +35.37 | 21 | 48.77 | 284 | 8.53 | 235 | |
22 | Franklin Central | 17 | +35.35 | 18 | 10 | .585 | 18 | +.058 | 25 | +0.75 | 22 | +35.43 | 22 | +35.30 | 22 | 56.68 | 83 | 7.51 | 148 | |
23 | Valparaiso | 18 | +35.04 | 19 | 8 | .612 | 26 | +.092 | 21 | +0.80 | 20 | +35.12 | 24 | +35.03 | 23 | 60.41 | 26 | 7.61 | 156 | |
24 | Bloomington South | 19 | +34.63 | 23 | 3 | .648 | 52 | +.237 | 8 | +1.06 | 12 | +35.19 | 23 | +34.40 | 24 | 56.68 | 82 | 9.00 | 275 | |
27 | Floyd Central | 20 | +32.46 | 23 | 5 | .624 | 35 | +.198 | 13 | +0.94 | 15 | +32.94 | 27 | +32.24 | 27 | 51.63 | 210 | 7.76 | 171 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | SCORING | Rk | DEVIANCE | Rk | |
28 | McCutcheon | 21 | +32.30 | 24 | 4 | .616 | 28 | +.242 | 6 | +1.02 | 14 | +32.68 | 28 | +32.12 | 28 | 60.67 | 24 | 7.47 | 142 | |
29 | Avon | 22 | +31.88 | 11 | 13 | .553 | 9 | -.095 | 45 | +0.37 | 30 | +32.48 | 29 | +31.60 | 30 | 64.42 | 10 | 7.59 | 150 | |
32 | Castle | 23 | +30.64 | 14 | 6 | .626 | 37 | +.074 | 24 | +0.66 | 24 | +29.94 | 33 | +31.04 | 32 | 55.61 | 111 | 12.44 | 391 | |
33 | Lake Central | 24 | +30.10 | 13 | 7 | .620 | 32 | +.031 | 33 | +0.56 | 26 | +30.21 | 32 | +30.07 | 33 | 47.41 | 327 | 6.30 | 54 | |
34 | Carmel | 25 | +29.56 | 10 | 13 | .543 | 7 | -.107 | 47 | +0.29 | 37 | +29.46 | 34 | +29.63 | 35 | 57.04 | 77 | 5.50 | 10 | |
35 | Gibson Southern | 26 | +29.52 | 21 | 6 | .623 | 34 | +.155 | 16 | +0.78 | 21 | +28.99 | 35 | +29.78 | 34 | 58.08 | 56 | 8.05 | 197 | |
37 | North Central (Indianapolis) | 27 | +28.13 | 5 | 17 | .539 | 5 | -.312 | 61 | -0.13 | 51 | +27.63 | 40 | +28.33 | 37 | 57.64 | 63 | 9.90 | 347 | |
40 | Hammond Central | 28 | +27.45 | 19 | 3 | .660 | 61 | +.205 | 11 | +0.82 | 18 | +27.52 | 41 | +27.41 | 40 | 53.26 | 164 | 8.62 | 246 | |
41 | Fort Wayne Snider | 29 | +27.19 | 13 | 12 | .584 | 17 | -.064 | 41 | +0.31 | 34 | +27.76 | 39 | +26.87 | 42 | 55.61 | 112 | 7.34 | 125 | |
42 | Ben Davis | 30 | +26.90 | 12 | 12 | .568 | 13 | -.068 | 42 | +0.30 | 36 | +26.48 | 43 | +27.11 | 41 | 53.17 | 166 | 6.95 | 99 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | SCORING | Rk | DEVIANCE | Rk | |
43 | Fort Wayne Northrop | 31 | +26.89 | 16 | 8 | .624 | 36 | +.042 | 30 | +0.50 | 27 | +27.25 | 42 | +26.70 | 43 | 63.20 | 13 | 9.90 | 348 | |
48 | Evansville Reitz | 32 | +25.48 | 17 | 5 | .650 | 54 | +.123 | 20 | +0.62 | 25 | +25.92 | 47 | +25.31 | 48 | 54.55 | 133 | 10.88 | 374 | |
