The TWISTR Ratings are an iterative least-squares, score-based ratings system built in the spirit of an Elo model. Team ratings are agnostic to the final result of a game, as only the scoring margins are important when rating teams. No additional benefit is provided for a win or penalty for a loss. The TWISTR ratings for SOCCER incorporate two key concepts:
The RATING represents the number of goals a team would be favored by against an average opponent. Teams with a positive RATING are considered better than average, while teams with a negative RATING are considered worse than average. The RATING can be thought of as a composite of the INDEPENDENT (INDY) rating, in which the time a game was played does not matter, and the FORECASTER (CASTER) rating, where recent results are weighted more heavily.
Both the STRENGTH OF RECORD (SoR) and Z-SCORE (Z-SCR) are resume ratings - SoR only considers a team's win-loss record and is independent of margin of victory, while Z-SCR is a blend of RATING and SoR.
TWISTR IHSAA TEAM RATINGS | SCHEDULE & RESUME | COMPONENT RATINGS | |||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
34 | Heritage Christian | 1 | +4.46 | 13 | 7 | 0 | .411 | 1 | +.238 | 2 | +2.13 | 2 | +4.61 | 34 | +4.41 | 34 | |
37 | Providence | 2 | +4.34 | 16 | 2 | 0 | .606 | 4 | +.285 | 1 | +2.19 | 1 | +4.31 | 41 | +4.36 | 35 | |
51 | Monrovia | 3 | +3.42 | 16 | 2 | 0 | .818 | 37 | +.071 | 5 | +1.69 | 3 | +3.61 | 50 | +3.36 | 53 | |
61 | Faith Christian | 4 | +2.72 | 15 | 2 | 2 | .757 | 25 | +.083 | 4 | +1.61 | 5 | +2.71 | 63 | +2.74 | 60 | |
62 | Oldenburg Academy | 5 | +2.71 | 13 | 7 | 0 | .526 | 2 | +.121 | 3 | +1.67 | 4 | +2.71 | 64 | +2.75 | 59 | |
68 | Switzerland County | 6 | +2.35 | 12 | 2 | 0 | .810 | 34 | +.049 | 7 | +1.49 | 6 | +2.46 | 67 | +2.48 | 66 | |
73 | Westview | 7 | +1.97 | 12 | 4 | 2 | .670 | 9 | +.052 | 6 | +1.44 | 7 | +2.03 | 72 | +2.05 | 72 | |
77 | Sheridan | 8 | +1.78 | 11 | 5 | 1 | .682 | 10 | -.008 | 12 | +1.31 | 8 | +2.01 | 73 | +1.67 | 79 | |
84 | Forest Park | 9 | +1.48 | 11 | 5 | 0 | .687 | 12 | +.001 | 11 | +1.28 | 11 | +1.45 | 86 | +1.55 | 82 | |
89 | Bethesda Christian | 10 | +1.32 | 12 | 4 | 0 | .724 | 17 | +.026 | 10 | +1.30 | 10 | +1.40 | 89 | +1.43 | 87 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
91 | Elkhart Christian | 11 | +1.17 | 12 | 1 | 0 | .877 | 52 | +.046 | 8 | +1.31 | 9 | +1.23 | 92 | +1.16 | 92 | |
99 | Lakewood Park | 12 | +0.91 | 13 | 1 | 0 | .891 | 55 | +.036 | 9 | +1.26 | 12 | +0.94 | 100 | +0.91 | 101 | |
101 | Lafayette Central Catholic | 13 | +0.87 | 8 | 6 | 4 | .612 | 6 | -.058 | 16 | +1.09 | 13 | +0.76 | 102 | +0.99 | 98 | |
110 | Evansville Christian | 14 | +0.29 | 9 | 3 | 1 | .754 | 24 | -.023 | 14 | +1.06 | 14 | +0.57 | 108 | +0.22 | 112 | |
112 | Bremen | 15 | +0.26 | 9 | 6 | 1 | .696 | 15 | -.102 | 19 | +0.93 | 16 | +0.21 | 113 | +0.28 | 110 | |
