The TWISTR Ratings are an iterative least-squares, score-based ratings system built in the spirit of an Elo model. Team ratings are agnostic to the final result of a game, as only the scoring margins are important when rating teams. No additional benefit is provided for a win or penalty for a loss. The TWISTR ratings for SOCCER incorporate two key concepts:
The RATING represents the number of goals a team would be favored by against an average opponent. Teams with a positive RATING are considered better than average, while teams with a negative RATING are considered worse than average. The RATING can be thought of as a composite of the INDEPENDENT (INDY) rating, in which the time a game was played does not matter, and the FORECASTER (CASTER) rating, where recent results are weighted more heavily.
TWISTR IHSAA TEAM RATINGS | SCHEDULE & RESUME | COMPONENT RATINGS | |||||||||||||
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RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
1 | Carmel | 1 | +6.41 | 17 | 2 | 2 | .560 | 1 | +.297 | 2 | +6.68 | 1 | +6.29 | 1 | |
2 | Pike | 2 | +5.93 | 18 | 3 | 0 | .734 | 15 | +.123 | 3 | +6.12 | 2 | +5.86 | 2 | |
3 | Noblesville | 3 | +5.90 | 17 | 0 | 4 | .600 | 2 | +.304 | 1 | +6.03 | 3 | +5.86 | 3 | |
4 | Lake Central | 4 | +5.57 | 15 | 3 | 0 | .762 | 22 | +.071 | 5 | +5.64 | 4 | +5.55 | 4 | |
5 | Indianapolis Cathedral | 5 | +5.41 | 17 | 5 | 2 | .659 | 6 | +.091 | 4 | +5.55 | 6 | +5.35 | 5 | |
6 | Center Grove | 6 | +5.20 | 14 | 3 | 2 | .719 | 11 | +.071 | 6 | +5.58 | 5 | +5.01 | 7 | |
7 | Fishers | 7 | +5.20 | 11 | 3 | 4 | .663 | 7 | +.059 | 7 | +5.39 | 7 | +5.11 | 6 | |
8 | Munster | 8 | +4.99 | 16 | 2 | 0 | .843 | 43 | +.046 | 9 | +5.11 | 9 | +4.93 | 8 | |
9 | Columbus North | 9 | +4.96 | 14 | 4 | 3 | .720 | 12 | +.018 | 13 | +5.14 | 8 | +4.89 | 9 | |
10 | Zionsville | 10 | +4.88 | 12 | 5 | 1 | .683 | 8 | +.012 | 14 | +5.08 | 10 | +4.85 | 10 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
11 | Castle | 11 | +4.84 | 14 | 3 | 0 | .849 | 46 | -.026 | 17 | +4.94 | 13 | +4.81 | 11 | |
12 | Brownsburg | 12 | +4.83 | 9 | 4 | 4 | .710 | 10 | -.063 | 21 | +4.95 | 12 | +4.79 | 12 | |
13 | Northridge | 13 | +4.77 | 15 | 2 | 2 | .803 | 31 | +.039 | 10 | +4.91 | 14 | +4.73 | 14 | |
14 | Fort Wayne Northrop | 14 | +4.77 | 13 | 2 | 0 | .917 | 78 | -.051 | 20 | +4.98 | 11 | +4.67 | 15 | |
