The TWISTR Ratings are an iterative least-squares, score-based ratings system built in the spirit of an Elo model. Team ratings are agnostic to the final result of a game, as only the scoring margins are important when rating teams. No additional benefit is provided for a win or penalty for a loss. The TWISTR ratings for VOLLEYBALL incorporate two key concepts:
The RATING represents the number of sets a team would be favored by against an average opponent. Teams with a positive RATING are considered better than average, while teams with a negative RATING are considered worse than average. The RATING can be thought of as a composite of the INDEPENDENT (INDY) rating, in which the time a game was played does not matter, and the FORECASTER (CASTER) rating, where recent results are weighted more heavily.
Both the STRENGTH OF RECORD (SoR) and Z-SCORE (Z-SCR) are resume ratings - SoR only considers a team's win-loss record and is independent of margin of victory, while Z-SCR is a blend of RATING and SoR.
TWISTR IHSAA TEAM RATINGS | SCHEDULE & RESUME | COMPONENT RATINGS | ||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
2 | Fishers | 1 | +4.59 | 27 | 3 | .522 | 1 | +.346 | 1 | +2.32 | 1 | +4.62 | 2 | +4.58 | 2 | |
4 | Westfield | 2 | +4.04 | 20 | 8 | .642 | 5 | +.072 | 3 | +1.76 | 2 | +4.04 | 4 | +4.03 | 4 | |
5 | Perry Meridian | 3 | +2.98 | 22 | 6 | .718 | 9 | +.084 | 2 | +1.55 | 3 | +2.99 | 5 | +2.98 | 5 | |
6 | Zionsville | 4 | +2.95 | 24 | 11 | .726 | 11 | -.063 | 8 | +1.31 | 4 | +2.96 | 6 | +2.94 | 6 | |
7 | Center Grove | 5 | +2.61 | 24 | 9 | .752 | 12 | -.063 | 9 | +1.23 | 8 | +2.61 | 8 | +2.60 | 7 | |
8 | Homestead | 6 | +2.54 | 29 | 6 | .896 | 25 | -.064 | 10 | +1.21 | 9 | +2.57 | 10 | +2.52 | 9 | |
9 | Franklin Central | 7 | +2.54 | 19 | 10 | .676 | 6 | -.043 | 6 | +1.25 | 6 | +2.73 | 7 | +2.46 | 12 | |
10 | Lake Central | 8 | +2.52 | 26 | 5 | .968 | 41 | -.129 | 16 | +1.11 | 12 | +2.41 | 12 | +2.56 | 8 | |
11 | Carmel | 9 | +2.50 | 13 | 11 | .632 | 3 | -.090 | 12 | +1.16 | 11 | +2.58 | 9 | +2.46 | 11 | |
12 | Hamilton Southeastern | 10 | +2.46 | 14 | 13 | .541 | 2 | -.038 | 5 | +1.24 | 7 | +2.50 | 11 | +2.43 | 13 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
13 | Franklin | 11 | +2.46 | 23 | 12 | .638 | 4 | +.004 | 4 | +1.30 | 5 | +2.38 | 13 | +2.50 | 10 | |
14 | Jeffersonville | 12 | +2.28 | 28 | 4 | .892 | 24 | -.052 | 7 | +1.18 | 10 | +2.17 | 15 | +2.34 | 14 | |
17 | Lafayette Jeff | 13 | +1.93 | 17 | 8 | .839 | 17 | -.145 | 18 | +0.95 | 16 | +2.01 | 18 | +1.90 | 17 | |
18 | North Central (Indianapolis) | 14 | +1.93 | 14 | 9 | .696 | 8 | -.087 | 11 | +1.04 | 13 | +2.02 | 17 | +1.89 | 18 | |
19 | Southport | 15 | +1.83 | 17 | 14 | .722 | 10 | -.169 | 19 | +0.89 | 17 | +1.84 | 19 | +1.83 | 20 | |
