The TWISTR Ratings are an iterative least-squares, score-based ratings system built in the spirit of an Elo model. Team ratings are agnostic to the final result of a game, as only the scoring margins are important when rating teams. No additional benefit is provided for a win or penalty for a loss. The TWISTR ratings for SOCCER incorporate two key concepts:
The RATING represents the number of goals a team would be favored by against an average opponent. Teams with a positive RATING are considered better than average, while teams with a negative RATING are considered worse than average. The RATING can be thought of as a composite of the INDEPENDENT (INDY) rating, in which the time a game was played does not matter, and the FORECASTER (CASTER) rating, where recent results are weighted more heavily.
TWISTR IHSAA TEAM RATINGS | SCHEDULE & RESUME | COMPONENT RATINGS | |||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
18 | Brebeuf Jesuit | 1 | +4.62 | 16 | 5 | 2 | .395 | 3 | +.344 | 2 | +4.89 | 15 | +4.52 | 20 | |
20 | Mishawaka Marian | 2 | +4.60 | 20 | 2 | 0 | .488 | 5 | +.421 | 1 | +4.63 | 22 | +4.62 | 17 | |
37 | Culver Academy | 3 | +3.32 | 10 | 6 | 1 | .536 | 6 | +.081 | 6 | +3.47 | 37 | +3.28 | 37 | |
39 | Evansville Memorial | 4 | +3.09 | 11 | 4 | 0 | .595 | 11 | +.139 | 3 | +3.15 | 45 | +3.12 | 39 | |
40 | Guerin Catholic | 5 | +3.09 | 10 | 20 | 2 | .278 | 2 | +.066 | 7 | +3.16 | 44 | +3.05 | 40 | |
44 | Illiana Christian | 6 | +3.01 | 14 | 5 | 1 | .674 | 17 | +.051 | 9 | +3.29 | 39 | +2.88 | 47 | |
46 | Speedway | 7 | +2.91 | 15 | 4 | 0 | .697 | 22 | +.092 | 5 | +3.03 | 48 | +2.89 | 46 | |
50 | South Bend St. Joseph | 8 | +2.81 | 4 | 12 | 1 | .261 | 1 | +.004 | 12 | +2.82 | 52 | +2.85 | 48 | |
51 | West Lafayette | 9 | +2.75 | 16 | 5 | 0 | .730 | 24 | +.032 | 10 | +2.84 | 50 | +2.73 | 51 | |
52 | Fort Wayne Dwenger | 10 | +2.68 | 11 | 5 | 1 | .574 | 9 | +.103 | 4 | +2.76 | 53 | +2.67 | 53 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
58 | Heritage Christian | 11 | +2.51 | 12 | 6 | 0 | .639 | 13 | +.027 | 11 | +2.68 | 57 | +2.45 | 60 | |
66 | West Noble | 12 | +2.15 | 12 | 5 | 3 | .675 | 18 | -.000 | 13 | +2.16 | 67 | +2.19 | 65 | |
67 | Providence | 13 | +2.12 | 12 | 2 | 2 | .750 | 26 | +.063 | 8 | +2.33 | 65 | +2.10 | 67 | |
72 | Fort Wayne Concordia | 14 | +1.97 | 11 | 6 | 3 | .658 | 14 | -.033 | 15 | +1.96 | 75 | +2.01 | 71 | |
