The TWISTR Ratings are an iterative least-squares, score-based ratings system built in the spirit of an Elo model. Team ratings are agnostic to the final result of a game, as only the scoring margins are important when rating teams. No additional benefit is provided for a win or penalty for a loss. The TWISTR ratings for SOCCER incorporate two key concepts:
The RATING represents the number of goals a team would be favored by against an average opponent. Teams with a positive RATING are considered better than average, while teams with a negative RATING are considered worse than average. The RATING can be thought of as a composite of the INDEPENDENT (INDY) rating, in which the time a game was played does not matter, and the FORECASTER (CASTER) rating, where recent results are weighted more heavily.
TWISTR IHSAA TEAM RATINGS | SCHEDULE & RESUME | COMPONENT RATINGS | |||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
28 | Park Tudor | 1 | +4.41 | 16 | 4 | 1 | .478 | 2 | +.307 | 1 | +4.46 | 29 | +4.42 | 28 | |
42 | Evansville Mater Dei | 2 | +3.63 | 14 | 6 | 0 | .520 | 3 | +.180 | 2 | +3.60 | 43 | +3.71 | 41 | |
43 | Heritage Christian | 3 | +3.59 | 10 | 8 | 0 | .466 | 1 | +.090 | 4 | +3.59 | 44 | +3.65 | 43 | |
48 | Providence | 4 | +3.30 | 13 | 2 | 1 | .683 | 8 | +.161 | 3 | +3.45 | 47 | +3.33 | 48 | |
53 | Trinity Greenlawn | 5 | +2.85 | 15 | 2 | 0 | .803 | 25 | +.079 | 5 | +3.03 | 53 | +2.80 | 53 | |
55 | Westview | 6 | +2.69 | 17 | 4 | 0 | .747 | 16 | +.062 | 6 | +2.78 | 56 | +2.70 | 56 | |
59 | Switzerland County | 7 | +2.59 | 16 | 2 | 0 | .882 | 47 | +.006 | 9 | +2.73 | 58 | +2.57 | 59 | |
62 | Evansville Christian | 8 | +2.31 | 26 | 4 | 2 | .842 | 34 | +.002 | 10 | +2.49 | 61 | +2.28 | 64 | |
63 | Fort Wayne Canterbury | 9 | +2.27 | 12 | 9 | 0 | .529 | 4 | +.042 | 7 | +2.22 | 65 | +2.35 | 62 | |
75 | Oldenburg Academy | 10 | +1.75 | 10 | 5 | 1 | .641 | 7 | +.015 | 8 | +1.76 | 73 | +1.76 | 75 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
85 | Forest Park | 11 | +1.14 | 12 | 7 | 0 | .780 | 21 | -.149 | 17 | +1.19 | 84 | +1.08 | 89 | |
90 | Bremen | 12 | +0.90 | 10 | 5 | 1 | .821 | 28 | -.165 | 20 | +0.76 | 95 | +1.05 | 90 | |
93 | Bethany Christian | 13 | +0.77 | 10 | 6 | 1 | .690 | 10 | -.073 | 11 | +0.84 | 91 | +0.83 | 93 | |
96 | Faith Christian | 14 | +0.69 | 13 | 3 | 0 | .893 | 49 | -.080 | 12 | +0.80 | 93 | +0.73 | 96 | |
99 | Andrean | 15 | +0.54 | 7 | 7 | 2 | .723 | 13 | -.223 | 25 | +0.54 | 100 | +0.58 | 100 | |
101 | Greencastle | 16 | +0.41 | 15 | 4 | 0 | .928 | 56 | -.139 | 16 | +0.59 | 99 | +0.38 | 107 | |
