The TWISTR Ratings are an iterative least-squares, score-based ratings system built in the spirit of an Elo model. Team ratings are agnostic to the final result of a game, as only the scoring margins are important when rating teams. No additional benefit is provided for a win or penalty for a loss. The TWISTR ratings for SOCCER incorporate two key concepts:
The RATING represents the number of goals a team would be favored by against an average opponent. Teams with a positive RATING are considered better than average, while teams with a negative RATING are considered worse than average. The RATING can be thought of as a composite of the INDEPENDENT (INDY) rating, in which the time a game was played does not matter, and the FORECASTER (CASTER) rating, where recent results are weighted more heavily.
Both the STRENGTH OF RECORD (SoR) and Z-SCORE (Z-SCR) are resume ratings - SoR only considers a team's win-loss record and is independent of margin of victory, while Z-SCR is a blend of RATING and SoR.
TWISTR IHSAA TEAM RATINGS | SCHEDULE & RESUME | COMPONENT RATINGS | |||||||||||||||
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RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
1 | Noblesville | 1 | +8.14 | 18 | 0 | 2 | .623 | 6 | +.326 | 1 | +1.95 | 1 | +8.21 | 1 | +8.02 | 1 | |
2 | Hamilton Southeastern | 2 | +7.51 | 15 | 1 | 3 | .605 | 5 | +.263 | 2 | +1.77 | 2 | +7.83 | 2 | +7.36 | 2 | |
3 | Carmel | 3 | +7.00 | 15 | 3 | 2 | .590 | 3 | +.210 | 3 | +1.62 | 3 | +7.20 | 3 | +6.95 | 3 | |
4 | Westfield | 4 | +6.60 | 10 | 5 | 1 | .555 | 2 | +.100 | 7 | +1.40 | 6 | +6.79 | 4 | +6.52 | 4 | |
5 | Homestead | 5 | +6.52 | 16 | 3 | 1 | .717 | 15 | +.109 | 5 | +1.40 | 5 | +6.73 | 5 | +6.52 | 5 | |
6 | Evansville Memorial | 6 | +6.34 | 13 | 2 | 1 | .684 | 10 | +.160 | 4 | +1.46 | 4 | +6.53 | 6 | +6.27 | 6 | |
7 | Zionsville | 7 | +6.19 | 6 | 5 | 5 | .526 | 1 | +.005 | 12 | +1.20 | 10 | +6.39 | 8 | +6.11 | 7 | |
8 | Castle | 8 | +6.14 | 14 | 3 | 1 | .702 | 13 | +.108 | 6 | +1.35 | 7 | +6.42 | 7 | +6.03 | 9 | |
9 | East Central | 9 | +6.09 | 16 | 2 | 1 | .821 | 30 | +.047 | 9 | +1.25 | 9 | +6.26 | 9 | +6.03 | 10 | |
11 | Indianapolis Cathedral | 10 | +5.85 | 13 | 4 | 2 | .663 | 8 | +.074 | 8 | +1.27 | 8 | +6.01 | 11 | +5.80 | 11 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
13 | Center Grove | 11 | +5.74 | 16 | 4 | 3 | .723 | 17 | +.037 | 10 | +1.19 | 11 | +5.90 | 14 | +5.68 | 12 | |
