The TWISTR Ratings are an iterative least-squares, score-based ratings system built in the spirit of an Elo model. Team ratings are agnostic to the final result of a game, as only the scoring margins are important when rating teams. No additional benefit is provided for a win or penalty for a loss. The TWISTR ratings for BASKETBALL incorporate three key concepts:
The RATING represents the number of points a team would be favored by against an average opponent. Teams with a positive RATING are considered better than average, while teams with a negative RATING are considered worse than average. The RATING can be thought of as a composite of the INDEPENDENT (INDY) rating, in which the time a game was played does not matter, and the FORECASTER (CASTER) rating, where recent results are weighted more heavily.
Both the STRENGTH OF RECORD (SoR) and Z-SCORE (Z-SCR) are resume ratings - SoR only considers a team's win-loss record and is independent of margin of victory, while Z-SCR is a blend of RATING and SoR.
TWISTR IHSAA TEAM RATINGS | SCHEDULE & RESUME | COMPONENT RATINGS | TEAM PROFILE | |||||||||||||||||
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RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | SCORING | Rk | DEVIANCE | Rk | |
1 | Lawrence Central | 1 | +55.89 | 11 | 1 | .559 | 1 | +.359 | 1 | +1.99 | 1 | +56.09 | 1 | +55.80 | 1 | 64.06 | 15 | 8.87 | 289 | |
2 | Warsaw | 2 | +52.39 | 13 | 0 | .829 | 29 | +.172 | 5 | +1.60 | 3 | +52.03 | 2 | +52.60 | 2 | 71.33 | 1 | 9.17 | 307 | |
3 | South Bend Washington | 3 | +50.39 | 13 | 1 | .754 | 16 | +.176 | 4 | +1.56 | 4 | +50.08 | 3 | +50.56 | 3 | 66.79 | 6 | 10.91 | 363 | |
4 | Hamilton Southeastern | 4 | +50.10 | 14 | 0 | .645 | 3 | +.357 | 2 | +1.85 | 2 | +49.59 | 4 | +50.33 | 4 | 56.82 | 83 | 4.74 | 27 | |
5 | Homestead | 5 | +47.63 | 11 | 2 | .661 | 6 | +.184 | 3 | +1.51 | 5 | +48.35 | 5 | +47.25 | 5 | 65.89 | 10 | 8.61 | 272 | |
8 | Lawrence North | 6 | +42.94 | 7 | 4 | .601 | 2 | +.036 | 12 | +1.15 | 10 | +42.02 | 9 | +43.42 | 8 | 60.37 | 34 | 8.71 | 280 | |
9 | Northridge | 7 | +42.10 | 15 | 2 | .826 | 28 | +.059 | 9 | +1.17 | 8 | +42.40 | 8 | +41.99 | 10 | 62.82 | 20 | 8.65 | 277 | |
10 | Brownsburg | 8 | +41.98 | 10 | 3 | .693 | 9 | +.078 | 8 | +1.20 | 7 | +41.62 | 10 | +42.20 | 9 | 60.77 | 32 | 6.34 | 94 | |
11 | Pike | 9 | +40.91 | 7 | 3 | .647 | 5 | +.051 | 11 | +1.13 | 11 | +40.33 | 16 | +41.24 | 11 | 67.65 | 5 | 8.27 | 247 | |
12 | Noblesville | 10 | +40.85 | 10 | 3 | .645 | 4 | +.124 | 6 | +1.24 | 6 | +40.79 | 12 | +40.86 | 12 | 56.87 | 82 | 4.68 | 25 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | SCORING | Rk | DEVIANCE | Rk | |
