The TWISTR Ratings are an iterative least-squares, score-based ratings system built in the spirit of an Elo model. Team ratings are agnostic to the final result of a game, as only the scoring margins are important when rating teams. No additional benefit is provided for a win or penalty for a loss. The TWISTR ratings for SOCCER incorporate two key concepts:
The RATING represents the number of goals a team would be favored by against an average opponent. Teams with a positive RATING are considered better than average, while teams with a negative RATING are considered worse than average. The RATING can be thought of as a composite of the INDEPENDENT (INDY) rating, in which the time a game was played does not matter, and the FORECASTER (CASTER) rating, where recent results are weighted more heavily.
TWISTR IHSAA TEAM RATINGS | SCHEDULE & RESUME | COMPONENT RATINGS | |||||||||||||
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RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
1 | Noblesville | 1 | +7.13 | 17 | 1 | 3 | .639 | 6 | +.242 | 2 | +7.29 | 1 | +7.13 | 1 | |
2 | Carmel | 2 | +7.10 | 16 | 1 | 2 | .571 | 2 | +.324 | 1 | +7.20 | 2 | +7.11 | 2 | |
3 | Castle | 3 | +6.54 | 16 | 2 | 0 | .815 | 24 | +.074 | 7 | +6.84 | 3 | +6.45 | 3 | |
4 | Indianapolis Cathedral | 4 | +6.40 | 14 | 4 | 2 | .647 | 7 | +.103 | 4 | +6.41 | 5 | +6.44 | 4 | |
5 | Hamilton Southeastern | 5 | +6.39 | 13 | 2 | 3 | .618 | 5 | +.187 | 3 | +6.65 | 4 | +6.31 | 5 | |
6 | East Central | 6 | +6.00 | 13 | 2 | 1 | .854 | 30 | -.010 | 10 | +6.12 | 7 | +5.93 | 7 | |
7 | Westfield | 7 | +5.99 | 10 | 3 | 5 | .611 | 4 | +.083 | 5 | +6.24 | 6 | +5.92 | 8 | |
8 | Zionsville | 8 | +5.94 | 6 | 6 | 2 | .536 | 1 | -.036 | 14 | +6.06 | 8 | +5.94 | 6 | |
10 | Carroll (Fort Wayne) | 9 | +5.67 | 16 | 3 | 2 | .777 | 15 | +.032 | 9 | +5.88 | 10 | +5.62 | 12 | |
11 | Crown Point | 10 | +5.62 | 18 | 3 | 1 | .776 | 14 | +.065 | 8 | +5.72 | 11 | +5.62 | 13 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
13 | Homestead | 11 | +5.59 | 12 | 4 | 1 | .799 | 22 | -.064 | 18 | +5.66 | 13 | +5.62 | 11 | |
14 | Bloomington South | 12 | +5.57 | 17 | 3 | 1 | .756 | 12 | +.077 | 6 | +5.53 | 14 | +5.63 | 10 | |
15 | Chesterton | 13 | +5.37 | 13 | 5 | 0 | .784 | 18 | -.062 | 17 | +5.39 | 16 | +5.42 | 15 | |
16 | Evansville Reitz | 14 | +5.24 | 15 | 4 | 1 | .823 | 25 | -.048 | 16 | +5.38 | 17 | +5.23 | 16 | |
17 | Penn | 15 | +5.20 | 15 | 5 | 0 | .770 | 13 | -.020 | 11 | +5.39 | 15 | +5.17 | 17 | |
18 | Brownsburg | 16 | +5.04 | 12 | 6 | 2 | .684 | 9 | -.034 | 13 | +5.17 | 18 | +5.04 | 18 | |
19 | Northridge | 17 | +4.91 | 15 | 2 | 3 | .857 | 32 | -.032 | 12 | +4.95 | 19 | +4.94 | 19 | |