15 | Westfield | 15 | +4.77 | 9 | 6 | 2 | .613 | 4 | -.025 | 16 | +4.87 | 18 | +4.78 | 13 | |
16 | Warsaw | 16 | +4.69 | 15 | 4 | 1 | .805 | 32 | -.030 | 18 | +4.87 | 17 | +4.62 | 16 | |
17 | Bloomington South | 17 | +4.66 | 14 | 2 | 1 | .825 | 38 | +.028 | 11 | +4.85 | 19 | +4.59 | 19 | |
19 | Harrison (West Lafayette) | 18 | +4.60 | 16 | 3 | 1 | .805 | 33 | +.020 | 12 | +4.89 | 16 | +4.49 | 22 | |
21 | Carroll (Fort Wayne) | 19 | +4.57 | 18 | 3 | 0 | .810 | 36 | +.047 | 8 | +4.59 | 23 | +4.60 | 18 | |
22 | North Central (Indianapolis) | 20 | +4.56 | 10 | 6 | 2 | .654 | 5 | -.042 | 19 | +4.67 | 20 | +4.51 | 21 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
23 | Hamilton Southeastern | 21 | +4.45 | 7 | 6 | 3 | .606 | 3 | -.075 | 23 | +4.63 | 21 | +4.37 | 24 | |
24 | Hobart | 22 | +4.40 | 16 | 4 | 1 | .855 | 48 | -.069 | 22 | +4.46 | 24 | +4.37 | 23 | |
25 | Penn | 23 | +4.28 | 11 | 6 | 3 | .750 | 18 | -.125 | 29 | +4.38 | 25 | +4.27 | 25 | |
26 | Goshen | 24 | +4.20 | 10 | 3 | 4 | .806 | 34 | -.100 | 25 | +4.36 | 26 | +4.15 | 26 | |
27 | Elkhart | 25 | +4.11 | 9 | 7 | 2 | .747 | 17 | -.192 | 38 | +4.26 | 27 | +4.07 | 27 | |
28 | Crown Point | 26 | +3.92 | 10 | 7 | 1 | .807 | 35 | -.224 | 43 | +4.02 | 28 | +3.90 | 28 | |
29 | Concord | 27 | +3.82 | 13 | 6 | 2 | .753 | 19 | -.086 | 24 | +3.94 | 29 | +3.80 | 30 | |
30 | East Central | 28 | +3.81 | 17 | 2 | 1 | .889 | 60 | -.014 | 15 | +3.86 | 30 | +3.83 | 29 | |
31 | Chesterton | 29 | +3.65 | 9 | 8 | 0 | .734 | 16 | -.205 | 40 | +3.60 | 35 | +3.71 | 31 | |
32 | Jasper | 30 | +3.62 | 12 | 2 | 4 | .879 | 56 | -.102 | 26 | +3.80 | 31 | +3.57 | 32 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
33 | Franklin | 31 | +3.56 | 13 | 3 | 1 | .914 | 74 | -.120 | 28 | +3.72 | 32 | +3.51 | 34 | |
34 | Floyd Central | 32 | +3.53 | 11 | 2 | 5 | .854 | 47 | -.104 | 27 | +3.62 | 34 | +3.51 | 33 | |
35 | Southport | 33 | +3.49 | 9 | 9 | 2 | .706 | 9 | -.206 | 41 | +3.62 | 33 | +3.48 | 35 | |
36 | Lawrence North | 34 | +3.45 | 8 | 5 | 2 | .776 | 26 | -.176 | 36 | +3.55 | 36 | +3.43 | 36 | |
38 | Avon | 35 | +3.29 | 8 | 6 | 3 | .723 | 13 | -.164 | 35 | +3.35 | 38 | +3.19 | 38 | |
41 | Bloomington North | 36 | +3.07 | 8 | 6 | 5 | .801 | 29 | -.248 | 47 | +3.19 | 42 | +3.04 | 41 | |
42 | Ben Davis | 37 | +3.05 | 8 | 7 | 2 | .760 | 21 | -.230 | 45 | +3.20 | 41 | +3.01 | 42 | |
43 | Valparaiso | 38 | +3.02 | 13 | 7 | 0 | .801 | 30 | -.151 | 31 | +3.21 | 40 | +2.96 | 43 | |
