The TWISTR Ratings are an iterative least-squares, score-based ratings system built in the spirit of an Elo model. Team ratings are agnostic to the final result of a game, as only the scoring margins are important when rating teams. No additional benefit is provided for a win or penalty for a loss. The TWISTR ratings for SOCCER incorporate two key concepts:
The RATING represents the number of goals a team would be favored by against an average opponent. Teams with a positive RATING are considered better than average, while teams with a negative RATING are considered worse than average. The RATING can be thought of as a composite of the INDEPENDENT (INDY) rating, in which the time a game was played does not matter, and the FORECASTER (CASTER) rating, where recent results are weighted more heavily.
Both the STRENGTH OF RECORD (SoR) and Z-SCORE (Z-SCR) are resume ratings - SoR only considers a team's win-loss record and is independent of margin of victory, while Z-SCR is a blend of RATING and SoR.
TWISTR IHSAA TEAM RATINGS | SCHEDULE & RESUME | COMPONENT RATINGS | |||||||||||||||
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RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
10 | Lawrenceburg | 1 | +6.09 | 19 | 0 | 0 | .788 | 14 | +.213 | 1 | +1.91 | 1 | +6.17 | 10 | +6.08 | 8 | |
12 | Mishawaka Marian | 2 | +5.74 | 15 | 3 | 2 | .626 | 5 | +.173 | 3 | +1.79 | 3 | +5.93 | 12 | +5.65 | 13 | |
14 | Guerin Catholic | 3 | +5.72 | 8 | 5 | 4 | .406 | 1 | +.187 | 2 | +1.81 | 2 | +5.91 | 13 | +5.65 | 14 | |
19 | Evansville Mater Dei | 4 | +5.41 | 14 | 3 | 0 | .713 | 8 | +.115 | 4 | +1.66 | 4 | +5.56 | 19 | +5.37 | 19 | |
21 | Brebeuf Jesuit | 5 | +5.16 | 10 | 8 | 2 | .511 | 2 | +.041 | 8 | +1.50 | 7 | +5.29 | 21 | +5.13 | 20 | |
23 | Fort Wayne Dwenger | 6 | +5.01 | 14 | 3 | 1 | .763 | 11 | +.044 | 7 | +1.48 | 8 | +5.20 | 22 | +4.95 | 23 | |
24 | South Bend St. Joseph | 7 | +4.95 | 13 | 5 | 1 | .618 | 4 | +.090 | 6 | +1.55 | 6 | +5.06 | 24 | +4.91 | 24 | |
25 | Hanover Central | 8 | +4.94 | 18 | 3 | 0 | .854 | 24 | +.001 | 10 | +1.40 | 9 | +5.09 | 23 | +4.87 | 25 | |
30 | Park Tudor | 9 | +4.76 | 11 | 5 | 2 | .688 | 7 | -.019 | 11 | +1.35 | 10 | +4.89 | 30 | +4.73 | 27 | |
31 | Indianapolis Chatard | 10 | +4.73 | 9 | 5 | 0 | .533 | 3 | +.111 | 5 | +1.56 | 5 | +4.88 | 31 | +4.67 | 30 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
