The TWISTR Ratings are an iterative least-squares, score-based ratings system built in the spirit of an Elo model. Team ratings are agnostic to the final result of a game, as only the scoring margins are important when rating teams. No additional benefit is provided for a win or penalty for a loss. The TWISTR ratings for SOCCER incorporate two key concepts:
The RATING represents the number of goals a team would be favored by against an average opponent. Teams with a positive RATING are considered better than average, while teams with a negative RATING are considered worse than average. The RATING can be thought of as a composite of the INDEPENDENT (INDY) rating, in which the time a game was played does not matter, and the FORECASTER (CASTER) rating, where recent results are weighted more heavily.
Both the STRENGTH OF RECORD (SoR) and Z-SCORE (Z-SCR) are resume ratings - SoR only considers a team's win-loss record and is independent of margin of victory, while Z-SCR is a blend of RATING and SoR.
TWISTR IHSAA TEAM RATINGS | SCHEDULE & RESUME | COMPONENT RATINGS | |||||||||||||||
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RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
12 | Evansville Memorial | 1 | +4.34 | 14 | 1 | 0 | .743 | 21 | +.191 | 2 | +1.95 | 1 | +4.53 | 11 | +4.19 | 12 | |
27 | Fort Wayne Luers | 2 | +3.51 | 14 | 2 | 1 | .715 | 18 | +.142 | 4 | +1.71 | 2 | +3.74 | 24 | +3.37 | 27 | |
34 | Indianapolis Chatard | 3 | +3.29 | 17 | 4 | 1 | .636 | 8 | +.159 | 3 | +1.70 | 3 | +3.31 | 34 | +3.23 | 34 | |
39 | Cascade | 4 | +3.03 | 17 | 2 | 0 | .860 | 51 | +.033 | 7 | +1.42 | 7 | +3.13 | 39 | +2.97 | 38 | |
43 | Park Tudor | 5 | +2.94 | 17 | 3 | 1 | .690 | 12 | +.139 | 5 | +1.59 | 5 | +2.94 | 44 | +2.90 | 42 | |
44 | South Bend St. Joseph | 6 | +2.91 | 9 | 5 | 3 | .418 | 2 | +.196 | 1 | +1.69 | 4 | +3.05 | 40 | +2.81 | 44 | |
53 | Fort Wayne Concordia | 7 | +2.51 | 14 | 5 | 0 | .632 | 7 | +.105 | 6 | +1.46 | 6 | +2.49 | 55 | +2.50 | 51 | |
55 | Angola | 8 | +2.47 | 17 | 4 | 0 | .841 | 44 | -.029 | 13 | +1.21 | 10 | +2.38 | 59 | +2.46 | 53 | |
58 | Leo | 9 | +2.37 | 8 | 3 | 4 | .700 | 13 | -.030 | 14 | +1.19 | 11 | +2.41 | 57 | +2.33 | 58 | |
59 | Illiana Christian | 10 | +2.35 | 14 | 3 | 2 | .785 | 30 | +.006 | 9 | +1.25 | 9 | +2.44 | 56 | +2.28 | 59 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
60 | Washington | 11 | +2.31 | 15 | 3 | 0 | .800 | 32 | +.033 | 8 | +1.29 | 8 | +2.35 | 60 | +2.26 | 60 | |
65 | Guerin Catholic | 12 | +2.09 | 5 | 10 | 0 | .333 | 1 | -.004 | 11 | +1.18 | 12 | +2.24 | 63 | +1.97 | 70 | |
