The TWISTR Ratings are an iterative least-squares, score-based ratings system built in the spirit of an Elo model. Team ratings are agnostic to the final result of a game, as only the scoring margins are important when rating teams. No additional benefit is provided for a win or penalty for a loss. The TWISTR ratings for SOCCER incorporate two key concepts:
The RATING represents the number of goals a team would be favored by against an average opponent. Teams with a positive RATING are considered better than average, while teams with a negative RATING are considered worse than average. The RATING can be thought of as a composite of the INDEPENDENT (INDY) rating, in which the time a game was played does not matter, and the FORECASTER (CASTER) rating, where recent results are weighted more heavily.
Both the STRENGTH OF RECORD (SoR) and Z-SCORE (Z-SCR) are resume ratings - SoR only considers a team's win-loss record and is independent of margin of victory, while Z-SCR is a blend of RATING and SoR.
TWISTR IHSAA TEAM RATINGS | SCHEDULE & RESUME | COMPONENT RATINGS | |||||||||||||||
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RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
1 | Noblesville | 1 | +8.10 | 17 | 0 | 2 | .628 | 6 | +.319 | 1 | +1.96 | 1 | +8.18 | 1 | +7.98 | 1 | |
2 | Hamilton Southeastern | 2 | +7.53 | 15 | 1 | 3 | .621 | 5 | +.248 | 2 | +1.77 | 2 | +7.84 | 2 | +7.37 | 2 | |
3 | Carmel | 3 | +7.06 | 15 | 3 | 2 | .598 | 3 | +.202 | 3 | +1.64 | 3 | +7.24 | 3 | +7.01 | 3 | |
4 | Westfield | 4 | +6.62 | 10 | 5 | 1 | .558 | 2 | +.097 | 5 | +1.42 | 5 | +6.80 | 4 | +6.54 | 4 | |
5 | Homestead | 5 | +6.55 | 16 | 3 | 1 | .739 | 15 | +.087 | 7 | +1.39 | 6 | +6.74 | 5 | +6.54 | 5 | |
6 | East Central | 6 | +6.36 | 16 | 1 | 1 | .850 | 34 | +.066 | 8 | +1.34 | 8 | +6.44 | 7 | +6.34 | 6 | |
7 | Evansville Memorial | 7 | +6.34 | 13 | 2 | 1 | .702 | 11 | +.142 | 4 | +1.45 | 4 | +6.53 | 6 | +6.26 | 7 | |
8 | Zionsville | 8 | +6.22 | 6 | 5 | 5 | .525 | 1 | +.006 | 10 | +1.22 | 10 | +6.42 | 9 | +6.13 | 8 | |
9 | Castle | 9 | +6.14 | 14 | 3 | 1 | .716 | 13 | +.095 | 6 | +1.36 | 7 | +6.42 | 8 | +6.02 | 10 | |
11 | Indianapolis Cathedral | 10 | +5.88 | 13 | 4 | 2 | .678 | 9 | +.059 | 9 | +1.27 | 9 | +6.03 | 11 | +5.82 | 11 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
14 | Penn | 11 | +5.73 | 11 | 4 | 3 | .741 | 16 | -.049 | 15 | +1.07 | 13 | +5.80 | 15 | +5.66 | 14 | |