21 | Chesterton | 16 | +1.78 | 25 | 5 | .934 | 28 | -.109 | 14 | +0.97 | 15 | +1.78 | 21 | +1.77 | 21 | |
23 | Harrison (West Lafayette) | 17 | +1.70 | 24 | 6 | .878 | 20 | -.095 | 13 | +0.98 | 14 | +1.68 | 24 | +1.71 | 23 | |
26 | Floyd Central | 18 | +1.60 | 8 | 6 | .873 | 19 | -.342 | 22 | +0.56 | 21 | +1.64 | 25 | +1.60 | 26 | |
28 | Carroll (Fort Wayne) | 19 | +1.51 | 26 | 8 | .872 | 18 | -.139 | 17 | +0.87 | 18 | +1.43 | 29 | +1.55 | 28 | |
31 | Fort Wayne Snider | 20 | +1.19 | 20 | 4 | .958 | 33 | -.125 | 15 | +0.82 | 19 | +1.35 | 30 | +1.12 | 31 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
35 | Fort Wayne Northrop | 21 | +0.91 | 17 | 5 | .969 | 43 | -.221 | 20 | +0.60 | 20 | +0.89 | 37 | +0.91 | 35 | |
36 | McCutcheon | 22 | +0.86 | 15 | 10 | .880 | 22 | -.280 | 21 | +0.50 | 22 | +0.95 | 36 | +0.82 | 36 | |
39 | Valparaiso | 23 | +0.75 | 16 | 11 | .959 | 35 | -.375 | 24 | +0.32 | 23 | +0.68 | 41 | +0.77 | 39 | |
41 | Brownsburg | 24 | +0.54 | 5 | 13 | .778 | 13 | -.500 | 32 | +0.08 | 25 | +0.70 | 39 | +0.46 | 41 | |
42 | Noblesville | 25 | +0.46 | 10 | 22 | .787 | 14 | -.492 | 31 | +0.07 | 26 | +0.57 | 42 | +0.40 | 42 | |
43 | New Albany | 26 | +0.25 | 7 | 11 | 1.000 | 45 | -.611 | 45 | -0.16 | 34 | +0.16 | 45 | +0.31 | 43 | |
46 | Munster | 27 | +0.12 | 10 | 17 | .959 | 34 | -.592 | 43 | -0.16 | 33 | +0.13 | 46 | +0.10 | 46 | |
48 | Crown Point | 28 | +0.07 | 12 | 15 | .959 | 35 | -.523 | 37 | -0.06 | 28 | +0.04 | 49 | +0.09 | 47 | |
51 | Columbus East | 29 | -0.09 | 12 | 16 | .928 | 27 | -.500 | 33 | -0.06 | 27 | -0.07 | 52 | -0.08 | 51 | |
52 | Ben Davis | 30 | -0.12 | 11 | 8 | .947 | 29 | -.368 | 23 | +0.14 | 24 | -0.08 | 53 | -0.14 | 52 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
54 | Columbus North | 31 | -0.16 | 12 | 19 | .882 | 23 | -.511 | 36 | -0.10 | 30 | -0.19 | 54 | -0.14 | 53 | |
57 | Michigan City | 32 | -0.36 | 14 | 14 | .965 | 39 | -.469 | 27 | -0.07 | 29 | -0.46 | 59 | -0.32 | 56 | |
58 | Lawrence North | 33 | -0.39 | 10 | 15 | .880 | 21 | -.480 | 29 | -0.10 | 31 | -0.31 | 57 | -0.42 | 58 | |
60 | Fort Wayne South | 34 | -0.78 | 12 | 14 | .962 | 36 | -.500 | 35 | -0.22 | 36 | -0.77 | 60 | -0.79 | 61 | |
63 | Martinsville | 35 | -0.84 | 12 | 14 | .928 | 26 | -.463 | 26 | -0.17 | 35 | -0.88 | 64 | -0.81 | 63 | |
64 | Warsaw | 36 | -0.90 | 10 | 8 | 1.000 | 44 | -.444 | 25 | -0.15 | 32 | -0.77 | 61 | -0.96 | 66 | |
65 | Mooresville | 37 | -0.90 | 11 | 13 | .957 | 32 | -.484 | 30 | -0.22 | 37 | -0.91 | 65 | -0.88 | 64 | |
67 | Huntington North | 38 | -1.08 | 9 | 12 | .968 | 42 | -.565 | 41 | -0.39 | 39 | -1.13 | 68 | -1.07 | 67 | |
68 | Whiteland | 39 | -1.12 | 6 | 18 | .832 | 16 | -.567 | 42 | -0.40 | 41 | -1.14 | 69 | -1.11 | 68 | |
