The TWISTR Ratings are an iterative least-squares, score-based ratings system built in the spirit of an Elo model. Team ratings are agnostic to the final result of a game, as only the scoring margins are important when rating teams. No additional benefit is provided for a win or penalty for a loss. The TWISTR ratings for SOCCER incorporate two key concepts:
The RATING represents the number of goals a team would be favored by against an average opponent. Teams with a positive RATING are considered better than average, while teams with a negative RATING are considered worse than average. The RATING can be thought of as a composite of the INDEPENDENT (INDY) rating, in which the time a game was played does not matter, and the FORECASTER (CASTER) rating, where recent results are weighted more heavily.
Both the STRENGTH OF RECORD (SoR) and Z-SCORE (Z-SCR) are resume ratings - SoR only considers a team's win-loss record and is independent of margin of victory, while Z-SCR is a blend of RATING and SoR.
TWISTR IHSAA TEAM RATINGS | SCHEDULE & RESUME | COMPONENT RATINGS | |||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
34 | Heritage Christian | 1 | +4.50 | 13 | 6 | 0 | .420 | 1 | +.264 | 1 | +2.19 | 1 | +4.65 | 34 | +4.43 | 34 | |
37 | Providence | 2 | +4.33 | 15 | 2 | 0 | .638 | 6 | +.246 | 2 | +2.13 | 2 | +4.27 | 41 | +4.37 | 36 | |
51 | Monrovia | 3 | +3.44 | 16 | 2 | 0 | .836 | 38 | +.052 | 5 | +1.68 | 4 | +3.62 | 50 | +3.37 | 53 | |
61 | Oldenburg Academy | 4 | +2.74 | 13 | 7 | 0 | .516 | 2 | +.131 | 3 | +1.70 | 3 | +2.72 | 64 | +2.77 | 59 | |
62 | Faith Christian | 5 | +2.74 | 15 | 2 | 2 | .772 | 25 | +.068 | 4 | +1.60 | 5 | +2.72 | 63 | +2.76 | 60 | |
68 | Switzerland County | 6 | +2.37 | 12 | 2 | 0 | .821 | 33 | +.037 | 6 | +1.49 | 6 | +2.45 | 67 | +2.51 | 65 | |
73 | Westview | 7 | +2.00 | 12 | 4 | 2 | .693 | 10 | +.028 | 7 | +1.42 | 7 | +2.05 | 72 | +2.00 | 74 | |
77 | Sheridan | 8 | +1.81 | 11 | 5 | 1 | .682 | 9 | -.008 | 12 | +1.33 | 8 | +2.03 | 73 | +1.69 | 79 | |
85 | Forest Park | 9 | +1.50 | 11 | 5 | 0 | .696 | 12 | -.007 | 11 | +1.29 | 11 | +1.45 | 88 | +1.56 | 82 | |
89 | Bethesda Christian | 10 | +1.35 | 12 | 4 | 0 | .735 | 18 | +.016 | 9 | +1.30 | 9 | +1.41 | 89 | +1.45 | 87 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
91 | Elkhart Christian | 11 | +1.20 | 12 | 1 | 0 | .902 | 52 | +.020 | 8 | +1.29 | 10 | +1.25 | 92 | +1.19 | 92 | |
99 | Lakewood Park | 12 | +0.93 | 13 | 1 | 0 | .922 | 61 | +.005 | 10 | +1.23 | 12 | +0.95 | 100 | +0.93 | 101 | |
101 | Lafayette Central Catholic | 13 | +0.89 | 8 | 6 | 4 | .604 | 4 | -.050 | 16 | +1.13 | 13 | +0.77 | 103 | +1.00 | 98 | |
110 | Evansville Christian | 14 | +0.31 | 9 | 3 | 1 | .768 | 23 | -.036 | 14 | +1.06 | 14 | +0.57 | 108 | +0.29 | 111 | |
111 | Bremen | 15 | +0.29 | 9 | 6 | 1 | .714 | 15 | -.120 | 19 | +0.92 | 16 | +0.23 | 113 | +0.35 | 110 | |
