The TWISTR Ratings are an iterative least-squares, score-based ratings system built in the spirit of an Elo model. Team ratings are agnostic to the final result of a game, as only the scoring margins are important when rating teams. No additional benefit is provided for a win or penalty for a loss. The TWISTR ratings for SOCCER incorporate two key concepts:
The RATING represents the number of goals a team would be favored by against an average opponent. Teams with a positive RATING are considered better than average, while teams with a negative RATING are considered worse than average. The RATING can be thought of as a composite of the INDEPENDENT (INDY) rating, in which the time a game was played does not matter, and the FORECASTER (CASTER) rating, where recent results are weighted more heavily.
Both the STRENGTH OF RECORD (SoR) and Z-SCORE (Z-SCR) are resume ratings - SoR only considers a team's win-loss record and is independent of margin of victory, while Z-SCR is a blend of RATING and SoR.
TWISTR IHSAA TEAM RATINGS | SCHEDULE & RESUME | COMPONENT RATINGS | |||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
31 | Covenant Christian | 1 | +3.37 | 17 | 1 | 1 | .471 | 5 | +.452 | 1 | +2.42 | 1 | +3.41 | 33 | +3.32 | 29 | |
69 | Fort Wayne Blackhawk | 2 | +2.04 | 13 | 5 | 1 | .427 | 3 | +.285 | 2 | +1.90 | 2 | +1.98 | 70 | +2.05 | 64 | |
73 | Bethany Christian | 3 | +1.90 | 12 | 2 | 4 | .505 | 10 | +.275 | 3 | +1.86 | 3 | +1.90 | 73 | +1.88 | 73 | |
78 | Westview | 4 | +1.69 | 11 | 6 | 2 | .488 | 7 | +.143 | 6 | +1.60 | 6 | +1.73 | 77 | +1.63 | 78 | |
80 | Faith Christian | 5 | +1.58 | 13 | 1 | 4 | .644 | 21 | +.191 | 5 | +1.66 | 5 | +1.68 | 78 | +1.50 | 83 | |
85 | Greenwood Christian | 6 | +1.50 | 13 | 4 | 2 | .525 | 13 | +.217 | 4 | +1.69 | 4 | +1.46 | 88 | +1.38 | 89 | |
92 | Providence | 7 | +1.33 | 6 | 6 | 4 | .407 | 2 | +.089 | 8 | +1.45 | 7 | +1.42 | 91 | +1.25 | 94 | |
113 | Muncie Burris | 8 | +0.93 | 14 | 4 | 2 | .624 | 20 | +.123 | 7 | +1.43 | 8 | +1.06 | 106 | +0.88 | 112 | |
132 | Indianapolis Lutheran | 9 | +0.36 | 10 | 6 | 2 | .595 | 18 | +.016 | 10 | +1.15 | 9 | +0.42 | 132 | +0.30 | 132 | |
133 | Indianapolis Scecina | 10 | +0.32 | 7 | 11 | 0 | .488 | 8 | -.102 | 21 | +0.95 | 16 | +0.32 | 137 | +0.28 | 133 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
135 | Fort Wayne Canterbury | 11 | +0.28 | 3 | 11 | 1 | .247 | 1 | -.014 | 13 | +1.08 | 11 | +0.35 | 134 | +0.23 | 135 | |
137 | South Knox | 12 | +0.22 | 14 | 1 | 1 | .885 | 78 | +.022 | 9 | +1.13 | 10 | +0.37 | 133 | +0.08 | 141 | |
143 | Northeast Dubois | 13 | +0.12 | 14 | 5 | 0 | .789 | 42 | -.053 | 17 | +0.99 | 15 | +0.01 | 148 | +0.13 | 137 | |
144 | Wheeler | 14 | +0.12 | 11 | 6 | 2 | .647 | 22 | -.017 | 14 | +1.05 | 12 | +0.23 | 141 | +0.05 | 144 | |
151 | Christian Academy | 15 | -0.09 | 10 | 2 | 1 | .816 | 53 | -.011 | 12 | +1.02 | 13 | -0.10 | 150 | -0.11 | 150 | |