67 | West Noble | 13 | +2.07 | 13 | 6 | 0 | .685 | 11 | -.004 | 10 | +1.18 | 13 | +2.14 | 65 | +1.99 | 69 | |
68 | West Lafayette | 14 | +2.05 | 15 | 5 | 1 | .769 | 25 | -.030 | 15 | +1.13 | 14 | +2.08 | 68 | +2.01 | 65 | |
72 | Indianapolis Ritter | 15 | +1.91 | 10 | 8 | 0 | .708 | 14 | -.155 | 29 | +0.88 | 22 | +1.87 | 75 | +1.90 | 72 | |
77 | Culver Academy | 16 | +1.70 | 8 | 9 | 2 | .609 | 4 | -.135 | 25 | +0.87 | 23 | +1.64 | 79 | +1.70 | 75 | |
79 | Speedway | 17 | +1.58 | 7 | 6 | 4 | .628 | 5 | -.102 | 23 | +0.91 | 20 | +1.60 | 80 | +1.54 | 80 | |
83 | Eastbrook | 18 | +1.53 | 13 | 1 | 3 | .954 | 92 | -.101 | 22 | +0.90 | 21 | +1.60 | 81 | +1.47 | 84 | |
84 | Bremen | 19 | +1.50 | 12 | 2 | 3 | .844 | 46 | -.053 | 17 | +0.98 | 16 | +1.58 | 83 | +1.43 | 86 | |
87 | Heritage Christian | 20 | +1.48 | 8 | 9 | 0 | .675 | 10 | -.205 | 35 | +0.71 | 28 | +1.48 | 86 | +1.44 | 85 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
89 | Tri-West | 21 | +1.42 | 9 | 7 | 1 | .715 | 19 | -.154 | 28 | +0.79 | 26 | +1.46 | 89 | +1.37 | 90 | |
90 | Danville | 22 | +1.42 | 12 | 4 | 1 | .808 | 35 | -.072 | 19 | +0.93 | 18 | +1.47 | 87 | +1.36 | 91 | |
91 | Heritage Hills | 23 | +1.35 | 15 | 2 | 0 | .902 | 68 | -.018 | 12 | +1.02 | 15 | +1.43 | 90 | +1.29 | 93 | |
93 | Connersville | 24 | +1.30 | 14 | 4 | 1 | .857 | 50 | -.094 | 20 | +0.87 | 24 | +1.27 | 95 | +1.39 | 88 | |
94 | Jay County | 25 | +1.28 | 14 | 3 | 0 | .868 | 56 | -.046 | 16 | +0.95 | 17 | +1.20 | 98 | +1.30 | 92 | |
97 | Charlestown | 26 | +1.20 | 16 | 3 | 0 | .896 | 65 | -.055 | 18 | +0.92 | 19 | +1.14 | 101 | +1.22 | 95 | |
98 | Switzerland County | 27 | +1.20 | 15 | 3 | 0 | .936 | 87 | -.101 | 21 | +0.84 | 25 | +1.32 | 93 | +1.14 | 99 | |
105 | Hammond Noll | 28 | +1.06 | 12 | 5 | 1 | .826 | 40 | -.128 | 24 | +0.77 | 27 | +0.98 | 111 | +1.07 | 101 | |
108 | Oak Hill | 29 | +1.03 | 7 | 3 | 6 | .801 | 33 | -.175 | 31 | +0.68 | 30 | +0.95 | 112 | +1.06 | 105 | |
109 | Fort Wayne Dwenger | 30 | +1.01 | 5 | 9 | 2 | .582 | 3 | -.204 | 34 | +0.62 | 33 | +1.12 | 103 | +0.95 | 110 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
114 | Western | 31 | +0.91 | 11 | 6 | 1 | .837 | 42 | -.200 | 33 | +0.61 | 34 | +0.95 | 113 | +0.86 | 113 | |
116 | NorthWood | 32 | +0.81 | 9 | 9 | 0 | .649 | 9 | -.151 | 27 | +0.68 | 29 | +0.75 | 120 | +0.83 | 116 | |
117 | Norwell | 33 | +0.81 | 10 | 9 | 0 | .777 | 27 | -.248 | 41 | +0.51 | 36 | +0.79 | 119 | +0.80 | 117 | |
118 | Delta | 34 | +0.81 | 10 | 6 | 0 | .844 | 45 | -.219 | 36 | +0.56 | 35 | +0.92 | 115 | +0.73 | 119 | |
121 | Madison | 35 | +0.67 | 13 | 4 | 1 | .905 | 71 | -.156 | 30 | +0.64 | 32 | +0.73 | 122 | +0.62 | 121 | |