116 | Wheeler | 16 | +0.05 | 12 | 6 | 0 | .801 | 29 | -.135 | 21 | +0.86 | 19 | +0.09 | 114 | +0.05 | 116 | |
119 | Greencastle | 17 | -0.08 | 16 | 4 | 0 | .908 | 54 | -.108 | 18 | +0.88 | 18 | -0.06 | 117 | -0.04 | 119 | |
121 | Andrean | 18 | -0.16 | 6 | 9 | 2 | .615 | 5 | -.202 | 25 | +0.72 | 22 | -0.12 | 120 | -0.15 | 121 | |
126 | Lapel | 19 | -0.38 | 18 | 2 | 1 | .927 | 64 | -.046 | 15 | +0.94 | 15 | -0.29 | 124 | -0.45 | 129 | |
127 | North Posey | 20 | -0.38 | 9 | 7 | 0 | .784 | 27 | -.220 | 27 | +0.66 | 23 | -0.30 | 125 | -0.39 | 128 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
128 | Argos | 21 | -0.43 | 5 | 6 | 1 | .746 | 19 | -.289 | 35 | +0.53 | 30 | -0.52 | 130 | -0.35 | 126 | |
131 | Boone Grove | 22 | -0.66 | 11 | 6 | 0 | .899 | 51 | -.251 | 30 | +0.56 | 26 | -0.67 | 132 | -0.66 | 133 | |
133 | Fort Wayne Blackhawk | 23 | -0.69 | 9 | 9 | 0 | .820 | 32 | -.321 | 38 | +0.44 | 32 | -0.68 | 133 | -0.70 | 136 | |
134 | LaVille | 24 | -0.70 | 10 | 7 | 0 | .836 | 37 | -.250 | 29 | +0.56 | 27 | -0.73 | 134 | -0.64 | 132 | |
136 | Covenant Christian | 25 | -0.75 | 9 | 7 | 0 | .696 | 11 | -.131 | 20 | +0.75 | 21 | -0.79 | 135 | -0.68 | 134 | |
137 | Pike Central | 26 | -0.84 | 12 | 5 | 0 | .802 | 30 | -.095 | 17 | +0.79 | 20 | -0.80 | 137 | -0.77 | 137 | |
138 | Manchester | 27 | -0.88 | 11 | 7 | 0 | .930 | 65 | -.320 | 37 | +0.41 | 33 | -0.87 | 139 | -0.86 | 139 | |
140 | Morgan Township | 28 | -0.90 | 8 | 4 | 1 | .895 | 50 | -.242 | 28 | +0.54 | 28 | -0.80 | 136 | -0.92 | 142 | |
141 | White River Valley | 29 | -0.98 | 14 | 0 | 1 | .993 | 88 | -.027 | 13 | +0.89 | 17 | -1.05 | 145 | -0.89 | 140 | |
144 | Eastbrook | 30 | -1.02 | 11 | 5 | 2 | .857 | 41 | -.191 | 23 | +0.61 | 24 | -0.89 | 142 | -1.07 | 146 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
145 | Southmont | 31 | -1.03 | 6 | 10 | 0 | .773 | 26 | -.399 | 44 | +0.26 | 41 | -1.04 | 144 | -0.99 | 144 | |
146 | Central Noble | 32 | -1.08 | 6 | 8 | 0 | .765 | 22 | -.335 | 42 | +0.36 | 36 | -1.24 | 149 | -0.98 | 143 | |
149 | Rising Sun | 33 | -1.18 | 9 | 7 | 1 | .733 | 17 | -.178 | 22 | +0.60 | 25 | -1.41 | 154 | -1.07 | 147 | |
151 | University | 34 | -1.27 | 7 | 7 | 0 | .809 | 31 | -.310 | 36 | +0.37 | 34 | -1.33 | 152 | -1.16 | 149 | |
153 | Culver | 35 | -1.39 | 12 | 3 | 1 | .982 | 85 | -.200 | 24 | +0.54 | 29 | -1.33 | 151 | -1.39 | 156 | |
155 | Shawe Memorial | 36 | -1.43 | 4 | 5 | 1 | .651 | 8 | -.209 | 26 | +0.51 | 31 | -1.52 | 156 | -1.38 | 155 | |
157 | South Knox | 37 | -1.49 | 8 | 5 | 1 | .931 | 66 | -.323 | 39 | +0.32 | 39 | -1.38 | 153 | -1.48 | 157 | |
163 | Covington | 38 | -1.78 | 10 | 7 | 1 | .873 | 47 | -.289 | 34 | +0.33 | 38 | -1.81 | 165 | -1.70 | 163 | |
167 | Triton Central | 39 | -1.83 | 9 | 9 | 0 | .768 | 24 | -.267 | 33 | +0.36 | 35 | -1.71 | 162 | -1.84 | 172 | |
