The TWISTR Ratings are an iterative least-squares, score-based ratings system built in the spirit of an Elo model. Team ratings are agnostic to the final result of a game, as only the scoring margins are important when rating teams. No additional benefit is provided for a win or penalty for a loss. The TWISTR ratings for VOLLEYBALL incorporate two key concepts:
The RATING represents the number of sets a team would be favored by against an average opponent. Teams with a positive RATING are considered better than average, while teams with a negative RATING are considered worse than average. The RATING can be thought of as a composite of the INDEPENDENT (INDY) rating, in which the time a game was played does not matter, and the FORECASTER (CASTER) rating, where recent results are weighted more heavily.
Both the STRENGTH OF RECORD (SoR) and Z-SCORE (Z-SCR) are resume ratings - SoR only considers a team's win-loss record and is independent of margin of victory, while Z-SCR is a blend of RATING and SoR.
TWISTR IHSAA TEAM RATINGS | SCHEDULE & RESUME | COMPONENT RATINGS | ||||||||||||||
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RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
1 | Hamilton Southeastern | 1 | +6.34 | 31 | 2 | .720 | 5 | +.221 | 1 | +2.09 | 1 | +6.39 | 1 | +6.31 | 1 | |
3 | Yorktown | 2 | +5.65 | 31 | 2 | .822 | 17 | +.119 | 2 | +1.77 | 2 | +5.71 | 3 | +5.61 | 3 | |
5 | Carroll (Fort Wayne) | 3 | +5.01 | 30 | 3 | .848 | 18 | +.062 | 3 | +1.54 | 3 | +5.05 | 5 | +4.98 | 5 | |
7 | Floyd Central | 4 | +4.77 | 27 | 5 | .807 | 14 | +.037 | 5 | +1.45 | 4 | +4.85 | 7 | +4.73 | 7 | |
8 | Brownsburg | 5 | +4.74 | 22 | 7 | .742 | 7 | +.018 | 6 | +1.41 | 5 | +4.84 | 8 | +4.69 | 8 | |
9 | Center Grove | 6 | +4.67 | 26 | 8 | .780 | 11 | -.014 | 9 | +1.34 | 8 | +4.71 | 9 | +4.65 | 9 | |
10 | Avon | 7 | +4.59 | 25 | 7 | .778 | 10 | +.003 | 7 | +1.35 | 7 | +4.57 | 11 | +4.59 | 10 | |
11 | Castle | 8 | +4.54 | 24 | 2 | .886 | 29 | +.039 | 4 | +1.41 | 6 | +4.64 | 10 | +4.48 | 11 | |
12 | Crown Point | 9 | +4.48 | 28 | 5 | .854 | 20 | -.005 | 8 | +1.32 | 9 | +4.54 | 12 | +4.45 | 12 | |
13 | Westfield | 10 | +4.44 | 21 | 9 | .736 | 6 | -.034 | 10 | +1.26 | 10 | +4.47 | 13 | +4.43 | 13 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
14 | Warsaw | 11 | +4.25 | 28 | 7 | .863 | 23 | -.064 | 12 | +1.17 | 11 | +4.19 | 15 | +4.28 | 14 | |
15 | Homestead | 12 | +4.23 | 26 | 8 | .867 | 25 | -.103 | 17 | +1.09 | 13 | +4.24 | 14 | +4.20 | 15 | |
16 | Penn | 13 | +4.14 | 24 | 5 | .906 | 37 | -.080 | 13 | +1.12 | 12 | +4.12 | 17 | +4.15 | 16 | |
21 | Bellmont | 14 | +3.82 | 21 | 8 | .805 | 13 | -.080 | 14 | +1.05 | 14 | +3.93 | 20 | +3.77 | 21 | |