15 | Center Grove | 12 | +5.66 | 15 | 4 | 3 | .759 | 19 | -.010 | 12 | +1.13 | 12 | +5.84 | 14 | +5.58 | 15 | |
16 | Mount Vernon (Fortville) | 13 | +5.57 | 9 | 4 | 3 | .711 | 12 | -.055 | 16 | +1.04 | 16 | +5.68 | 18 | +5.53 | 16 | |
17 | Crown Point | 14 | +5.56 | 14 | 3 | 0 | .863 | 38 | -.043 | 14 | +1.06 | 15 | +5.75 | 17 | +5.48 | 17 | |
18 | Brownsburg | 15 | +5.53 | 13 | 7 | 0 | .646 | 7 | +.004 | 11 | +1.13 | 11 | +5.75 | 16 | +5.43 | 18 | |
20 | Fishers | 16 | +5.24 | 9 | 6 | 2 | .606 | 4 | -.016 | 13 | +1.07 | 14 | +5.55 | 20 | +5.08 | 22 | |
22 | Jasper | 17 | +5.07 | 10 | 6 | 0 | .850 | 33 | -.222 | 35 | +0.72 | 26 | +5.06 | 24 | +5.10 | 21 | |
25 | Fort Wayne Northrop | 18 | +4.85 | 13 | 3 | 2 | .900 | 45 | -.123 | 22 | +0.85 | 19 | +5.04 | 25 | +4.74 | 28 | |
27 | Carroll (Fort Wayne) | 19 | +4.81 | 11 | 6 | 3 | .754 | 18 | -.130 | 24 | +0.83 | 22 | +5.03 | 26 | +4.69 | 31 | |
28 | Evansville North | 20 | +4.81 | 10 | 4 | 1 | .811 | 24 | -.108 | 19 | +0.87 | 18 | +4.89 | 31 | +4.81 | 25 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
29 | Lake Central | 21 | +4.80 | 12 | 4 | 0 | .892 | 43 | -.142 | 25 | +0.81 | 23 | +4.98 | 28 | +4.71 | 29 | |
32 | Northridge | 22 | +4.69 | 14 | 2 | 1 | .908 | 47 | -.057 | 17 | +0.93 | 17 | +4.83 | 32 | +4.64 | 32 | |
33 | Bloomington South | 23 | +4.59 | 10 | 3 | 1 | .859 | 36 | -.110 | 20 | +0.84 | 21 | +4.79 | 33 | +4.51 | 33 | |
35 | Valparaiso | 24 | +4.44 | 14 | 4 | 2 | .848 | 31 | -.097 | 18 | +0.84 | 20 | +4.59 | 35 | +4.38 | 35 | |
36 | Lawrence North | 25 | +4.40 | 8 | 6 | 3 | .767 | 20 | -.208 | 33 | +0.66 | 28 | +4.56 | 36 | +4.34 | 37 | |
38 | Leo | 26 | +4.23 | 9 | 7 | 1 | .815 | 25 | -.256 | 38 | +0.56 | 33 | +4.40 | 38 | +4.14 | 39 | |
39 | Goshen | 27 | +4.23 | 8 | 7 | 2 | .850 | 32 | -.324 | 47 | +0.45 | 38 | +4.35 | 40 | +4.18 | 38 | |
40 | Plainfield | 28 | +4.19 | 12 | 5 | 1 | .823 | 27 | -.126 | 23 | +0.76 | 24 | +4.40 | 39 | +4.10 | 40 | |
42 | New Palestine | 29 | +4.10 | 11 | 6 | 0 | .851 | 35 | -.203 | 31 | +0.63 | 29 | +4.22 | 43 | +4.06 | 41 | |
43 | Chesterton | 30 | +4.08 | 7 | 10 | 0 | .737 | 14 | -.330 | 48 | +0.42 | 40 | +4.44 | 37 | +3.90 | 45 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
44 | Columbus North | 31 | +4.00 | 13 | 3 | 1 | .910 | 52 | -.115 | 21 | +0.75 | 25 | +4.09 | 46 | +3.97 | 43 | |
45 | Warsaw | 32 | +3.98 | 12 | 7 | 1 | .797 | 23 | -.175 | 26 | +0.66 | 27 | +4.06 | 47 | +3.96 | 44 | |