50 | Zionsville | 33 | +24.89 | 10 | 13 | .566 | 12 | -.131 | 50 | +0.13 | 44 | +24.32 | 54 | +25.19 | 50 | 58.45 | 44 | 8.06 | 198 | |
51 | Carroll (Fort Wayne) | 34 | +24.71 | 12 | 10 | .583 | 15 | -.037 | 38 | +0.30 | 35 | +25.17 | 49 | +24.46 | 51 | 65.43 | 7 | 9.13 | 292 | |
55 | Warren Central | 35 | +23.95 | 12 | 9 | .612 | 25 | -.040 | 39 | +0.27 | 38 | +24.71 | 53 | +23.64 | 55 | 56.43 | 89 | 12.28 | 390 | |
56 | Merrillville | 36 | +22.96 | 15 | 7 | .630 | 41 | +.052 | 26 | +0.42 | 29 | +23.13 | 59 | +22.85 | 57 | 58.09 | 55 | 9.41 | 315 | |
58 | Evansville North | 37 | +22.79 | 14 | 10 | .613 | 27 | -.030 | 36 | +0.26 | 39 | +23.61 | 56 | +22.40 | 58 | 56.11 | 96 | 10.25 | 357 | |
60 | Greenfield-Central | 38 | +22.28 | 16 | 8 | .649 | 53 | +.018 | 34 | +0.34 | 31 | +22.81 | 60 | +21.96 | 60 | 54.87 | 128 | 11.56 | 385 | |
65 | Columbus North | 39 | +20.30 | 17 | 8 | .636 | 45 | +.044 | 29 | +0.34 | 33 | +21.04 | 64 | +19.94 | 67 | 59.26 | 37 | 7.12 | 110 | |
66 | Chesterton | 40 | +20.15 | 15 | 9 | .651 | 55 | -.026 | 35 | +0.21 | 41 | +20.49 | 66 | +19.95 | 66 | 53.47 | 158 | 8.56 | 237 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | SCORING | Rk | DEVIANCE | Rk | |
67 | Mount Vernon (Fortville) | 41 | +20.10 | 18 | 7 | .630 | 40 | +.090 | 22 | +0.42 | 28 | +20.34 | 67 | +19.99 | 65 | 47.71 | 318 | 7.61 | 157 | |
68 | Lafayette Jeff | 42 | +19.74 | 18 | 7 | .669 | 64 | +.051 | 27 | +0.34 | 32 | +19.47 | 71 | +19.88 | 68 | 55.67 | 108 | 7.27 | 115 | |
72 | Huntington North | 43 | +19.22 | 14 | 10 | .631 | 42 | -.047 | 40 | +0.14 | 43 | +18.83 | 74 | +19.41 | 71 | 54.52 | 134 | 5.94 | 28 | |
74 | Jeffersonville | 44 | +18.10 | 10 | 13 | .596 | 20 | -.162 | 54 | -0.10 | 48 | +19.10 | 72 | +17.61 | 75 | 59.53 | 35 | 9.88 | 343 | |
78 | Crown Point | 45 | +16.49 | 12 | 12 | .643 | 48 | -.143 | 52 | -0.11 | 49 | +17.16 | 77 | +16.14 | 80 | 56.66 | 85 | 8.80 | 263 | |
83 | Mooresville | 46 | +15.53 | 18 | 8 | .642 | 47 | +.049 | 28 | +0.23 | 40 | +15.86 | 82 | +15.37 | 85 | 55.34 | 117 | 7.90 | 184 | |
85 | Hammond Morton | 47 | +15.40 | 14 | 5 | .706 | 78 | +.031 | 32 | +0.19 | 42 | +15.76 | 83 | +15.23 | 87 | 71.53 | 1 | 8.96 | 272 | |
89 | Elkhart | 48 | +15.06 | 13 | 11 | .647 | 51 | -.105 | 46 | -0.07 | 46 | +15.54 | 86 | +14.81 | 91 | 50.12 | 255 | 7.04 | 106 | |
91 | East Central | 49 | +14.92 | 12 | 11 | .645 | 49 | -.124 | 49 | -0.11 | 50 | +14.81 | 92 | +14.96 | 88 | 47.41 | 326 | 7.94 | 189 | |