116 | Wheeler | 16 | +0.01 | 12 | 6 | 0 | .782 | 29 | -.117 | 20 | +0.87 | 19 | +0.08 | 114 | +0.02 | 116 | |
119 | Greencastle | 17 | -0.10 | 16 | 4 | 0 | .883 | 53 | -.084 | 17 | +0.90 | 17 | -0.07 | 117 | -0.06 | 118 | |
121 | Andrean | 18 | -0.18 | 6 | 9 | 2 | .603 | 3 | -.191 | 25 | +0.71 | 22 | -0.13 | 120 | -0.16 | 121 | |
126 | North Posey | 19 | -0.40 | 9 | 7 | 0 | .772 | 27 | -.208 | 26 | +0.65 | 23 | -0.31 | 124 | -0.40 | 128 | |
127 | Lapel | 20 | -0.43 | 18 | 2 | 1 | .918 | 66 | -.037 | 15 | +0.93 | 15 | -0.30 | 123 | -0.47 | 129 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
128 | Argos | 21 | -0.46 | 5 | 6 | 1 | .727 | 18 | -.270 | 35 | +0.54 | 29 | -0.54 | 130 | -0.37 | 126 | |
131 | Boone Grove | 22 | -0.68 | 11 | 6 | 0 | .874 | 50 | -.226 | 30 | +0.58 | 26 | -0.68 | 132 | -0.65 | 132 | |
132 | Fort Wayne Blackhawk | 23 | -0.69 | 9 | 9 | 0 | .799 | 32 | -.299 | 38 | +0.46 | 32 | -0.70 | 133 | -0.72 | 136 | |
134 | LaVille | 24 | -0.72 | 10 | 7 | 0 | .809 | 33 | -.222 | 29 | +0.58 | 25 | -0.75 | 134 | -0.66 | 133 | |
136 | Covenant Christian | 25 | -0.77 | 9 | 7 | 0 | .690 | 14 | -.125 | 21 | +0.73 | 21 | -0.80 | 135 | -0.71 | 135 | |
137 | Pike Central | 26 | -0.86 | 12 | 5 | 0 | .793 | 31 | -.086 | 18 | +0.79 | 20 | -0.83 | 137 | -0.78 | 137 | |
138 | Manchester | 27 | -0.90 | 11 | 7 | 0 | .903 | 61 | -.292 | 36 | +0.44 | 33 | -0.89 | 140 | -0.88 | 139 | |
139 | Morgan Township | 28 | -0.91 | 8 | 4 | 1 | .875 | 51 | -.222 | 28 | +0.55 | 28 | -0.81 | 136 | -0.93 | 141 | |
141 | White River Valley | 29 | -1.00 | 14 | 0 | 1 | .983 | 88 | -.016 | 13 | +0.88 | 18 | -1.06 | 145 | -0.90 | 140 | |
144 | Eastbrook | 30 | -1.05 | 11 | 5 | 2 | .832 | 41 | -.166 | 22 | +0.63 | 24 | -0.91 | 142 | -1.09 | 147 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
145 | Southmont | 31 | -1.06 | 6 | 10 | 0 | .751 | 21 | -.377 | 44 | +0.27 | 41 | -1.05 | 144 | -1.00 | 143 | |
146 | Central Noble | 32 | -1.10 | 6 | 8 | 0 | .752 | 22 | -.323 | 41 | +0.36 | 35 | -1.26 | 149 | -1.01 | 145 | |
149 | Rising Sun | 33 | -1.21 | 9 | 7 | 1 | .741 | 20 | -.185 | 24 | +0.57 | 27 | -1.44 | 155 | -1.01 | 144 | |
151 | University | 34 | -1.26 | 7 | 7 | 0 | .792 | 30 | -.292 | 37 | +0.38 | 34 | -1.35 | 152 | -1.20 | 149 | |
153 | Culver | 35 | -1.41 | 12 | 3 | 1 | .966 | 85 | -.185 | 23 | +0.54 | 30 | -1.34 | 151 | -1.41 | 155 | |
155 | Shawe Memorial | 36 | -1.46 | 4 | 5 | 1 | .662 | 8 | -.220 | 27 | +0.47 | 31 | -1.53 | 156 | -1.42 | 156 | |
157 | South Knox | 37 | -1.51 | 8 | 5 | 1 | .907 | 63 | -.299 | 39 | +0.33 | 39 | -1.38 | 153 | -1.50 | 157 | |
163 | Covington | 38 | -1.80 | 10 | 7 | 1 | .852 | 43 | -.268 | 34 | +0.34 | 38 | -1.84 | 166 | -1.72 | 163 | |
168 | Triton Central | 39 | -1.86 | 9 | 9 | 0 | .760 | 26 | -.258 | 33 | +0.35 | 37 | -1.73 | 162 | -1.88 | 172 | |
