The TWISTR Ratings are an iterative least-squares, score-based ratings system built in the spirit of an Elo model. Team ratings are agnostic to the final result of a game, as only the scoring margins are important when rating teams. No additional benefit is provided for a win or penalty for a loss. The TWISTR ratings for SOCCER incorporate two key concepts:
The RATING represents the number of goals a team would be favored by against an average opponent. Teams with a positive RATING are considered better than average, while teams with a negative RATING are considered worse than average. The RATING can be thought of as a composite of the INDEPENDENT (INDY) rating, in which the time a game was played does not matter, and the FORECASTER (CASTER) rating, where recent results are weighted more heavily.
Both the STRENGTH OF RECORD (SoR) and Z-SCORE (Z-SCR) are resume ratings - SoR only considers a team's win-loss record and is independent of margin of victory, while Z-SCR is a blend of RATING and SoR.
TWISTR IHSAA TEAM RATINGS | SCHEDULE & RESUME | COMPONENT RATINGS | |||||||||||||||
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RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
1 | Center Grove | 1 | +6.09 | 18 | 1 | 0 | .673 | 10 | +.277 | 1 | +2.11 | 1 | +6.30 | 1 | +5.91 | 1 | |
2 | Harrison (West Lafayette) | 2 | +5.55 | 16 | 0 | 3 | .713 | 16 | +.210 | 2 | +1.85 | 2 | +5.60 | 2 | +5.46 | 2 | |
3 | Bloomington South | 3 | +5.53 | 19 | 1 | 0 | .793 | 30 | +.157 | 4 | +1.75 | 4 | +5.57 | 3 | +5.45 | 3 | |
4 | Noblesville | 4 | +5.41 | 9 | 2 | 5 | .578 | 1 | +.142 | 5 | +1.69 | 5 | +5.49 | 4 | +5.32 | 4 | |
5 | Hamilton Southeastern | 5 | +5.14 | 13 | 1 | 5 | .611 | 5 | +.207 | 3 | +1.75 | 3 | +5.22 | 5 | +5.04 | 5 | |
6 | Zionsville | 6 | +4.79 | 11 | 4 | 3 | .643 | 7 | +.055 | 7 | +1.38 | 6 | +4.87 | 8 | +4.60 | 9 | |
7 | Indianapolis Cathedral | 7 | +4.75 | 13 | 4 | 2 | .691 | 13 | +.044 | 9 | +1.35 | 8 | +4.90 | 7 | +4.63 | 6 | |
8 | Castle | 8 | +4.73 | 15 | 2 | 0 | .861 | 55 | +.023 | 12 | +1.30 | 9 | +4.92 | 6 | +4.60 | 8 | |
9 | Fishers | 9 | +4.68 | 9 | 4 | 3 | .599 | 3 | +.060 | 6 | +1.36 | 7 | +4.74 | 9 | +4.60 | 7 | |
10 | Concord | 10 | +4.49 | 15 | 3 | 2 | .762 | 21 | +.034 | 11 | +1.27 | 10 | +4.61 | 11 | +4.40 | 10 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
12 | Brownsburg | 11 | +4.42 | 10 | 5 | 3 | .640 | 6 | +.000 | 13 | +1.19 | 13 | +4.48 | 12 | +4.34 | 12 | |
13 | Carroll (Fort Wayne) | 12 | +4.33 | 16 | 2 | 2 | .803 | 35 | +.048 | 8 | +1.26 | 11 | +4.37 | 13 | +4.32 | 13 | |
14 | Warsaw | 13 | +4.12 | 14 | 3 | 3 | .795 | 31 | -.020 | 15 | +1.08 | 14 | +4.24 | 14 | +4.02 | 14 | |
15 | Westfield | 14 | +4.10 | 7 | 3 | 4 | .603 | 4 | +.040 | 10 | +1.19 | 12 | +4.21 | 15 | +4.00 | 15 | |
