The TWISTR Ratings are an iterative least-squares, score-based ratings system built in the spirit of an Elo model. Team ratings are agnostic to the final result of a game, as only the scoring margins are important when rating teams. No additional benefit is provided for a win or penalty for a loss. The TWISTR ratings for SOCCER incorporate two key concepts:
The RATING represents the number of goals a team would be favored by against an average opponent. Teams with a positive RATING are considered better than average, while teams with a negative RATING are considered worse than average. The RATING can be thought of as a composite of the INDEPENDENT (INDY) rating, in which the time a game was played does not matter, and the FORECASTER (CASTER) rating, where recent results are weighted more heavily.
Both the STRENGTH OF RECORD (SoR) and Z-SCORE (Z-SCR) are resume ratings - SoR only considers a team's win-loss record and is independent of margin of victory, while Z-SCR is a blend of RATING and SoR.
TWISTR IHSAA TEAM RATINGS | SCHEDULE & RESUME | COMPONENT RATINGS | |||||||||||||||
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RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
10 | Lawrenceburg | 1 | +6.13 | 18 | 0 | 0 | .830 | 15 | +.171 | 2 | +1.85 | 2 | +6.20 | 10 | +6.12 | 9 | |
12 | Mishawaka Marian | 2 | +5.87 | 14 | 3 | 2 | .642 | 5 | +.146 | 3 | +1.77 | 3 | +6.03 | 12 | +5.79 | 12 | |
13 | Guerin Catholic | 3 | +5.74 | 8 | 5 | 4 | .381 | 1 | +.213 | 1 | +1.87 | 1 | +5.92 | 13 | +5.68 | 13 | |
19 | Evansville Mater Dei | 4 | +5.42 | 14 | 3 | 0 | .730 | 8 | +.099 | 5 | +1.64 | 4 | +5.57 | 19 | +5.37 | 19 | |
21 | Brebeuf Jesuit | 5 | +5.18 | 10 | 7 | 2 | .514 | 2 | +.069 | 7 | +1.56 | 7 | +5.31 | 21 | +5.14 | 20 | |
23 | Fort Wayne Dwenger | 6 | +5.04 | 14 | 3 | 1 | .772 | 12 | +.036 | 8 | +1.48 | 8 | +5.22 | 22 | +5.01 | 23 | |
24 | South Bend St. Joseph | 7 | +5.00 | 13 | 5 | 1 | .610 | 4 | +.098 | 6 | +1.58 | 6 | +5.10 | 23 | +4.96 | 24 | |
26 | Hanover Central | 8 | +4.83 | 18 | 2 | 0 | .911 | 39 | -.013 | 11 | +1.37 | 9 | +5.01 | 27 | +4.74 | 27 | |
30 | Park Tudor | 9 | +4.79 | 11 | 5 | 2 | .682 | 6 | -.012 | 10 | +1.37 | 10 | +4.91 | 29 | +4.75 | 26 | |
31 | Indianapolis Chatard | 10 | +4.76 | 9 | 5 | 0 | .520 | 3 | +.124 | 4 | +1.59 | 5 | +4.90 | 30 | +4.69 | 30 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