173 | Vincennes Rivet | 40 | -1.98 | 10 | 6 | 1 | .872 | 46 | -.254 | 31 | +0.36 | 37 | -1.86 | 167 | -2.00 | 176 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
180 | Northeast Dubois | 41 | -2.19 | 4 | 5 | 0 | .917 | 58 | -.470 | 54 | -0.03 | 45 | -2.17 | 179 | -2.16 | 179 | |
182 | Marquette Catholic | 42 | -2.30 | 10 | 4 | 3 | .938 | 69 | -.260 | 32 | +0.30 | 40 | -2.35 | 183 | -2.21 | 182 | |
185 | Milan | 43 | -2.45 | 3 | 8 | 0 | .593 | 3 | -.327 | 41 | +0.17 | 42 | -2.82 | 190 | -2.33 | 184 | |
188 | South Spencer | 44 | -2.63 | 3 | 8 | 1 | .718 | 16 | -.423 | 47 | -0.02 | 44 | -2.89 | 191 | -2.51 | 188 | |
192 | Muncie Burris | 45 | -2.89 | 8 | 8 | 1 | .824 | 35 | -.324 | 40 | +0.11 | 43 | -3.03 | 192 | -2.79 | 190 | |
195 | Kouts | 46 | -3.08 | 6 | 9 | 1 | .843 | 40 | -.437 | 48 | -0.11 | 47 | -3.05 | 193 | -3.06 | 195 | |
197 | Tipton | 47 | -3.21 | 7 | 8 | 1 | .925 | 62 | -.458 | 51 | -0.16 | 48 | -3.31 | 197 | -3.12 | 196 | |
200 | Greenwood Christian | 48 | -3.41 | 4 | 11 | 0 | .749 | 20 | -.479 | 55 | -0.23 | 51 | -3.59 | 203 | -3.29 | 201 | |
203 | South Adams | 49 | -3.51 | 2 | 12 | 1 | .894 | 49 | -.729 | 75 | -0.66 | 65 | -3.61 | 204 | -3.43 | 202 | |
204 | North Putnam | 50 | -3.59 | 7 | 8 | 1 | .912 | 55 | -.443 | 49 | -0.20 | 49 | -3.64 | 205 | -3.46 | 204 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
205 | Wabash | 51 | -3.60 | 9 | 7 | 0 | .951 | 73 | -.389 | 43 | -0.11 | 46 | -3.66 | 206 | -3.51 | 206 | |
208 | Centerville | 52 | -3.65 | 6 | 10 | 0 | .837 | 39 | -.462 | 52 | -0.24 | 52 | -3.66 | 207 | -3.53 | 207 | |
209 | Washington Township | 53 | -3.68 | 4 | 8 | 0 | .972 | 75 | -.638 | 66 | -0.53 | 58 | -3.75 | 208 | -3.66 | 209 | |
210 | Brown County | 54 | -3.89 | 3 | 7 | 0 | .973 | 76 | -.673 | 71 | -0.62 | 62 | -3.92 | 210 | -3.80 | 210 | |
214 | Knightstown | 55 | -4.03 | 8 | 7 | 0 | .985 | 87 | -.452 | 50 | -0.28 | 54 | -4.06 | 214 | -3.89 | 214 | |
217 | DeMotte Christian | 56 | -4.13 | 7 | 9 | 0 | .935 | 67 | -.498 | 58 | -0.37 | 55 | -4.03 | 213 | -4.23 | 219 | |
218 | Bethany Christian | 57 | -4.17 | 1 | 10 | 0 | .699 | 14 | -.612 | 64 | -0.56 | 60 | -4.33 | 220 | -4.04 | 217 | |
219 | Indianapolis Scecina | 58 | -4.25 | 5 | 8 | 0 | .789 | 28 | -.402 | 45 | -0.23 | 50 | -4.13 | 217 | -4.27 | 220 | |
221 | Blackford | 59 | -4.29 | 3 | 9 | 2 | .937 | 68 | -.652 | 67 | -0.65 | 64 | -4.19 | 219 | -4.32 | 221 | |
222 | North Miami | 60 | -4.39 | 7 | 6 | 1 | .947 | 72 | -.412 | 46 | -0.27 | 53 | -4.47 | 222 | -4.42 | 222 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
223 | Hebron | 61 | -4.51 | 5 | 8 | 2 | .977 | 78 | -.578 | 61 | -0.56 | 59 | -4.50 | 224 | -4.48 | 223 | |
225 | Indianapolis Ritter | 62 | -4.59 | 5 | 10 | 1 | .829 | 36 | -.483 | 56 | -0.41 | 56 | -4.52 | 225 | -4.58 | 225 | |
226 | Tell City | 63 | -4.72 | 1 | 10 | 0 | .697 | 13 | -.604 | 63 | -0.63 | 63 | -4.86 | 226 | -4.82 | 226 | |
227 | Tri-Central | 64 | -5.03 | 6 | 9 | 0 | .868 | 44 | -.469 | 53 | -0.46 | 57 | -5.06 | 228 | -4.97 | 228 | |