13 | Bloomington South | 11 | +40.32 | 14 | 1 | .931 | 69 | +.002 | 13 | +1.03 | 12 | +40.35 | 15 | +40.31 | 13 | 56.90 | 81 | 10.51 | 359 | |
15 | Plainfield | 12 | +39.71 | 10 | 4 | .776 | 20 | -.061 | 17 | +0.91 | 13 | +41.24 | 11 | +38.93 | 15 | 59.94 | 39 | 7.89 | 218 | |
16 | Center Grove | 13 | +39.32 | 12 | 1 | .831 | 30 | +.092 | 7 | +1.16 | 9 | +40.67 | 13 | +38.61 | 16 | 50.60 | 231 | 8.79 | 283 | |
18 | Valparaiso | 14 | +37.55 | 9 | 6 | .730 | 14 | -.127 | 24 | +0.75 | 19 | +37.41 | 17 | +37.62 | 18 | 62.64 | 21 | 7.98 | 226 | |
19 | Penn | 15 | +37.37 | 12 | 5 | .796 | 25 | -.093 | 21 | +0.80 | 16 | +36.98 | 18 | +37.57 | 19 | 53.94 | 143 | 9.53 | 318 | |
20 | Avon | 16 | +36.90 | 9 | 7 | .684 | 7 | -.120 | 23 | +0.75 | 20 | +36.77 | 21 | +36.94 | 21 | 66.43 | 8 | 6.36 | 96 | |
21 | Westfield | 17 | +36.66 | 10 | 6 | .712 | 10 | -.086 | 20 | +0.80 | 17 | +36.00 | 24 | +36.97 | 20 | 46.29 | 334 | 5.91 | 73 | |
22 | Franklin Central | 18 | +36.52 | 12 | 6 | .797 | 26 | -.131 | 25 | +0.72 | 21 | +36.44 | 22 | +36.58 | 22 | 58.61 | 55 | 6.42 | 100 | |
24 | Floyd Central | 19 | +35.56 | 12 | 2 | .862 | 36 | -.008 | 14 | +0.90 | 14 | +36.24 | 23 | +35.32 | 25 | 50.96 | 220 | 6.28 | 91 | |
27 | Fishers | 20 | +34.29 | 9 | 6 | .720 | 12 | -.118 | 22 | +0.69 | 22 | +34.17 | 27 | +34.40 | 27 | 52.78 | 166 | 7.31 | 170 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | SCORING | Rk | DEVIANCE | Rk | |
28 | Pendleton Heights | 21 | +33.49 | 8 | 6 | .783 | 22 | -.211 | 38 | +0.52 | 27 | +33.04 | 29 | +33.69 | 28 | 58.96 | 50 | 7.39 | 174 | |
29 | McCutcheon | 22 | +33.24 | 15 | 3 | .875 | 43 | -.041 | 15 | +0.79 | 18 | +33.64 | 28 | +33.13 | 29 | 61.56 | 26 | 7.58 | 195 | |
31 | Lake Central | 23 | +31.69 | 9 | 4 | .866 | 38 | -.171 | 31 | +0.54 | 25 | +31.54 | 31 | +31.80 | 31 | 47.34 | 316 | 7.02 | 153 | |
33 | Carmel | 24 | +30.69 | 7 | 6 | .689 | 8 | -.147 | 28 | +0.55 | 24 | +29.83 | 34 | +31.09 | 32 | 59.02 | 49 | 4.20 | 16 | |
35 | Castle | 25 | +30.19 | 10 | 4 | .884 | 47 | -.168 | 30 | +0.51 | 28 | +29.09 | 37 | +30.76 | 35 | 55.41 | 113 | 12.64 | 381 | |
36 | Hammond Central | 26 | +30.01 | 10 | 1 | .856 | 35 | +.053 | 10 | +0.87 | 15 | +29.28 | 35 | +30.39 | 36 | 54.48 | 132 | 11.00 | 368 | |
37 | Evansville Reitz | 27 | +28.97 | 12 | 2 | .923 | 64 | -.067 | 18 | +0.64 | 23 | +29.14 | 36 | +28.96 | 37 | 53.01 | 165 | 10.96 | 366 | |
40 | Fort Wayne Snider | 28 | +28.35 | 9 | 7 | .787 | 23 | -.226 | 42 | +0.37 | 34 | +28.80 | 38 | +28.15 | 42 | 54.73 | 129 | 5.62 | 61 | |
41 | Warren Central | 29 | +28.05 | 9 | 6 | .779 | 21 | -.177 | 32 | +0.44 | 31 | +28.02 | 42 | +28.03 | 43 | 54.26 | 136 | 7.95 | 222 | |