15 | Penn | 12 | +5.64 | 11 | 5 | 3 | .693 | 12 | -.038 | 16 | +1.06 | 14 | +5.72 | 17 | +5.61 | 15 | |
16 | Mount Vernon (Fortville) | 13 | +5.53 | 9 | 4 | 3 | .705 | 14 | -.050 | 17 | +1.03 | 16 | +5.65 | 18 | +5.49 | 16 | |
17 | Crown Point | 14 | +5.51 | 14 | 3 | 0 | .825 | 32 | -.004 | 13 | +1.10 | 13 | +5.73 | 16 | +5.45 | 17 | |
18 | Brownsburg | 15 | +5.51 | 13 | 7 | 0 | .631 | 7 | +.019 | 11 | +1.13 | 12 | +5.74 | 15 | +5.41 | 18 | |
20 | Fishers | 16 | +5.21 | 9 | 6 | 2 | .596 | 4 | -.007 | 14 | +1.06 | 15 | +5.54 | 20 | +5.06 | 22 | |
22 | Jasper | 17 | +5.06 | 10 | 6 | 0 | .826 | 34 | -.197 | 34 | +0.73 | 26 | +5.06 | 25 | +5.10 | 21 | |
26 | Fort Wayne Northrop | 18 | +4.81 | 13 | 3 | 2 | .879 | 44 | -.103 | 22 | +0.85 | 19 | +5.02 | 26 | +4.71 | 28 | |
27 | Evansville North | 19 | +4.80 | 10 | 4 | 1 | .792 | 24 | -.090 | 20 | +0.87 | 18 | +4.90 | 29 | +4.81 | 26 | |
28 | Lake Central | 20 | +4.78 | 12 | 4 | 0 | .863 | 43 | -.112 | 23 | +0.83 | 22 | +4.97 | 28 | +4.70 | 29 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
29 | Carroll (Fort Wayne) | 21 | +4.77 | 11 | 6 | 3 | .738 | 18 | -.114 | 24 | +0.83 | 23 | +5.00 | 27 | +4.65 | 31 | |
32 | Northridge | 22 | +4.65 | 14 | 2 | 1 | .886 | 49 | -.035 | 15 | +0.94 | 17 | +4.79 | 32 | +4.60 | 32 | |
33 | Bloomington South | 23 | +4.56 | 10 | 3 | 1 | .843 | 38 | -.094 | 21 | +0.84 | 21 | +4.77 | 33 | +4.47 | 33 | |
35 | Valparaiso | 24 | +4.40 | 14 | 4 | 2 | .826 | 33 | -.075 | 18 | +0.85 | 20 | +4.56 | 35 | +4.35 | 36 | |
36 | Lawrence North | 25 | +4.37 | 8 | 6 | 3 | .750 | 20 | -.192 | 33 | +0.66 | 28 | +4.54 | 36 | +4.32 | 37 | |
38 | Goshen | 26 | +4.20 | 8 | 7 | 2 | .820 | 29 | -.294 | 46 | +0.47 | 38 | +4.32 | 40 | +4.13 | 38 | |
39 | Leo | 27 | +4.20 | 9 | 7 | 1 | .798 | 26 | -.238 | 37 | +0.56 | 33 | +4.38 | 39 | +4.11 | 39 | |
40 | Plainfield | 28 | +4.18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | .812 | 27 | -.116 | 25 | +0.75 | 25 | +4.39 | 38 | +4.09 | 40 | |
42 | New Palestine | 29 | +4.08 | 11 | 6 | 0 | .833 | 36 | -.186 | 32 | +0.63 | 29 | +4.20 | 43 | +4.04 | 41 | |
43 | Chesterton | 30 | +4.06 | 7 | 10 | 0 | .720 | 16 | -.312 | 48 | +0.43 | 39 | +4.42 | 37 | +3.89 | 45 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
44 | Columbus North | 31 | +3.98 | 13 | 3 | 1 | .884 | 48 | -.089 | 19 | +0.77 | 24 | +4.08 | 45 | +3.96 | 43 | |
45 | Warsaw | 32 | +3.95 | 12 | 7 | 1 | .773 | 23 | -.151 | 26 | +0.67 | 27 | +4.04 | 47 | +3.92 | 44 | |