16 | McCutcheon | 15 | +4.05 | 14 | 3 | 0 | .839 | 43 | -.015 | 14 | +1.07 | 15 | +4.13 | 16 | +3.96 | 17 | |
17 | Goshen | 16 | +4.01 | 13 | 4 | 1 | .805 | 36 | -.059 | 18 | +0.98 | 16 | +4.05 | 19 | +3.97 | 16 | |
18 | Chesterton | 17 | +3.94 | 11 | 4 | 2 | .787 | 27 | -.080 | 19 | +0.92 | 18 | +4.12 | 17 | +3.83 | 18 | |
19 | Columbus North | 18 | +3.91 | 9 | 6 | 1 | .652 | 8 | -.055 | 17 | +0.96 | 17 | +4.11 | 18 | +3.75 | 21 | |
20 | Southport | 19 | +3.89 | 10 | 8 | 3 | .664 | 9 | -.115 | 25 | +0.84 | 19 | +3.91 | 20 | +3.82 | 19 | |
21 | Northridge | 20 | +3.81 | 9 | 5 | 3 | .761 | 20 | -.145 | 31 | +0.76 | 23 | +3.82 | 22 | +3.78 | 20 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
22 | Pike | 21 | +3.77 | 7 | 5 | 3 | .764 | 22 | -.196 | 38 | +0.66 | 29 | +3.84 | 21 | +3.69 | 22 | |
23 | Penn | 22 | +3.64 | 9 | 5 | 2 | .774 | 25 | -.148 | 32 | +0.72 | 26 | +3.64 | 25 | +3.62 | 23 | |
24 | Carmel | 23 | +3.62 | 7 | 8 | 3 | .597 | 2 | -.123 | 27 | +0.76 | 24 | +3.75 | 24 | +3.50 | 24 | |
26 | Lawrence North | 24 | +3.51 | 13 | 5 | 1 | .792 | 29 | -.081 | 20 | +0.82 | 21 | +3.63 | 26 | +3.40 | 26 | |
27 | Ben Davis | 25 | +3.47 | 13 | 6 | 2 | .753 | 19 | -.088 | 21 | +0.80 | 22 | +3.48 | 29 | +3.38 | 27 | |
28 | Crown Point | 26 | +3.45 | 13 | 4 | 2 | .850 | 52 | -.113 | 24 | +0.74 | 25 | +3.59 | 27 | +3.35 | 28 | |
29 | Perry Meridian | 27 | +3.35 | 9 | 7 | 3 | .711 | 15 | -.156 | 33 | +0.64 | 30 | +3.50 | 28 | +3.31 | 29 | |
30 | Martinsville | 28 | +3.33 | 13 | 2 | 3 | .860 | 54 | -.053 | 16 | +0.83 | 20 | +3.46 | 30 | +3.22 | 30 | |
31 | Franklin Central | 29 | +3.31 | 9 | 8 | 2 | .691 | 12 | -.164 | 34 | +0.61 | 32 | +3.42 | 31 | +3.21 | 31 | |
32 | Pendleton Heights | 30 | +3.28 | 11 | 4 | 0 | .853 | 53 | -.119 | 26 | +0.69 | 27 | +3.41 | 32 | +3.17 | 33 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
33 | Elkhart | 31 | +3.22 | 10 | 7 | 1 | .773 | 24 | -.190 | 36 | +0.54 | 34 | +3.25 | 34 | +3.19 | 32 | |
36 | Bloomington North | 32 | +3.08 | 10 | 5 | 1 | .764 | 23 | -.109 | 22 | +0.67 | 28 | +3.27 | 33 | +2.92 | 37 | |
37 | North Central (Indianapolis) | 33 | +3.00 | 6 | 7 | 4 | .730 | 17 | -.259 | 47 | +0.36 | 41 | +3.08 | 39 | +2.92 | 38 | |
38 | Mount Vernon (Fortville) | 34 | +2.99 | 11 | 4 | 2 | .840 | 45 | -.136 | 29 | +0.59 | 33 | +3.01 | 42 | +3.05 | 36 | |
41 | Lawrence Central | 35 | +2.95 | 9 | 6 | 2 | .801 | 33 | -.214 | 41 | +0.43 | 38 | +3.09 | 38 | +2.84 | 44 | |
42 | Plainfield | 36 | +2.90 | 7 | 7 | 3 | .788 | 28 | -.287 | 54 | +0.28 | 44 | +2.98 | 43 | +2.81 | 45 | |
43 | East Central | 37 | +2.90 | 12 | 4 | 1 | .846 | 51 | -.109 | 23 | +0.62 | 31 | +2.90 | 45 | +2.85 | 41 | |