42 | Fort Wayne Northrop | 30 | +28.03 | 9 | 3 | .892 | 50 | -.141 | 27 | +0.50 | 29 | +28.17 | 41 | +27.97 | 45 | 64.87 | 13 | 9.57 | 321 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | SCORING | Rk | DEVIANCE | Rk | |
45 | Gibson Southern | 31 | +27.72 | 12 | 4 | .905 | 55 | -.156 | 29 | +0.47 | 30 | +27.20 | 45 | +27.97 | 44 | 61.07 | 29 | 9.56 | 320 | |
46 | Evansville North | 32 | +27.38 | 7 | 6 | .755 | 17 | -.214 | 40 | +0.36 | 35 | +27.90 | 43 | +27.18 | 46 | 55.40 | 114 | 10.93 | 365 | |
48 | Carroll (Fort Wayne) | 33 | +26.38 | 7 | 6 | .727 | 13 | -.191 | 36 | +0.38 | 33 | +26.68 | 47 | +26.24 | 48 | 63.83 | 16 | 7.78 | 212 | |
49 | North Central (Indianapolis) | 34 | +25.89 | 2 | 11 | .719 | 11 | -.564 | 63 | -0.25 | 51 | +25.61 | 50 | +26.04 | 49 | 54.92 | 126 | 6.96 | 146 | |
53 | Greenfield-Central | 35 | +24.48 | 11 | 4 | .912 | 57 | -.178 | 33 | +0.35 | 37 | +24.45 | 54 | +24.54 | 53 | 53.78 | 148 | 11.21 | 369 | |
55 | Jeffersonville | 36 | +24.19 | 8 | 4 | .880 | 44 | -.213 | 39 | +0.29 | 39 | +24.99 | 52 | +23.77 | 59 | 58.13 | 58 | 9.66 | 324 | |
56 | Ben Davis | 37 | +24.05 | 7 | 8 | .739 | 15 | -.272 | 44 | +0.19 | 42 | +23.83 | 58 | +24.15 | 55 | 53.59 | 154 | 7.76 | 211 | |
58 | Zionsville | 38 | +23.69 | 5 | 8 | .768 | 18 | -.384 | 54 | -0.00 | 46 | +22.93 | 62 | +24.04 | 56 | 57.60 | 69 | 8.88 | 290 | |
60 | Columbus North | 39 | +23.57 | 13 | 2 | .924 | 65 | -.058 | 16 | +0.53 | 26 | +23.83 | 59 | +23.44 | 61 | 57.74 | 67 | 7.08 | 156 | |
65 | Mount Vernon (Fortville) | 40 | +22.57 | 12 | 4 | .883 | 46 | -.133 | 26 | +0.38 | 32 | +22.18 | 69 | +22.75 | 65 | 47.39 | 313 | 7.73 | 207 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | SCORING | Rk | DEVIANCE | Rk | |
66 | Chesterton | 41 | +22.46 | 9 | 4 | .900 | 53 | -.211 | 37 | +0.25 | 40 | +22.50 | 67 | +22.43 | 66 | 57.58 | 70 | 10.93 | 364 | |
67 | Merrillville | 42 | +22.42 | 8 | 5 | .795 | 24 | -.182 | 35 | +0.30 | 38 | +22.52 | 66 | +22.34 | 67 | 57.45 | 72 | 12.68 | 382 | |
72 | Crown Point | 43 | +20.49 | 9 | 8 | .809 | 27 | -.279 | 45 | +0.09 | 44 | +20.57 | 73 | +20.47 | 72 | 56.40 | 92 | 10.50 | 357 | |
79 | Hammond Morton | 44 | +18.28 | 11 | 2 | .929 | 66 | -.081 | 19 | +0.36 | 36 | +18.07 | 78 | +18.36 | 78 | 69.81 | 2 | 12.74 | 383 | |
80 | Lafayette Jeff | 45 | +18.09 | 10 | 3 | .950 | 74 | -.181 | 34 | +0.19 | 41 | +18.03 | 80 | +18.15 | 80 | 50.98 | 217 | 6.43 | 102 | |
82 | Elkhart | 46 | +17.06 | 7 | 6 | .845 | 32 | -.309 | 47 | -0.04 | 47 | +16.89 | 86 | +17.17 | 84 | 48.22 | 289 | 8.55 | 268 | |
