The TWISTR Ratings are an iterative least-squares, score-based ratings system built in the spirit of an Elo model. Team ratings are agnostic to the final result of a game, as only the scoring margins are important when rating teams. No additional benefit is provided for a win or penalty for a loss. The TWISTR ratings for SOCCER incorporate two key concepts:
The RATING represents the number of goals a team would be favored by against an average opponent. Teams with a positive RATING are considered better than average, while teams with a negative RATING are considered worse than average. The RATING can be thought of as a composite of the INDEPENDENT (INDY) rating, in which the time a game was played does not matter, and the FORECASTER (CASTER) rating, where recent results are weighted more heavily.
Both the STRENGTH OF RECORD (SoR) and Z-SCORE (Z-SCR) are resume ratings - SoR only considers a team's win-loss record and is independent of margin of victory, while Z-SCR is a blend of RATING and SoR.
TWISTR IHSAA TEAM RATINGS | SCHEDULE & RESUME | COMPONENT RATINGS | |||||||||||||||
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RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
1 | Center Grove | 1 | +6.10 | 18 | 1 | 0 | .666 | 10 | +.284 | 1 | +2.11 | 1 | +6.33 | 1 | +5.94 | 1 | |
2 | Harrison (West Lafayette) | 2 | +5.57 | 15 | 0 | 3 | .723 | 18 | +.194 | 3 | +1.82 | 2 | +5.62 | 2 | +5.39 | 3 | |
3 | Bloomington South | 3 | +5.47 | 18 | 1 | 0 | .802 | 31 | +.146 | 5 | +1.70 | 5 | +5.52 | 4 | +5.40 | 2 | |
4 | Noblesville | 4 | +5.46 | 9 | 2 | 5 | .561 | 1 | +.159 | 4 | +1.72 | 4 | +5.54 | 3 | +5.37 | 4 | |
5 | Hamilton Southeastern | 5 | +5.18 | 13 | 1 | 5 | .598 | 5 | +.220 | 2 | +1.78 | 3 | +5.27 | 5 | +5.09 | 5 | |
6 | Zionsville | 6 | +4.83 | 11 | 4 | 3 | .630 | 7 | +.068 | 7 | +1.41 | 6 | +4.92 | 8 | +4.65 | 7 | |
7 | Indianapolis Cathedral | 7 | +4.80 | 13 | 4 | 2 | .684 | 13 | +.051 | 9 | +1.37 | 8 | +4.95 | 6 | +4.69 | 6 | |
8 | Castle | 8 | +4.73 | 15 | 2 | 0 | .866 | 57 | +.018 | 12 | +1.29 | 9 | +4.92 | 7 | +4.59 | 9 | |
9 | Fishers | 9 | +4.69 | 9 | 4 | 3 | .586 | 3 | +.073 | 6 | +1.38 | 7 | +4.79 | 9 | +4.61 | 8 | |
10 | Brownsburg | 10 | +4.47 | 10 | 5 | 3 | .627 | 6 | +.013 | 13 | +1.22 | 11 | +4.53 | 12 | +4.40 | 10 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
11 | Concord | 11 | +4.43 | 15 | 2 | 2 | .805 | 32 | +.033 | 11 | +1.25 | 10 | +4.57 | 10 | +4.32 | 11 | |
13 | Carroll (Fort Wayne) | 12 | +4.23 | 16 | 2 | 2 | .817 | 37 | +.035 | 10 | +1.20 | 13 | +4.31 | 13 | +4.15 | 13 | |
14 | Westfield | 13 | +4.11 | 7 | 3 | 4 | .591 | 4 | +.053 | 8 | +1.21 | 12 | +4.25 | 14 | +4.05 | 14 | |
15 | McCutcheon | 14 | +4.08 | 14 | 3 | 0 | .838 | 42 | -.015 | 14 | +1.08 | 14 | +4.17 | 16 | +4.00 | 15 | |