173 | Vincennes Rivet | 40 | -2.00 | 10 | 6 | 1 | .860 | 48 | -.242 | 31 | +0.35 | 36 | -1.86 | 168 | -2.01 | 177 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
180 | Northeast Dubois | 41 | -2.21 | 4 | 5 | 0 | .898 | 59 | -.452 | 53 | -0.03 | 45 | -2.17 | 179 | -2.18 | 180 | |
182 | Marquette Catholic | 42 | -2.31 | 10 | 4 | 3 | .921 | 68 | -.244 | 32 | +0.30 | 40 | -2.36 | 183 | -2.24 | 182 | |
185 | Milan | 43 | -2.48 | 3 | 8 | 0 | .610 | 5 | -.343 | 42 | +0.11 | 42 | -2.79 | 188 | -2.64 | 188 | |
188 | South Spencer | 44 | -2.64 | 3 | 8 | 1 | .707 | 16 | -.412 | 47 | -0.02 | 44 | -2.90 | 191 | -2.52 | 187 | |
192 | Muncie Burris | 45 | -2.95 | 8 | 8 | 1 | .813 | 35 | -.313 | 40 | +0.09 | 43 | -3.05 | 192 | -2.81 | 190 | |
195 | Kouts | 46 | -3.10 | 6 | 9 | 1 | .823 | 39 | -.418 | 48 | -0.10 | 47 | -3.06 | 193 | -3.08 | 195 | |
197 | Tipton | 47 | -3.23 | 7 | 8 | 1 | .896 | 57 | -.428 | 50 | -0.14 | 48 | -3.32 | 197 | -3.14 | 196 | |
200 | Greenwood Christian | 48 | -3.43 | 4 | 11 | 0 | .740 | 19 | -.470 | 56 | -0.24 | 51 | -3.60 | 203 | -3.31 | 201 | |
203 | South Adams | 49 | -3.54 | 2 | 12 | 1 | .863 | 49 | -.698 | 74 | -0.64 | 64 | -3.63 | 204 | -3.45 | 202 | |
204 | North Putnam | 50 | -3.61 | 7 | 8 | 1 | .893 | 56 | -.424 | 49 | -0.19 | 49 | -3.68 | 207 | -3.48 | 204 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
205 | Wabash | 51 | -3.62 | 9 | 7 | 0 | .927 | 71 | -.365 | 43 | -0.09 | 46 | -3.66 | 205 | -3.54 | 206 | |
208 | Centerville | 52 | -3.68 | 6 | 10 | 0 | .826 | 40 | -.451 | 52 | -0.25 | 52 | -3.68 | 206 | -3.65 | 208 | |
209 | Washington Township | 53 | -3.69 | 4 | 8 | 0 | .947 | 75 | -.614 | 66 | -0.52 | 58 | -3.76 | 208 | -3.64 | 207 | |
210 | Brown County | 54 | -3.91 | 3 | 7 | 0 | .950 | 76 | -.651 | 71 | -0.61 | 62 | -3.93 | 210 | -3.82 | 211 | |
214 | Knightstown | 55 | -4.05 | 8 | 7 | 0 | .969 | 87 | -.436 | 51 | -0.28 | 54 | -4.07 | 214 | -3.78 | 210 | |
217 | DeMotte Christian | 56 | -4.17 | 7 | 9 | 0 | .923 | 69 | -.487 | 57 | -0.38 | 55 | -4.04 | 213 | -4.20 | 219 | |
218 | Bethany Christian | 57 | -4.19 | 1 | 10 | 0 | .686 | 11 | -.598 | 64 | -0.57 | 61 | -4.34 | 220 | -4.06 | 217 | |
219 | Indianapolis Scecina | 58 | -4.27 | 5 | 8 | 0 | .776 | 28 | -.390 | 45 | -0.23 | 50 | -4.15 | 217 | -4.28 | 220 | |
221 | Blackford | 59 | -4.32 | 3 | 9 | 2 | .908 | 64 | -.622 | 67 | -0.63 | 63 | -4.20 | 219 | -4.34 | 221 | |
222 | North Miami | 60 | -4.44 | 7 | 6 | 1 | .932 | 72 | -.397 | 46 | -0.27 | 53 | -4.48 | 222 | -4.44 | 222 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
223 | Hebron | 61 | -4.53 | 5 | 8 | 2 | .957 | 80 | -.558 | 61 | -0.55 | 59 | -4.51 | 224 | -4.49 | 223 | |
225 | Indianapolis Ritter | 62 | -4.61 | 5 | 10 | 1 | .814 | 36 | -.468 | 55 | -0.41 | 56 | -4.53 | 225 | -4.60 | 225 | |
226 | Tell City | 63 | -4.74 | 1 | 10 | 0 | .688 | 13 | -.595 | 63 | -0.65 | 65 | -4.86 | 226 | -4.65 | 226 | |
227 | Tri-Central | 64 | -5.05 | 6 | 9 | 0 | .854 | 44 | -.455 | 54 | -0.46 | 57 | -5.07 | 228 | -4.99 | 228 | |