44 | Lake Central | 38 | +2.88 | 7 | 5 | 2 | .835 | 41 | -.263 | 49 | +0.32 | 43 | +3.01 | 41 | +2.80 | 46 | |
45 | Fort Wayne Northrop | 39 | +2.88 | 12 | 5 | 2 | .901 | 72 | -.216 | 42 | +0.41 | 39 | +2.91 | 44 | +2.84 | 43 | |
46 | South Bend Adams | 40 | +2.85 | 11 | 6 | 0 | .845 | 49 | -.197 | 39 | +0.44 | 37 | +2.82 | 46 | +2.84 | 42 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
49 | Munster | 41 | +2.72 | 14 | 4 | 1 | .898 | 70 | -.135 | 28 | +0.53 | 35 | +2.78 | 48 | +2.66 | 49 | |
50 | Seymour | 42 | +2.68 | 13 | 6 | 0 | .877 | 63 | -.193 | 37 | +0.41 | 40 | +2.70 | 49 | +2.62 | 50 | |
51 | Valparaiso | 43 | +2.59 | 11 | 10 | 0 | .807 | 37 | -.283 | 52 | +0.21 | 46 | +2.65 | 51 | +2.53 | 52 | |
53 | Homestead | 44 | +2.55 | 8 | 6 | 5 | .803 | 34 | -.248 | 46 | +0.27 | 45 | +2.63 | 52 | +2.48 | 53 | |
54 | Avon | 45 | +2.52 | 5 | 10 | 3 | .699 | 14 | -.336 | 63 | +0.09 | 50 | +2.54 | 54 | +2.47 | 54 | |
55 | Brebeuf Jesuit | 46 | +2.47 | 4 | 11 | 1 | .675 | 11 | -.390 | 72 | -0.02 | 58 | +2.60 | 53 | +2.36 | 57 | |
57 | Kokomo | 47 | +2.43 | 12 | 3 | 1 | .918 | 79 | -.137 | 30 | +0.46 | 36 | +2.49 | 55 | +2.38 | 56 | |
60 | Indianapolis Roncalli | 48 | +2.33 | 5 | 9 | 2 | .732 | 18 | -.359 | 66 | +0.01 | 55 | +2.33 | 61 | +2.29 | 59 | |
61 | Mishawaka Marian | 49 | +2.18 | 9 | 8 | 1 | .839 | 44 | -.315 | 58 | +0.06 | 51 | +2.35 | 60 | +2.07 | 67 | |
62 | Lafayette Jeff | 50 | +2.17 | 6 | 6 | 6 | .815 | 38 | -.316 | 59 | +0.05 | 52 | +2.08 | 67 | +2.18 | 62 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
64 | Columbus East | 51 | +2.13 | 7 | 8 | 1 | .787 | 26 | -.317 | 60 | +0.04 | 53 | +2.11 | 66 | +2.20 | 61 | |
66 | Anderson | 52 | +2.13 | 13 | 4 | 0 | .930 | 87 | -.167 | 35 | +0.33 | 42 | +2.17 | 65 | +2.08 | 66 | |
68 | Plymouth | 53 | +2.03 | 11 | 7 | 0 | .886 | 64 | -.275 | 50 | +0.10 | 49 | +1.95 | 72 | +2.06 | 68 | |
70 | Decatur Central | 54 | +2.02 | 7 | 6 | 2 | .896 | 68 | -.363 | 67 | -0.07 | 61 | +2.18 | 63 | +1.95 | 70 | |
72 | Floyd Central | 55 | +1.96 | 8 | 4 | 3 | .871 | 59 | -.237 | 44 | +0.16 | 48 | +2.04 | 71 | +1.89 | 71 | |
73 | New Albany | 56 | +1.80 | 7 | 6 | 2 | .845 | 50 | -.311 | 57 | -0.02 | 59 | +1.86 | 75 | +1.73 | 76 | |
76 | Evansville Reitz | 57 | +1.79 | 8 | 5 | 0 | .897 | 69 | -.280 | 51 | +0.03 | 54 | +1.91 | 73 | +1.71 | 77 | |
78 | Evansville North | 58 | +1.75 | 10 | 6 | 0 | .830 | 40 | -.202 | 40 | +0.18 | 47 | +1.90 | 74 | +1.65 | 79 | |
79 | Fort Wayne South | 59 | +1.66 | 9 | 7 | 1 | .891 | 66 | -.332 | 62 | -0.09 | 62 | +1.55 | 82 | +1.70 | 78 | |
83 | Indianapolis Herron | 60 | +1.48 | 9 | 8 | 0 | .872 | 60 | -.343 | 64 | -0.16 | 64 | +1.53 | 83 | +1.42 | 84 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