45 | Lawrence Central | 39 | +2.97 | 11 | 5 | 1 | .828 | 39 | -.151 | 30 | +3.17 | 43 | +2.91 | 45 | |
47 | South Bend Adams | 40 | +2.90 | 5 | 10 | 2 | .768 | 25 | -.415 | 68 | +2.97 | 49 | +2.92 | 44 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
48 | Martinsville | 41 | +2.89 | 11 | 6 | 2 | .870 | 53 | -.238 | 46 | +3.05 | 47 | +2.84 | 49 | |
49 | Perry Meridian | 42 | +2.83 | 5 | 9 | 2 | .765 | 24 | -.390 | 59 | +3.05 | 46 | +2.75 | 50 | |
53 | Evansville Harrison | 43 | +2.67 | 11 | 4 | 1 | .896 | 63 | -.177 | 37 | +2.72 | 55 | +2.70 | 52 | |
54 | Columbus East | 44 | +2.65 | 5 | 7 | 3 | .831 | 40 | -.397 | 61 | +2.84 | 51 | +2.58 | 55 | |
55 | Muncie Central | 45 | +2.58 | 12 | 4 | 0 | .912 | 72 | -.162 | 34 | +2.70 | 56 | +2.59 | 54 | |
56 | McCutcheon | 46 | +2.58 | 10 | 7 | 1 | .845 | 45 | -.261 | 49 | +2.73 | 54 | +2.55 | 56 | |
57 | Plainfield | 47 | +2.53 | 4 | 10 | 3 | .782 | 27 | -.458 | 75 | +2.59 | 58 | +2.55 | 57 | |
59 | Indianapolis Roncalli | 48 | +2.48 | 7 | 8 | 2 | .797 | 28 | -.326 | 54 | +2.56 | 59 | +2.48 | 59 | |
61 | Evansville North | 49 | +2.36 | 11 | 6 | 1 | .868 | 52 | -.229 | 44 | +2.47 | 61 | +2.34 | 61 | |
63 | Homestead | 50 | +2.29 | 5 | 9 | 4 | .765 | 23 | -.376 | 58 | +2.43 | 62 | +2.26 | 64 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
65 | Pendleton Heights | 51 | +2.23 | 12 | 4 | 1 | .893 | 62 | -.157 | 33 | +2.41 | 63 | +2.18 | 66 | |
68 | Franklin Central | 52 | +2.06 | 5 | 12 | 0 | .756 | 20 | -.462 | 76 | +2.15 | 68 | +2.04 | 70 | |
69 | Mount Vernon (Fortville) | 53 | +2.05 | 11 | 6 | 0 | .922 | 82 | -.275 | 50 | +2.06 | 70 | +2.09 | 68 | |
70 | Fort Wayne North | 54 | +2.00 | 9 | 6 | 3 | .901 | 69 | -.318 | 52 | +2.00 | 73 | +2.05 | 69 | |
71 | New Albany | 55 | +1.98 | 10 | 6 | 1 | .867 | 51 | -.249 | 48 | +2.04 | 72 | +2.01 | 72 | |
77 | Seymour | 56 | +1.84 | 8 | 6 | 2 | .891 | 61 | -.328 | 55 | +1.99 | 74 | +1.81 | 77 | |
78 | New Palestine | 57 | +1.73 | 9 | 9 | 0 | .874 | 54 | -.374 | 57 | +1.79 | 80 | +1.73 | 79 | |
81 | Columbia City | 58 | +1.70 | 12 | 3 | 1 | .939 | 89 | -.157 | 32 | +1.63 | 84 | +1.79 | 78 | |
82 | Evansville Reitz | 59 | +1.62 | 6 | 8 | 1 | .889 | 59 | -.456 | 74 | +1.79 | 81 | +1.59 | 83 | |
84 | Terre Haute North | 60 | +1.59 | 8 | 8 | 0 | .897 | 65 | -.397 | 60 | +1.75 | 83 | +1.54 | 86 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