73 | Hamilton Heights | 15 | +1.96 | 11 | 2 | 5 | .836 | 38 | -.086 | 20 | +2.10 | 69 | +1.92 | 74 | |
74 | NorthWood | 16 | +1.94 | 9 | 8 | 1 | .578 | 10 | -.050 | 16 | +2.05 | 71 | +1.93 | 73 | |
75 | Cascade | 17 | +1.85 | 16 | 2 | 1 | .877 | 59 | -.009 | 14 | +1.92 | 76 | +1.85 | 76 | |
76 | Fort Wayne Canterbury | 18 | +1.84 | 5 | 8 | 2 | .545 | 7 | -.145 | 24 | +1.83 | 78 | +1.89 | 75 | |
83 | Bremen | 19 | +1.61 | 10 | 7 | 2 | .731 | 25 | -.153 | 28 | +1.62 | 85 | +1.71 | 80 | |
86 | Leo | 20 | +1.51 | 11 | 7 | 2 | .673 | 16 | -.073 | 18 | +1.44 | 88 | +1.59 | 84 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
88 | Fort Wayne Luers | 21 | +1.41 | 8 | 7 | 2 | .659 | 15 | -.129 | 22 | +1.49 | 87 | +1.42 | 88 | |
100 | Twin Lakes | 22 | +0.98 | 9 | 6 | 2 | .842 | 42 | -.254 | 42 | +0.97 | 100 | +1.02 | 100 | |
101 | Hammond Noll | 23 | +0.97 | 8 | 5 | 1 | .759 | 27 | -.152 | 26 | +1.02 | 99 | +0.97 | 103 | |
104 | Boone Grove | 24 | +0.94 | 13 | 3 | 2 | .839 | 39 | -.061 | 17 | +0.96 | 103 | +0.97 | 105 | |
105 | Hanover Central | 25 | +0.92 | 11 | 6 | 1 | .762 | 29 | -.123 | 21 | +0.96 | 102 | +0.91 | 107 | |
107 | Washington | 26 | +0.81 | 14 | 6 | 0 | .777 | 33 | -.077 | 19 | +0.78 | 110 | +0.93 | 106 | |
109 | Jay County | 27 | +0.77 | 11 | 4 | 2 | .920 | 79 | -.214 | 37 | +0.73 | 113 | +0.84 | 109 | |
110 | Manchester | 28 | +0.75 | 11 | 5 | 1 | .875 | 57 | -.198 | 34 | +0.89 | 106 | +0.75 | 113 | |
114 | Indianapolis Chatard | 29 | +0.71 | 7 | 9 | 1 | .620 | 12 | -.179 | 31 | +0.69 | 115 | +0.78 | 111 | |
115 | Heritage Hills | 30 | +0.68 | 12 | 5 | 2 | .854 | 48 | -.169 | 29 | +0.64 | 117 | +0.76 | 112 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
116 | Northwestern | 31 | +0.64 | 10 | 8 | 2 | .766 | 31 | -.216 | 38 | +0.69 | 116 | +0.67 | 116 | |
117 | Greencastle | 32 | +0.60 | 14 | 4 | 1 | .913 | 72 | -.149 | 25 | +0.56 | 118 | +0.58 | 119 | |
119 | Heritage | 33 | +0.49 | 9 | 5 | 2 | .811 | 34 | -.186 | 32 | +0.23 | 129 | +0.65 | 117 | |
120 | Crawfordsville | 34 | +0.49 | 11 | 7 | 0 | .873 | 56 | -.262 | 43 | +0.42 | 124 | +0.56 | 121 | |
122 | Mississinewa | 35 | +0.48 | 15 | 4 | 1 | .917 | 76 | -.142 | 23 | +0.53 | 119 | +0.50 | 122 | |
127 | Southridge | 36 | +0.30 | 12 | 5 | 0 | .914 | 73 | -.208 | 35 | +0.27 | 127 | +0.38 | 126 | |
128 | Evansville Mater Dei | 37 | +0.21 | 6 | 8 | 3 | .695 | 20 | -.253 | 41 | +0.25 | 128 | +0.26 | 128 | |
129 | Wawasee | 38 | +0.18 | 4 | 10 | 1 | .547 | 8 | -.247 | 40 | +0.11 | 131 | +0.19 | 129 | |