114 | Argos | 17 | +0.17 | 6 | 10 | 1 | .601 | 5 | -.218 | 24 | +0.12 | 114 | +0.22 | 115 | |
116 | Sheridan | 18 | +0.11 | 13 | 6 | 1 | .847 | 37 | -.172 | 21 | -0.07 | 117 | +0.29 | 114 | |
117 | Northeast Dubois | 19 | -0.01 | 9 | 4 | 0 | .806 | 26 | -.113 | 14 | +0.14 | 113 | -0.01 | 117 | |
119 | Illiana Christian | 20 | -0.14 | 6 | 7 | 1 | .799 | 23 | -.335 | 33 | -0.04 | 116 | -0.14 | 122 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
122 | Tipton | 21 | -0.20 | 5 | 7 | 3 | .782 | 22 | -.349 | 38 | -0.30 | 127 | -0.06 | 119 | |
124 | Wheeler | 22 | -0.22 | 11 | 5 | 4 | .846 | 36 | -.196 | 23 | -0.25 | 126 | -0.15 | 123 | |
126 | South Spencer | 23 | -0.29 | 6 | 6 | 0 | .779 | 20 | -.279 | 30 | -0.19 | 125 | -0.16 | 124 | |
128 | Hammond Noll | 24 | -0.35 | 7 | 6 | 1 | .929 | 57 | -.393 | 46 | -0.35 | 128 | -0.30 | 130 | |
130 | Eastbrook | 25 | -0.39 | 11 | 7 | 1 | .907 | 51 | -.302 | 32 | -0.43 | 129 | -0.26 | 127 | |
134 | LaVille | 26 | -0.58 | 8 | 5 | 3 | .852 | 38 | -.258 | 28 | -0.56 | 132 | -0.50 | 135 | |
135 | Bethesda Christian | 27 | -0.59 | 12 | 4 | 1 | .863 | 41 | -.128 | 15 | -0.58 | 134 | -0.53 | 136 | |
136 | Fort Wayne Blackhawk | 28 | -0.60 | 5 | 8 | 5 | .799 | 24 | -.383 | 43 | -0.68 | 137 | -0.49 | 133 | |
137 | Central Noble | 29 | -0.65 | 6 | 7 | 2 | .813 | 27 | -.346 | 36 | -0.67 | 135 | -0.58 | 137 | |
140 | Elkhart Christian | 30 | -0.86 | 1 | 8 | 1 | .749 | 18 | -.599 | 66 | -1.00 | 145 | -0.73 | 139 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
144 | Muncie Burris | 31 | -0.93 | 10 | 4 | 1 | .863 | 40 | -.163 | 19 | -0.86 | 139 | -0.89 | 147 | |
145 | White River Valley | 32 | -0.95 | 12 | 2 | 1 | .989 | 87 | -.155 | 18 | -0.94 | 143 | -0.89 | 146 | |
146 | Morgan Township | 33 | -0.99 | 24 | 8 | 0 | .980 | 78 | -.230 | 26 | -1.14 | 149 | -0.89 | 145 | |
149 | Lafayette Central Catholic | 34 | -1.07 | 8 | 12 | 1 | .748 | 17 | -.343 | 35 | -1.07 | 148 | -0.99 | 148 | |
151 | University | 35 | -1.18 | 5 | 7 | 2 | .833 | 33 | -.404 | 47 | -1.21 | 154 | -1.09 | 150 | |
152 | Lakewood Park | 36 | -1.24 | 6 | 5 | 2 | .964 | 69 | -.426 | 49 | -1.21 | 153 | -1.19 | 155 | |
154 | Manchester | 37 | -1.26 | 12 | 6 | 0 | .964 | 68 | -.297 | 31 | -1.24 | 155 | -1.17 | 152 | |
155 | Culver | 38 | -1.26 | 13 | 3 | 1 | .970 | 72 | -.176 | 22 | -1.31 | 156 | -1.24 | 160 | |
156 | Lapel | 39 | -1.28 | 15 | 3 | 0 | .929 | 58 | -.096 | 13 | -1.16 | 150 | -1.29 | 165 | |
158 | Southmont | 40 | -1.31 | 8 | 7 | 0 | .881 | 46 | -.348 | 37 | -1.37 | 158 | -1.23 | 158 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