41 | Indianapolis Roncalli | 11 | +4.08 | 11 | 8 | 2 | .685 | 6 | -.113 | 16 | +1.10 | 12 | +4.25 | 42 | +4.03 | 42 | |
53 | Bellmont | 12 | +3.35 | 16 | 3 | 1 | .819 | 16 | +.004 | 9 | +1.20 | 11 | +3.32 | 53 | +3.38 | 51 | |
54 | Heritage Hills | 13 | +3.29 | 12 | 4 | 0 | .840 | 21 | -.089 | 14 | +1.04 | 13 | +3.21 | 55 | +3.37 | 52 | |
55 | Fort Wayne Concordia | 14 | +3.26 | 13 | 5 | 0 | .835 | 19 | -.111 | 15 | +1.00 | 15 | +3.13 | 56 | +3.34 | 54 | |
56 | Gibson Southern | 15 | +3.06 | 13 | 4 | 0 | .854 | 23 | -.087 | 13 | +1.01 | 14 | +3.13 | 57 | +3.05 | 56 | |
64 | NorthWood | 16 | +2.60 | 11 | 4 | 1 | .888 | 36 | -.171 | 21 | +0.81 | 16 | +2.72 | 62 | +2.54 | 65 | |
65 | DeKalb | 17 | +2.48 | 10 | 6 | 0 | .832 | 17 | -.205 | 28 | +0.74 | 20 | +2.54 | 65 | +2.57 | 64 | |
67 | West Lafayette | 18 | +2.41 | 12 | 6 | 2 | .861 | 27 | -.210 | 29 | +0.72 | 21 | +2.38 | 68 | +2.44 | 67 | |
71 | Batesville | 19 | +2.01 | 11 | 6 | 0 | .781 | 13 | -.136 | 18 | +0.79 | 17 | +2.18 | 71 | +1.96 | 74 | |
72 | Fort Wayne Canterbury | 20 | +2.00 | 9 | 8 | 0 | .751 | 9 | -.220 | 32 | +0.65 | 25 | +1.98 | 74 | +2.03 | 73 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
74 | Madison | 21 | +1.92 | 14 | 5 | 0 | .916 | 46 | -.180 | 23 | +0.71 | 22 | +1.72 | 78 | +2.07 | 71 | |
75 | South Dearborn | 22 | +1.91 | 12 | 5 | 0 | .833 | 18 | -.128 | 17 | +0.79 | 18 | +1.94 | 75 | +1.92 | 75 | |
76 | Lowell | 23 | +1.83 | 7 | 8 | 1 | .843 | 22 | -.376 | 49 | +0.37 | 35 | +1.86 | 76 | +1.85 | 76 | |
78 | Culver Academy | 24 | +1.71 | 9 | 6 | 2 | .856 | 25 | -.269 | 37 | +0.53 | 30 | +1.74 | 77 | +1.70 | 78 | |
80 | Washington | 25 | +1.63 | 10 | 7 | 0 | .890 | 38 | -.299 | 41 | +0.47 | 33 | +1.69 | 80 | +1.61 | 81 | |
81 | Illiana Christian | 26 | +1.61 | 13 | 5 | 0 | .900 | 40 | -.178 | 22 | +0.67 | 24 | +1.63 | 83 | +1.64 | 80 | |
83 | Franklin County | 27 | +1.52 | 10 | 5 | 0 | .879 | 31 | -.213 | 30 | +0.60 | 27 | +1.66 | 82 | +1.47 | 86 | |
85 | Silver Creek | 28 | +1.48 | 13 | 4 | 0 | .947 | 59 | -.184 | 24 | +0.64 | 26 | +1.53 | 84 | +1.50 | 85 | |
87 | Jimtown | 29 | +1.37 | 13 | 3 | 1 | .946 | 58 | -.153 | 20 | +0.68 | 23 | +1.46 | 85 | +1.36 | 88 | |
94 | Tri-West | 30 | +1.06 | 8 | 9 | 0 | .879 | 30 | -.408 | 51 | +0.21 | 45 | +1.11 | 95 | +1.26 | 91 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
95 | Delta | 31 | +1.06 | 14 | 5 | 0 | .927 | 52 | -.190 | 25 | +0.58 | 28 | +0.99 | 98 | +1.10 | 93 | |