123 | Hanover Central | 36 | +0.62 | 11 | 4 | 1 | .869 | 57 | -.149 | 26 | +0.65 | 31 | +0.79 | 118 | +0.51 | 127 | |
124 | Southridge | 37 | +0.61 | 11 | 5 | 1 | .919 | 79 | -.240 | 40 | +0.48 | 37 | +0.72 | 123 | +0.56 | 125 | |
129 | Batesville | 38 | +0.47 | 9 | 8 | 0 | .857 | 49 | -.326 | 46 | +0.30 | 42 | +0.45 | 130 | +0.45 | 129 | |
136 | Heritage | 39 | +0.25 | 6 | 8 | 3 | .819 | 36 | -.378 | 54 | +0.17 | 47 | +0.29 | 138 | +0.21 | 136 | |
138 | Northwestern | 40 | +0.19 | 11 | 7 | 1 | .831 | 41 | -.226 | 37 | +0.43 | 39 | +0.27 | 139 | +0.12 | 139 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
139 | Silver Creek | 41 | +0.18 | 10 | 6 | 1 | .875 | 58 | -.260 | 42 | +0.37 | 40 | +0.25 | 140 | +0.12 | 140 | |
141 | Evansville Mater Dei | 42 | +0.14 | 5 | 10 | 0 | .708 | 15 | -.372 | 52 | +0.16 | 48 | +0.19 | 142 | +0.03 | 146 | |
146 | Crawfordsville | 43 | +0.08 | 7 | 8 | 2 | .821 | 37 | -.351 | 47 | +0.18 | 46 | +0.04 | 146 | +0.08 | 142 | |
147 | Indian Creek | 44 | -0.00 | 9 | 5 | 2 | .822 | 38 | -.197 | 32 | +0.44 | 38 | -0.14 | 152 | +0.06 | 143 | |
150 | Hamilton Heights | 45 | -0.09 | 4 | 11 | 1 | .714 | 17 | -.436 | 63 | +0.00 | 52 | +0.03 | 147 | -0.19 | 152 | |
152 | Boone Grove | 46 | -0.17 | 8 | 3 | 2 | .963 | 95 | -.270 | 43 | +0.28 | 44 | +0.08 | 145 | -0.36 | 159 | |
153 | Indianapolis Washington | 47 | -0.17 | 2 | 4 | 0 | .746 | 23 | -.409 | 57 | +0.03 | 50 | -0.15 | 153 | -0.22 | 153 | |
154 | Greensburg | 48 | -0.18 | 10 | 7 | 0 | .893 | 62 | -.302 | 45 | +0.22 | 45 | -0.22 | 156 | -0.29 | 154 | |
155 | Maconaquah | 49 | -0.21 | 12 | 5 | 1 | .924 | 81 | -.230 | 38 | +0.35 | 41 | +0.01 | 149 | -0.35 | 157 | |
165 | Greencastle | 50 | -0.47 | 12 | 6 | 1 | .893 | 64 | -.234 | 39 | +0.29 | 43 | -0.53 | 165 | -0.46 | 166 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
167 | Woodlan | 51 | -0.48 | 7 | 9 | 1 | .868 | 55 | -.428 | 62 | -0.06 | 55 | -0.55 | 166 | -0.47 | 167 | |
168 | Lawrenceburg | 52 | -0.51 | 5 | 6 | 3 | .846 | 47 | -.381 | 55 | +0.02 | 51 | -0.61 | 168 | -0.48 | 168 | |
169 | New Prairie | 53 | -0.56 | 5 | 9 | 1 | .722 | 20 | -.361 | 48 | +0.05 | 49 | -0.59 | 167 | -0.50 | 169 | |
171 | Yorktown | 54 | -0.67 | 4 | 10 | 2 | .783 | 28 | -.472 | 65 | -0.17 | 61 | -0.75 | 175 | -0.74 | 172 | |
172 | Benton Central | 55 | -0.69 | 9 | 7 | 2 | .931 | 84 | -.374 | 53 | -0.00 | 53 | -0.70 | 173 | -0.71 | 171 | |
175 | Manchester | 56 | -0.77 | 7 | 7 | 3 | .924 | 80 | -.424 | 61 | -0.11 | 57 | -0.70 | 172 | -0.83 | 175 | |
176 | Princeton | 57 | -0.86 | 8 | 8 | 0 | .915 | 77 | -.413 | 58 | -0.10 | 56 | -0.83 | 177 | -0.92 | 178 | |