95 | Kokomo | 50 | +13.80 | 16 | 8 | .699 | 76 | -.032 | 37 | +0.04 | 45 | +13.56 | 96 | +13.92 | 93 | 57.99 | 60 | 8.65 | 251 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | SCORING | Rk | DEVIANCE | Rk | |
98 | Seymour | 51 | +13.40 | 10 | 13 | .628 | 38 | -.194 | 56 | -0.28 | 54 | +13.10 | 100 | +13.54 | 96 | 53.47 | 157 | 9.17 | 296 | |
102 | Bedford North Lawrence | 52 | +12.56 | 7 | 16 | .611 | 24 | -.307 | 60 | -0.52 | 59 | +13.20 | 99 | +12.23 | 106 | 51.82 | 204 | 7.38 | 130 | |
103 | Munster | 53 | +12.51 | 14 | 10 | .669 | 65 | -.085 | 43 | -0.10 | 47 | +12.01 | 108 | +12.77 | 102 | 57.34 | 70 | 10.53 | 367 | |
113 | Franklin | 54 | +11.24 | 8 | 16 | .616 | 29 | -.283 | 59 | -0.50 | 58 | +11.63 | 110 | +11.06 | 113 | 57.16 | 73 | 6.82 | 88 | |
120 | Richmond | 55 | +10.09 | 11 | 12 | .646 | 50 | -.168 | 55 | -0.31 | 55 | +9.46 | 128 | +10.38 | 115 | 53.93 | 147 | 10.34 | 361 | |
121 | Bloomington North | 56 | +10.06 | 13 | 12 | .656 | 60 | -.136 | 51 | -0.26 | 53 | +10.34 | 121 | +9.93 | 120 | 52.38 | 184 | 6.44 | 62 | |
134 | Southport | 57 | +9.12 | 12 | 10 | .668 | 63 | -.123 | 48 | -0.25 | 52 | +9.45 | 130 | +8.96 | 134 | 56.34 | 91 | 6.15 | 41 | |
136 | Harrison (West Lafayette) | 58 | +8.79 | 7 | 17 | .619 | 30 | -.327 | 62 | -0.65 | 60 | +8.89 | 136 | +8.74 | 137 | 53.64 | 153 | 8.04 | 195 | |
151 | New Albany | 59 | +6.04 | 5 | 18 | .633 | 44 | -.416 | 72 | -0.88 | 64 | +6.16 | 151 | +5.98 | 150 | 58.30 | 49 | 7.85 | 182 | |
159 | Decatur Central | 60 | +4.96 | 6 | 15 | .620 | 31 | -.334 | 63 | -0.76 | 62 | +5.19 | 160 | +4.85 | 162 | 58.04 | 58 | 8.95 | 271 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | SCORING | Rk | DEVIANCE | Rk | |
169 | Fort Wayne Wayne | 61 | +3.97 | 12 | 11 | .675 | 69 | -.154 | 53 | -0.44 | 57 | +4.22 | 170 | +3.86 | 167 | 56.06 | 97 | 6.76 | 79 | |
176 | Concord | 62 | +3.34 | 9 | 13 | .684 | 73 | -.275 | 58 | -0.69 | 61 | +3.13 | 178 | +3.48 | 171 | 45.13 | 356 | 6.49 | 64 | |
184 | Martinsville | 63 | +2.29 | 8 | 16 | .670 | 66 | -.336 | 64 | -0.83 | 63 | +2.61 | 181 | +2.13 | 184 | 52.28 | 188 | 6.31 | 55 | |
202 | Terre Haute North | 64 | -0.52 | 7 | 14 | .671 | 67 | -.338 | 65 | -0.90 | 65 | -0.45 | 204 | -0.51 | 201 | 53.33 | 161 | 9.04 | 280 | |
203 | South Bend Riley | 65 | -0.53 | 16 | 10 | .708 | 80 | -.092 | 44 | -0.44 | 56 | -0.35 | 201 | -0.65 | 204 | 53.22 | 165 | 9.08 | 281 | |
205 | Whiteland | 66 | -0.77 | 6 | 17 | .652 | 57 | -.391 | 71 | -1.01 | 67 | +0.36 | 196 | -1.33 | 206 | 52.08 | 196 | 9.44 | 320 | |
