The TWISTR Ratings are an iterative least-squares, score-based ratings system built in the spirit of an Elo model. Team ratings are agnostic to the final result of a game, as only the scoring margins are important when rating teams. No additional benefit is provided for a win or penalty for a loss. The TWISTR ratings for SOCCER incorporate two key concepts:
The RATING represents the number of goals a team would be favored by against an average opponent. Teams with a positive RATING are considered better than average, while teams with a negative RATING are considered worse than average. The RATING can be thought of as a composite of the INDEPENDENT (INDY) rating, in which the time a game was played does not matter, and the FORECASTER (CASTER) rating, where recent results are weighted more heavily.
TWISTR IHSAA TEAM RATINGS | SCHEDULE & RESUME | COMPONENT RATINGS | |||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
9 | Brebeuf Jesuit | 1 | +5.87 | 12 | 4 | 4 | .292 | 1 | +.408 | 2 | +5.98 | 9 | +5.91 | 9 | |
12 | Guerin Catholic | 2 | +5.60 | 16 | 4 | 1 | .302 | 2 | +.483 | 1 | +5.69 | 12 | +5.62 | 14 | |
21 | Indianapolis Chatard | 3 | +4.77 | 11 | 6 | 1 | .368 | 3 | +.271 | 3 | +4.83 | 21 | +4.80 | 20 | |
24 | Leo | 4 | +4.60 | 15 | 3 | 3 | .598 | 6 | +.187 | 4 | +4.71 | 23 | +4.61 | 25 | |
32 | Lawrenceburg | 5 | +4.28 | 17 | 2 | 0 | .842 | 29 | +.053 | 8 | +4.42 | 31 | +4.26 | 33 | |
34 | Evansville Memorial | 6 | +4.20 | 15 | 6 | 0 | .535 | 5 | +.179 | 5 | +4.36 | 33 | +4.18 | 34 | |
38 | Mishawaka Marian | 7 | +3.99 | 11 | 10 | 1 | .431 | 4 | +.091 | 6 | +4.09 | 37 | +3.99 | 38 | |
39 | West Lafayette | 8 | +3.88 | 16 | 2 | 2 | .798 | 20 | +.052 | 9 | +4.02 | 39 | +3.86 | 39 | |
40 | Fort Wayne Dwenger | 9 | +3.77 | 10 | 5 | 2 | .632 | 7 | +.015 | 11 | +3.82 | 41 | +3.84 | 40 | |
49 | Hanover Central | 10 | +3.28 | 14 | 4 | 0 | .803 | 23 | -.026 | 12 | +3.39 | 48 | +3.26 | 50 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
51 | Bellmont | 11 | +3.14 | 17 | 3 | 2 | .734 | 14 | +.084 | 7 | +3.24 | 51 | +3.17 | 51 | |
52 | Gibson Southern | 12 | +2.98 | 16 | 1 | 1 | .877 | 38 | +.040 | 10 | +3.01 | 54 | +3.03 | 52 | |
56 | Jasper | 13 | +2.68 | 12 | 8 | 1 | .674 | 10 | -.079 | 14 | +2.79 | 55 | +2.80 | 54 | |
68 | Monrovia | 14 | +1.94 | 15 | 3 | 1 | .936 | 59 | -.120 | 18 | +2.24 | 64 | +1.88 | 71 | |
69 | Danville | 15 | +1.94 | 11 | 5 | 2 | .919 | 53 | -.252 | 32 | +1.99 | 70 | +1.98 | 69 | |
73 | Heritage Hills | 16 | +1.81 | 11 | 5 | 0 | .811 | 24 | -.124 | 19 | +1.92 | 71 | +1.84 | 74 | |
74 | Tri-West | 17 | +1.76 | 11 | 7 | 2 | .679 | 11 | -.079 | 13 | +1.75 | 74 | +1.84 | 73 | |