229 | Wood Memorial | 65 | -5.09 | 3 | 4 | 0 | .968 | 74 | -.538 | 59 | -0.58 | 61 | -4.99 | 227 | -5.09 | 231 | |
234 | South Ripley | 66 | -5.46 | 0 | 9 | 1 | .761 | 21 | -.720 | 74 | -0.94 | 73 | -5.67 | 234 | -5.35 | 234 | |
235 | Rensselaer Central | 67 | -5.48 | 3 | 11 | 0 | .880 | 48 | -.666 | 70 | -0.85 | 69 | -5.29 | 232 | -5.47 | 236 | |
236 | North Knox | 68 | -5.56 | 3 | 10 | 2 | .976 | 77 | -.708 | 73 | -0.93 | 72 | -5.68 | 235 | -5.44 | 235 | |
237 | Rossville | 69 | -5.79 | 4 | 10 | 0 | .823 | 34 | -.539 | 60 | -0.69 | 66 | -5.73 | 237 | -5.64 | 238 | |
238 | Trinity Lutheran | 70 | -5.88 | 4 | 9 | 1 | .980 | 81 | -.658 | 69 | -0.90 | 70 | -6.10 | 242 | -5.74 | 240 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
239 | Hauser | 71 | -5.90 | 3 | 12 | 3 | .908 | 53 | -.658 | 68 | -0.90 | 71 | -6.12 | 243 | -5.74 | 239 | |
241 | Washington Catholic | 72 | -5.97 | 1 | 9 | 1 | .981 | 83 | -.845 | 81 | -1.22 | 75 | -5.82 | 238 | -5.93 | 241 | |
242 | Rochester | 73 | -6.00 | 4 | 8 | 3 | .978 | 79 | -.612 | 65 | -0.84 | 68 | -5.97 | 239 | -5.97 | 243 | |
243 | Sullivan | 74 | -6.03 | 1 | 12 | 2 | .978 | 80 | -.844 | 80 | -1.23 | 76 | -6.05 | 241 | -5.95 | 242 | |
245 | Eastern (Greentown) | 75 | -6.15 | 0 | 14 | 1 | .921 | 60 | -.889 | 86 | -1.32 | 78 | -6.22 | 245 | -6.07 | 245 | |
248 | Westville | 76 | -6.61 | 5 | 12 | 0 | .981 | 84 | -.688 | 72 | -1.06 | 74 | -6.88 | 250 | -6.42 | 248 | |
249 | Bloomfield | 77 | -6.73 | 0 | 8 | 2 | .984 | 86 | -.883 | 84 | -1.40 | 82 | -6.86 | 249 | -6.52 | 249 | |
252 | Christel House | 78 | -7.09 | 5 | 7 | 1 | .919 | 59 | -.496 | 57 | -0.81 | 67 | -7.15 | 252 | -7.09 | 254 | |
256 | Taylor | 79 | -7.23 | 1 | 11 | 2 | .945 | 71 | -.802 | 78 | -1.34 | 79 | -7.37 | 256 | -7.16 | 256 | |
257 | Wapahani | 80 | -7.36 | 2 | 14 | 0 | .945 | 70 | -.820 | 79 | -1.39 | 81 | -7.51 | 258 | -7.20 | 257 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
259 | Salem | 81 | -7.49 | 1 | 11 | 1 | .914 | 56 | -.800 | 77 | -1.37 | 80 | -7.65 | 259 | -7.39 | 259 | |
260 | North White | 82 | -7.72 | 0 | 12 | 1 | .927 | 63 | -.889 | 87 | -1.56 | 84 | -7.88 | 260 | -7.57 | 260 | |
264 | Austin | 83 | -8.47 | 1 | 11 | 1 | .863 | 43 | -.749 | 76 | -1.44 | 83 | -8.55 | 266 | -8.41 | 264 | |
267 | Union County | 84 | -8.69 | 0 | 11 | 0 | .858 | 42 | -.858 | 82 | -1.65 | 85 | -8.73 | 267 | -8.55 | 265 | |
269 | Oregon-Davis | 85 | -9.04 | 0 | 9 | 0 | .871 | 45 | -.874 | 83 | -1.73 | 86 | -8.99 | 269 | -9.03 | 270 | |
270 | Southwestern (Hanover) | 86 | -9.08 | 0 | 8 | 1 | .639 | 7 | -.594 | 62 | -1.27 | 77 | -9.29 | 270 | -8.96 | 269 | |
271 | South Vermillion | 87 | -9.20 | 0 | 11 | 0 | .981 | 82 | -.980 | 88 | -1.93 | 88 | -9.39 | 271 | -9.05 | 271 | |
272 | Elwood | 88 | -9.39 | 0 | 14 | 1 | .916 | 57 | -.884 | 85 | -1.80 | 87 | -9.63 | 272 | -9.20 | 272 |