89 | Fort Wayne South | 61 | +1.35 | 6 | 8 | 1 | .918 | 79 | -.485 | 78 | +1.33 | 91 | +1.40 | 89 | |
91 | Logansport | 62 | +1.19 | 7 | 7 | 2 | .915 | 75 | -.415 | 67 | +1.18 | 94 | +1.19 | 92 | |
94 | Lafayette Jeff | 63 | +1.11 | 8 | 9 | 1 | .877 | 55 | -.405 | 65 | +1.19 | 93 | +1.10 | 96 | |
95 | Portage | 64 | +1.10 | 9 | 7 | 1 | .885 | 57 | -.326 | 53 | +1.11 | 97 | +1.14 | 94 | |
96 | Plymouth | 65 | +1.07 | 6 | 10 | 1 | .835 | 41 | -.453 | 73 | +1.16 | 96 | +1.08 | 97 | |
97 | Indianapolis Herron | 66 | +1.06 | 9 | 3 | 2 | .915 | 76 | -.201 | 39 | +1.19 | 92 | +0.97 | 104 | |
98 | Greenwood | 67 | +1.05 | 8 | 7 | 1 | .931 | 86 | -.400 | 62 | +1.07 | 98 | +1.08 | 98 | |
99 | Warren Central | 68 | +1.04 | 3 | 11 | 0 | .724 | 14 | -.509 | 82 | +0.84 | 107 | +1.19 | 93 | |
102 | DeKalb | 69 | +0.96 | 10 | 5 | 1 | .955 | 94 | -.299 | 51 | +0.90 | 104 | +0.99 | 102 | |
106 | LaPorte | 70 | +0.91 | 9 | 9 | 1 | .904 | 70 | -.404 | 64 | +0.78 | 111 | +1.04 | 99 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
108 | Decatur Central | 71 | +0.78 | 4 | 8 | 3 | .885 | 58 | -.519 | 83 | +0.82 | 108 | +0.81 | 110 | |
111 | Connersville | 72 | +0.74 | 13 | 4 | 1 | .972 | 101 | -.222 | 42 | +0.89 | 105 | +0.68 | 115 | |
112 | Evansville Central | 73 | +0.73 | 7 | 7 | 1 | .924 | 83 | -.424 | 69 | +0.71 | 114 | +0.85 | 108 | |
113 | Terre Haute South | 74 | +0.73 | 4 | 9 | 3 | .840 | 42 | -.496 | 81 | +0.81 | 109 | +0.73 | 114 | |
118 | Richmond | 75 | +0.55 | 6 | 7 | 2 | .954 | 92 | -.487 | 79 | +0.74 | 112 | +0.61 | 118 | |
123 | Kankakee Valley | 76 | +0.40 | 8 | 8 | 0 | .911 | 71 | -.411 | 66 | +0.44 | 123 | +0.43 | 124 | |
124 | Kokomo | 77 | +0.39 | 6 | 10 | 0 | .913 | 73 | -.538 | 85 | +0.46 | 121 | +0.46 | 123 | |
125 | Jeffersonville | 78 | +0.38 | 6 | 7 | 1 | .956 | 95 | -.492 | 80 | +0.45 | 122 | +0.42 | 125 | |
126 | Indianapolis Tech | 79 | +0.31 | 2 | 9 | 1 | .899 | 67 | -.690 | 95 | +0.46 | 120 | +0.28 | 127 | |
131 | Whiteland | 80 | +0.12 | 4 | 26 | 4 | .898 | 66 | -.721 | 98 | +0.32 | 126 | +0.05 | 133 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
135 | Anderson | 81 | -0.09 | 6 | 9 | 1 | .954 | 93 | -.548 | 86 | -0.03 | 136 | -0.08 | 137 | |
139 | Fort Wayne Wayne | 82 | -0.15 | 7 | 8 | 1 | .952 | 91 | -.483 | 77 | -0.06 | 137 | -0.14 | 139 | |
144 | Fort Wayne Snider | 83 | -0.33 | 3 | 13 | 1 | .896 | 64 | -.691 | 96 | -0.36 | 148 | -0.25 | 144 | |