180 | Frankfort | 58 | -0.97 | 5 | 8 | 1 | .862 | 52 | -.468 | 64 | -0.22 | 63 | -0.97 | 179 | -1.00 | 180 | |
182 | Bellmont | 59 | -1.09 | 2 | 13 | 1 | .745 | 22 | -.588 | 78 | -0.46 | 70 | -1.08 | 183 | -1.10 | 182 | |
183 | Gibson Southern | 60 | -1.11 | 8 | 9 | 0 | .881 | 60 | -.408 | 56 | -0.14 | 59 | -1.16 | 186 | -1.09 | 181 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
185 | Mississinewa | 61 | -1.17 | 4 | 8 | 2 | .907 | 72 | -.552 | 72 | -0.41 | 68 | -1.25 | 189 | -1.13 | 184 | |
191 | Griffith | 62 | -1.31 | 5 | 8 | 1 | .900 | 67 | -.506 | 69 | -0.35 | 67 | -1.31 | 191 | -1.33 | 190 | |
192 | Wawasee | 63 | -1.40 | 2 | 14 | 1 | .631 | 6 | -.482 | 66 | -0.33 | 65 | -1.42 | 194 | -1.40 | 193 | |
195 | Peru | 64 | -1.45 | 8 | 5 | 1 | .976 | 97 | -.369 | 50 | -0.13 | 58 | -1.49 | 199 | -1.46 | 197 | |
200 | Vincennes Lincoln | 65 | -1.50 | 7 | 10 | 0 | .784 | 29 | -.371 | 51 | -0.15 | 60 | -1.44 | 196 | -1.57 | 202 | |
201 | Northview | 66 | -1.52 | 8 | 8 | 0 | .916 | 78 | -.417 | 60 | -0.23 | 64 | -1.52 | 200 | -1.55 | 200 | |
202 | Garrett | 67 | -1.54 | 4 | 11 | 2 | .823 | 39 | -.527 | 70 | -0.43 | 69 | -1.61 | 204 | -1.53 | 199 | |
205 | South Dearborn | 68 | -1.65 | 4 | 9 | 1 | .903 | 69 | -.579 | 76 | -0.55 | 71 | -1.75 | 211 | -1.61 | 203 | |
208 | Centerville | 69 | -1.69 | 9 | 4 | 2 | .954 | 94 | -.287 | 44 | -0.03 | 54 | -1.69 | 208 | -1.70 | 207 | |
209 | John Glenn | 70 | -1.70 | 7 | 5 | 2 | .941 | 90 | -.367 | 49 | -0.18 | 62 | -1.63 | 205 | -1.76 | 209 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
220 | Franklin County | 71 | -2.04 | 4 | 8 | 0 | .893 | 63 | -.557 | 74 | -0.58 | 72 | -2.20 | 223 | -1.95 | 216 | |
223 | Purdue Poly Englewood | 72 | -2.18 | 6 | 8 | 0 | .841 | 43 | -.413 | 59 | -0.35 | 66 | -2.30 | 227 | -2.11 | 221 | |
224 | Boonville | 73 | -2.23 | 6 | 11 | 0 | .928 | 83 | -.574 | 75 | -0.65 | 75 | -2.19 | 222 | -2.28 | 224 | |
229 | Twin Lakes | 74 | -2.35 | 4 | 10 | 2 | .867 | 54 | -.553 | 73 | -0.63 | 74 | -2.33 | 228 | -2.37 | 228 | |
232 | Triton Central | 75 | -2.55 | 3 | 12 | 1 | .854 | 48 | -.634 | 80 | -0.81 | 78 | -2.65 | 234 | -2.50 | 232 | |
235 | Lakeland | 76 | -2.69 | 1 | 13 | 0 | .807 | 34 | -.734 | 91 | -1.02 | 81 | -2.74 | 237 | -2.69 | 236 | |
236 | New Castle | 77 | -2.71 | 1 | 17 | 0 | .800 | 31 | -.745 | 92 | -1.04 | 82 | -2.73 | 236 | -2.70 | 237 | |
237 | Rochester | 78 | -2.73 | 7 | 7 | 1 | .985 | 100 | -.485 | 67 | -0.58 | 73 | -2.66 | 235 | -2.80 | 239 | |
243 | Scottsburg | 79 | -3.18 | 6 | 9 | 1 | .954 | 93 | -.551 | 71 | -0.78 | 77 | -3.12 | 243 | -3.24 | 245 | |
