The TWISTR Ratings are an iterative least-squares, score-based ratings system built in the spirit of an Elo model. Team ratings are agnostic to the final result of a game, as only the scoring margins are important when rating teams. No additional benefit is provided for a win or penalty for a loss. The TWISTR ratings for VOLLEYBALL incorporate two key concepts:
The RATING represents the number of sets a team would be favored by against an average opponent. Teams with a positive RATING are considered better than average, while teams with a negative RATING are considered worse than average. The RATING can be thought of as a composite of the INDEPENDENT (INDY) rating, in which the time a game was played does not matter, and the FORECASTER (CASTER) rating, where recent results are weighted more heavily.
Both the STRENGTH OF RECORD (SoR) and Z-SCORE (Z-SCR) are resume ratings - SoR only considers a team's win-loss record and is independent of margin of victory, while Z-SCR is a blend of RATING and SoR.
TWISTR IHSAA TEAM RATINGS | SCHEDULE & RESUME | COMPONENT RATINGS | ||||||||||||||
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RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
1 | Indianapolis Roncalli | 1 | +5.55 | 27 | 1 | .179 | 1 | +.786 | 1 | +2.65 | 1 | +5.57 | 1 | +5.54 | 1 | |
3 | Indianapolis Cathedral | 2 | +4.49 | 26 | 5 | .297 | 2 | +.543 | 2 | +2.16 | 2 | +4.53 | 3 | +4.47 | 3 | |
16 | Indianapolis Chatard | 3 | +2.12 | 18 | 11 | .483 | 4 | +.138 | 3 | +1.24 | 3 | +2.24 | 14 | +2.06 | 16 | |
22 | Illiana Christian | 4 | +1.74 | 17 | 7 | .750 | 10 | -.042 | 8 | +0.95 | 6 | +1.74 | 22 | +1.74 | 22 | |
27 | Hammond Noll | 5 | +1.54 | 16 | 6 | .636 | 7 | +.089 | 4 | +1.07 | 4 | +1.49 | 27 | +1.56 | 27 | |
29 | New Palestine | 6 | +1.43 | 14 | 8 | .591 | 6 | +.045 | 5 | +1.00 | 5 | +1.47 | 28 | +1.42 | 29 | |
30 | Silver Creek | 7 | +1.28 | 11 | 6 | .720 | 9 | -.058 | 9 | +0.85 | 8 | +1.22 | 32 | +1.34 | 30 | |
32 | Brebeuf Jesuit | 8 | +1.13 | 13 | 11 | .551 | 5 | -.007 | 6 | +0.88 | 7 | +1.23 | 31 | +1.08 | 32 | |
37 | Heritage | 9 | +0.86 | 15 | 5 | .900 | 22 | -.150 | 11 | +0.66 | 11 | +0.96 | 35 | +0.80 | 37 | |
38 | Madison | 10 | +0.75 | 15 | 12 | .712 | 8 | -.113 | 10 | +0.68 | 10 | +0.72 | 38 | +0.78 | 38 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
40 | Guerin Catholic | 11 | +0.59 | 8 | 19 | .333 | 3 | -.037 | 7 | +0.75 | 9 | +0.70 | 40 | +0.51 | 40 | |
49 | Leo | 12 | +0.03 | 17 | 6 | 1.000 | 29 | -.261 | 14 | +0.37 | 12 | +0.02 | 50 | +0.02 | 49 | |
53 | Columbia City | 13 | -0.14 | 13 | 13 | .885 | 21 | -.385 | 17 | +0.19 | 14 | -0.03 | 51 | -0.20 | 55 | |