132 | Indianapolis Ritter | 39 | +0.01 | 8 | 8 | 1 | .696 | 21 | -.196 | 33 | +0.03 | 133 | +0.05 | 132 | |
133 | Charlestown | 40 | -0.00 | 10 | 4 | 1 | .877 | 58 | -.177 | 30 | -0.02 | 135 | +0.09 | 131 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
134 | Frankfort | 41 | -0.06 | 10 | 5 | 2 | .856 | 49 | -.208 | 36 | -0.01 | 134 | -0.05 | 135 | |
137 | Delta | 42 | -0.13 | 8 | 7 | 0 | .831 | 37 | -.298 | 45 | +0.04 | 132 | -0.18 | 141 | |
138 | Norwell | 43 | -0.15 | 6 | 10 | 1 | .841 | 41 | -.459 | 65 | -0.36 | 147 | +0.02 | 134 | |
141 | Danville | 44 | -0.19 | 10 | 6 | 1 | .907 | 69 | -.289 | 44 | -0.18 | 142 | -0.15 | 140 | |
148 | Maconaquah | 45 | -0.38 | 14 | 3 | 0 | .976 | 101 | -.152 | 27 | -0.27 | 144 | -0.34 | 147 | |
152 | Madison | 46 | -0.48 | 13 | 6 | 1 | .909 | 71 | -.234 | 39 | -0.42 | 152 | -0.45 | 153 | |
153 | Bellmont | 47 | -0.49 | 5 | 10 | 0 | .843 | 43 | -.509 | 73 | -0.37 | 149 | -0.45 | 155 | |
154 | Oak Hill | 48 | -0.51 | 9 | 7 | 1 | .889 | 63 | -.330 | 46 | -0.34 | 146 | -0.57 | 160 | |
158 | Garrett | 49 | -0.56 | 14 | 18 | 2 | .845 | 44 | -.404 | 59 | -0.58 | 159 | -0.51 | 158 | |
159 | Mount Vernon (Posey) | 50 | -0.64 | 8 | 8 | 0 | .891 | 64 | -.391 | 56 | -0.67 | 164 | -0.55 | 159 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
161 | Batesville | 51 | -0.65 | 9 | 7 | 0 | .898 | 66 | -.335 | 49 | -0.62 | 162 | -0.61 | 163 | |
162 | Yorktown | 52 | -0.65 | 4 | 9 | 3 | .813 | 35 | -.470 | 68 | -0.52 | 155 | -0.66 | 170 | |
163 | Angola | 53 | -0.65 | 7 | 7 | 1 | .850 | 45 | -.350 | 51 | -0.57 | 157 | -0.65 | 169 | |
165 | South Dearborn | 54 | -0.67 | 8 | 7 | 1 | .909 | 70 | -.378 | 55 | -0.60 | 161 | -0.63 | 166 | |
166 | Tri-West | 55 | -0.69 | 7 | 10 | 0 | .769 | 32 | -.357 | 52 | -0.64 | 163 | -0.66 | 171 | |
170 | Gibson Southern | 56 | -0.75 | 6 | 11 | 1 | .893 | 65 | -.532 | 76 | -0.84 | 172 | -0.63 | 167 | |
172 | Western | 57 | -0.78 | 9 | 9 | 0 | .868 | 55 | -.368 | 53 | -0.77 | 171 | -0.76 | 175 | |
182 | Princeton | 58 | -1.09 | 10 | 6 | 0 | .958 | 97 | -.333 | 48 | -0.99 | 177 | -1.06 | 181 | |
183 | Silver Creek | 59 | -1.11 | 14 | 18 | 2 | .860 | 51 | -.418 | 61 | -1.13 | 185 | -1.09 | 182 | |
184 | Eastbrook | 60 | -1.16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | .919 | 77 | -.544 | 77 | -1.09 | 181 | -1.14 | 184 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