244 | Salem | 80 | -3.20 | 7 | 8 | 0 | .966 | 96 | -.501 | 68 | -0.70 | 76 | -3.19 | 244 | -3.23 | 244 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
248 | North Harrison | 81 | -3.38 | 6 | 11 | 0 | .935 | 86 | -.583 | 77 | -0.88 | 79 | -3.46 | 248 | -3.40 | 248 | |
250 | Western Boone | 82 | -3.51 | 1 | 12 | 0 | .899 | 66 | -.823 | 99 | -1.33 | 92 | -3.60 | 251 | -3.48 | 250 | |
251 | Edgewood | 83 | -3.61 | 3 | 11 | 1 | .866 | 53 | -.632 | 79 | -1.01 | 80 | -3.74 | 253 | -3.57 | 251 | |
253 | Mount Vernon (Posey) | 84 | -3.65 | 3 | 14 | 0 | .910 | 76 | -.731 | 90 | -1.19 | 85 | -3.61 | 252 | -3.70 | 254 | |
254 | Rushville | 85 | -3.75 | 3 | 13 | 1 | .903 | 70 | -.697 | 88 | -1.15 | 84 | -3.85 | 255 | -3.70 | 253 | |
255 | Pike Central | 86 | -3.81 | 3 | 14 | 0 | .932 | 85 | -.754 | 93 | -1.26 | 88 | -3.83 | 254 | -3.81 | 255 | |
256 | Tippecanoe Valley | 87 | -3.87 | 3 | 10 | 0 | .892 | 61 | -.657 | 84 | -1.10 | 83 | -3.88 | 256 | -3.89 | 257 | |
260 | Blackford | 88 | -4.17 | 3 | 12 | 0 | .910 | 75 | -.713 | 89 | -1.26 | 87 | -4.22 | 261 | -4.21 | 260 | |
263 | Sullivan | 89 | -4.33 | 4 | 10 | 2 | .983 | 99 | -.671 | 86 | -1.21 | 86 | -4.43 | 263 | -4.30 | 263 | |
265 | West Vigo | 90 | -4.40 | 3 | 11 | 0 | .908 | 74 | -.695 | 87 | -1.27 | 89 | -4.35 | 262 | -4.45 | 265 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
271 | Corydon Central | 91 | -4.65 | 2 | 13 | 1 | .925 | 82 | -.772 | 96 | -1.45 | 94 | -4.58 | 266 | -4.72 | 274 | |
273 | Beech Grove | 92 | -4.69 | 0 | 16 | 0 | .773 | 26 | -.772 | 95 | -1.46 | 95 | -4.86 | 273 | -4.60 | 271 | |
277 | Owen Valley | 93 | -4.98 | 4 | 10 | 1 | .938 | 88 | -.639 | 82 | -1.28 | 90 | -5.07 | 277 | -4.96 | 280 | |
278 | North Montgomery | 94 | -5.00 | 2 | 12 | 0 | .907 | 73 | -.763 | 94 | -1.50 | 96 | -5.17 | 280 | -4.90 | 278 | |
280 | Eastern (Greentown) | 95 | -5.04 | 5 | 11 | 0 | .982 | 98 | -.669 | 85 | -1.34 | 93 | -5.09 | 278 | -5.06 | 282 | |
281 | Monrovia | 96 | -5.05 | 2 | 15 | 0 | .757 | 24 | -.640 | 83 | -1.29 | 91 | -5.23 | 283 | -4.94 | 279 | |
289 | Lapel | 97 | -5.49 | 2 | 13 | 1 | .941 | 89 | -.784 | 97 | -1.63 | 98 | -5.66 | 290 | -5.38 | 288 | |
291 | Wabash | 98 | -5.63 | 2 | 13 | 1 | .954 | 91 | -.798 | 98 | -1.68 | 99 | -5.66 | 288 | -5.60 | 291 | |
295 | Evansville Bosse | 99 | -6.23 | 1 | 13 | 0 | .710 | 16 | -.637 | 81 | -1.50 | 97 | -6.24 | 295 | -6.26 | 296 | |
301 | Brown County | 100 | -7.92 | 0 | 14 | 0 | .991 | 101 | -.992 | 101 | -2.46 | 100 | -8.06 | 301 | -7.87 | 302 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
308 | River Forest | 101 | -9.48 | 0 | 12 | 0 | .879 | 59 | -.874 | 100 | -2.54 | 101 | -10.07 | 308 | -9.27 | 308 |