46 | Evansville Reitz | 33 | +3.94 | 7 | 5 | 0 | .779 | 22 | -.195 | 30 | +0.62 | 30 | +4.12 | 44 | +3.87 | 46 | |
47 | Munster | 34 | +3.92 | 11 | 6 | 1 | .844 | 29 | -.206 | 32 | +0.60 | 31 | +4.09 | 45 | +3.85 | 47 | |
48 | Avon | 35 | +3.84 | 7 | 7 | 2 | .753 | 17 | -.251 | 37 | +0.52 | 35 | +4.00 | 48 | +3.78 | 48 | |
49 | North Central (Indianapolis) | 36 | +3.50 | 6 | 9 | 1 | .673 | 8 | -.268 | 40 | +0.45 | 39 | +3.68 | 49 | +3.43 | 50 | |
50 | Pendleton Heights | 37 | +3.47 | 8 | 9 | 1 | .692 | 10 | -.220 | 34 | +0.52 | 34 | +3.50 | 52 | +3.49 | 49 | |
53 | Terre Haute South | 38 | +3.38 | 13 | 4 | 2 | .914 | 53 | -.176 | 28 | +0.58 | 32 | +3.53 | 51 | +3.34 | 54 | |
57 | Whiteland | 39 | +3.03 | 10 | 4 | 1 | .970 | 74 | -.270 | 41 | +0.39 | 41 | +3.24 | 54 | +2.94 | 57 | |
58 | Harrison (West Lafayette) | 40 | +2.84 | 13 | 7 | 0 | .838 | 28 | -.186 | 29 | +0.50 | 37 | +2.97 | 58 | +2.80 | 58 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
59 | Hobart | 41 | +2.79 | 13 | 3 | 1 | .969 | 72 | -.175 | 27 | +0.51 | 36 | +2.90 | 60 | +2.75 | 61 | |
60 | McCutcheon | 42 | +2.78 | 10 | 5 | 1 | .919 | 55 | -.262 | 39 | +0.37 | 42 | +2.92 | 59 | +2.73 | 62 | |
63 | South Bend Adams | 43 | +2.67 | 8 | 7 | 1 | .901 | 46 | -.370 | 49 | +0.18 | 46 | +2.75 | 61 | +2.64 | 63 | |
66 | Franklin Central | 44 | +2.47 | 11 | 11 | 1 | .772 | 21 | -.272 | 42 | +0.31 | 43 | +2.56 | 66 | +2.45 | 67 | |
69 | Greenfield-Central | 45 | +2.34 | 6 | 10 | 0 | .866 | 40 | -.492 | 58 | -0.05 | 51 | +2.34 | 69 | +2.38 | 69 | |
70 | Mooresville | 46 | +2.21 | 11 | 6 | 1 | .942 | 63 | -.304 | 45 | +0.23 | 44 | +2.30 | 70 | +2.18 | 70 | |
79 | Franklin | 47 | +1.69 | 8 | 8 | 1 | .921 | 57 | -.421 | 52 | -0.02 | 50 | +1.70 | 80 | +1.72 | 77 | |
82 | Evansville Central | 48 | +1.58 | 5 | 7 | 1 | .816 | 26 | -.390 | 51 | +0.01 | 49 | +1.71 | 79 | +1.55 | 83 | |
86 | Lawrence Central | 49 | +1.49 | 11 | 7 | 0 | .909 | 50 | -.298 | 44 | +0.15 | 48 | +1.46 | 86 | +1.56 | 81 | |
88 | Portage | 50 | +1.36 | 5 | 6 | 3 | .926 | 60 | -.463 | 56 | -0.13 | 53 | +1.46 | 87 | +1.34 | 90 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
90 | Floyd Central | 51 | +1.33 | 9 | 6 | 1 | .866 | 39 | -.275 | 43 | +0.17 | 47 | +1.26 | 91 | +1.38 | 89 | |
92 | New Albany | 52 | +1.16 | 13 | 4 | 1 | .988 | 84 | -.239 | 36 | +0.20 | 45 | +1.14 | 93 | +1.09 | 94 | |
93 | Martinsville | 53 | +1.15 | 7 | 10 | 0 | .950 | 68 | -.538 | 61 | -0.28 | 56 | +1.36 | 90 | +1.03 | 97 | |