88 | Mooresville | 47 | +16.68 | 11 | 5 | .903 | 54 | -.216 | 41 | +0.10 | 43 | +16.87 | 87 | +16.59 | 90 | 54.65 | 130 | 8.44 | 262 | |
93 | Huntington North | 48 | +16.03 | 9 | 5 | .883 | 45 | -.241 | 43 | +0.05 | 45 | +15.80 | 90 | +16.14 | 91 | 59.62 | 43 | 5.13 | 37 | |
98 | Munster | 49 | +14.26 | 8 | 6 | .930 | 67 | -.357 | 51 | -0.19 | 49 | +13.01 | 104 | +14.89 | 97 | 57.78 | 66 | 10.48 | 356 | |
103 | Franklin | 50 | +13.80 | 6 | 10 | .768 | 19 | -.392 | 55 | -0.26 | 52 | +14.13 | 97 | +13.62 | 104 | 58.06 | 61 | 8.48 | 265 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | SCORING | Rk | DEVIANCE | Rk | |
106 | Bedford North Lawrence | 51 | +13.16 | 4 | 10 | .869 | 39 | -.583 | 65 | -0.58 | 57 | +13.98 | 99 | +12.75 | 107 | 51.29 | 213 | 8.95 | 295 | |
114 | Kokomo | 52 | +11.92 | 10 | 5 | .958 | 76 | -.291 | 46 | -0.14 | 48 | +12.15 | 113 | +11.82 | 115 | 58.78 | 52 | 8.07 | 232 | |
115 | Seymour | 53 | +11.87 | 4 | 11 | .847 | 33 | -.581 | 64 | -0.61 | 58 | +11.33 | 118 | +12.07 | 113 | 55.48 | 111 | 10.34 | 351 | |
116 | Bloomington North | 54 | +11.49 | 8 | 7 | .913 | 58 | -.380 | 52 | -0.29 | 54 | +11.51 | 116 | +11.47 | 117 | 52.65 | 171 | 7.02 | 152 | |
117 | East Central | 55 | +11.47 | 7 | 6 | .922 | 63 | -.384 | 53 | -0.30 | 55 | +12.01 | 114 | +11.19 | 119 | 45.54 | 346 | 6.95 | 143 | |
132 | Southport | 56 | +9.51 | 8 | 5 | .933 | 70 | -.318 | 48 | -0.24 | 50 | +10.07 | 129 | +9.20 | 137 | 57.95 | 63 | 6.04 | 82 | |
141 | Harrison (West Lafayette) | 57 | +8.71 | 4 | 9 | .852 | 34 | -.544 | 61 | -0.63 | 60 | +8.94 | 136 | +8.61 | 145 | 54.18 | 138 | 7.32 | 171 | |
147 | Whiteland | 58 | +8.32 | 5 | 10 | .869 | 40 | -.535 | 59 | -0.62 | 59 | +7.74 | 152 | +8.59 | 146 | 53.94 | 142 | 7.62 | 201 | |
148 | Decatur Central | 59 | +8.14 | 3 | 10 | .873 | 42 | -.644 | 69 | -0.81 | 64 | +7.79 | 149 | +8.31 | 148 | 56.17 | 98 | 8.49 | 266 | |
155 | Fort Wayne Wayne | 60 | +7.63 | 9 | 6 | .918 | 61 | -.318 | 49 | -0.28 | 53 | +7.26 | 155 | +7.79 | 154 | 53.34 | 159 | 5.59 | 57 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | SCORING | Rk | DEVIANCE | Rk | |
158 | Richmond | 61 | +6.98 | 6 | 8 | .948 | 72 | -.519 | 58 | -0.63 | 61 | +6.59 | 159 | +7.14 | 159 | 52.23 | 178 | 8.42 | 259 | |
177 | New Albany | 62 | +4.40 | 2 | 11 | .900 | 52 | -.744 | 73 | -1.06 | 70 | +5.27 | 171 | +3.90 | 180 | 59.81 | 41 | 7.04 | 154 | |
180 | Concord | 63 | +4.03 | 4 | 10 | .916 | 59 | -.630 | 68 | -0.88 | 65 | +3.57 | 181 | +4.34 | 177 | 44.09 | 361 | 4.45 | 19 | |
181 | Martinsville | 64 | +3.96 | 2 | 11 | .863 | 37 | -.708 | 71 | -1.01 | 69 | +4.18 | 177 | +3.81 | 181 | 55.28 | 118 | 8.02 | 229 | |