145 | Greenfield-Central | 84 | -0.34 | 4 | 12 | 0 | .823 | 37 | -.573 | 88 | -0.16 | 141 | -0.39 | 149 | |
150 | Bedford North Lawrence | 85 | -0.46 | 6 | 9 | 1 | .932 | 87 | -.526 | 84 | -0.38 | 150 | -0.45 | 154 | |
151 | New Prairie | 86 | -0.47 | 9 | 7 | 0 | .965 | 100 | -.402 | 63 | -0.48 | 154 | -0.42 | 151 | |
155 | East Noble | 87 | -0.53 | 5 | 10 | 1 | .965 | 99 | -.621 | 90 | -0.69 | 165 | -0.40 | 150 | |
157 | Lowell | 88 | -0.53 | 8 | 8 | 1 | .928 | 84 | -.428 | 71 | -0.52 | 156 | -0.47 | 156 | |
171 | Huntington North | 89 | -0.77 | 4 | 11 | 2 | .936 | 88 | -.642 | 94 | -0.73 | 166 | -0.75 | 174 | |
173 | Mooresville | 90 | -0.79 | 5 | 11 | 1 | .929 | 85 | -.605 | 89 | -0.87 | 173 | -0.70 | 172 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
174 | East Chicago Central | 91 | -0.80 | 8 | 7 | 0 | .960 | 97 | -.426 | 70 | -0.98 | 176 | -0.64 | 168 | |
176 | Marion | 92 | -0.97 | 4 | 10 | 3 | .951 | 90 | -.627 | 93 | -0.93 | 174 | -1.10 | 183 | |
177 | Indianapolis Shortridge | 93 | -0.99 | 8 | 7 | 1 | .964 | 98 | -.433 | 72 | -1.00 | 178 | -0.94 | 177 | |
178 | Lebanon | 94 | -1.02 | 5 | 9 | 1 | .916 | 77 | -.549 | 87 | -1.02 | 180 | -0.97 | 178 | |
179 | Merrillville | 95 | -1.02 | 4 | 14 | 0 | .845 | 44 | -.622 | 91 | -1.02 | 179 | -0.98 | 179 | |
180 | New Haven | 96 | -1.03 | 3 | 12 | 2 | .987 | 104 | -.752 | 100 | -1.10 | 183 | -0.93 | 176 | |
185 | Highland | 97 | -1.17 | 2 | 14 | 0 | .864 | 50 | -.739 | 99 | -1.17 | 186 | -1.15 | 185 | |
203 | Hammond Central | 98 | -1.91 | 6 | 5 | 0 | .901 | 68 | -.355 | 56 | -1.88 | 201 | -1.88 | 203 | |
208 | Shelbyville | 99 | -2.12 | 2 | 14 | 0 | .956 | 96 | -.831 | 102 | -1.96 | 203 | -2.13 | 211 | |
210 | Jennings County | 100 | -2.14 | 8 | 24 | 2 | .977 | 103 | -.712 | 97 | -2.10 | 207 | -2.10 | 209 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
214 | South Bend Riley | 101 | -2.24 | 1 | 12 | 0 | .920 | 80 | -.843 | 103 | -2.26 | 211 | -2.17 | 216 | |
223 | Hammond Morton | 102 | -2.50 | 1 | 11 | 1 | .973 | 102 | -.858 | 104 | -2.72 | 226 | -2.30 | 221 | |
250 | Michigan City | 103 | -3.90 | 1 | 16 | 0 | .921 | 81 | -.862 | 105 | -3.87 | 247 | -3.86 | 252 | |
266 | Mishawaka | 104 | -4.58 | 1 | 12 | 0 | .859 | 49 | -.782 | 101 | -4.59 | 262 | -4.51 | 266 | |
270 | Indianapolis Attucks | 105 | -4.78 | 4 | 7 | 0 | .987 | 105 | -.624 | 92 | -4.75 | 268 | -4.74 | 271 |