76 | Norwell | 18 | +1.65 | 11 | 5 | 1 | .836 | 28 | -.159 | 24 | +1.72 | 76 | +1.66 | 77 | |
77 | Northwestern | 19 | +1.62 | 15 | 3 | 1 | .919 | 52 | -.103 | 15 | +1.62 | 78 | +1.72 | 76 | |
79 | NorthWood | 20 | +1.55 | 13 | 6 | 1 | .800 | 22 | -.125 | 20 | +1.66 | 77 | +1.56 | 79 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
80 | Batesville | 21 | +1.43 | 10 | 5 | 1 | .766 | 15 | -.109 | 17 | +1.46 | 80 | +1.49 | 80 | |
81 | Culver Academy | 22 | +1.41 | 7 | 7 | 1 | .641 | 8 | -.141 | 23 | +1.42 | 81 | +1.49 | 81 | |
82 | Lowell | 23 | +1.34 | 10 | 6 | 2 | .798 | 19 | -.187 | 27 | +1.39 | 82 | +1.35 | 83 | |
83 | Speedway | 24 | +1.27 | 10 | 3 | 2 | .861 | 34 | -.127 | 21 | +1.18 | 85 | +1.40 | 82 | |
87 | John Glenn | 25 | +1.13 | 11 | 6 | 0 | .829 | 26 | -.182 | 25 | +1.03 | 89 | +1.26 | 84 | |
91 | Hamilton Heights | 26 | +0.87 | 11 | 5 | 3 | .912 | 50 | -.254 | 33 | +0.84 | 92 | +0.96 | 91 | |
94 | South Dearborn | 27 | +0.74 | 10 | 7 | 0 | .786 | 18 | -.197 | 28 | +0.79 | 94 | +0.79 | 94 | |
97 | Silver Creek | 28 | +0.68 | 14 | 4 | 1 | .899 | 43 | -.136 | 22 | +0.87 | 90 | +0.71 | 97 | |
100 | Fort Wayne Concordia | 29 | +0.52 | 7 | 10 | 1 | .773 | 16 | -.356 | 44 | +0.52 | 102 | +0.60 | 98 | |
105 | Highland | 30 | +0.36 | 11 | 7 | 0 | .822 | 25 | -.211 | 29 | +0.38 | 105 | +0.38 | 108 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
106 | Lebanon | 31 | +0.33 | 8 | 5 | 0 | .901 | 45 | -.286 | 37 | +0.38 | 106 | +0.38 | 109 | |
108 | Yorktown | 32 | +0.32 | 12 | 6 | 1 | .876 | 37 | -.218 | 31 | +0.24 | 111 | +0.45 | 104 | |
111 | Rensselaer Central | 33 | +0.27 | 9 | 3 | 1 | .945 | 63 | -.214 | 30 | -0.13 | 119 | +0.51 | 101 | |
112 | Heritage | 34 | +0.26 | 12 | 4 | 0 | .932 | 57 | -.182 | 26 | +0.31 | 109 | +0.31 | 113 | |
113 | Oak Hill | 35 | +0.19 | 14 | 2 | 2 | .938 | 61 | -.105 | 16 | +0.05 | 115 | +0.36 | 111 | |
115 | Jimtown | 36 | +0.12 | 8 | 5 | 2 | .975 | 81 | -.375 | 47 | +0.28 | 110 | +0.19 | 116 | |
118 | East Noble | 37 | -0.11 | 9 | 7 | 1 | .903 | 46 | -.344 | 42 | -0.09 | 118 | -0.04 | 118 | |
120 | Washington | 38 | -0.16 | 10 | 7 | 0 | .859 | 33 | -.270 | 35 | -0.15 | 120 | -0.09 | 121 | |
121 | Kankakee Valley | 39 | -0.16 | 5 | 9 | 1 | .712 | 13 | -.345 | 43 | -0.19 | 124 | -0.09 | 120 | |
123 | Madison | 40 | -0.21 | 10 | 7 | 1 | .901 | 44 | -.317 | 40 | -0.16 | 121 | -0.16 | 125 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
125 | Jay County | 41 | -0.27 | 6 | 8 | 1 | .951 | 67 | -.518 | 58 | -0.18 | 123 | -0.24 | 126 | |
139 | Princeton | 42 | -0.84 | 9 | 9 | 0 | .912 | 51 | -.412 | 50 | -0.88 | 140 | -0.70 | 138 | |