162 | Covington | 41 | -1.38 | 8 | 5 | 2 | .950 | 65 | -.350 | 39 | -1.53 | 165 | -1.22 | 157 | |
164 | Cascade | 42 | -1.41 | 7 | 6 | 1 | .876 | 44 | -.340 | 34 | -1.53 | 166 | -1.28 | 164 | |
170 | Triton Central | 43 | -1.67 | 10 | 8 | 0 | .831 | 31 | -.275 | 29 | -1.75 | 170 | -1.54 | 169 | |
171 | South Knox | 44 | -1.69 | 6 | 12 | 0 | .687 | 9 | -.354 | 40 | -1.88 | 174 | -1.52 | 168 | |
173 | Rising Sun | 45 | -1.77 | 10 | 7 | 0 | .832 | 32 | -.244 | 27 | -1.77 | 172 | -1.60 | 171 | |
179 | Vincennes Rivet | 46 | -2.01 | 9 | 6 | 0 | .986 | 85 | -.386 | 44 | -2.20 | 185 | -1.85 | 177 | |
183 | Fort Wayne Luers | 47 | -2.08 | 3 | 11 | 1 | .715 | 11 | -.482 | 57 | -2.15 | 183 | -1.98 | 182 | |
184 | North Posey | 48 | -2.09 | 4 | 10 | 2 | .845 | 35 | -.532 | 59 | -2.10 | 181 | -2.01 | 184 | |
190 | Tell City | 49 | -2.41 | 2 | 10 | 0 | .831 | 30 | -.664 | 71 | -2.54 | 193 | -2.31 | 189 | |
191 | Wapahani | 50 | -2.44 | 9 | 6 | 1 | .981 | 79 | -.387 | 45 | -2.44 | 188 | -2.36 | 193 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
195 | Brown County | 51 | -2.58 | 6 | 5 | 1 | .912 | 54 | -.370 | 42 | -2.73 | 195 | -2.37 | 194 | |
197 | Covenant Christian | 52 | -2.77 | 4 | 13 | 1 | .607 | 6 | -.357 | 41 | -2.97 | 199 | -2.56 | 197 | |
198 | Milan | 53 | -2.78 | 2 | 8 | 0 | .747 | 15 | -.547 | 61 | -3.06 | 201 | -2.54 | 196 | |
200 | South Adams | 54 | -2.82 | 4 | 10 | 1 | .891 | 48 | -.591 | 65 | -2.87 | 197 | -2.69 | 201 | |
202 | Washington Catholic | 55 | -2.86 | 4 | 10 | 0 | .914 | 55 | -.629 | 69 | -3.07 | 202 | -2.68 | 200 | |
203 | Kouts | 56 | -2.93 | 6 | 8 | 2 | .909 | 52 | -.472 | 56 | -3.13 | 204 | -2.77 | 203 | |
204 | Benton Central | 57 | -3.03 | 5 | 10 | 0 | .880 | 45 | -.547 | 60 | -3.13 | 205 | -2.89 | 205 | |
205 | Greenwood Christian | 58 | -3.05 | 4 | 9 | 1 | .777 | 19 | -.456 | 55 | -3.15 | 206 | -2.81 | 204 | |
208 | DeMotte Christian | 59 | -3.19 | 7 | 6 | 2 | .970 | 73 | -.437 | 50 | -3.43 | 209 | -3.01 | 208 | |
209 | South Ripley | 60 | -3.28 | 1 | 9 | 0 | .729 | 14 | -.629 | 70 | -3.54 | 211 | -3.38 | 212 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
211 | North Putnam | 61 | -3.40 | 5 | 11 | 1 | .946 | 63 | -.623 | 68 | -3.52 | 210 | -3.26 | 209 | |
213 | Washington Township | 62 | -3.54 | 7 | 6 | 1 | .987 | 86 | -.451 | 52 | -3.75 | 214 | -3.37 | 211 | |
215 | Eastern (Greentown) | 63 | -3.88 | 8 | 7 | 2 | .954 | 66 | -.424 | 48 | -4.00 | 216 | -3.72 | 216 | |
217 | Indianapolis Scecina | 64 | -3.90 | 5 | 9 | 0 | .870 | 43 | -.512 | 58 | -4.04 | 218 | -3.73 | 217 | |