16 | Warsaw | 15 | +4.05 | 14 | 3 | 3 | .806 | 33 | -.031 | 15 | +1.04 | 15 | +4.20 | 15 | +3.94 | 16 | |
17 | Southport | 16 | +3.97 | 10 | 7 | 3 | .678 | 12 | -.102 | 22 | +0.88 | 19 | +4.00 | 19 | +3.92 | 17 | |
18 | Goshen | 17 | +3.95 | 13 | 4 | 1 | .818 | 38 | -.071 | 18 | +0.94 | 17 | +4.00 | 20 | +3.89 | 18 | |
19 | Columbus North | 18 | +3.93 | 9 | 6 | 1 | .644 | 8 | -.048 | 16 | +0.98 | 16 | +4.14 | 17 | +3.78 | 20 | |
20 | Chesterton | 19 | +3.93 | 11 | 4 | 2 | .797 | 29 | -.089 | 21 | +0.90 | 18 | +4.08 | 18 | +3.87 | 19 | |
21 | Pike | 20 | +3.81 | 7 | 5 | 3 | .760 | 20 | -.192 | 36 | +0.67 | 28 | +3.88 | 21 | +3.74 | 21 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
22 | Northridge | 21 | +3.74 | 9 | 5 | 3 | .772 | 22 | -.156 | 33 | +0.72 | 25 | +3.77 | 23 | +3.69 | 22 | |
23 | Carmel | 22 | +3.66 | 7 | 8 | 3 | .583 | 2 | -.109 | 25 | +0.80 | 23 | +3.79 | 22 | +3.55 | 24 | |
24 | Penn | 23 | +3.59 | 9 | 5 | 2 | .785 | 24 | -.159 | 34 | +0.68 | 27 | +3.59 | 26 | +3.56 | 23 | |
25 | Lawrence North | 24 | +3.57 | 13 | 5 | 1 | .788 | 27 | -.077 | 19 | +0.84 | 20 | +3.68 | 25 | +3.47 | 26 | |
26 | Ben Davis | 25 | +3.53 | 13 | 6 | 2 | .747 | 19 | -.081 | 20 | +0.82 | 22 | +3.54 | 29 | +3.47 | 25 | |
28 | Crown Point | 26 | +3.43 | 13 | 4 | 2 | .855 | 52 | -.118 | 27 | +0.73 | 24 | +3.57 | 27 | +3.31 | 30 | |
29 | Perry Meridian | 27 | +3.40 | 9 | 7 | 3 | .703 | 15 | -.149 | 31 | +0.66 | 30 | +3.55 | 28 | +3.37 | 28 | |
30 | Pendleton Heights | 28 | +3.38 | 11 | 4 | 0 | .850 | 50 | -.115 | 26 | +0.72 | 26 | +3.44 | 32 | +3.29 | 31 | |
32 | Franklin Central | 29 | +3.37 | 9 | 8 | 2 | .678 | 11 | -.151 | 32 | +0.65 | 31 | +3.48 | 31 | +3.28 | 32 | |
33 | Martinsville | 30 | +3.35 | 13 | 2 | 3 | .861 | 54 | -.055 | 17 | +0.83 | 21 | +3.49 | 30 | +3.26 | 33 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
35 | Elkhart | 31 | +3.17 | 10 | 7 | 1 | .780 | 23 | -.197 | 38 | +0.51 | 34 | +3.21 | 36 | +3.13 | 35 | |
36 | Bloomington North | 32 | +3.10 | 10 | 5 | 1 | .763 | 21 | -.107 | 24 | +0.67 | 29 | +3.29 | 35 | +2.95 | 39 | |
37 | North Central (Indianapolis) | 33 | +3.06 | 6 | 7 | 4 | .722 | 16 | -.251 | 46 | +0.39 | 40 | +3.13 | 38 | +2.99 | 37 | |
38 | Mount Vernon (Fortville) | 34 | +3.03 | 11 | 4 | 2 | .838 | 41 | -.134 | 28 | +0.60 | 33 | +3.05 | 41 | +3.10 | 36 | |
40 | Lawrence Central | 35 | +3.02 | 9 | 6 | 2 | .795 | 28 | -.207 | 41 | +0.46 | 37 | +3.15 | 37 | +2.92 | 40 | |
41 | East Central | 36 | +2.94 | 12 | 4 | 1 | .843 | 46 | -.107 | 23 | +0.63 | 32 | +2.94 | 45 | +2.90 | 41 | |
42 | Plainfield | 37 | +2.94 | 7 | 7 | 3 | .786 | 26 | -.284 | 52 | +0.29 | 44 | +3.02 | 42 | +2.86 | 43 | |