104 | Fort Wayne Snider | 54 | +0.66 | 6 | 10 | 0 | .885 | 41 | -.511 | 59 | -0.30 | 57 | +0.78 | 102 | +0.59 | 106 | |
105 | Concord | 55 | +0.64 | 5 | 10 | 1 | .909 | 49 | -.568 | 63 | -0.39 | 59 | +0.71 | 104 | +0.72 | 103 | |
106 | Elkhart | 56 | +0.59 | 4 | 10 | 0 | .847 | 30 | -.563 | 62 | -0.39 | 58 | +0.66 | 107 | +0.57 | 107 | |
107 | Terre Haute North | 57 | +0.57 | 3 | 13 | 0 | .890 | 42 | -.703 | 77 | -0.61 | 65 | +0.54 | 109 | +0.62 | 105 | |
108 | Columbia City | 58 | +0.52 | 8 | 10 | 0 | .931 | 61 | -.487 | 57 | -0.27 | 55 | +0.52 | 110 | +0.53 | 108 | |
109 | Greenwood | 59 | +0.51 | 8 | 6 | 1 | .951 | 69 | -.385 | 50 | -0.11 | 52 | +0.67 | 106 | +0.45 | 109 | |
113 | Bloomington North | 60 | +0.15 | 5 | 11 | 0 | .910 | 51 | -.597 | 68 | -0.49 | 61 | +0.31 | 112 | +0.10 | 115 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
118 | Lafayette Jeff | 61 | -0.06 | 8 | 6 | 2 | .992 | 86 | -.430 | 53 | -0.26 | 54 | -0.07 | 118 | -0.02 | 117 | |
130 | Shelbyville | 62 | -0.50 | 5 | 10 | 1 | .919 | 56 | -.576 | 64 | -0.54 | 63 | -0.34 | 127 | -0.49 | 130 | |
143 | Pike | 63 | -1.00 | 4 | 11 | 1 | .972 | 75 | -.691 | 74 | -0.79 | 70 | -0.87 | 140 | -1.02 | 145 | |
150 | Mishawaka | 64 | -1.24 | 2 | 13 | 0 | .954 | 70 | -.822 | 87 | -1.03 | 76 | -1.22 | 148 | -1.20 | 151 | |
154 | Ben Davis | 65 | -1.41 | 5 | 11 | 3 | .923 | 59 | -.580 | 65 | -0.66 | 67 | -1.42 | 155 | -1.37 | 154 | |
158 | Richmond | 66 | -1.63 | 7 | 7 | 1 | .945 | 66 | -.445 | 54 | -0.48 | 60 | -1.72 | 163 | -1.54 | 158 | |
159 | Evansville Harrison | 67 | -1.68 | 3 | 14 | 0 | .860 | 37 | -.680 | 71 | -0.86 | 72 | -1.67 | 159 | -1.63 | 160 | |
160 | Perry Meridian | 68 | -1.72 | 3 | 10 | 3 | .980 | 78 | -.699 | 76 | -0.89 | 73 | -1.60 | 157 | -1.74 | 164 | |
164 | Southport | 69 | -1.79 | 5 | 10 | 1 | .975 | 76 | -.631 | 69 | -0.79 | 71 | -1.68 | 160 | -1.82 | 170 | |
165 | Fort Wayne Wayne | 70 | -1.80 | 4 | 9 | 1 | .909 | 48 | -.588 | 67 | -0.72 | 68 | -1.86 | 168 | -1.75 | 165 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
166 | Hammond Central | 71 | -1.81 | 8 | 7 | 0 | .982 | 80 | -.450 | 55 | -0.51 | 62 | -1.97 | 170 | -1.70 | 162 | |
169 | Jeffersonville | 72 | -1.83 | 8 | 9 | 0 | .991 | 85 | -.521 | 60 | -0.62 | 66 | -1.99 | 173 | -1.82 | 171 | |
172 | Jennings County | 73 | -1.89 | 6 | 9 | 2 | .996 | 88 | -.584 | 66 | -0.73 | 69 | -1.98 | 171 | -1.78 | 168 | |
