The TWISTR Ratings are an iterative least-squares, score-based ratings system built in the spirit of an Elo model. Team ratings are agnostic to the final result of a game, as only the scoring margins are important when rating teams. No additional benefit is provided for a win or penalty for a loss. The TWISTR ratings for VOLLEYBALL incorporate two key concepts:
The RATING represents the number of sets a team would be favored by against an average opponent. Teams with a positive RATING are considered better than average, while teams with a negative RATING are considered worse than average. The RATING can be thought of as a composite of the INDEPENDENT (INDY) rating, in which the time a game was played does not matter, and the FORECASTER (CASTER) rating, where recent results are weighted more heavily.
Both the STRENGTH OF RECORD (SoR) and Z-SCORE (Z-SCR) are resume ratings - SoR only considers a team's win-loss record and is independent of margin of victory, while Z-SCR is a blend of RATING and SoR.
TWISTR IHSAA TEAM RATINGS | SCHEDULE & RESUME | COMPONENT RATINGS | ||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
1 | Indianapolis Roncalli | 1 | +5.61 | 13 | 1 | .480 | 1 | +.449 | 1 | +2.38 | 1 | +5.60 | 1 | +5.60 | 1 | |
3 | Indianapolis Cathedral | 2 | +4.69 | 17 | 2 | .521 | 2 | +.374 | 2 | +2.10 | 2 | +4.71 | 3 | +4.68 | 3 | |
10 | Indianapolis Chatard | 3 | +2.60 | 12 | 6 | .573 | 5 | +.093 | 3 | +1.32 | 3 | +2.67 | 9 | +2.56 | 10 | |
13 | Illiana Christian | 4 | +2.46 | 10 | 2 | .866 | 13 | -.037 | 4 | +1.12 | 4 | +2.38 | 14 | +2.49 | 13 | |
23 | Brebeuf Jesuit | 5 | +1.84 | 7 | 7 | .549 | 4 | -.052 | 5 | +0.98 | 5 | +1.68 | 26 | +1.92 | 19 | |
28 | New Palestine | 6 | +1.65 | 11 | 6 | .766 | 9 | -.119 | 8 | +0.85 | 7 | +1.62 | 27 | +1.68 | 28 | |
30 | Hammond Noll | 7 | +1.55 | 9 | 3 | .853 | 11 | -.103 | 7 | +0.85 | 6 | +1.44 | 31 | +1.60 | 29 | |
33 | Silver Creek | 8 | +1.31 | 6 | 5 | .805 | 10 | -.250 | 12 | +0.61 | 9 | +1.12 | 34 | +1.41 | 33 | |
35 | Heritage | 9 | +1.09 | 10 | 2 | .921 | 22 | -.085 | 6 | +0.79 | 8 | +1.21 | 33 | +1.02 | 35 | |
37 | Madison | 10 | +0.89 | 11 | 7 | .858 | 12 | -.243 | 11 | +0.54 | 10 | +0.70 | 38 | +0.97 | 36 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
41 | Guerin Catholic | 11 | +0.47 | 4 | 15 | .534 | 3 | -.321 | 14 | +0.35 | 12 | +0.67 | 40 | +0.38 | 44 | |
50 | Columbia City | 12 | +0.05 | 11 | 7 | .915 | 19 | -.302 | 13 | +0.30 | 14 | +0.12 | 48 | +0.01 | 51 | |
52 | Leo | 13 | -0.04 | 14 | 3 | .971 | 28 | -.147 | 9 | +0.49 | 11 | -0.06 | 52 | -0.05 | 53 | |
58 | New Haven | 14 | -0.57 | 10 | 8 | .934 | 24 | -.377 | 16 | +0.08 | 15 | -0.57 | 59 | -0.57 | 58 | |
59 | Fort Wayne Concordia | 15 | -0.65 | 7 | 5 | .958 | 26 | -.373 | 15 | +0.07 | 16 | -0.55 | 58 | -0.70 | 59 | |
62 | Greenwood | 16 | -0.79 | 8 | 12 | .917 | 20 | -.517 | 17 | -0.16 | 17 | -0.90 | 62 | -0.73 | 61 | |
64 | Indianapolis Shortridge | 17 | -0.92 | 11 | 2 | .995 | 31 | -.149 | 10 | +0.32 | 13 | -1.08 | 64 | -0.84 | 64 | |
70 | Scottsburg | 18 | -1.35 | 1 | 8 | .743 | 7 | -.624 | 22 | -0.41 | 19 | -1.63 | 76 | -1.21 | 68 | |
81 | Norwell | 19 | -1.71 | 5 | 7 | .981 | 29 | -.564 | 19 | -0.40 | 18 | -1.63 | 77 | -1.77 | 81 | |
84 | East Noble | 20 | -1.85 | 3 | 5 | .987 | 30 | -.612 | 21 | -0.49 | 20 | -1.94 | 86 | -1.84 | 84 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
86 | Shelbyville | 21 | -1.90 | 5 | 11 | .960 | 27 | -.647 | 23 | -0.55 | 21 | -1.96 | 88 | -1.88 | 85 | |
90 | Tri-West | 22 | -2.26 | 1 | 9 | .888 | 15 | -.786 | 28 | -0.80 | 24 | -2.20 | 89 | -2.29 | 91 | |
93 | Beech Grove | 23 | -2.48 | 4 | 9 | .911 | 18 | -.604 | 20 | -0.60 | 23 | -2.76 | 96 | -2.34 | 92 | |
95 | Lebanon | 24 | -2.66 | 2 | 4 | .894 | 16 | -.563 | 18 | -0.58 | 22 | -2.80 | 97 | -2.58 | 96 | |
99 | Kankakee Valley | 25 | -2.98 | 1 | 8 | .918 | 21 | -.808 | 29 | -0.97 | 25 | -3.08 | 100 | -2.95 | 104 | |
102 | Bellmont | 26 | -3.07 | 1 | 8 | .951 | 25 | -.837 | 30 | -1.03 | 28 | -3.10 | 101 | -3.09 | 106 | |
108 | DeKalb | 27 | -3.32 | 1 | 16 | .931 | 23 | -.870 | 31 | -1.12 | 29 | -3.27 | 106 | -3.36 | 111 | |
109 | Fort Wayne Dwenger | 28 | -3.35 | 1 | 8 | .896 | 17 | -.781 | 27 | -1.01 | 26 | -3.42 | 110 | -3.24 | 109 | |
110 | Crawfordsville | 29 | -3.44 | 0 | 5 | .884 | 14 | -.884 | 32 | -1.16 | 31 | -3.46 | 112 | -3.42 | 113 | |
115 | New Castle | 30 | -3.66 | 1 | 3 | .996 | 32 | -.746 | 25 | -1.02 | 27 | -3.73 | 116 | -3.62 | 117 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
118 | Indianapolis Washington | 31 | -4.32 | 0 | 4 | .759 | 8 | -.758 | 26 | -1.16 | 30 | -4.33 | 120 | -4.31 | 120 | |
122 | Mishawaka Marian | 32 | -5.45 | 0 | 4 | .998 | 33 | -.999 | 33 | -1.70 | 32 | -5.40 | 124 | -5.47 | 126 |