186 | Tippecanoe Valley | 61 | -1.20 | 10 | 6 | 1 | .950 | 92 | -.332 | 47 | -1.10 | 182 | -1.17 | 186 | |
188 | Benton Central | 62 | -1.46 | 6 | 11 | 0 | .867 | 54 | -.514 | 74 | -1.54 | 190 | -1.36 | 188 | |
191 | Scottsburg | 63 | -1.58 | 8 | 6 | 2 | .955 | 95 | -.393 | 57 | -1.80 | 198 | -1.41 | 190 | |
193 | Lawrenceburg | 64 | -1.58 | 5 | 9 | 0 | .886 | 61 | -.529 | 75 | -1.48 | 189 | -1.59 | 193 | |
194 | Boonville | 65 | -1.62 | 7 | 10 | 1 | .916 | 75 | -.499 | 71 | -1.74 | 197 | -1.48 | 191 | |
196 | Greensburg | 66 | -1.68 | 8 | 8 | 1 | .927 | 82 | -.427 | 62 | -1.65 | 193 | -1.63 | 195 | |
202 | Indian Creek | 67 | -1.90 | 7 | 6 | 0 | .944 | 91 | -.406 | 60 | -2.04 | 205 | -1.77 | 201 | |
206 | Pike Central | 68 | -2.06 | 6 | 11 | 0 | .959 | 98 | -.606 | 79 | -2.21 | 210 | -1.91 | 204 | |
207 | Salem | 69 | -2.09 | 5 | 7 | 3 | .980 | 103 | -.547 | 78 | -2.29 | 214 | -1.91 | 205 | |
209 | New Castle | 70 | -2.14 | 3 | 13 | 1 | .850 | 46 | -.644 | 82 | -2.03 | 204 | -2.14 | 214 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
211 | Centerville | 71 | -2.16 | 7 | 4 | 1 | .967 | 99 | -.342 | 50 | -2.12 | 208 | -2.12 | 210 | |
213 | South Vermillion | 72 | -2.21 | 6 | 7 | 2 | .914 | 74 | -.447 | 64 | -2.28 | 213 | -2.14 | 213 | |
215 | John Glenn | 73 | -2.27 | 6 | 7 | 0 | .857 | 50 | -.395 | 58 | -2.37 | 215 | -2.14 | 215 | |
216 | Northview | 74 | -2.27 | 8 | 9 | 0 | .931 | 83 | -.460 | 67 | -2.43 | 217 | -2.13 | 212 | |
219 | Lakeland | 75 | -2.41 | 2 | 14 | 0 | .822 | 36 | -.697 | 88 | -2.65 | 224 | -2.23 | 218 | |
222 | Edgewood | 76 | -2.46 | 8 | 6 | 1 | .940 | 88 | -.374 | 54 | -2.52 | 219 | -2.32 | 222 | |
225 | Peru | 77 | -2.56 | 3 | 8 | 2 | .955 | 94 | -.648 | 83 | -2.65 | 223 | -2.45 | 228 | |
229 | North Harrison | 78 | -2.63 | 6 | 8 | 1 | .936 | 86 | -.502 | 72 | -2.63 | 222 | -2.50 | 229 | |
233 | Woodlan | 79 | -2.79 | 3 | 14 | 0 | .888 | 62 | -.712 | 91 | -3.03 | 233 | -2.60 | 232 | |
235 | West Vigo | 80 | -3.07 | 3 | 12 | 1 | .903 | 67 | -.684 | 87 | -3.19 | 236 | -2.94 | 235 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
236 | Southmont | 81 | -3.08 | 3 | 13 | 1 | .927 | 81 | -.721 | 92 | -3.03 | 234 | -2.94 | 236 | |
238 | Vincennes Lincoln | 82 | -3.32 | 5 | 13 | 0 | .759 | 28 | -.481 | 70 | -3.47 | 238 | -3.13 | 238 | |
239 | Rensselaer Central | 83 | -3.35 | 2 | 11 | 0 | .939 | 87 | -.785 | 99 | -3.51 | 242 | -3.20 | 239 | |
242 | Wabash | 84 | -3.41 | 5 | 10 | 0 | .941 | 89 | -.608 | 80 | -3.55 | 244 | -3.25 | 241 | |