20 | Fort Wayne Northrop | 18 | +4.77 | 15 | 3 | 1 | .859 | 34 | -.044 | 15 | +4.92 | 20 | +4.77 | 21 | |
22 | Warsaw | 19 | +4.63 | 8 | 4 | 4 | .785 | 19 | -.160 | 23 | +4.77 | 22 | +4.62 | 24 | |
23 | South Bend St. Joseph | 20 | +4.63 | 9 | 7 | 2 | .731 | 11 | -.175 | 26 | +4.69 | 24 | +4.66 | 23 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
25 | Center Grove | 21 | +4.60 | 6 | 5 | 4 | .679 | 8 | -.146 | 21 | +4.64 | 26 | +4.67 | 22 | |
26 | Mount Vernon (Fortville) | 22 | +4.56 | 10 | 5 | 1 | .838 | 27 | -.181 | 27 | +4.58 | 28 | +4.61 | 26 | |
27 | Fishers | 23 | +4.49 | 4 | 10 | 3 | .587 | 3 | -.264 | 37 | +4.62 | 27 | +4.50 | 27 | |
29 | Goshen | 24 | +4.40 | 11 | 3 | 3 | .877 | 39 | -.141 | 19 | +4.65 | 25 | +4.33 | 31 | |
30 | Lake Central | 25 | +4.35 | 13 | 5 | 2 | .888 | 44 | -.188 | 30 | +4.38 | 32 | +4.38 | 29 | |
31 | Plainfield | 26 | +4.33 | 10 | 5 | 2 | .791 | 20 | -.144 | 20 | +4.43 | 30 | +4.35 | 30 | |
33 | Evansville North | 27 | +4.24 | 11 | 6 | 0 | .858 | 33 | -.211 | 32 | +4.31 | 34 | +4.27 | 32 | |
35 | Franklin Central | 28 | +4.11 | 12 | 7 | 3 | .799 | 21 | -.185 | 29 | +4.12 | 36 | +4.18 | 35 | |
36 | Munster | 29 | +4.10 | 10 | 6 | 1 | .869 | 37 | -.251 | 34 | +4.16 | 35 | +4.11 | 37 | |
37 | Valparaiso | 30 | +4.08 | 11 | 8 | 1 | .857 | 31 | -.282 | 41 | +4.07 | 38 | +4.14 | 36 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
41 | Avon | 31 | +3.71 | 8 | 7 | 2 | .780 | 16 | -.251 | 33 | +3.85 | 40 | +3.70 | 42 | |
44 | Indianapolis Roncalli | 32 | +3.58 | 10 | 6 | 3 | .799 | 23 | -.194 | 31 | +3.62 | 42 | +3.63 | 44 | |
45 | Lawrence North | 33 | +3.43 | 11 | 5 | 2 | .849 | 28 | -.182 | 28 | +3.56 | 45 | +3.41 | 46 | |
46 | Harrison (West Lafayette) | 34 | +3.41 | 13 | 4 | 3 | .883 | 42 | -.158 | 22 | +3.48 | 46 | +3.44 | 45 | |
47 | Terre Haute North | 35 | +3.32 | 9 | 7 | 2 | .826 | 26 | -.270 | 40 | +3.29 | 49 | +3.41 | 47 | |
50 | New Palestine | 36 | +3.25 | 10 | 7 | 1 | .849 | 29 | -.266 | 39 | +3.26 | 50 | +3.31 | 49 | |
54 | Terre Haute South | 37 | +2.81 | 12 | 3 | 1 | .949 | 70 | -.168 | 25 | +3.04 | 52 | +2.77 | 55 | |
57 | North Central (Indianapolis) | 38 | +2.62 | 6 | 8 | 1 | .694 | 10 | -.261 | 35 | +2.71 | 59 | +2.64 | 57 | |
58 | Floyd Central | 39 | +2.62 | 12 | 4 | 2 | .884 | 43 | -.161 | 24 | +2.77 | 57 | +2.60 | 58 | |
60 | Evansville Central | 40 | +2.50 | 8 | 8 | 0 | .877 | 40 | -.377 | 47 | +2.58 | 60 | +2.53 | 60 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
61 | Martinsville | 41 | +2.37 | 11 | 4 | 1 | .980 | 81 | -.261 | 36 | +2.33 | 62 | +2.46 | 61 | |
64 | Fort Wayne Snider | 42 | +2.24 | 9 | 7 | 0 | .866 | 36 | -.303 | 42 | +2.25 | 63 | +2.31 | 63 | |