96 | East Noble | 32 | +1.05 | 10 | 6 | 1 | .903 | 41 | -.286 | 39 | +0.42 | 34 | +1.07 | 96 | +1.06 | 95 | |
97 | Highland | 33 | +1.03 | 12 | 6 | 0 | .867 | 28 | -.201 | 27 | +0.56 | 29 | +1.12 | 94 | +1.01 | 96 | |
98 | Oak Hill | 34 | +0.95 | 17 | 1 | 1 | .996 | 89 | -.075 | 12 | +0.76 | 19 | +1.04 | 97 | +0.94 | 99 | |
100 | Hamilton Heights | 35 | +0.90 | 11 | 4 | 3 | .914 | 45 | -.219 | 31 | +0.51 | 31 | +0.96 | 99 | +0.92 | 100 | |
102 | Norwell | 36 | +0.83 | 11 | 5 | 0 | .917 | 48 | -.228 | 33 | +0.48 | 32 | +0.88 | 101 | +0.71 | 102 | |
103 | Lebanon | 37 | +0.65 | 11 | 6 | 0 | .973 | 69 | -.326 | 44 | +0.30 | 38 | +0.68 | 105 | +0.68 | 104 | |
111 | Danville | 38 | +0.26 | 11 | 7 | 0 | .924 | 51 | -.313 | 43 | +0.27 | 41 | +0.41 | 111 | +0.24 | 111 | |
114 | Angola | 39 | +0.09 | 8 | 6 | 0 | .928 | 53 | -.355 | 47 | +0.18 | 48 | -0.00 | 116 | +0.17 | 113 | |
115 | Yorktown | 40 | +0.03 | 10 | 7 | 2 | .885 | 33 | -.306 | 42 | +0.25 | 43 | -0.12 | 119 | +0.16 | 114 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
117 | John Glenn | 41 | -0.04 | 8 | 6 | 1 | .904 | 42 | -.340 | 46 | +0.18 | 47 | +0.05 | 115 | -0.06 | 119 | |
120 | Northwestern | 42 | -0.14 | 12 | 4 | 1 | .984 | 80 | -.249 | 35 | +0.32 | 37 | -0.14 | 121 | -0.11 | 120 | |
122 | Crawfordsville | 43 | -0.26 | 9 | 7 | 0 | .970 | 67 | -.408 | 50 | +0.04 | 50 | -0.33 | 125 | -0.32 | 125 | |
123 | Corydon Central | 44 | -0.29 | 9 | 4 | 0 | .951 | 60 | -.259 | 36 | +0.29 | 40 | -0.46 | 128 | -0.17 | 122 | |
124 | Kankakee Valley | 45 | -0.29 | 7 | 9 | 0 | .913 | 44 | -.475 | 54 | -0.07 | 51 | -0.28 | 122 | -0.24 | 123 | |
125 | Connersville | 46 | -0.33 | 10 | 6 | 1 | .889 | 37 | -.271 | 38 | +0.26 | 42 | -0.35 | 126 | -0.26 | 124 | |
129 | Jay County | 47 | -0.47 | 11 | 5 | 0 | .976 | 75 | -.289 | 40 | +0.21 | 44 | -0.48 | 129 | -0.38 | 127 | |
133 | Mississinewa | 48 | -0.71 | 13 | 3 | 1 | .994 | 87 | -.200 | 26 | +0.33 | 36 | -0.66 | 131 | -0.70 | 134 | |
135 | Speedway | 49 | -0.76 | 10 | 7 | 0 | .924 | 50 | -.335 | 45 | +0.10 | 49 | -0.88 | 138 | -0.64 | 131 | |
140 | Benton Central | 50 | -0.92 | 8 | 9 | 1 | .960 | 62 | -.488 | 56 | -0.18 | 53 | -1.03 | 143 | -0.79 | 138 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
142 | Plymouth | 51 | -1.00 | 4 | 11 | 2 | .836 | 20 | -.544 | 61 | -0.28 | 57 | -1.11 | 147 | -0.96 | 142 | |