25 | Evansville North | 15 | +3.64 | 22 | 5 | .906 | 35 | -.095 | 16 | +0.99 | 16 | +3.75 | 24 | +3.58 | 25 | |
27 | Noblesville | 16 | +3.56 | 21 | 12 | .811 | 15 | -.173 | 18 | +0.83 | 18 | +3.60 | 27 | +3.54 | 27 | |
28 | Zionsville | 17 | +3.56 | 17 | 16 | .713 | 3 | -.196 | 21 | +0.79 | 20 | +3.67 | 26 | +3.50 | 30 | |
32 | Mount Vernon (Fortville) | 18 | +3.44 | 21 | 10 | .854 | 21 | -.176 | 19 | +0.80 | 19 | +3.49 | 31 | +3.41 | 32 | |
34 | Franklin | 19 | +3.39 | 27 | 4 | .906 | 36 | -.037 | 11 | +1.04 | 15 | +3.42 | 35 | +3.36 | 34 | |
35 | Lake Central | 20 | +3.36 | 19 | 11 | .815 | 16 | -.177 | 20 | +0.79 | 21 | +3.49 | 32 | +3.29 | 37 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
38 | Fishers | 21 | +3.28 | 18 | 15 | .763 | 8 | -.218 | 23 | +0.70 | 23 | +3.38 | 37 | +3.23 | 39 | |
41 | Chesterton | 22 | +3.16 | 25 | 10 | .917 | 44 | -.200 | 22 | +0.70 | 22 | +3.14 | 44 | +3.18 | 41 | |
42 | Mishawaka | 23 | +3.14 | 27 | 4 | .963 | 59 | -.092 | 15 | +0.89 | 17 | +3.14 | 43 | +3.13 | 42 | |
44 | Providence | 24 | +3.00 | 9 | 13 | .716 | 4 | -.310 | 33 | +0.48 | 27 | +2.92 | 46 | +3.04 | 44 | |
46 | Carmel | 25 | +2.87 | 9 | 20 | .676 | 1 | -.367 | 41 | +0.35 | 32 | +2.96 | 45 | +2.81 | 48 | |
48 | Terre Haute South | 26 | +2.84 | 19 | 10 | .894 | 31 | -.240 | 25 | +0.57 | 24 | +2.85 | 48 | +2.86 | 47 | |
49 | Harrison (West Lafayette) | 27 | +2.79 | 20 | 14 | .866 | 24 | -.276 | 29 | +0.50 | 26 | +2.82 | 50 | +2.77 | 49 | |
50 | McCutcheon | 28 | +2.76 | 12 | 18 | .692 | 2 | -.292 | 31 | +0.46 | 28 | +2.88 | 47 | +2.69 | 51 | |
51 | Bloomington North | 29 | +2.74 | 20 | 12 | .856 | 22 | -.234 | 24 | +0.56 | 25 | +2.77 | 51 | +2.74 | 50 | |
56 | Elkhart | 30 | +2.43 | 19 | 13 | .879 | 28 | -.286 | 30 | +0.41 | 30 | +2.42 | 60 | +2.43 | 57 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
61 | Seymour | 31 | +2.33 | 17 | 12 | .852 | 19 | -.267 | 28 | +0.42 | 29 | +2.42 | 59 | +2.28 | 61 | |
63 | LaPorte | 32 | +2.21 | 18 | 14 | .916 | 42 | -.352 | 38 | +0.24 | 35 | +2.11 | 66 | +2.26 | 62 | |
66 | Franklin Central | 33 | +2.08 | 15 | 16 | .784 | 12 | -.300 | 32 | +0.31 | 33 | +2.13 | 65 | +2.05 | 67 | |
67 | New Albany | 34 | +2.06 | 17 | 14 | .895 | 32 | -.346 | 36 | +0.22 | 36 | +2.15 | 64 | +2.02 | 71 | |
69 | Perry Meridian | 35 | +2.03 | 15 | 13 | .894 | 30 | -.359 | 40 | +0.19 | 37 | +2.01 | 70 | +2.05 | 68 | |
70 | Greenfield-Central | 36 | +2.01 | 22 | 10 | .932 | 47 | -.244 | 26 | +0.40 | 31 | +1.99 | 71 | +2.02 | 69 | |
75 | Southport | 37 | +1.84 | 18 | 12 | .975 | 64 | -.375 | 42 | +0.13 | 39 | +1.79 | 81 | +1.87 | 75 | |
77 | Plainfield | 38 | +1.83 | 12 | 21 | .770 | 9 | -.407 | 45 | +0.07 | 40 | +2.02 | 69 | +1.74 | 80 | |