46 | Evansville Reitz | 33 | +3.93 | 7 | 5 | 0 | .769 | 22 | -.185 | 31 | +0.61 | 31 | +4.12 | 44 | +3.87 | 46 | |
47 | Munster | 34 | +3.89 | 11 | 6 | 1 | .818 | 28 | -.180 | 30 | +0.62 | 30 | +4.06 | 46 | +3.83 | 47 | |
48 | Avon | 35 | +3.82 | 7 | 7 | 2 | .742 | 19 | -.242 | 39 | +0.51 | 35 | +3.98 | 48 | +3.76 | 48 | |
49 | North Central (Indianapolis) | 36 | +3.47 | 6 | 9 | 1 | .675 | 9 | -.270 | 43 | +0.42 | 40 | +3.66 | 49 | +3.40 | 50 | |
50 | Pendleton Heights | 37 | +3.44 | 8 | 9 | 1 | .690 | 11 | -.218 | 35 | +0.50 | 36 | +3.48 | 52 | +3.47 | 49 | |
52 | Terre Haute South | 38 | +3.37 | 13 | 4 | 2 | .889 | 50 | -.151 | 27 | +0.60 | 32 | +3.53 | 51 | +3.33 | 55 | |
57 | Whiteland | 39 | +3.01 | 10 | 4 | 1 | .948 | 72 | -.249 | 40 | +0.40 | 41 | +3.22 | 54 | +2.92 | 57 | |
58 | Harrison (West Lafayette) | 40 | +2.82 | 13 | 7 | 0 | .827 | 35 | -.175 | 29 | +0.49 | 37 | +2.96 | 58 | +2.79 | 58 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
59 | Hobart | 41 | +2.78 | 13 | 3 | 1 | .953 | 75 | -.159 | 28 | +0.51 | 34 | +2.89 | 60 | +2.74 | 61 | |
60 | McCutcheon | 42 | +2.77 | 10 | 5 | 1 | .897 | 55 | -.241 | 38 | +0.38 | 42 | +2.91 | 59 | +2.72 | 62 | |
63 | South Bend Adams | 43 | +2.63 | 8 | 7 | 1 | .881 | 45 | -.350 | 49 | +0.19 | 46 | +2.72 | 61 | +2.61 | 63 | |
66 | Franklin Central | 44 | +2.43 | 11 | 11 | 1 | .766 | 21 | -.265 | 41 | +0.30 | 43 | +2.54 | 66 | +2.42 | 68 | |
69 | Greenfield-Central | 45 | +2.30 | 6 | 10 | 0 | .847 | 39 | -.473 | 58 | -0.05 | 51 | +2.32 | 69 | +2.34 | 69 | |
70 | Mooresville | 46 | +2.19 | 11 | 6 | 1 | .928 | 64 | -.289 | 45 | +0.23 | 44 | +2.29 | 70 | +2.16 | 70 | |
79 | Franklin | 47 | +1.67 | 8 | 8 | 1 | .897 | 54 | -.397 | 52 | -0.01 | 50 | +1.69 | 81 | +1.71 | 77 | |
82 | Evansville Central | 48 | +1.57 | 5 | 7 | 1 | .797 | 25 | -.370 | 51 | +0.02 | 49 | +1.70 | 79 | +1.53 | 84 | |
86 | Lawrence Central | 49 | +1.47 | 11 | 7 | 0 | .895 | 52 | -.284 | 44 | +0.15 | 48 | +1.44 | 87 | +1.54 | 83 | |
88 | Portage | 50 | +1.34 | 5 | 6 | 3 | .900 | 57 | -.437 | 54 | -0.11 | 53 | +1.44 | 88 | +1.33 | 90 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
90 | Floyd Central | 51 | +1.30 | 9 | 6 | 1 | .861 | 41 | -.268 | 42 | +0.15 | 47 | +1.24 | 91 | +1.35 | 89 | |
92 | New Albany | 52 | +1.13 | 13 | 4 | 1 | .979 | 84 | -.229 | 36 | +0.19 | 45 | +1.12 | 93 | +1.07 | 94 | |
93 | Martinsville | 53 | +1.09 | 7 | 10 | 0 | .927 | 63 | -.515 | 61 | -0.27 | 55 | +1.35 | 90 | +1.01 | 97 | |