45 | Lake Central | 38 | +2.85 | 7 | 5 | 2 | .842 | 45 | -.271 | 49 | +0.30 | 43 | +2.98 | 43 | +2.75 | 46 | |
46 | South Bend Adams | 39 | +2.79 | 11 | 6 | 0 | .856 | 53 | -.207 | 40 | +0.41 | 38 | +2.77 | 47 | +2.77 | 45 | |
47 | Fort Wayne Northrop | 40 | +2.78 | 12 | 5 | 2 | .913 | 75 | -.229 | 43 | +0.36 | 41 | +2.84 | 46 | +2.75 | 47 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
48 | Seymour | 41 | +2.69 | 13 | 6 | 0 | .880 | 63 | -.195 | 37 | +0.41 | 39 | +2.73 | 49 | +2.65 | 48 | |
49 | Munster | 42 | +2.68 | 14 | 4 | 1 | .905 | 72 | -.143 | 30 | +0.51 | 35 | +2.75 | 48 | +2.62 | 49 | |
50 | Avon | 43 | +2.58 | 5 | 10 | 3 | .688 | 14 | -.325 | 61 | +0.13 | 49 | +2.59 | 52 | +2.54 | 50 | |
51 | Valparaiso | 44 | +2.56 | 11 | 10 | 0 | .814 | 35 | -.290 | 54 | +0.20 | 46 | +2.61 | 51 | +2.48 | 52 | |
52 | Brebeuf Jesuit | 45 | +2.55 | 4 | 11 | 1 | .663 | 9 | -.379 | 69 | +0.02 | 56 | +2.67 | 50 | +2.45 | 54 | |
54 | Homestead | 46 | +2.48 | 8 | 6 | 5 | .812 | 34 | -.258 | 47 | +0.24 | 45 | +2.57 | 53 | +2.40 | 56 | |
56 | Kokomo | 47 | +2.46 | 12 | 3 | 1 | .919 | 79 | -.138 | 29 | +0.47 | 36 | +2.52 | 54 | +2.41 | 55 | |
57 | Indianapolis Roncalli | 48 | +2.40 | 5 | 9 | 2 | .723 | 17 | -.350 | 65 | +0.04 | 53 | +2.40 | 58 | +2.38 | 57 | |
61 | Lafayette Jeff | 49 | +2.18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | .815 | 36 | -.316 | 59 | +0.06 | 51 | +2.10 | 67 | +2.20 | 62 | |
62 | Anderson | 50 | +2.16 | 13 | 4 | 0 | .931 | 84 | -.168 | 35 | +0.34 | 42 | +2.20 | 64 | +2.12 | 63 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
63 | Columbus East | 51 | +2.15 | 7 | 8 | 1 | .785 | 25 | -.316 | 58 | +0.05 | 52 | +2.14 | 66 | +2.24 | 61 | |
64 | Mishawaka Marian | 52 | +2.11 | 9 | 8 | 1 | .850 | 51 | -.325 | 62 | +0.03 | 55 | +2.29 | 61 | +1.99 | 66 | |
66 | Decatur Central | 53 | +2.08 | 7 | 6 | 2 | .896 | 66 | -.363 | 67 | -0.05 | 60 | +2.24 | 62 | +1.99 | 67 | |
70 | Plymouth | 54 | +1.97 | 11 | 7 | 0 | .892 | 65 | -.281 | 50 | +0.08 | 50 | +1.90 | 72 | +1.99 | 68 | |
71 | Floyd Central | 55 | +1.96 | 8 | 4 | 3 | .873 | 60 | -.239 | 44 | +0.16 | 48 | +2.05 | 69 | +1.91 | 71 | |
74 | New Albany | 56 | +1.80 | 7 | 6 | 2 | .847 | 49 | -.313 | 57 | -0.02 | 59 | +1.87 | 76 | +1.76 | 74 | |
75 | Evansville Reitz | 57 | +1.80 | 8 | 5 | 0 | .902 | 67 | -.285 | 53 | +0.03 | 54 | +1.91 | 71 | +1.66 | 76 | |
76 | Evansville North | 58 | +1.74 | 10 | 6 | 0 | .831 | 40 | -.203 | 39 | +0.18 | 47 | +1.89 | 74 | +1.64 | 77 | |
81 | Fort Wayne South | 59 | +1.58 | 9 | 7 | 1 | .904 | 69 | -.344 | 64 | -0.13 | 63 | +1.49 | 85 | +1.61 | 79 | |
82 | Indianapolis Herron | 60 | +1.55 | 9 | 8 | 0 | .870 | 58 | -.342 | 63 | -0.13 | 64 | +1.60 | 82 | +1.51 | 82 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