229 | Wood Memorial | 65 | -5.11 | 3 | 4 | 0 | .940 | 74 | -.510 | 59 | -0.56 | 60 | -5.00 | 227 | -5.10 | 231 | |
234 | Rensselaer Central | 66 | -5.47 | 3 | 11 | 0 | .860 | 47 | -.646 | 69 | -0.84 | 69 | -5.31 | 232 | -5.54 | 236 | |
235 | South Ripley | 67 | -5.49 | 0 | 9 | 1 | .753 | 23 | -.710 | 75 | -0.95 | 73 | -5.69 | 235 | -5.37 | 233 | |
236 | North Knox | 68 | -5.59 | 3 | 10 | 2 | .950 | 77 | -.682 | 73 | -0.92 | 72 | -5.69 | 234 | -5.45 | 235 | |
237 | Rossville | 69 | -5.78 | 4 | 10 | 0 | .819 | 38 | -.535 | 60 | -0.70 | 66 | -5.75 | 237 | -5.65 | 237 | |
238 | Trinity Lutheran | 70 | -5.91 | 4 | 9 | 1 | .962 | 84 | -.640 | 68 | -0.90 | 70 | -6.11 | 242 | -5.75 | 239 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
239 | Hauser | 71 | -5.92 | 3 | 12 | 3 | .896 | 58 | -.647 | 70 | -0.91 | 71 | -6.14 | 243 | -5.77 | 240 | |
241 | Washington Catholic | 72 | -5.99 | 1 | 9 | 1 | .958 | 81 | -.821 | 80 | -1.21 | 75 | -5.82 | 238 | -6.02 | 243 | |
242 | Rochester | 73 | -6.02 | 4 | 8 | 3 | .960 | 83 | -.595 | 62 | -0.84 | 68 | -5.99 | 239 | -6.00 | 242 | |
243 | Sullivan | 74 | -6.06 | 1 | 13 | 2 | .953 | 78 | -.827 | 81 | -1.23 | 76 | -6.06 | 241 | -5.97 | 241 | |
245 | Eastern (Greentown) | 75 | -6.18 | 0 | 14 | 1 | .904 | 62 | -.872 | 86 | -1.32 | 78 | -6.24 | 245 | -6.09 | 245 | |
248 | Westville | 76 | -6.63 | 5 | 12 | 0 | .960 | 82 | -.666 | 72 | -1.05 | 74 | -6.89 | 250 | -6.43 | 248 | |
249 | Bloomfield | 77 | -6.71 | 0 | 8 | 2 | .966 | 86 | -.865 | 85 | -1.39 | 82 | -6.87 | 249 | -6.59 | 249 | |
252 | Christel House | 78 | -7.11 | 5 | 7 | 1 | .915 | 65 | -.492 | 58 | -0.83 | 67 | -7.16 | 252 | -7.03 | 253 | |
256 | Taylor | 79 | -7.26 | 1 | 11 | 2 | .939 | 73 | -.795 | 78 | -1.36 | 79 | -7.38 | 256 | -7.18 | 256 | |
257 | Wapahani | 80 | -7.38 | 2 | 14 | 0 | .925 | 70 | -.801 | 79 | -1.39 | 81 | -7.52 | 258 | -7.25 | 257 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
259 | Salem | 81 | -7.52 | 1 | 11 | 1 | .900 | 60 | -.785 | 77 | -1.38 | 80 | -7.67 | 259 | -7.41 | 259 | |
260 | North White | 82 | -7.73 | 0 | 12 | 1 | .919 | 67 | -.881 | 87 | -1.57 | 84 | -7.89 | 260 | -7.59 | 260 | |
264 | Austin | 83 | -8.49 | 1 | 11 | 1 | .855 | 45 | -.740 | 76 | -1.45 | 83 | -8.56 | 266 | -8.47 | 264 | |
267 | Union County | 84 | -8.72 | 0 | 11 | 0 | .847 | 42 | -.847 | 82 | -1.66 | 85 | -8.75 | 267 | -8.48 | 265 | |
269 | Oregon-Davis | 85 | -9.07 | 0 | 9 | 0 | .858 | 46 | -.860 | 84 | -1.74 | 86 | -9.00 | 269 | -9.05 | 270 | |
270 | Southwestern (Hanover) | 86 | -9.11 | 0 | 8 | 1 | .649 | 7 | -.602 | 65 | -1.31 | 77 | -9.30 | 270 | -8.98 | 269 | |
271 | South Vermillion | 87 | -9.22 | 0 | 11 | 0 | .956 | 79 | -.955 | 88 | -1.92 | 88 | -9.40 | 271 | -9.07 | 271 | |
272 | Elwood | 88 | -9.41 | 0 | 14 | 1 | .886 | 54 | -.854 | 83 | -1.78 | 87 | -9.64 | 272 | -9.22 | 272 |