244 | Rochester | 85 | -3.52 | 5 | 10 | 0 | .954 | 93 | -.621 | 81 | -3.49 | 241 | -3.48 | 245 | |
248 | Corydon Central | 86 | -3.77 | 2 | 11 | 0 | .943 | 90 | -.789 | 100 | -3.96 | 249 | -3.59 | 248 | |
251 | Sullivan | 87 | -3.92 | 3 | 11 | 3 | .976 | 102 | -.711 | 90 | -4.14 | 252 | -3.74 | 251 | |
253 | Blackford | 88 | -3.98 | 4 | 11 | 1 | .935 | 84 | -.654 | 84 | -4.01 | 251 | -3.87 | 253 | |
258 | Tipton | 89 | -4.34 | 5 | 12 | 1 | .971 | 100 | -.665 | 85 | -4.43 | 255 | -4.23 | 260 | |
260 | Monrovia | 90 | -4.36 | 1 | 14 | 0 | .839 | 40 | -.773 | 96 | -4.53 | 259 | -4.20 | 259 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
261 | Owen Valley | 91 | -4.41 | 3 | 10 | 1 | .985 | 106 | -.735 | 95 | -4.38 | 254 | -4.36 | 264 | |
262 | Brown County | 92 | -4.46 | 1 | 9 | 0 | .980 | 104 | -.880 | 105 | -4.63 | 265 | -4.30 | 263 | |
264 | Western Boone | 93 | -4.51 | 2 | 11 | 1 | .903 | 68 | -.725 | 93 | -4.54 | 260 | -4.62 | 268 | |
268 | Griffith | 94 | -4.70 | 1 | 16 | 0 | .763 | 30 | -.704 | 89 | -4.67 | 266 | -4.69 | 270 | |
272 | Purdue Poly Englewood | 95 | -4.94 | 4 | 5 | 0 | .920 | 78 | -.476 | 69 | -4.90 | 270 | -4.92 | 275 | |
273 | Indianapolis Washington | 96 | -4.96 | 3 | 3 | 1 | .935 | 85 | -.435 | 63 | -4.95 | 273 | -4.89 | 274 | |
278 | Rushville | 97 | -5.16 | 1 | 15 | 1 | .864 | 53 | -.775 | 97 | -5.32 | 280 | -5.00 | 278 | |
279 | Eastern (Greentown) | 98 | -5.17 | 3 | 12 | 0 | .985 | 105 | -.785 | 98 | -5.30 | 279 | -5.20 | 283 | |
280 | Franklin County | 99 | -5.19 | 1 | 14 | 1 | .924 | 80 | -.830 | 101 | -5.26 | 277 | -5.13 | 279 | |
281 | South Bend Clay | 100 | -5.29 | 0 | 3 | 0 | .881 | 60 | -.881 | 106 | -5.48 | 283 | -5.14 | 280 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
284 | South Bend Washington | 101 | -5.74 | 0 | 5 | 0 | .459 | 4 | -.459 | 66 | -5.72 | 284 | -5.74 | 286 | |
289 | Christel House Manual | 102 | -6.33 | 0 | 2 | 0 | .728 | 23 | -.728 | 94 | -6.39 | 289 | -6.21 | 290 | |
295 | North Montgomery | 103 | -7.25 | 2 | 16 | 0 | .957 | 96 | -.846 | 102 | -7.46 | 297 | -7.05 | 294 | |
296 | Beech Grove | 104 | -7.27 | 0 | 11 | 0 | .852 | 47 | -.852 | 103 | -7.22 | 294 | -7.25 | 296 | |
300 | Evansville Bosse | 105 | -8.35 | 0 | 13 | 0 | .681 | 19 | -.681 | 86 | -8.48 | 299 | -8.22 | 300 | |
303 | River Forest | 106 | -10.20 | 0 | 11 | 0 | .860 | 52 | -.860 | 104 | -10.20 | 303 | -10.12 | 303 |