141 | Lakeland | 43 | -0.86 | 12 | 20 | 2 | .923 | 56 | -.541 | 59 | -0.94 | 142 | -0.74 | 140 | |
142 | Delta | 44 | -0.89 | 9 | 7 | 2 | .896 | 42 | -.340 | 41 | -0.90 | 141 | -0.80 | 143 | |
143 | Franklin County | 45 | -0.91 | 9 | 6 | 1 | .871 | 36 | -.277 | 36 | -0.96 | 144 | -0.79 | 142 | |
147 | Boone Grove | 46 | -1.01 | 7 | 4 | 3 | .986 | 86 | -.379 | 48 | -1.18 | 151 | -0.86 | 144 | |
148 | Vincennes Lincoln | 47 | -1.05 | 6 | 9 | 0 | .690 | 12 | -.290 | 38 | -1.01 | 146 | -1.00 | 149 | |
150 | Woodlan | 48 | -1.18 | 6 | 6 | 4 | .972 | 78 | -.472 | 55 | -1.04 | 147 | -1.17 | 153 | |
153 | Mount Vernon (Posey) | 49 | -1.24 | 6 | 8 | 0 | .904 | 47 | -.476 | 56 | -1.20 | 152 | -1.19 | 154 | |
160 | Northview | 50 | -1.32 | 7 | 8 | 1 | .829 | 27 | -.360 | 45 | -1.33 | 157 | -1.26 | 162 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
161 | Edgewood | 51 | -1.34 | 9 | 7 | 0 | .958 | 72 | -.396 | 49 | -1.40 | 161 | -1.24 | 159 | |
163 | Connersville | 52 | -1.38 | 12 | 8 | 0 | .856 | 32 | -.256 | 34 | -1.45 | 162 | -1.27 | 163 | |
167 | New Prairie | 53 | -1.53 | 5 | 9 | 2 | .961 | 73 | -.586 | 62 | -1.63 | 168 | -1.40 | 167 | |
168 | Crawfordsville | 54 | -1.61 | 8 | 7 | 0 | .975 | 80 | -.441 | 54 | -1.69 | 169 | -1.54 | 170 | |
169 | Corydon Central | 55 | -1.65 | 9 | 5 | 1 | .940 | 62 | -.306 | 39 | -1.52 | 164 | -1.64 | 172 | |
174 | Angola | 56 | -1.89 | 5 | 8 | 1 | .908 | 48 | -.516 | 57 | -1.76 | 171 | -1.89 | 178 | |
175 | Mississinewa | 57 | -1.90 | 9 | 7 | 0 | .989 | 87 | -.427 | 52 | -2.04 | 178 | -1.79 | 174 | |
178 | West Vigo | 58 | -1.96 | 10 | 7 | 0 | .952 | 69 | -.364 | 46 | -2.02 | 177 | -1.90 | 179 | |
180 | Boonville | 59 | -2.05 | 3 | 10 | 0 | .783 | 17 | -.552 | 60 | -2.08 | 179 | -1.95 | 181 | |
182 | Griffith | 60 | -2.08 | 4 | 9 | 1 | .949 | 66 | -.627 | 65 | -2.15 | 184 | -1.99 | 183 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
187 | Pike Central | 61 | -2.34 | 4 | 10 | 0 | .952 | 68 | -.666 | 67 | -2.22 | 186 | -2.33 | 191 | |
188 | Charlestown | 62 | -2.39 | 8 | 7 | 0 | .972 | 77 | -.439 | 53 | -2.35 | 187 | -2.32 | 190 | |
192 | West Noble | 63 | -2.46 | 2 | 12 | 1 | .948 | 65 | -.781 | 78 | -2.77 | 196 | -2.21 | 187 | |
194 | Wawasee | 64 | -2.54 | 1 | 13 | 2 | .799 | 21 | -.674 | 69 | -2.48 | 189 | -2.47 | 195 | |
199 | Western Boone | 65 | -2.80 | 4 | 11 | 1 | .969 | 76 | -.688 | 72 | -2.88 | 198 | -2.63 | 198 | |
207 | Frankfort | 66 | -3.10 | 4 | 11 | 0 | .953 | 70 | -.686 | 70 | -3.07 | 203 | -2.94 | 206 | |
210 | North Harrison | 67 | -3.37 | 5 | 9 | 1 | .954 | 71 | -.587 | 63 | -3.21 | 208 | -3.36 | 210 | |