218 | North Knox | 65 | -3.96 | 3 | 11 | 0 | .937 | 61 | -.723 | 74 | -3.96 | 215 | -3.88 | 218 | |
221 | Blackford | 66 | -4.08 | 2 | 8 | 4 | .970 | 71 | -.684 | 72 | -4.20 | 221 | -3.92 | 221 | |
222 | Wabash | 67 | -4.12 | 7 | 6 | 2 | .985 | 84 | -.452 | 53 | -4.31 | 224 | -3.89 | 219 | |
224 | North Miami | 68 | -4.30 | 7 | 6 | 0 | .980 | 77 | -.442 | 51 | -4.38 | 225 | -4.16 | 224 | |
225 | Hebron | 69 | -4.33 | 6 | 9 | 0 | .979 | 75 | -.579 | 64 | -4.46 | 226 | -4.24 | 225 | |
229 | Indianapolis Ritter | 70 | -4.77 | 5 | 11 | 0 | .934 | 60 | -.622 | 67 | -4.85 | 230 | -4.64 | 229 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
230 | Knightstown | 71 | -4.81 | 6 | 5 | 2 | .993 | 89 | -.455 | 54 | -4.81 | 229 | -4.72 | 232 | |
232 | Marquette Catholic | 72 | -4.88 | 4 | 12 | 0 | .981 | 80 | -.731 | 75 | -5.03 | 233 | -4.74 | 233 | |
233 | South Vermillion | 73 | -4.96 | 1 | 10 | 0 | .912 | 53 | -.821 | 78 | -5.15 | 237 | -4.69 | 231 | |
238 | Shawe Memorial | 74 | -5.24 | 1 | 5 | 0 | .720 | 12 | -.554 | 62 | -5.10 | 235 | -4.78 | 234 | |
240 | Trinity Lutheran | 75 | -5.46 | 1 | 8 | 0 | .943 | 62 | -.832 | 79 | -5.55 | 239 | -5.32 | 240 | |
242 | Tri-Central | 76 | -5.62 | 6 | 9 | 1 | .975 | 74 | -.569 | 63 | -5.82 | 243 | -5.43 | 242 | |
243 | Sullivan | 77 | -5.63 | 2 | 14 | 1 | .983 | 83 | -.836 | 80 | -5.75 | 242 | -5.48 | 243 | |
244 | Bloomfield | 78 | -5.69 | 0 | 9 | 1 | .982 | 82 | -.932 | 87 | -5.85 | 244 | -5.53 | 245 | |
254 | Austin | 79 | -6.86 | 1 | 10 | 0 | .829 | 29 | -.738 | 76 | -6.89 | 254 | -6.73 | 255 | |
257 | Union County | 80 | -6.95 | 0 | 11 | 0 | .956 | 67 | -.956 | 89 | -7.14 | 257 | -6.82 | 257 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
258 | Southwestern (Hanover) | 81 | -7.12 | 0 | 6 | 0 | .865 | 42 | -.865 | 82 | -7.20 | 258 | -6.98 | 261 | |
260 | Westville | 82 | -7.17 | 1 | 13 | 1 | .993 | 88 | -.893 | 85 | -7.49 | 262 | -6.93 | 259 | |
261 | Rossville | 83 | -7.26 | 1 | 14 | 1 | .969 | 70 | -.875 | 83 | -7.42 | 261 | -7.06 | 263 | |
265 | Delphi | 84 | -7.33 | 2 | 5 | 0 | .982 | 81 | -.696 | 73 | -7.84 | 267 | -6.96 | 260 | |
267 | Rochester | 85 | -7.43 | 0 | 13 | 0 | .860 | 39 | -.860 | 81 | -7.59 | 263 | -7.25 | 266 | |
268 | North White | 86 | -7.72 | 2 | 9 | 0 | .979 | 76 | -.797 | 77 | -8.08 | 269 | -7.42 | 267 | |
271 | Taylor | 87 | -8.75 | 1 | 13 | 0 | .950 | 64 | -.878 | 84 | -8.97 | 272 | -8.51 | 271 | |
272 | Elwood | 88 | -8.77 | 0 | 13 | 0 | .933 | 59 | -.933 | 88 | -8.93 | 271 | -8.57 | 272 | |
273 | Oregon-Davis | 89 | -11.17 | 0 | 9 | 0 | .897 | 50 | -.897 | 86 | -11.49 | 273 | -10.93 | 273 |