82 | Pendleton Heights | 39 | +1.75 | 17 | 15 | .871 | 26 | -.339 | 35 | +0.17 | 38 | +1.79 | 80 | +1.73 | 82 | |
84 | South Bend Adams | 40 | +1.64 | 21 | 8 | .977 | 66 | -.253 | 27 | +0.31 | 34 | +1.63 | 85 | +1.67 | 83 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
85 | Columbus North | 41 | +1.64 | 16 | 17 | .907 | 39 | -.423 | 49 | +0.00 | 43 | +1.64 | 84 | +1.64 | 85 | |
88 | Valparaiso | 42 | +1.53 | 14 | 17 | .917 | 43 | -.463 | 54 | -0.09 | 46 | +1.55 | 88 | +1.51 | 88 | |
91 | Munster | 43 | +1.46 | 16 | 16 | .907 | 38 | -.405 | 44 | -0.00 | 44 | +1.36 | 97 | +1.51 | 89 | |
96 | Lawrence North | 44 | +1.37 | 16 | 17 | .896 | 33 | -.410 | 46 | -0.03 | 45 | +1.54 | 90 | +1.28 | 99 | |
100 | Bloomington South | 45 | +1.28 | 13 | 16 | .906 | 34 | -.457 | 53 | -0.13 | 48 | +1.41 | 94 | +1.18 | 106 | |
105 | Fort Wayne Snider | 46 | +1.21 | 17 | 13 | .914 | 40 | -.349 | 37 | +0.05 | 41 | +1.24 | 102 | +1.20 | 105 | |
107 | Northridge | 47 | +1.17 | 19 | 12 | .967 | 60 | -.355 | 39 | +0.03 | 42 | +1.20 | 104 | +1.15 | 108 | |
109 | Concord | 48 | +1.09 | 15 | 13 | .956 | 57 | -.422 | 48 | -0.10 | 47 | +0.98 | 117 | +1.15 | 109 | |
118 | Mooresville | 49 | +0.97 | 17 | 13 | .992 | 72 | -.426 | 50 | -0.14 | 49 | +1.04 | 114 | +0.93 | 121 | |
119 | Terre Haute North | 50 | +0.96 | 12 | 16 | .972 | 62 | -.544 | 58 | -0.35 | 54 | +1.08 | 111 | +0.91 | 122 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
124 | Goshen | 51 | +0.89 | 13 | 12 | .970 | 61 | -.451 | 52 | -0.20 | 51 | +0.91 | 124 | +0.88 | 124 | |
127 | Evansville Reitz | 52 | +0.86 | 15 | 14 | .936 | 48 | -.421 | 47 | -0.15 | 50 | +0.94 | 120 | +0.84 | 127 | |
128 | North Central (Indianapolis) | 53 | +0.84 | 12 | 20 | .948 | 54 | -.571 | 61 | -0.42 | 56 | +0.94 | 119 | +0.79 | 129 | |
146 | Richmond | 54 | +0.47 | 17 | 12 | .990 | 71 | -.404 | 43 | -0.20 | 52 | +0.35 | 160 | +0.53 | 143 | |
148 | Bedford North Lawrence | 55 | +0.45 | 12 | 12 | .937 | 50 | -.439 | 51 | -0.27 | 53 | +0.65 | 135 | +0.34 | 159 | |
149 | East Central | 56 | +0.44 | 10 | 21 | .979 | 68 | -.656 | 67 | -0.65 | 65 | +0.36 | 158 | +0.49 | 145 | |
155 | Portage | 57 | +0.40 | 12 | 19 | .954 | 56 | -.565 | 60 | -0.50 | 57 | +0.37 | 156 | +0.42 | 153 | |
159 | Merrillville | 58 | +0.36 | 13 | 17 | .952 | 55 | -.516 | 56 | -0.42 | 55 | +0.40 | 154 | +0.34 | 160 | |
162 | Martinsville | 59 | +0.32 | 10 | 18 | .936 | 49 | -.579 | 63 | -0.54 | 58 | +0.36 | 159 | +0.30 | 163 | |
174 | Lafayette Jeff | 60 | +0.14 | 10 | 16 | .990 | 70 | -.605 | 66 | -0.62 | 61 | +0.21 | 170 | +0.11 | 176 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