104 | Fort Wayne Snider | 54 | +0.63 | 6 | 10 | 0 | .862 | 42 | -.488 | 59 | -0.28 | 57 | +0.76 | 103 | +0.56 | 106 | |
105 | Concord | 55 | +0.62 | 5 | 10 | 1 | .882 | 47 | -.541 | 63 | -0.37 | 58 | +0.69 | 104 | +0.68 | 103 | |
106 | Elkhart | 56 | +0.56 | 4 | 10 | 0 | .824 | 31 | -.540 | 62 | -0.37 | 59 | +0.64 | 107 | +0.55 | 107 | |
107 | Terre Haute North | 57 | +0.55 | 3 | 13 | 0 | .855 | 40 | -.667 | 71 | -0.58 | 64 | +0.53 | 109 | +0.61 | 105 | |
108 | Columbia City | 58 | +0.49 | 8 | 10 | 0 | .916 | 61 | -.471 | 57 | -0.27 | 56 | +0.50 | 110 | +0.50 | 108 | |
109 | Greenwood | 59 | +0.49 | 8 | 6 | 1 | .933 | 68 | -.366 | 50 | -0.11 | 52 | +0.66 | 106 | +0.43 | 109 | |
113 | Bloomington North | 60 | +0.13 | 5 | 11 | 0 | .895 | 51 | -.582 | 68 | -0.50 | 61 | +0.31 | 112 | +0.08 | 115 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
118 | Lafayette Jeff | 61 | -0.08 | 8 | 6 | 2 | .980 | 85 | -.418 | 53 | -0.26 | 54 | -0.09 | 118 | -0.03 | 117 | |
130 | Shelbyville | 62 | -0.49 | 5 | 10 | 1 | .907 | 59 | -.564 | 65 | -0.54 | 63 | -0.35 | 127 | -0.47 | 130 | |
143 | Pike | 63 | -1.02 | 4 | 11 | 1 | .949 | 73 | -.668 | 72 | -0.78 | 70 | -0.89 | 139 | -1.04 | 146 | |
150 | Mishawaka | 64 | -1.26 | 2 | 13 | 0 | .931 | 66 | -.799 | 86 | -1.01 | 75 | -1.24 | 148 | -1.22 | 150 | |
154 | Ben Davis | 65 | -1.43 | 5 | 11 | 3 | .905 | 58 | -.562 | 64 | -0.66 | 67 | -1.43 | 154 | -1.39 | 154 | |
158 | Richmond | 66 | -1.66 | 7 | 7 | 1 | .941 | 71 | -.442 | 56 | -0.50 | 60 | -1.73 | 163 | -1.56 | 158 | |
159 | Evansville Harrison | 67 | -1.70 | 3 | 14 | 0 | .842 | 37 | -.662 | 70 | -0.85 | 72 | -1.68 | 159 | -1.64 | 159 | |
160 | Perry Meridian | 68 | -1.75 | 3 | 10 | 3 | .962 | 77 | -.681 | 76 | -0.89 | 73 | -1.62 | 157 | -1.76 | 164 | |
164 | Southport | 69 | -1.81 | 5 | 10 | 1 | .958 | 76 | -.614 | 69 | -0.79 | 71 | -1.69 | 160 | -1.83 | 170 | |
165 | Fort Wayne Wayne | 70 | -1.83 | 4 | 9 | 1 | .898 | 56 | -.577 | 67 | -0.73 | 68 | -1.88 | 169 | -1.78 | 165 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
166 | Hammond Central | 71 | -1.83 | 8 | 7 | 0 | .971 | 80 | -.439 | 55 | -0.51 | 62 | -1.98 | 170 | -1.71 | 162 | |
169 | Jeffersonville | 72 | -1.86 | 8 | 9 | 0 | .982 | 86 | -.512 | 60 | -0.63 | 66 | -2.00 | 173 | -1.85 | 171 | |
172 | Jennings County | 73 | -1.91 | 6 | 9 | 2 | .987 | 88 | -.575 | 66 | -0.74 | 69 | -2.00 | 172 | -1.81 | 168 | |