147 | Vincennes Lincoln | 52 | -1.14 | 9 | 8 | 1 | .775 | 12 | -.245 | 34 | +0.20 | 46 | -1.08 | 146 | -1.11 | 148 | |
148 | Greensburg | 53 | -1.14 | 8 | 9 | 0 | .886 | 35 | -.416 | 52 | -0.09 | 52 | -0.91 | 141 | -1.22 | 151 | |
152 | New Prairie | 54 | -1.30 | 4 | 10 | 0 | .800 | 15 | -.514 | 59 | -0.27 | 56 | -1.29 | 150 | -1.28 | 152 | |
156 | Lakeland | 55 | -1.48 | 5 | 11 | 0 | .960 | 63 | -.648 | 71 | -0.52 | 65 | -1.67 | 158 | -1.35 | 153 | |
161 | Edgewood | 56 | -1.76 | 14 | 2 | 1 | .994 | 86 | -.141 | 19 | +0.29 | 39 | -1.74 | 164 | -1.69 | 161 | |
162 | Fort Wayne Luers | 57 | -1.77 | 4 | 10 | 0 | .885 | 34 | -.599 | 66 | -0.47 | 63 | -1.70 | 161 | -1.80 | 167 | |
167 | Princeton | 58 | -1.85 | 5 | 8 | 0 | .955 | 61 | -.568 | 63 | -0.43 | 61 | -1.86 | 167 | -1.79 | 166 | |
170 | West Noble | 59 | -1.86 | 2 | 12 | 0 | .938 | 55 | -.795 | 82 | -0.81 | 72 | -2.07 | 177 | -1.65 | 160 | |
171 | Northview | 60 | -1.90 | 8 | 8 | 0 | .922 | 49 | -.421 | 53 | -0.19 | 55 | -1.83 | 165 | -1.82 | 169 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
174 | Cascade | 61 | -2.01 | 7 | 8 | 2 | .981 | 78 | -.511 | 57 | -0.36 | 59 | -2.01 | 174 | -1.95 | 174 | |
177 | Hammond Noll | 62 | -2.05 | 7 | 7 | 1 | .975 | 73 | -.475 | 55 | -0.30 | 58 | -2.04 | 176 | -2.01 | 176 | |
178 | Griffith | 63 | -2.05 | 6 | 11 | 0 | .942 | 57 | -.589 | 65 | -0.49 | 64 | -1.99 | 171 | -2.03 | 178 | |
179 | Mount Vernon (Posey) | 64 | -2.21 | 6 | 10 | 0 | .916 | 47 | -.539 | 60 | -0.43 | 60 | -2.17 | 180 | -2.18 | 179 | |
181 | New Castle | 65 | -2.30 | 5 | 11 | 1 | .908 | 43 | -.585 | 64 | -0.52 | 66 | -2.27 | 181 | -2.20 | 181 | |
183 | Frankfort | 66 | -2.40 | 4 | 11 | 2 | .974 | 71 | -.681 | 73 | -0.69 | 70 | -2.53 | 184 | -2.26 | 183 | |
184 | Maconaquah | 67 | -2.41 | 10 | 6 | 1 | .993 | 85 | -.376 | 48 | -0.18 | 54 | -2.36 | 182 | -2.40 | 184 | |
186 | Woodlan | 68 | -2.55 | 5 | 10 | 0 | .974 | 70 | -.641 | 69 | -0.65 | 68 | -2.70 | 186 | -2.44 | 185 | |
187 | Charlestown | 69 | -2.56 | 6 | 7 | 0 | .975 | 72 | -.513 | 58 | -0.43 | 62 | -2.61 | 185 | -2.51 | 186 | |
190 | Western | 70 | -2.83 | 7 | 10 | 2 | .976 | 74 | -.555 | 62 | -0.54 | 67 | -2.72 | 187 | -2.85 | 192 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
194 | West Vigo | 71 | -3.05 | 6 | 10 | 1 | .997 | 92 | -.615 | 68 | -0.67 | 69 | -3.09 | 195 | -2.97 | 194 | |
196 | Western Boone | 72 | -3.22 | 4 | 10 | 1 | .985 | 82 | -.685 | 74 | -0.81 | 71 | -3.16 | 196 | -3.20 | 197 | |