84 | Logansport | 61 | +1.45 | 10 | 5 | 3 | .901 | 71 | -.261 | 48 | -0.01 | 57 | +1.50 | 84 | +1.33 | 88 | |
86 | Whiteland | 62 | +1.43 | 5 | 9 | 3 | .877 | 62 | -.493 | 84 | -0.46 | 74 | +1.34 | 92 | +1.46 | 82 | |
95 | Greenwood | 63 | +1.21 | 7 | 7 | 4 | .889 | 65 | -.387 | 70 | -0.31 | 68 | +1.27 | 94 | +1.15 | 98 | |
96 | DeKalb | 64 | +1.21 | 9 | 6 | 1 | .966 | 100 | -.371 | 69 | -0.28 | 67 | +1.11 | 104 | +1.22 | 95 | |
98 | Richmond | 65 | +1.18 | 6 | 7 | 1 | .953 | 96 | -.487 | 83 | -0.51 | 79 | +1.15 | 101 | +1.17 | 97 | |
100 | New Palestine | 66 | +1.15 | 6 | 9 | 1 | .866 | 57 | -.460 | 79 | -0.46 | 76 | +1.18 | 98 | +1.10 | 101 | |
101 | Evansville Harrison | 67 | +1.13 | 10 | 5 | 1 | .877 | 61 | -.218 | 43 | +0.00 | 56 | +1.18 | 100 | +1.07 | 103 | |
102 | Hammond Central | 68 | +1.11 | 9 | 2 | 4 | .973 | 103 | -.239 | 45 | -0.04 | 60 | +1.07 | 106 | +1.12 | 100 | |
105 | East Noble | 69 | +1.05 | 8 | 9 | 1 | .952 | 95 | -.479 | 81 | -0.52 | 81 | +1.10 | 105 | +1.00 | 106 | |
107 | Indianapolis Tech | 70 | +1.02 | 10 | 6 | 0 | .906 | 75 | -.283 | 53 | -0.15 | 63 | +0.98 | 111 | +1.00 | 107 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
108 | Warren Central | 71 | +1.01 | 3 | 12 | 0 | .828 | 39 | -.628 | 94 | -0.82 | 87 | +1.07 | 107 | +0.95 | 109 | |
109 | Lebanon | 72 | +1.01 | 6 | 9 | 1 | .841 | 46 | -.436 | 76 | -0.45 | 71 | +1.01 | 109 | +0.97 | 108 | |
110 | Terre Haute North | 73 | +1.01 | 6 | 10 | 1 | .841 | 47 | -.459 | 77 | -0.49 | 77 | +1.18 | 99 | +0.93 | 110 | |
111 | Jasper | 74 | +0.97 | 5 | 10 | 1 | .841 | 48 | -.495 | 85 | -0.57 | 82 | +1.12 | 103 | +0.85 | 115 | |
112 | Fort Wayne North | 75 | +0.95 | 6 | 8 | 3 | .902 | 73 | -.460 | 78 | -0.51 | 80 | +0.97 | 112 | +0.93 | 111 | |
115 | Indianapolis Shortridge | 76 | +0.88 | 9 | 6 | 1 | .913 | 78 | -.320 | 61 | -0.25 | 66 | +0.85 | 116 | +0.89 | 114 | |
118 | Lowell | 77 | +0.78 | 10 | 6 | 1 | .971 | 102 | -.353 | 65 | -0.34 | 69 | +0.77 | 121 | +0.79 | 118 | |
120 | Evansville Central | 78 | +0.68 | 8 | 6 | 0 | .863 | 56 | -.289 | 55 | -0.24 | 65 | +0.82 | 119 | +0.57 | 124 | |
124 | New Haven | 79 | +0.62 | 7 | 9 | 0 | .944 | 91 | -.506 | 86 | -0.67 | 84 | +0.57 | 126 | +0.63 | 121 | |
125 | Bedford North Lawrence | 80 | +0.62 | 8 | 7 | 2 | .925 | 85 | -.395 | 74 | -0.46 | 73 | +0.61 | 125 | +0.58 | 122 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
126 | Columbia City | 81 | +0.60 | 7 | 6 | 3 | .919 | 80 | -.388 | 71 | -0.45 | 72 | +0.62 | 124 | +0.56 | 127 | |
127 | Muncie Central | 82 | +0.57 | 9 | 6 | 1 | .961 | 99 | -.367 | 68 | -0.41 | 70 | +0.54 | 127 | +0.67 | 120 | |
128 | Franklin | 83 | +0.52 | 2 | 14 | 2 | .867 | 58 | -.698 | 98 | -1.07 | 91 | +0.46 | 128 | +0.54 | 128 | |