234 | Muncie Central | 67 | -5.75 | 8 | 14 | .705 | 77 | -.341 | 66 | -1.04 | 68 | -4.63 | 225 | -6.38 | 237 | 51.06 | 226 | 8.61 | 243 | |
235 | Columbus East | 68 | -5.85 | 2 | 21 | .640 | 46 | -.554 | 78 | -1.44 | 75 | -5.58 | 234 | -6.00 | 234 | 58.27 | 50 | 7.27 | 116 | |
237 | Michigan City | 69 | -6.28 | 7 | 17 | .682 | 72 | -.390 | 70 | -1.14 | 70 | -6.06 | 237 | -6.38 | 238 | 51.76 | 206 | 9.42 | 317 | |
241 | Perry Meridian | 70 | -6.87 | 1 | 21 | .652 | 58 | -.607 | 81 | -1.57 | 78 | -6.11 | 238 | -7.27 | 243 | 49.72 | 259 | 6.22 | 49 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | SCORING | Rk | DEVIANCE | Rk | |
244 | Anderson | 71 | -7.17 | 3 | 22 | .630 | 39 | -.509 | 76 | -1.39 | 73 | -7.09 | 244 | -7.28 | 244 | 59.46 | 36 | 9.14 | 294 | |
247 | Evansville Harrison | 72 | -8.00 | 3 | 18 | .651 | 56 | -.508 | 75 | -1.41 | 74 | -8.42 | 251 | -7.78 | 246 | 60.02 | 30 | 9.48 | 324 | |
249 | Portage | 73 | -8.09 | 10 | 13 | .688 | 75 | -.253 | 57 | -0.93 | 66 | -7.57 | 247 | -8.41 | 252 | 45.19 | 355 | 10.82 | 372 | |
251 | Terre Haute South | 74 | -8.24 | 6 | 11 | .715 | 81 | -.362 | 68 | -1.14 | 69 | -8.69 | 254 | -7.97 | 248 | 50.66 | 239 | 8.54 | 236 | |
254 | South Bend Adams | 75 | -8.72 | 6 | 13 | .677 | 71 | -.361 | 67 | -1.15 | 71 | -7.69 | 248 | -9.27 | 256 | 57.51 | 66 | 7.32 | 121 | |
257 | Goshen | 76 | -9.10 | 6 | 15 | .655 | 59 | -.369 | 69 | -1.18 | 72 | -8.75 | 257 | -9.32 | 257 | 41.59 | 380 | 7.80 | 175 | |
272 | Fort Wayne North | 77 | -12.12 | 4 | 18 | .664 | 62 | -.482 | 73 | -1.46 | 76 | -12.06 | 272 | -12.18 | 273 | 60.24 | 29 | 7.80 | 177 | |
277 | Fort Wayne South | 78 | -13.51 | 4 | 18 | .677 | 70 | -.495 | 74 | -1.52 | 77 | -13.20 | 276 | -13.69 | 277 | 55.28 | 119 | 8.63 | 249 | |
298 | Hobart | 79 | -17.96 | 3 | 19 | .707 | 79 | -.571 | 79 | -1.78 | 79 | -17.28 | 297 | -18.35 | 301 | 50.67 | 238 | 6.93 | 97 | |
309 | Mishawaka | 80 | -21.22 | 2 | 21 | .674 | 68 | -.587 | 80 | -1.89 | 80 | -21.55 | 310 | -21.16 | 309 | 51.16 | 223 | 8.47 | 230 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | SCORING | Rk | DEVIANCE | Rk | |
316 | LaPorte | 81 | -22.59 | 0 | 23 | .687 | 74 | -.687 | 82 | -2.11 | 81 | -23.22 | 319 | -22.30 | 314 | 51.97 | 199 | 7.47 | 141 | |
370 | Indianapolis Tech | 82 | -47.38 | 4 | 15 | .746 | 82 | -.536 | 77 | -2.45 | 82 | -48.63 | 371 | -46.72 | 369 | 46.30 | 344 | 11.75 | 387 |