55 | New Haven | 14 | -0.23 | 13 | 11 | .917 | 23 | -.375 | 16 | +0.19 | 15 | -0.30 | 56 | -0.19 | 54 | |
59 | Fort Wayne Concordia | 15 | -0.49 | 11 | 8 | .947 | 26 | -.368 | 15 | +0.15 | 16 | -0.44 | 58 | -0.52 | 59 | |
61 | Greenwood | 16 | -0.81 | 11 | 14 | .880 | 20 | -.440 | 18 | +0.00 | 18 | -0.85 | 62 | -0.78 | 60 | |
62 | Indianapolis Shortridge | 17 | -0.82 | 13 | 3 | 1.000 | 30 | -.188 | 12 | +0.31 | 13 | -0.88 | 63 | -0.79 | 62 | |
72 | Scottsburg | 18 | -1.34 | 4 | 12 | .765 | 13 | -.500 | 21 | -0.17 | 19 | -1.44 | 73 | -1.29 | 72 | |
79 | East Noble | 19 | -1.59 | 5 | 9 | 1.000 | 28 | -.643 | 26 | -0.39 | 22 | -1.67 | 81 | -1.56 | 78 | |
80 | Norwell | 20 | -1.60 | 7 | 9 | 1.000 | 30 | -.562 | 22 | -0.29 | 20 | -1.59 | 79 | -1.61 | 81 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
84 | Tri-West | 21 | -1.74 | 4 | 15 | .876 | 19 | -.684 | 28 | -0.46 | 24 | -1.71 | 82 | -1.75 | 86 | |
88 | Evansville Memorial | 22 | -1.87 | 2 | 2 | .750 | 12 | -.250 | 13 | +0.04 | 17 | -1.87 | 85 | -1.87 | 88 | |
89 | Shelbyville | 23 | -1.96 | 7 | 15 | .955 | 27 | -.636 | 25 | -0.44 | 23 | -1.96 | 90 | -1.95 | 89 | |
97 | Lebanon | 24 | -2.36 | 4 | 8 | .846 | 15 | -.500 | 20 | -0.35 | 21 | -2.43 | 97 | -2.34 | 97 | |
100 | Kankakee Valley | 25 | -2.64 | 1 | 15 | .750 | 11 | -.691 | 29 | -0.64 | 26 | -2.71 | 99 | -2.59 | 100 | |
101 | Beech Grove | 26 | -2.69 | 5 | 14 | .876 | 18 | -.631 | 24 | -0.57 | 25 | -2.77 | 100 | -2.64 | 101 | |
103 | Bellmont | 27 | -2.80 | 3 | 11 | 1.000 | 30 | -.786 | 30 | -0.78 | 28 | -2.91 | 103 | -2.76 | 103 | |
107 | Fort Wayne Dwenger | 28 | -3.29 | 2 | 14 | .937 | 25 | -.812 | 31 | -0.90 | 30 | -3.35 | 108 | -3.27 | 108 | |
109 | Crawfordsville | 29 | -3.38 | 3 | 10 | .863 | 17 | -.629 | 23 | -0.69 | 27 | -3.47 | 110 | -3.34 | 110 | |
113 | DeKalb | 30 | -3.50 | 2 | 23 | .920 | 24 | -.840 | 32 | -0.97 | 32 | -3.47 | 111 | -3.51 | 116 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
117 | New Castle | 31 | -3.67 | 1 | 5 | .833 | 14 | -.667 | 27 | -0.79 | 29 | -3.67 | 118 | -3.67 | 118 | |
121 | Peru | 32 | -4.27 | 1 | 6 | 1.000 | 30 | -.857 | 33 | -1.13 | 33 | -4.51 | 122 | -4.18 | 121 | |
125 | Mishawaka Marian | 33 | -4.88 | 0 | 6 | 1.000 | 30 | -1.000 | 34 | -1.42 | 34 | -4.86 | 125 | -4.90 | 126 | |
127 | Indianapolis Attucks | 34 | -5.39 | 1 | 3 | .750 | 12 | -.500 | 19 | -0.90 | 31 | -5.39 | 128 | -5.38 | 128 | |
128 | Purdue Poly Englewood | 35 | -6.37 | 0 | 5 | 1.000 | 30 | -1.000 | 34 | -1.69 | 36 | -6.39 | 129 | -6.35 | 129 | |
129 | Indianapolis Washington | 36 | -6.45 | 0 | 7 | .857 | 16 | -.857 | 33 | -1.53 | 35 | -6.47 | 130 | -6.42 | 130 |