174 | Seymour | 74 | -1.99 | 3 | 15 | 0 | .987 | 83 | -.821 | 86 | -1.12 | 78 | -2.02 | 174 | -1.88 | 173 | |
175 | Huntington North | 75 | -1.99 | 3 | 12 | 2 | .984 | 81 | -.748 | 79 | -1.00 | 74 | -2.10 | 178 | -1.94 | 175 | |
189 | Fort Wayne South | 76 | -2.76 | 2 | 12 | 2 | .948 | 67 | -.760 | 80 | -1.12 | 77 | -2.78 | 188 | -2.71 | 189 | |
191 | Decatur Central | 77 | -2.81 | 2 | 12 | 1 | .969 | 73 | -.803 | 84 | -1.19 | 81 | -2.78 | 189 | -2.80 | 191 | |
193 | South Bend Riley | 78 | -2.93 | 3 | 11 | 1 | .916 | 54 | -.683 | 72 | -1.02 | 75 | -3.05 | 194 | -2.83 | 193 | |
201 | Columbus East | 79 | -3.46 | 2 | 14 | 1 | .962 | 71 | -.815 | 85 | -1.29 | 83 | -3.46 | 201 | -3.23 | 199 | |
206 | LaPorte | 80 | -3.61 | 1 | 15 | 1 | .945 | 65 | -.858 | 89 | -1.38 | 86 | -3.45 | 200 | -3.64 | 208 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
207 | Kokomo | 81 | -3.64 | 4 | 10 | 1 | .996 | 89 | -.696 | 75 | -1.13 | 79 | -3.82 | 209 | -3.49 | 205 | |
211 | Fort Wayne North | 82 | -3.93 | 2 | 11 | 0 | .945 | 64 | -.790 | 83 | -1.31 | 84 | -4.06 | 215 | -3.84 | 212 | |
212 | Michigan City | 83 | -3.95 | 3 | 11 | 0 | .900 | 44 | -.686 | 73 | -1.15 | 80 | -3.97 | 211 | -3.87 | 213 | |
213 | Bedford North Lawrence | 84 | -3.99 | 3 | 10 | 1 | .986 | 82 | -.736 | 78 | -1.23 | 82 | -4.19 | 218 | -3.82 | 211 | |
215 | Indianapolis Tech | 85 | -4.06 | 9 | 4 | 0 | .999 | 93 | -.306 | 46 | -0.56 | 64 | -3.99 | 212 | -4.02 | 216 | |
224 | Logansport | 86 | -4.53 | 3 | 14 | 2 | .997 | 91 | -.787 | 82 | -1.38 | 87 | -4.49 | 223 | -4.51 | 224 | |
231 | Merrillville | 87 | -5.11 | 2 | 14 | 1 | .922 | 58 | -.776 | 81 | -1.44 | 88 | -5.17 | 230 | -5.02 | 229 | |
232 | Warren Central | 88 | -5.42 | 1 | 15 | 0 | .982 | 79 | -.920 | 91 | -1.70 | 90 | -5.41 | 233 | -5.26 | 232 | |
240 | Anderson | 89 | -5.91 | 4 | 11 | 0 | .937 | 62 | -.670 | 70 | -1.37 | 85 | -6.03 | 240 | -5.60 | 237 | |
244 | Indianapolis Shortridge | 90 | -6.13 | 2 | 11 | 0 | .980 | 77 | -.826 | 88 | -1.65 | 89 | -6.13 | 244 | -6.11 | 247 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
261 | Hammond Morton | 91 | -8.05 | 1 | 11 | 0 | .992 | 87 | -.909 | 90 | -2.02 | 91 | -8.09 | 261 | -7.95 | 261 | |
262 | Muncie Central | 92 | -8.08 | 1 | 15 | 0 | .996 | 90 | -.934 | 92 | -2.06 | 92 | -8.18 | 262 | -7.97 | 262 | |
265 | Indianapolis Attucks | 93 | -8.59 | 0 | 9 | 1 | .999 | 94 | -.949 | 93 | -2.15 | 93 | -8.49 | 265 | -8.61 | 266 |