86 | Whiteland | 61 | +1.48 | 5 | 9 | 3 | .879 | 62 | -.495 | 84 | -0.45 | 74 | +1.39 | 92 | +1.52 | 81 | |
88 | Logansport | 62 | +1.45 | 10 | 5 | 3 | .903 | 68 | -.264 | 48 | -0.01 | 58 | +1.52 | 84 | +1.39 | 87 | |
95 | Greenwood | 63 | +1.25 | 7 | 7 | 4 | .891 | 64 | -.390 | 71 | -0.30 | 67 | +1.32 | 94 | +1.21 | 97 | |
96 | Richmond | 64 | +1.21 | 6 | 7 | 1 | .957 | 96 | -.492 | 83 | -0.50 | 78 | +1.18 | 99 | +1.21 | 96 | |
99 | New Palestine | 65 | +1.19 | 6 | 9 | 1 | .865 | 56 | -.459 | 77 | -0.44 | 73 | +1.23 | 96 | +1.16 | 98 | |
100 | DeKalb | 66 | +1.12 | 9 | 6 | 1 | .974 | 101 | -.379 | 70 | -0.31 | 68 | +1.05 | 107 | +1.11 | 100 | |
101 | Evansville Harrison | 67 | +1.12 | 10 | 5 | 1 | .879 | 61 | -.221 | 42 | -0.00 | 57 | +1.17 | 100 | +1.06 | 104 | |
102 | Warren Central | 68 | +1.08 | 3 | 12 | 0 | .825 | 39 | -.625 | 94 | -0.79 | 87 | +1.13 | 102 | +1.02 | 107 | |
103 | Indianapolis Tech | 69 | +1.08 | 10 | 6 | 0 | .904 | 70 | -.281 | 51 | -0.13 | 62 | +1.04 | 108 | +1.07 | 103 | |
104 | Hammond Central | 70 | +1.07 | 9 | 2 | 4 | .978 | 103 | -.244 | 45 | -0.06 | 61 | +1.04 | 109 | +1.07 | 102 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
106 | Lebanon | 71 | +1.06 | 6 | 9 | 1 | .840 | 43 | -.435 | 76 | -0.43 | 71 | +1.06 | 105 | +1.03 | 106 | |
107 | Terre Haute North | 72 | +1.03 | 6 | 10 | 1 | .842 | 44 | -.460 | 78 | -0.48 | 77 | +1.21 | 97 | +0.97 | 109 | |
110 | Indianapolis Shortridge | 73 | +0.97 | 9 | 6 | 1 | .911 | 74 | -.318 | 60 | -0.22 | 65 | +0.93 | 114 | +0.99 | 108 | |
111 | East Noble | 74 | +0.96 | 8 | 9 | 1 | .962 | 98 | -.489 | 82 | -0.55 | 81 | +1.04 | 110 | +0.91 | 111 | |
112 | Jasper | 75 | +0.96 | 5 | 10 | 1 | .847 | 48 | -.501 | 85 | -0.58 | 82 | +1.11 | 104 | +0.84 | 114 | |
115 | Fort Wayne North | 76 | +0.85 | 6 | 8 | 3 | .915 | 77 | -.473 | 79 | -0.55 | 80 | +0.90 | 116 | +0.83 | 115 | |
119 | Lowell | 77 | +0.75 | 10 | 6 | 1 | .976 | 102 | -.358 | 66 | -0.35 | 69 | +0.74 | 121 | +0.77 | 118 | |
120 | Evansville Central | 78 | +0.68 | 8 | 6 | 0 | .865 | 55 | -.292 | 55 | -0.24 | 66 | +0.82 | 117 | +0.56 | 124 | |
122 | Bedford North Lawrence | 79 | +0.62 | 8 | 7 | 2 | .928 | 82 | -.398 | 73 | -0.46 | 75 | +0.62 | 124 | +0.61 | 122 | |
125 | Muncie Central | 80 | +0.61 | 9 | 6 | 1 | .965 | 99 | -.370 | 68 | -0.41 | 70 | +0.57 | 125 | +0.71 | 120 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
126 | Franklin | 81 | +0.56 | 2 | 14 | 2 | .871 | 59 | -.702 | 98 | -1.05 | 91 | +0.50 | 128 | +0.60 | 123 | |
127 | New Haven | 82 | +0.54 | 7 | 9 | 0 | .951 | 92 | -.514 | 86 | -0.70 | 85 | +0.51 | 127 | +0.53 | 126 | |
128 | Columbia City | 83 | +0.53 | 7 | 6 | 3 | .926 | 80 | -.395 | 72 | -0.47 | 76 | +0.57 | 126 | +0.48 | 128 | |