41 | Indianapolis Roncalli | 11 | +4.11 | 11 | 8 | 2 | .692 | 7 | -.119 | 15 | +1.10 | 12 | +4.27 | 42 | +4.03 | 42 | |
52 | Bellmont | 12 | +3.39 | 16 | 3 | 1 | .831 | 16 | -.008 | 9 | +1.20 | 11 | +3.37 | 53 | +3.40 | 51 | |
54 | Heritage Hills | 13 | +3.31 | 12 | 4 | 0 | .847 | 19 | -.095 | 14 | +1.04 | 13 | +3.21 | 55 | +3.38 | 52 | |
55 | Fort Wayne Concordia | 14 | +3.29 | 13 | 5 | 0 | .850 | 20 | -.125 | 16 | +0.99 | 15 | +3.15 | 56 | +3.33 | 55 | |
56 | Gibson Southern | 15 | +3.12 | 13 | 4 | 0 | .858 | 23 | -.090 | 13 | +1.02 | 14 | +3.13 | 57 | +3.15 | 56 | |
64 | NorthWood | 16 | +2.63 | 11 | 4 | 1 | .909 | 37 | -.193 | 22 | +0.79 | 18 | +2.75 | 62 | +2.58 | 64 | |
65 | DeKalb | 17 | +2.51 | 10 | 6 | 0 | .843 | 18 | -.216 | 29 | +0.74 | 20 | +2.60 | 65 | +2.49 | 66 | |
67 | West Lafayette | 18 | +2.43 | 12 | 6 | 2 | .881 | 28 | -.230 | 31 | +0.70 | 21 | +2.41 | 68 | +2.45 | 68 | |
71 | Batesville | 19 | +2.06 | 11 | 6 | 0 | .775 | 13 | -.130 | 18 | +0.82 | 16 | +2.20 | 71 | +2.01 | 73 | |
72 | Fort Wayne Canterbury | 20 | +2.03 | 9 | 8 | 0 | .761 | 11 | -.230 | 32 | +0.65 | 25 | +1.97 | 75 | +2.08 | 72 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
74 | South Dearborn | 21 | +1.95 | 12 | 5 | 0 | .834 | 17 | -.129 | 17 | +0.81 | 17 | +1.97 | 74 | +1.96 | 75 | |
75 | Madison | 22 | +1.95 | 14 | 5 | 0 | .928 | 45 | -.192 | 21 | +0.70 | 22 | +1.73 | 78 | +2.11 | 71 | |
76 | Lowell | 23 | +1.84 | 7 | 8 | 1 | .865 | 24 | -.398 | 49 | +0.35 | 35 | +1.86 | 76 | +1.85 | 76 | |
78 | Culver Academy | 24 | +1.70 | 9 | 6 | 2 | .881 | 29 | -.295 | 38 | +0.50 | 31 | +1.76 | 77 | +1.71 | 78 | |
80 | Illiana Christian | 25 | +1.62 | 13 | 5 | 0 | .915 | 40 | -.193 | 23 | +0.66 | 24 | +1.63 | 83 | +1.64 | 80 | |
81 | Washington | 26 | +1.60 | 10 | 7 | 0 | .909 | 38 | -.317 | 41 | +0.45 | 33 | +1.70 | 82 | +1.49 | 86 | |
83 | Franklin County | 27 | +1.57 | 10 | 5 | 0 | .879 | 27 | -.213 | 28 | +0.62 | 27 | +1.70 | 81 | +1.51 | 85 | |
84 | Silver Creek | 28 | +1.51 | 13 | 4 | 0 | .962 | 59 | -.199 | 24 | +0.63 | 26 | +1.54 | 84 | +1.52 | 84 | |
87 | Jimtown | 29 | +1.40 | 13 | 3 | 1 | .956 | 57 | -.162 | 20 | +0.68 | 23 | +1.48 | 85 | +1.39 | 88 | |
94 | Tri-West | 30 | +1.08 | 8 | 9 | 0 | .904 | 35 | -.433 | 53 | +0.19 | 47 | +1.05 | 97 | +1.27 | 91 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
95 | Delta | 31 | +1.08 | 14 | 5 | 0 | .936 | 50 | -.199 | 25 | +0.58 | 28 | +1.01 | 98 | +1.16 | 93 | |