183 | Terre Haute North | 65 | +3.06 | 3 | 8 | .893 | 51 | -.620 | 67 | -0.89 | 66 | +1.97 | 188 | +3.63 | 182 | 53.02 | 164 | 6.20 | 87 | |
209 | Muncie Central | 66 | -1.35 | 7 | 6 | .983 | 81 | -.445 | 57 | -0.71 | 62 | -1.18 | 207 | -1.47 | 210 | 49.79 | 250 | 5.81 | 65 | |
211 | South Bend Riley | 67 | -1.74 | 8 | 6 | .906 | 56 | -.332 | 50 | -0.53 | 56 | -0.97 | 205 | -2.15 | 213 | 50.02 | 244 | 8.67 | 278 | |
214 | Michigan City | 68 | -2.54 | 2 | 11 | .920 | 62 | -.765 | 76 | -1.26 | 72 | -2.71 | 215 | -2.46 | 214 | 49.10 | 270 | 10.33 | 350 | |
224 | South Bend Adams | 69 | -4.32 | 4 | 6 | .938 | 71 | -.536 | 60 | -0.93 | 67 | -3.76 | 220 | -4.63 | 229 | 53.56 | 155 | 7.82 | 214 | |
230 | Perry Meridian | 70 | -4.72 | 1 | 14 | .931 | 68 | -.863 | 81 | -1.48 | 76 | -3.95 | 224 | -5.19 | 232 | 52.04 | 185 | 6.30 | 92 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | SCORING | Rk | DEVIANCE | Rk | |
235 | Columbus East | 71 | -5.22 | 1 | 12 | .892 | 49 | -.815 | 80 | -1.41 | 73 | -4.84 | 232 | -5.33 | 234 | 55.00 | 123 | 7.10 | 157 | |
239 | Portage | 72 | -5.95 | 8 | 7 | .968 | 78 | -.433 | 56 | -0.80 | 63 | -5.87 | 239 | -6.00 | 238 | 45.73 | 342 | 10.42 | 354 | |
242 | Goshen | 73 | -6.83 | 4 | 10 | .835 | 31 | -.548 | 62 | -1.01 | 68 | -7.34 | 245 | -6.54 | 242 | 40.82 | 377 | 8.15 | 238 | |
251 | Anderson | 74 | -8.20 | 1 | 14 | .870 | 41 | -.802 | 79 | -1.46 | 75 | -8.12 | 251 | -8.20 | 250 | 61.88 | 24 | 9.80 | 332 | |
253 | Terre Haute South | 75 | -9.04 | 4 | 7 | .978 | 80 | -.614 | 66 | -1.17 | 71 | -9.58 | 256 | -8.72 | 253 | 51.96 | 187 | 6.51 | 110 | |
261 | Evansville Harrison | 76 | -10.31 | 2 | 12 | .892 | 48 | -.749 | 74 | -1.42 | 74 | -10.92 | 266 | -9.98 | 259 | 60.91 | 31 | 9.75 | 329 | |
268 | Fort Wayne North | 77 | -11.62 | 2 | 12 | .916 | 60 | -.774 | 77 | -1.50 | 78 | -11.91 | 269 | -11.53 | 267 | 54.95 | 125 | 7.58 | 194 | |
281 | Hobart | 78 | -14.28 | 3 | 9 | .985 | 82 | -.735 | 72 | -1.50 | 77 | -14.41 | 281 | -14.22 | 280 | 50.08 | 243 | 5.93 | 76 | |
282 | Fort Wayne South | 79 | -14.35 | 3 | 12 | .952 | 75 | -.752 | 75 | -1.53 | 79 | -13.77 | 277 | -14.65 | 282 | 56.24 | 95 | 10.90 | 362 | |
318 | LaPorte | 80 | -25.00 | 0 | 13 | .949 | 73 | -.951 | 82 | -2.11 | 81 | -25.94 | 319 | -24.53 | 316 | 51.41 | 208 | 10.42 | 353 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | SCORING | Rk | DEVIANCE | Rk | |
323 | Mishawaka | 81 | -26.71 | 2 | 10 | .966 | 77 | -.798 | 78 | -1.90 | 80 | -26.08 | 322 | -27.08 | 325 | 51.73 | 197 | 10.97 | 367 | |
379 | Indianapolis Tech | 82 | -58.70 | 3 | 8 | .976 | 79 | -.703 | 70 | -2.52 | 82 | -58.14 | 379 | -59.08 | 379 | 48.51 | 284 | 7.46 | 185 |