176 | Michigan City | 61 | +0.13 | 9 | 18 | .940 | 52 | -.604 | 65 | -0.62 | 62 | +0.15 | 174 | +0.12 | 175 | |
186 | Columbus East | 62 | -0.05 | 4 | 27 | .878 | 27 | -.750 | 76 | -0.92 | 69 | +0.09 | 179 | -0.13 | 189 | |
190 | Jeffersonville | 63 | -0.14 | 6 | 19 | .915 | 41 | -.678 | 69 | -0.81 | 68 | -0.13 | 191 | -0.14 | 190 | |
195 | Huntington North | 64 | -0.24 | 11 | 19 | .941 | 53 | -.574 | 62 | -0.64 | 63 | -0.25 | 199 | -0.23 | 194 | |
200 | Whiteland | 65 | -0.33 | 7 | 21 | .975 | 63 | -.725 | 72 | -0.93 | 70 | -0.50 | 208 | -0.25 | 195 | |
207 | Kokomo | 66 | -0.52 | 14 | 14 | .994 | 74 | -.494 | 55 | -0.56 | 59 | -0.44 | 204 | -0.56 | 208 | |
209 | Pike | 67 | -0.58 | 11 | 18 | .917 | 45 | -.538 | 57 | -0.65 | 64 | -0.53 | 210 | -0.61 | 210 | |
216 | Decatur Central | 68 | -0.72 | 11 | 17 | .996 | 75 | -.603 | 64 | -0.79 | 66 | -0.73 | 218 | -0.73 | 218 | |
245 | Fort Wayne Northrop | 69 | -1.11 | 7 | 25 | .937 | 51 | -.720 | 71 | -1.08 | 71 | -1.19 | 252 | -1.06 | 241 | |
254 | Ben Davis | 70 | -1.20 | 9 | 15 | .927 | 46 | -.553 | 59 | -0.80 | 67 | -1.08 | 242 | -1.27 | 256 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
266 | Muncie Central | 71 | -1.44 | 5 | 15 | .999 | 81 | -.749 | 75 | -1.20 | 74 | -1.44 | 267 | -1.43 | 266 | |
270 | Evansville Harrison | 72 | -1.53 | 5 | 17 | .962 | 58 | -.735 | 74 | -1.19 | 73 | -1.40 | 264 | -1.59 | 271 | |
272 | Warren Central | 73 | -1.61 | 6 | 21 | .998 | 78 | -.775 | 77 | -1.28 | 77 | -1.53 | 271 | -1.67 | 272 | |
280 | Lawrence Central | 74 | -1.76 | 7 | 19 | .997 | 77 | -.728 | 73 | -1.22 | 75 | -1.80 | 283 | -1.73 | 276 | |
282 | Hobart | 75 | -1.79 | 10 | 20 | .996 | 76 | -.663 | 68 | -1.11 | 72 | -1.77 | 281 | -1.80 | 282 | |
302 | Hammond Central | 76 | -2.24 | 15 | 8 | .978 | 67 | -.324 | 34 | -0.60 | 60 | -2.25 | 300 | -2.23 | 302 | |
303 | Fort Wayne Wayne | 77 | -2.26 | 8 | 19 | .975 | 65 | -.679 | 70 | -1.24 | 76 | -2.34 | 305 | -2.22 | 300 | |
317 | South Bend Riley | 78 | -2.62 | 4 | 30 | .992 | 73 | -.875 | 78 | -1.66 | 78 | -2.61 | 317 | -2.61 | 319 | |
340 | Anderson | 79 | -3.26 | 0 | 17 | .999 | 80 | -.999 | 82 | -2.01 | 80 | -3.31 | 341 | -3.22 | 339 | |
345 | Fort Wayne South | 80 | -3.45 | 0 | 26 | .980 | 69 | -.979 | 81 | -2.01 | 81 | -3.40 | 344 | -3.46 | 346 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
354 | Fort Wayne North | 81 | -3.70 | 2 | 20 | .999 | 79 | -.908 | 79 | -1.93 | 79 | -3.67 | 352 | -3.71 | 354 | |
381 | Hammond Morton | 82 | -5.04 | 0 | 13 | 1.000 | 83 | -1.000 | 83 | -2.37 | 83 | -5.12 | 382 | -5.00 | 381 | |
389 | Indianapolis Tech | 83 | -5.66 | 1 | 13 | 1.000 | 82 | -.928 | 80 | -2.36 | 82 | -5.82 | 390 | -5.56 | 388 |