96 | East Noble | 32 | +1.08 | 10 | 6 | 1 | .918 | 42 | -.301 | 40 | +0.41 | 34 | +1.09 | 95 | +1.09 | 95 | |
97 | Highland | 33 | +1.05 | 12 | 6 | 0 | .878 | 25 | -.212 | 27 | +0.55 | 29 | +1.13 | 94 | +1.05 | 96 | |
98 | Oak Hill | 34 | +0.97 | 17 | 1 | 1 | .999 | 90 | -.078 | 12 | +0.76 | 19 | +1.06 | 96 | +0.96 | 99 | |
100 | Hamilton Heights | 35 | +0.90 | 11 | 4 | 3 | .922 | 44 | -.227 | 30 | +0.51 | 30 | +0.97 | 99 | +0.94 | 100 | |
102 | Norwell | 36 | +0.85 | 11 | 5 | 0 | .931 | 47 | -.241 | 33 | +0.48 | 32 | +0.86 | 101 | +0.83 | 102 | |
103 | Lebanon | 37 | +0.67 | 11 | 6 | 0 | .987 | 70 | -.340 | 44 | +0.29 | 39 | +0.69 | 105 | +0.69 | 104 | |
112 | Danville | 38 | +0.28 | 11 | 7 | 0 | .942 | 52 | -.331 | 43 | +0.26 | 42 | +0.43 | 111 | +0.26 | 112 | |
114 | Angola | 39 | +0.12 | 8 | 6 | 0 | .944 | 53 | -.371 | 47 | +0.17 | 48 | +0.02 | 116 | +0.20 | 113 | |
115 | Yorktown | 40 | +0.06 | 10 | 7 | 2 | .896 | 32 | -.318 | 42 | +0.25 | 43 | -0.11 | 119 | +0.17 | 114 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
117 | John Glenn | 41 | -0.02 | 8 | 6 | 1 | .906 | 36 | -.342 | 45 | +0.20 | 45 | +0.07 | 115 | -0.04 | 118 | |
120 | Northwestern | 42 | -0.12 | 12 | 4 | 1 | .993 | 81 | -.258 | 35 | +0.32 | 37 | -0.12 | 121 | -0.08 | 120 | |
122 | Crawfordsville | 43 | -0.24 | 9 | 7 | 0 | .986 | 68 | -.423 | 51 | +0.03 | 50 | -0.28 | 123 | -0.30 | 125 | |
123 | Corydon Central | 44 | -0.26 | 9 | 4 | 0 | .961 | 58 | -.268 | 36 | +0.29 | 40 | -0.46 | 129 | -0.18 | 122 | |
124 | Kankakee Valley | 45 | -0.28 | 7 | 9 | 0 | .935 | 49 | -.497 | 55 | -0.09 | 52 | -0.27 | 122 | -0.24 | 124 | |
125 | Connersville | 46 | -0.29 | 10 | 6 | 1 | .890 | 31 | -.273 | 37 | +0.28 | 41 | -0.33 | 126 | -0.22 | 123 | |
129 | Jay County | 47 | -0.44 | 11 | 5 | 0 | .988 | 71 | -.300 | 39 | +0.21 | 44 | -0.46 | 128 | -0.36 | 127 | |
132 | Mississinewa | 48 | -0.68 | 13 | 3 | 1 | .998 | 87 | -.204 | 26 | +0.34 | 36 | -0.64 | 131 | -0.68 | 135 | |
135 | Speedway | 49 | -0.74 | 10 | 7 | 0 | .937 | 51 | -.348 | 46 | +0.09 | 49 | -0.86 | 138 | -0.62 | 131 | |
139 | Benton Central | 50 | -0.90 | 8 | 9 | 1 | .980 | 63 | -.508 | 56 | -0.19 | 55 | -1.02 | 143 | -0.78 | 138 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
142 | Plymouth | 51 | -0.98 | 4 | 11 | 2 | .856 | 22 | -.565 | 61 | -0.30 | 57 | -1.10 | 147 | -0.92 | 141 | |