65 | Shelbyville | 43 | +2.19 | 12 | 5 | 0 | .970 | 77 | -.264 | 38 | +2.15 | 66 | +2.27 | 65 | |
66 | Columbus North | 44 | +2.12 | 6 | 7 | 3 | .932 | 59 | -.464 | 53 | +2.04 | 68 | +2.24 | 66 | |
67 | Whiteland | 45 | +2.03 | 22 | 12 | 2 | .967 | 76 | -.328 | 43 | +2.01 | 69 | +2.12 | 67 | |
70 | South Bend Adams | 46 | +1.89 | 5 | 8 | 3 | .890 | 45 | -.483 | 56 | +2.05 | 67 | +1.85 | 72 | |
71 | Mooresville | 47 | +1.86 | 11 | 8 | 0 | .953 | 72 | -.374 | 46 | +1.74 | 75 | +2.00 | 68 | |
72 | Pendleton Heights | 48 | +1.83 | 5 | 9 | 2 | .782 | 17 | -.407 | 49 | +1.83 | 72 | +1.91 | 70 | |
78 | Greenfield-Central | 49 | +1.56 | 6 | 9 | 2 | .928 | 56 | -.517 | 61 | +1.56 | 79 | +1.63 | 78 | |
84 | McCutcheon | 50 | +1.15 | 7 | 10 | 1 | .931 | 58 | -.514 | 60 | +1.23 | 83 | +1.18 | 86 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
86 | Lafayette Jeff | 51 | +1.14 | 8 | 7 | 2 | .928 | 55 | -.399 | 48 | +1.12 | 88 | +1.22 | 85 | |
88 | Bloomington North | 52 | +1.08 | 7 | 9 | 2 | .935 | 61 | -.491 | 57 | +1.12 | 86 | +1.14 | 87 | |
89 | Greenwood | 53 | +1.05 | 7 | 7 | 2 | .957 | 74 | -.457 | 52 | +1.12 | 87 | +1.08 | 88 | |
92 | Huntington North | 54 | +0.80 | 10 | 7 | 0 | .924 | 54 | -.336 | 44 | +0.76 | 96 | +0.90 | 92 | |
95 | Concord | 55 | +0.73 | 6 | 11 | 1 | .882 | 41 | -.521 | 62 | +0.75 | 97 | +0.78 | 95 | |
98 | Franklin | 56 | +0.56 | 3 | 11 | 2 | .920 | 53 | -.670 | 77 | +0.62 | 98 | +0.60 | 99 | |
102 | Pike | 57 | +0.40 | 3 | 7 | 4 | .941 | 65 | -.584 | 68 | +0.40 | 103 | +0.49 | 102 | |
103 | Columbia City | 58 | +0.38 | 7 | 7 | 3 | .952 | 71 | -.452 | 51 | +0.39 | 104 | +0.45 | 103 | |
104 | Columbus East | 59 | +0.37 | 4 | 9 | 2 | .935 | 62 | -.602 | 70 | +0.52 | 101 | +0.37 | 110 | |
107 | DeKalb | 60 | +0.33 | 6 | 11 | 0 | .905 | 49 | -.552 | 65 | +0.36 | 108 | +0.39 | 105 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
109 | Elkhart | 61 | +0.32 | 5 | 9 | 3 | .893 | 46 | -.510 | 59 | +0.37 | 107 | +0.35 | 112 | |
110 | Hobart | 62 | +0.27 | 8 | 8 | 0 | .980 | 80 | -.480 | 55 | +0.16 | 112 | +0.38 | 106 | |
127 | New Albany | 63 | -0.31 | 7 | 9 | 0 | .944 | 68 | -.506 | 58 | -0.17 | 122 | -0.29 | 129 | |
129 | Portage | 64 | -0.36 | 7 | 6 | 0 | .905 | 48 | -.367 | 45 | -0.44 | 130 | -0.26 | 128 | |
131 | Lawrence Central | 65 | -0.50 | 5 | 6 | 3 | .987 | 87 | -.523 | 63 | -0.54 | 131 | -0.47 | 132 | |
132 | Perry Meridian | 66 | -0.54 | 6 | 9 | 0 | .929 | 57 | -.529 | 64 | -0.68 | 136 | -0.40 | 131 | |
133 | Seymour | 67 | -0.57 | 5 | 11 | 2 | .986 | 86 | -.653 | 73 | -0.57 | 133 | -0.49 | 134 | |
138 | Jeffersonville | 68 | -0.79 | 7 | 7 | 2 | .966 | 75 | -.466 | 54 | -0.68 | 138 | -0.79 | 141 | |