214 | Greensburg | 68 | -3.62 | 4 | 12 | 0 | .867 | 35 | -.617 | 64 | -3.71 | 213 | -3.43 | 213 | |
216 | Beech Grove | 69 | -3.90 | 8 | 7 | 0 | .947 | 64 | -.413 | 51 | -4.04 | 219 | -3.71 | 215 | |
220 | Maconaquah | 70 | -4.06 | 6 | 9 | 2 | .984 | 84 | -.572 | 61 | -4.17 | 220 | -3.91 | 220 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
223 | Southridge | 71 | -4.15 | 0 | 11 | 0 | .911 | 49 | -.911 | 88 | -4.22 | 222 | -4.02 | 223 | |
227 | Indian Creek | 72 | -4.52 | 2 | 13 | 0 | .973 | 79 | -.839 | 82 | -4.67 | 227 | -4.38 | 226 | |
228 | Scottsburg | 73 | -4.72 | 5 | 10 | 0 | .976 | 82 | -.643 | 66 | -4.76 | 228 | -4.63 | 228 | |
231 | North Montgomery | 74 | -4.87 | 2 | 14 | 0 | .967 | 75 | -.842 | 83 | -5.04 | 234 | -4.67 | 230 | |
235 | New Castle | 75 | -4.98 | 1 | 12 | 3 | .884 | 41 | -.728 | 74 | -5.03 | 232 | -4.87 | 237 | |
237 | Owen Valley | 76 | -5.17 | 3 | 10 | 0 | .985 | 85 | -.754 | 77 | -5.15 | 236 | -5.06 | 238 | |
239 | Rushville | 77 | -5.44 | 2 | 13 | 2 | .881 | 39 | -.705 | 73 | -5.55 | 240 | -5.26 | 239 | |
241 | Centerville | 78 | -5.56 | 0 | 10 | 1 | .983 | 83 | -.938 | 91 | -5.66 | 241 | -5.41 | 241 | |
245 | Twin Lakes | 79 | -5.74 | 4 | 14 | 1 | .923 | 55 | -.686 | 71 | -6.01 | 247 | -5.50 | 244 | |
246 | South Bend Clay | 80 | -5.87 | 0 | 5 | 0 | .843 | 30 | -.843 | 84 | -5.96 | 246 | -5.74 | 247 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
248 | South Bend Riley | 81 | -5.89 | 0 | 11 | 0 | .882 | 40 | -.882 | 87 | -5.93 | 245 | -5.79 | 248 | |
250 | Western | 82 | -6.19 | 1 | 12 | 0 | .934 | 58 | -.857 | 86 | -6.32 | 249 | -6.03 | 250 | |
251 | Tippecanoe Valley | 83 | -6.27 | 2 | 9 | 0 | .922 | 54 | -.741 | 75 | -6.50 | 252 | -6.07 | 251 | |
253 | Salem | 84 | -6.59 | 1 | 13 | 0 | .996 | 89 | -.924 | 90 | -6.67 | 253 | -6.45 | 253 | |
255 | Marion | 85 | -6.90 | 2 | 14 | 1 | .966 | 74 | -.819 | 81 | -7.03 | 255 | -6.73 | 256 | |
256 | Indianapolis Shortridge | 86 | -6.93 | 2 | 11 | 0 | .937 | 60 | -.783 | 79 | -7.12 | 256 | -6.72 | 254 | |
262 | Peru | 87 | -7.28 | 3 | 9 | 0 | .999 | 90 | -.749 | 76 | -7.59 | 264 | -7.02 | 262 | |
263 | New Haven | 88 | -7.32 | 0 | 17 | 0 | .856 | 31 | -.856 | 85 | -7.34 | 260 | -7.22 | 265 | |
264 | Indianapolis Herron | 89 | -7.33 | 4 | 18 | 0 | .991 | 88 | -.809 | 80 | -7.62 | 266 | -7.08 | 264 | |
266 | Evansville Bosse | 90 | -7.38 | 0 | 15 | 0 | .674 | 9 | -.674 | 68 | -7.22 | 259 | -7.47 | 268 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
270 | Christel House Manual | 91 | -8.56 | 2 | 24 | 0 | .999 | 91 | -.922 | 89 | -8.57 | 270 | -8.44 | 270 |