147 | Greensburg | 52 | -1.11 | 8 | 9 | 0 | .889 | 30 | -.419 | 50 | -0.07 | 51 | -0.89 | 141 | -1.19 | 150 | |
148 | Vincennes Lincoln | 53 | -1.12 | 8 | 8 | 1 | .761 | 10 | -.257 | 34 | +0.19 | 46 | -1.07 | 146 | -1.09 | 148 | |
152 | New Prairie | 54 | -1.28 | 4 | 10 | 0 | .797 | 14 | -.510 | 57 | -0.25 | 56 | -1.27 | 150 | -1.26 | 152 | |
156 | Lakeland | 55 | -1.46 | 5 | 11 | 0 | .981 | 64 | -.669 | 71 | -0.53 | 66 | -1.65 | 158 | -1.32 | 153 | |
161 | Edgewood | 56 | -1.74 | 14 | 2 | 1 | .998 | 86 | -.145 | 19 | +0.30 | 38 | -1.73 | 164 | -1.67 | 161 | |
162 | Fort Wayne Luers | 57 | -1.75 | 4 | 10 | 0 | .901 | 34 | -.614 | 66 | -0.48 | 63 | -1.68 | 161 | -1.77 | 166 | |
168 | Princeton | 58 | -1.83 | 5 | 8 | 0 | .973 | 62 | -.587 | 63 | -0.45 | 62 | -1.86 | 169 | -1.78 | 167 | |
170 | West Noble | 59 | -1.84 | 2 | 12 | 0 | .949 | 55 | -.807 | 83 | -0.81 | 73 | -2.05 | 177 | -1.62 | 159 | |
171 | Northview | 60 | -1.87 | 8 | 8 | 0 | .932 | 48 | -.431 | 52 | -0.19 | 54 | -1.82 | 166 | -1.80 | 169 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
176 | Cascade | 61 | -1.99 | 7 | 8 | 2 | .989 | 75 | -.519 | 58 | -0.35 | 59 | -2.02 | 175 | -1.93 | 174 | |
177 | Hammond Noll | 62 | -2.03 | 7 | 7 | 1 | .988 | 72 | -.488 | 54 | -0.31 | 58 | -2.03 | 176 | -2.00 | 177 | |
178 | Griffith | 63 | -2.04 | 6 | 11 | 0 | .956 | 56 | -.603 | 65 | -0.50 | 64 | -1.98 | 172 | -2.03 | 178 | |
179 | Mount Vernon (Posey) | 64 | -2.19 | 6 | 10 | 0 | .930 | 46 | -.553 | 60 | -0.44 | 60 | -2.20 | 180 | -2.16 | 180 | |
181 | New Castle | 65 | -2.27 | 5 | 11 | 1 | .921 | 43 | -.598 | 64 | -0.52 | 65 | -2.25 | 181 | -2.20 | 181 | |
183 | Frankfort | 66 | -2.38 | 4 | 11 | 2 | .990 | 77 | -.697 | 75 | -0.70 | 70 | -2.52 | 184 | -2.24 | 183 | |
184 | Maconaquah | 67 | -2.39 | 10 | 6 | 1 | .998 | 85 | -.380 | 48 | -0.18 | 53 | -2.32 | 182 | -2.38 | 185 | |
186 | Woodlan | 68 | -2.52 | 5 | 10 | 0 | .986 | 69 | -.652 | 70 | -0.64 | 68 | -2.68 | 186 | -2.41 | 186 | |
187 | Charlestown | 69 | -2.54 | 6 | 7 | 0 | .989 | 74 | -.528 | 59 | -0.44 | 61 | -2.60 | 185 | -2.49 | 187 | |
190 | Western | 70 | -2.81 | 7 | 10 | 2 | .989 | 73 | -.568 | 62 | -0.54 | 67 | -2.70 | 187 | -2.83 | 192 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
194 | West Vigo | 71 | -3.03 | 6 | 10 | 1 | 1.000 | 92 | -.617 | 68 | -0.65 | 69 | -3.08 | 195 | -2.95 | 194 | |
196 | Western Boone | 72 | -3.20 | 4 | 10 | 1 | .995 | 82 | -.695 | 74 | -0.80 | 71 | -3.17 | 196 | -3.18 | 197 | |