198 | Heritage | 73 | -3.28 | 2 | 12 | 1 | .970 | 66 | -.803 | 84 | -1.01 | 75 | -3.34 | 199 | -3.21 | 198 | |
199 | North Montgomery | 74 | -3.34 | 4 | 12 | 1 | .980 | 76 | -.715 | 77 | -0.87 | 74 | -3.34 | 198 | -3.28 | 200 | |
202 | Southridge | 75 | -3.50 | 1 | 10 | 0 | .966 | 65 | -.872 | 88 | -1.16 | 79 | -3.50 | 202 | -3.46 | 203 | |
215 | Boonville | 76 | -4.08 | 1 | 10 | 0 | .941 | 56 | -.848 | 85 | -1.19 | 80 | -4.10 | 216 | -4.01 | 215 | |
220 | Marion | 77 | -4.28 | 6 | 10 | 1 | .995 | 88 | -.613 | 67 | -0.82 | 73 | -4.46 | 221 | -4.13 | 218 | |
228 | Owen Valley | 78 | -5.10 | 4 | 12 | 0 | .984 | 79 | -.734 | 78 | -1.13 | 78 | -5.21 | 231 | -4.92 | 227 | |
230 | Peru | 79 | -5.12 | 4 | 9 | 0 | .997 | 91 | -.689 | 75 | -1.06 | 77 | -5.15 | 229 | -5.05 | 230 | |
233 | Rushville | 80 | -5.45 | 3 | 11 | 1 | .878 | 29 | -.645 | 70 | -1.03 | 76 | -5.70 | 236 | -5.26 | 232 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
246 | Indian Creek | 81 | -6.20 | 2 | 10 | 0 | .966 | 64 | -.798 | 83 | -1.38 | 82 | -6.25 | 246 | -6.09 | 244 | |
247 | Twin Lakes | 82 | -6.24 | 2 | 15 | 0 | .984 | 81 | -.867 | 87 | -1.50 | 86 | -6.39 | 247 | -6.10 | 246 | |
250 | North Harrison | 83 | -6.79 | 2 | 10 | 0 | .935 | 54 | -.767 | 81 | -1.41 | 83 | -6.65 | 248 | -6.78 | 250 | |
251 | Wawasee | 84 | -6.88 | 0 | 14 | 0 | .880 | 32 | -.882 | 89 | -1.61 | 88 | -6.94 | 251 | -6.82 | 251 | |
253 | New Haven | 85 | -7.13 | 0 | 16 | 0 | .897 | 39 | -.895 | 90 | -1.67 | 90 | -7.31 | 254 | -7.00 | 252 | |
254 | Scottsburg | 86 | -7.14 | 4 | 10 | 0 | .981 | 77 | -.695 | 76 | -1.33 | 81 | -7.24 | 253 | -7.07 | 254 | |
255 | East Chicago Central | 87 | -7.25 | 3 | 10 | 0 | .996 | 90 | -.766 | 80 | -1.47 | 84 | -7.35 | 255 | -7.12 | 255 | |
258 | Beech Grove | 88 | -7.44 | 1 | 11 | 1 | .972 | 68 | -.857 | 86 | -1.64 | 89 | -7.48 | 257 | -7.34 | 258 | |
263 | Evansville Bosse | 89 | -8.19 | 0 | 16 | 0 | .760 | 10 | -.758 | 79 | -1.57 | 87 | -8.22 | 263 | -8.11 | 263 | |
266 | Indianapolis Herron | 90 | -8.64 | 2 | 9 | 0 | .857 | 26 | -.675 | 72 | -1.50 | 85 | -8.47 | 264 | -8.68 | 267 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
268 | Tippecanoe Valley | 91 | -8.90 | 0 | 13 | 0 | .992 | 84 | -.992 | 92 | -2.06 | 91 | -8.91 | 268 | -8.84 | 268 | |
273 | River Forest | 92 | -12.13 | 0 | 13 | 0 | .989 | 83 | -.989 | 91 | -2.47 | 92 | -12.21 | 274 | -12.04 | 274 |