157 | Richmond | 69 | -1.29 | 6 | 5 | 1 | .981 | 83 | -.439 | 50 | -1.37 | 159 | -1.14 | 151 | |
159 | Ben Davis | 70 | -1.31 | 2 | 11 | 2 | .953 | 73 | -.753 | 84 | -1.39 | 160 | -1.22 | 156 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
165 | Plymouth | 71 | -1.42 | 3 | 14 | 1 | .938 | 63 | -.744 | 83 | -1.47 | 163 | -1.25 | 161 | |
166 | Mishawaka | 72 | -1.46 | 1 | 11 | 1 | .944 | 69 | -.829 | 89 | -1.59 | 167 | -1.32 | 166 | |
172 | Evansville Harrison | 73 | -1.72 | 3 | 13 | 1 | .860 | 35 | -.654 | 74 | -1.79 | 173 | -1.77 | 173 | |
176 | Decatur Central | 74 | -1.91 | 3 | 10 | 2 | .980 | 82 | -.714 | 81 | -1.99 | 175 | -1.79 | 175 | |
177 | Jennings County | 75 | -1.94 | 6 | 10 | 2 | .997 | 92 | -.608 | 71 | -1.99 | 176 | -1.82 | 176 | |
181 | Southport | 76 | -2.07 | 3 | 11 | 1 | .911 | 52 | -.678 | 78 | -2.08 | 180 | -1.92 | 180 | |
185 | Kokomo | 77 | -2.10 | 6 | 8 | 1 | .994 | 91 | -.561 | 67 | -2.12 | 182 | -2.01 | 185 | |
186 | LaPorte | 78 | -2.27 | 4 | 12 | 0 | .909 | 51 | -.659 | 76 | -2.52 | 192 | -2.08 | 186 | |
189 | Fort Wayne Wayne | 79 | -2.39 | 4 | 12 | 0 | .975 | 79 | -.725 | 82 | -2.49 | 190 | -2.24 | 188 | |
193 | Logansport | 80 | -2.50 | 5 | 10 | 0 | .991 | 90 | -.658 | 75 | -2.65 | 194 | -2.34 | 192 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
196 | Bedford North Lawrence | 81 | -2.72 | 4 | 8 | 1 | .997 | 93 | -.651 | 72 | -2.49 | 191 | -2.76 | 202 | |
201 | Michigan City | 82 | -2.84 | 5 | 10 | 0 | .893 | 47 | -.560 | 66 | -3.06 | 200 | -2.66 | 199 | |
206 | Fort Wayne South | 83 | -3.10 | 4 | 11 | 0 | .970 | 78 | -.704 | 79 | -3.17 | 207 | -2.97 | 207 | |
212 | Warren Central | 84 | -3.53 | 2 | 8 | 0 | .991 | 89 | -.791 | 87 | -3.61 | 212 | -3.44 | 214 | |
219 | Fort Wayne North | 85 | -4.03 | 1 | 14 | 0 | .940 | 64 | -.874 | 92 | -4.03 | 217 | -3.96 | 222 | |
226 | Hammond Central | 86 | -4.37 | 2 | 8 | 1 | .984 | 85 | -.756 | 86 | -4.23 | 223 | -4.40 | 227 | |
234 | Muncie Central | 87 | -4.97 | 3 | 13 | 0 | .942 | 66 | -.754 | 85 | -5.00 | 231 | -4.85 | 236 | |
236 | Indianapolis Attucks | 88 | -4.99 | 2 | 5 | 0 | .877 | 38 | -.591 | 69 | -5.20 | 238 | -4.80 | 235 | |
247 | Hammond Morton | 89 | -5.87 | 2 | 10 | 1 | .989 | 88 | -.797 | 88 | -6.10 | 248 | -5.71 | 246 | |
249 | Merrillville | 90 | -6.11 | 1 | 14 | 0 | .905 | 50 | -.839 | 91 | -6.33 | 250 | -5.96 | 249 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
252 | Indianapolis Tech | 91 | -6.31 | 6 | 21 | 0 | .934 | 60 | -.711 | 80 | -6.36 | 251 | -6.20 | 252 | |
259 | East Chicago Central | 92 | -7.14 | 1 | 8 | 1 | .983 | 84 | -.833 | 90 | -7.60 | 265 | -6.88 | 258 | |
269 | Anderson | 93 | -7.78 | 0 | 13 | 1 | .943 | 67 | -.908 | 93 | -7.90 | 268 | -7.60 | 269 |