130 | Jeffersonville | 84 | +0.45 | 6 | 9 | 2 | .960 | 97 | -.548 | 89 | -0.78 | 86 | +0.46 | 129 | +0.37 | 131 | |
131 | Hobart | 85 | +0.40 | 7 | 6 | 3 | .930 | 83 | -.399 | 74 | -0.51 | 79 | +0.42 | 131 | +0.39 | 130 | |
134 | Shelbyville | 86 | +0.31 | 8 | 9 | 0 | .947 | 90 | -.477 | 80 | -0.68 | 84 | +0.34 | 136 | +0.27 | 134 | |
140 | Mooresville | 87 | +0.15 | 6 | 10 | 1 | .915 | 76 | -.532 | 87 | -0.82 | 88 | +0.35 | 135 | +0.03 | 147 | |
142 | Fort Wayne Wayne | 88 | +0.14 | 8 | 7 | 0 | .954 | 93 | -.419 | 75 | -0.61 | 83 | +0.11 | 144 | +0.12 | 138 | |
145 | Marion | 89 | +0.10 | 4 | 9 | 3 | .957 | 95 | -.614 | 92 | -0.99 | 90 | +0.15 | 143 | +0.04 | 145 | |
148 | Greenfield-Central | 90 | -0.01 | 3 | 10 | 0 | .906 | 73 | -.674 | 96 | -1.13 | 94 | -0.13 | 151 | +0.02 | 148 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
149 | Indianapolis Attucks | 91 | -0.07 | 6 | 3 | 1 | .951 | 91 | -.302 | 56 | -0.43 | 72 | -0.16 | 154 | -0.09 | 149 | |
157 | Portage | 92 | -0.28 | 5 | 12 | 0 | .918 | 78 | -.623 | 93 | -1.10 | 92 | -0.24 | 157 | -0.32 | 156 | |
158 | Merrillville | 93 | -0.29 | 6 | 8 | 3 | .927 | 81 | -.485 | 81 | -0.83 | 89 | -0.29 | 160 | -0.29 | 155 | |
159 | Huntington North | 94 | -0.30 | 3 | 10 | 2 | .931 | 86 | -.666 | 95 | -1.18 | 95 | -0.19 | 155 | -0.38 | 160 | |
178 | Highland | 95 | -0.93 | 6 | 11 | 0 | .957 | 94 | -.603 | 91 | -1.21 | 96 | -1.01 | 180 | -0.90 | 176 | |
181 | South Bend Riley | 96 | -1.09 | 5 | 8 | 1 | .931 | 85 | -.541 | 88 | -1.12 | 93 | -1.06 | 181 | -1.12 | 183 | |
194 | Kankakee Valley | 97 | -1.44 | 3 | 12 | 1 | .981 | 105 | -.762 | 100 | -1.63 | 98 | -1.38 | 192 | -1.43 | 194 | |
198 | Fort Wayne Snider | 98 | -1.47 | 0 | 16 | 1 | .944 | 89 | -.913 | 105 | -1.93 | 102 | -1.49 | 198 | -1.47 | 198 | |
216 | East Chicago Central | 99 | -1.95 | 6 | 9 | 0 | .978 | 104 | -.578 | 90 | -1.39 | 97 | -1.90 | 213 | -1.99 | 217 | |
221 | LaPorte | 100 | -2.05 | 0 | 13 | 4 | .932 | 87 | -.816 | 103 | -1.87 | 101 | -1.94 | 216 | -2.11 | 222 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
222 | Terre Haute South | 101 | -2.16 | 1 | 14 | 0 | .797 | 30 | -.731 | 99 | -1.74 | 100 | -2.05 | 221 | -2.23 | 223 | |
230 | Michigan City | 102 | -2.40 | 4 | 12 | 0 | .935 | 88 | -.685 | 97 | -1.70 | 99 | -2.44 | 230 | -2.37 | 227 | |
241 | Jennings County | 103 | -2.98 | 1 | 13 | 3 | .973 | 100 | -.826 | 104 | -2.11 | 104 | -3.05 | 241 | -2.95 | 241 | |
242 | South Bend Washington | 104 | -3.02 | 1 | 7 | 0 | .905 | 71 | -.786 | 101 | -2.04 | 103 | -3.07 | 242 | -3.00 | 242 | |
264 | Mishawaka | 105 | -4.37 | 0 | 13 | 1 | .846 | 47 | -.808 | 102 | -2.39 | 105 | -4.51 | 264 | -4.33 | 264 | |
283 | Hammond Morton | 106 | -5.17 | 0 | 11 | 0 | .992 | 106 | -.992 | 106 | -2.93 | 106 | -5.13 | 279 | -5.21 | 283 |