175 | Seymour | 74 | -2.02 | 3 | 15 | 0 | .972 | 81 | -.805 | 87 | -1.12 | 78 | -2.03 | 175 | -1.91 | 173 | |
176 | Huntington North | 75 | -2.05 | 3 | 12 | 2 | .969 | 79 | -.733 | 79 | -1.01 | 74 | -2.12 | 178 | -1.97 | 175 | |
189 | Fort Wayne South | 76 | -2.78 | 2 | 12 | 2 | .932 | 67 | -.744 | 80 | -1.12 | 77 | -2.80 | 189 | -2.74 | 189 | |
191 | Decatur Central | 77 | -2.84 | 2 | 12 | 1 | .953 | 74 | -.786 | 84 | -1.19 | 81 | -2.80 | 190 | -2.81 | 191 | |
193 | South Bend Riley | 78 | -2.96 | 3 | 11 | 1 | .907 | 60 | -.674 | 75 | -1.03 | 76 | -3.07 | 194 | -2.85 | 193 | |
201 | Columbus East | 79 | -3.49 | 2 | 14 | 1 | .940 | 70 | -.793 | 85 | -1.28 | 83 | -3.47 | 201 | -3.26 | 199 | |
206 | LaPorte | 80 | -3.63 | 1 | 15 | 1 | .929 | 65 | -.843 | 89 | -1.38 | 85 | -3.47 | 200 | -3.66 | 209 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
207 | Kokomo | 81 | -3.66 | 4 | 10 | 1 | .988 | 89 | -.689 | 77 | -1.14 | 79 | -3.84 | 209 | -3.51 | 205 | |
211 | Fort Wayne North | 82 | -3.96 | 2 | 11 | 0 | .924 | 62 | -.769 | 82 | -1.30 | 84 | -4.08 | 215 | -3.87 | 213 | |
212 | Michigan City | 83 | -3.97 | 3 | 11 | 0 | .881 | 46 | -.668 | 73 | -1.14 | 80 | -3.98 | 211 | -3.90 | 214 | |
213 | Bedford North Lawrence | 84 | -4.02 | 3 | 10 | 1 | .978 | 83 | -.728 | 78 | -1.25 | 82 | -4.20 | 218 | -3.85 | 212 | |
216 | Indianapolis Tech | 85 | -4.08 | 9 | 4 | 0 | .996 | 93 | -.304 | 47 | -0.58 | 65 | -4.01 | 212 | -4.04 | 216 | |
224 | Logansport | 86 | -4.55 | 3 | 14 | 2 | .992 | 91 | -.782 | 83 | -1.40 | 87 | -4.50 | 223 | -4.53 | 224 | |
231 | Merrillville | 87 | -5.13 | 2 | 14 | 1 | .897 | 53 | -.752 | 81 | -1.42 | 88 | -5.18 | 230 | -5.04 | 229 | |
232 | Warren Central | 88 | -5.44 | 1 | 15 | 0 | .969 | 78 | -.907 | 91 | -1.71 | 90 | -5.42 | 233 | -5.39 | 234 | |
240 | Anderson | 89 | -5.93 | 4 | 11 | 0 | .938 | 69 | -.671 | 74 | -1.39 | 86 | -6.04 | 240 | -5.71 | 238 | |
244 | Indianapolis Shortridge | 90 | -6.16 | 2 | 11 | 0 | .974 | 82 | -.821 | 88 | -1.66 | 89 | -6.14 | 244 | -6.13 | 247 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
261 | Hammond Morton | 91 | -8.07 | 1 | 11 | 0 | .986 | 87 | -.903 | 90 | -2.03 | 91 | -8.11 | 261 | -7.96 | 261 | |
262 | Muncie Central | 92 | -8.11 | 1 | 15 | 0 | .991 | 90 | -.929 | 92 | -2.08 | 92 | -8.20 | 262 | -7.99 | 262 | |
265 | Indianapolis Attucks | 93 | -8.62 | 0 | 9 | 1 | .998 | 94 | -.948 | 93 | -2.17 | 93 | -8.51 | 265 | -8.63 | 266 |