198 | Heritage | 73 | -3.25 | 2 | 12 | 1 | .982 | 66 | -.816 | 84 | -1.01 | 75 | -3.32 | 198 | -3.19 | 198 | |
199 | North Montgomery | 74 | -3.32 | 4 | 12 | 1 | .992 | 78 | -.727 | 77 | -0.87 | 74 | -3.33 | 199 | -3.26 | 200 | |
202 | Southridge | 75 | -3.48 | 1 | 10 | 0 | .982 | 65 | -.889 | 88 | -1.16 | 79 | -3.49 | 202 | -3.45 | 203 | |
216 | Boonville | 76 | -4.06 | 1 | 10 | 0 | .964 | 60 | -.870 | 86 | -1.21 | 80 | -4.09 | 216 | -3.99 | 215 | |
220 | Marion | 77 | -4.25 | 6 | 10 | 1 | .999 | 88 | -.617 | 67 | -0.81 | 72 | -4.45 | 221 | -4.15 | 218 | |
228 | Owen Valley | 78 | -5.05 | 4 | 12 | 0 | .990 | 76 | -.740 | 78 | -1.12 | 78 | -5.20 | 231 | -4.94 | 227 | |
230 | Peru | 79 | -5.10 | 4 | 9 | 0 | .999 | 91 | -.692 | 73 | -1.05 | 77 | -5.14 | 229 | -5.02 | 230 | |
233 | Rushville | 80 | -5.42 | 3 | 11 | 1 | .878 | 26 | -.646 | 69 | -1.01 | 76 | -5.68 | 236 | -5.27 | 233 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
246 | Indian Creek | 81 | -6.18 | 2 | 10 | 0 | .972 | 61 | -.804 | 82 | -1.37 | 82 | -6.24 | 246 | -6.07 | 244 | |
247 | Twin Lakes | 82 | -6.22 | 2 | 15 | 0 | .992 | 80 | -.875 | 87 | -1.50 | 86 | -6.37 | 247 | -6.09 | 246 | |
250 | North Harrison | 83 | -6.77 | 2 | 10 | 0 | .949 | 54 | -.780 | 81 | -1.41 | 83 | -6.64 | 248 | -6.81 | 251 | |
251 | Wawasee | 84 | -6.85 | 0 | 14 | 0 | .901 | 33 | -.904 | 89 | -1.63 | 88 | -6.92 | 251 | -6.80 | 250 | |
253 | New Haven | 85 | -7.10 | 0 | 16 | 0 | .916 | 41 | -.913 | 90 | -1.67 | 90 | -7.29 | 254 | -6.98 | 252 | |
254 | Scottsburg | 86 | -7.12 | 4 | 10 | 0 | .992 | 79 | -.706 | 76 | -1.33 | 81 | -7.23 | 253 | -7.04 | 253 | |
255 | East Chicago Central | 87 | -7.23 | 3 | 10 | 0 | .999 | 89 | -.768 | 80 | -1.45 | 84 | -7.34 | 255 | -7.10 | 255 | |
258 | Beech Grove | 88 | -7.42 | 1 | 11 | 1 | .983 | 67 | -.868 | 85 | -1.64 | 89 | -7.47 | 257 | -7.32 | 258 | |
263 | Evansville Bosse | 89 | -8.17 | 0 | 16 | 0 | .756 | 9 | -.752 | 79 | -1.55 | 87 | -8.22 | 263 | -8.10 | 263 | |
266 | Indianapolis Herron | 90 | -8.62 | 2 | 9 | 0 | .856 | 21 | -.674 | 72 | -1.47 | 85 | -8.46 | 264 | -8.67 | 267 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
268 | Tippecanoe Valley | 91 | -8.87 | 0 | 13 | 0 | .998 | 84 | -.998 | 92 | -2.05 | 91 | -8.89 | 268 | -8.82 | 268 | |
273 | River Forest | 92 | -12.11 | 0 | 13 | 0 | .996 | 83 | -.996 | 91 | -2.46 | 92 | -12.20 | 274 | -12.02 | 274 |