129 | Jeffersonville | 84 | +0.45 | 6 | 9 | 2 | .954 | 97 | -.541 | 89 | -0.78 | 86 | +0.44 | 130 | +0.33 | 131 | |
130 | Hobart | 85 | +0.44 | 7 | 6 | 3 | .925 | 84 | -.393 | 73 | -0.50 | 78 | +0.45 | 129 | +0.45 | 129 | |
135 | Shelbyville | 86 | +0.27 | 8 | 9 | 0 | .944 | 92 | -.473 | 80 | -0.69 | 85 | +0.30 | 136 | +0.21 | 136 | |
137 | Fort Wayne Wayne | 87 | +0.23 | 8 | 7 | 0 | .943 | 90 | -.409 | 75 | -0.58 | 83 | +0.18 | 143 | +0.26 | 134 | |
144 | Mooresville | 88 | +0.10 | 6 | 10 | 1 | .911 | 76 | -.528 | 87 | -0.84 | 89 | +0.30 | 137 | -0.04 | 147 | |
145 | Marion | 89 | +0.08 | 4 | 9 | 3 | .950 | 93 | -.607 | 92 | -0.99 | 90 | +0.15 | 144 | +0.09 | 142 | |
148 | Greenfield-Central | 90 | -0.07 | 3 | 10 | 0 | .905 | 74 | -.673 | 96 | -1.16 | 94 | -0.18 | 152 | -0.05 | 148 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
151 | Indianapolis Attucks | 91 | -0.15 | 6 | 3 | 1 | .954 | 98 | -.305 | 56 | -0.46 | 75 | -0.24 | 156 | -0.11 | 149 | |
154 | Huntington North | 92 | -0.23 | 3 | 10 | 2 | .922 | 82 | -.657 | 95 | -1.16 | 95 | -0.14 | 151 | -0.30 | 156 | |
155 | Portage | 93 | -0.24 | 5 | 12 | 0 | .912 | 77 | -.617 | 93 | -1.09 | 92 | -0.20 | 154 | -0.27 | 154 | |
159 | Merrillville | 94 | -0.26 | 6 | 8 | 3 | .921 | 81 | -.480 | 82 | -0.83 | 88 | -0.26 | 159 | -0.25 | 152 | |
178 | Highland | 95 | -0.89 | 6 | 11 | 0 | .951 | 94 | -.597 | 91 | -1.20 | 96 | -0.98 | 179 | -0.83 | 175 | |
182 | South Bend Riley | 96 | -1.03 | 5 | 8 | 1 | .923 | 83 | -.533 | 88 | -1.11 | 93 | -1.01 | 181 | -1.05 | 182 | |
193 | Fort Wayne Snider | 97 | -1.39 | 0 | 16 | 1 | .932 | 89 | -.900 | 105 | -1.90 | 102 | -1.43 | 195 | -1.38 | 191 | |
195 | Kankakee Valley | 98 | -1.41 | 3 | 12 | 1 | .976 | 105 | -.757 | 100 | -1.63 | 98 | -1.35 | 192 | -1.39 | 194 | |
215 | East Chicago Central | 99 | -1.92 | 6 | 9 | 0 | .973 | 104 | -.573 | 90 | -1.39 | 97 | -1.87 | 213 | -1.94 | 214 | |
217 | LaPorte | 100 | -2.00 | 0 | 13 | 4 | .926 | 86 | -.809 | 103 | -1.87 | 101 | -1.90 | 214 | -2.06 | 219 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
222 | Terre Haute South | 101 | -2.18 | 1 | 14 | 0 | .799 | 32 | -.732 | 99 | -1.76 | 100 | -2.07 | 221 | -2.27 | 223 | |
227 | Michigan City | 102 | -2.36 | 4 | 12 | 0 | .931 | 88 | -.681 | 97 | -1.70 | 99 | -2.40 | 229 | -2.32 | 225 | |
241 | South Bend Washington | 103 | -2.96 | 1 | 7 | 0 | .893 | 67 | -.773 | 101 | -2.02 | 103 | -3.03 | 240 | -2.94 | 241 | |
242 | Jennings County | 104 | -3.00 | 1 | 13 | 3 | .969 | 101 | -.821 | 104 | -2.12 | 104 | -3.07 | 241 | -2.99 | 242 | |
262 | Mishawaka | 105 | -4.33 | 0 | 13 | 1 | .838 | 42 | -.800 | 102 | -2.39 | 105 | -4.47 | 264 | -4.27 | 263 | |
283 | Hammond Morton | 106 | -5.14 | 0 | 11 | 0 | .989 | 106 | -.989 | 106 | -2.94 | 106 | -5.10 | 278 | -5.16 | 283 |