69 | Merrillville | 40 | -1.13 | 9 | 17 | .962 | 38 | -.621 | 46 | -0.48 | 44 | -1.08 | 67 | -1.17 | 69 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
73 | Avon | 41 | -1.34 | 4 | 15 | .689 | 7 | -.472 | 28 | -0.30 | 38 | -1.31 | 70 | -1.37 | 74 | |
74 | Decatur Central | 42 | -1.38 | 4 | 11 | .823 | 15 | -.524 | 38 | -0.39 | 40 | -1.49 | 75 | -1.31 | 73 | |
76 | Hammond Central | 43 | -1.49 | 5 | 12 | 1.000 | 46 | -.706 | 48 | -0.70 | 48 | -1.54 | 77 | -1.41 | 75 | |
77 | Hobart | 44 | -1.51 | 4 | 11 | 1.000 | 46 | -.733 | 50 | -0.75 | 49 | -1.53 | 76 | -1.51 | 77 | |
81 | Portage | 45 | -1.60 | 5 | 18 | .957 | 31 | -.745 | 51 | -0.79 | 50 | -1.61 | 80 | -1.60 | 80 | |
82 | Penn | 46 | -1.69 | 9 | 10 | 1.000 | 46 | -.526 | 39 | -0.46 | 42 | -1.78 | 84 | -1.66 | 82 | |
83 | South Bend Riley | 47 | -1.72 | 13 | 15 | 1.000 | 46 | -.536 | 40 | -0.48 | 43 | -1.75 | 83 | -1.71 | 83 | |
90 | Elkhart | 48 | -1.96 | 8 | 12 | .967 | 40 | -.593 | 44 | -0.62 | 47 | -1.88 | 87 | -2.01 | 90 | |
91 | Warren Central | 49 | -2.03 | 6 | 17 | .962 | 37 | -.697 | 47 | -0.81 | 51 | -1.97 | 91 | -2.06 | 91 | |
93 | Fort Wayne North | 50 | -2.17 | 4 | 13 | 1.000 | 46 | -.765 | 53 | -0.94 | 53 | -2.23 | 96 | -2.14 | 92 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
94 | Northridge | 51 | -2.18 | 7 | 7 | 1.000 | 46 | -.500 | 34 | -0.53 | 45 | -2.15 | 93 | -2.20 | 94 | |
95 | Terre Haute North | 52 | -2.23 | 8 | 8 | 1.000 | 46 | -.500 | 34 | -0.54 | 46 | -2.19 | 94 | -2.24 | 96 | |
96 | Pike | 53 | -2.23 | 5 | 16 | 1.000 | 46 | -.762 | 52 | -0.95 | 54 | -2.23 | 95 | -2.23 | 95 | |
98 | LaPorte | 54 | -2.47 | 1 | 22 | .957 | 31 | -.919 | 56 | -1.26 | 56 | -2.51 | 98 | -2.46 | 98 | |
99 | Hammond Morton | 55 | -2.63 | 0 | 8 | 1.000 | 46 | -1.000 | 58 | -1.42 | 59 | -2.80 | 101 | -2.53 | 99 | |
104 | Fort Wayne Wayne | 56 | -2.98 | 5 | 13 | 1.000 | 46 | -.722 | 49 | -1.06 | 55 | -3.00 | 104 | -2.98 | 105 | |
106 | Plainfield | 57 | -3.04 | 1 | 19 | .949 | 30 | -.881 | 55 | -1.32 | 57 | -3.05 | 105 | -3.02 | 107 | |
114 | Bloomington South | 58 | -3.53 | 2 | 9 | 1.000 | 46 | -.818 | 54 | -1.33 | 58 | -3.56 | 114 | -3.49 | 114 | |
115 | Indianapolis Tech | 59 | -3.55 | 4 | 4 | 1.000 | 46 | -.500 | 34 | -0.83 | 52 | -3.62 | 115 | -3.50 | 115 | |
118 | Kokomo | 60 | -3.87 | 1 | 19 | 1.000 | 46 | -.929 | 57 | -1.58 | 60 | -3.83 | 119 | -3.89 | 119 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
120 | Lawrence Central | 61 | -4.18 | 0 | 9 | 1.000 | 46 | -1.000 | 58 | -1.76 | 61 | -4.13 | 120 | -4.19 | 122 | |
122 | South Bend Adams | 62 | -4.60 | 0 | 6 | 1.000 | 46 | -1.000 | 58 | -1.86 | 62 | -4.52 | 123 | -4.65 | 125 | |
126 | Terre Haute South | 63 | -5.32 | 0 | 10 | 1.000 | 46 | -1.000 | 58 | -2.02 | 63 | -5.30 | 127 | -5.31 | 127 |