156 | Oldenburg Academy | 16 | -0.21 | 12 | 6 | 2 | .700 | 26 | -.049 | 16 | +0.94 | 17 | -0.39 | 164 | -0.14 | 151 | |
160 | Argos | 17 | -0.32 | 9 | 6 | 1 | .728 | 29 | -.135 | 25 | +0.78 | 22 | -0.31 | 162 | -0.35 | 158 | |
161 | Covington | 18 | -0.33 | 9 | 4 | 0 | .685 | 24 | +.004 | 11 | +1.00 | 14 | -0.34 | 163 | -0.41 | 162 | |
162 | Forest Park | 19 | -0.36 | 9 | 6 | 1 | .689 | 25 | -.094 | 20 | +0.84 | 20 | -0.29 | 159 | -0.42 | 163 | |
163 | Southwestern (Shelbyville) | 20 | -0.38 | 12 | 3 | 3 | .836 | 59 | -.083 | 19 | +0.85 | 18 | -0.31 | 161 | -0.46 | 164 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
164 | Morgan Township | 21 | -0.39 | 12 | 5 | 0 | .864 | 70 | -.160 | 31 | +0.72 | 24 | -0.28 | 158 | -0.46 | 165 | |
166 | University | 22 | -0.47 | 7 | 11 | 0 | .465 | 4 | -.077 | 18 | +0.84 | 19 | -0.68 | 170 | -0.40 | 161 | |
170 | Lakeland Christian | 23 | -0.60 | 14 | 5 | 0 | .841 | 63 | -.105 | 22 | +0.77 | 23 | -0.78 | 176 | -0.53 | 170 | |
173 | North Putnam | 24 | -0.74 | 10 | 5 | 2 | .810 | 49 | -.163 | 33 | +0.65 | 26 | -0.69 | 171 | -0.78 | 173 | |
174 | Kouts | 25 | -0.74 | 9 | 6 | 2 | .763 | 36 | -.173 | 36 | +0.64 | 27 | -0.67 | 169 | -0.79 | 174 | |
177 | Tell City | 26 | -0.86 | 13 | 5 | 0 | .769 | 37 | -.046 | 15 | +0.82 | 21 | -0.74 | 174 | -0.95 | 179 | |
179 | Shawe Memorial | 27 | -0.96 | 11 | 5 | 1 | .792 | 45 | -.112 | 23 | +0.70 | 25 | -1.07 | 182 | -0.90 | 177 | |
184 | Southmont | 28 | -1.15 | 6 | 8 | 1 | .595 | 17 | -.162 | 32 | +0.58 | 30 | -1.13 | 184 | -1.17 | 186 | |
186 | Wood Memorial | 29 | -1.17 | 10 | 6 | 0 | .853 | 66 | -.229 | 46 | +0.46 | 37 | -0.96 | 178 | -1.31 | 188 | |
187 | Lakewood Park | 30 | -1.18 | 5 | 10 | 0 | .481 | 6 | -.143 | 28 | +0.60 | 28 | -1.29 | 190 | -1.14 | 185 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
188 | Bethesda Christian | 31 | -1.23 | 5 | 7 | 2 | .603 | 19 | -.171 | 35 | +0.55 | 31 | -1.15 | 185 | -1.32 | 189 | |
189 | Andrean | 32 | -1.24 | 4 | 11 | 1 | .522 | 12 | -.236 | 49 | +0.44 | 40 | -1.25 | 188 | -1.25 | 187 | |
190 | Carroll (Flora) | 33 | -1.29 | 10 | 8 | 0 | .769 | 38 | -.213 | 43 | +0.47 | 36 | -1.18 | 187 | -1.37 | 192 | |
193 | Evansville Christian | 34 | -1.41 | 7 | 7 | 0 | .780 | 39 | -.279 | 50 | +0.34 | 46 | -1.40 | 193 | -1.43 | 195 | |
196 | Providence Cristo Rey | 35 | -1.46 | 9 | 6 | 0 | .720 | 28 | -.122 | 24 | +0.59 | 29 | -1.58 | 203 | -1.34 | 191 | |
197 | Marquette Catholic | 36 | -1.46 | 9 | 6 | 1 | .753 | 33 | -.159 | 30 | +0.53 | 33 | -1.53 | 201 | -1.43 | 196 | |
199 | Barr-Reeve | 37 | -1.50 | 10 | 5 | 1 | .854 | 67 | -.198 | 40 | +0.46 | 39 | -1.45 | 197 | -1.56 | 201 | |
203 | Southwestern (Hanover) | 38 | -1.58 | 9 | 7 | 2 | .786 | 40 | -.230 | 47 | +0.39 | 43 | -1.56 | 202 | -1.61 | 204 | |
204 | Tipton | 39 | -1.60 | 10 | 5 | 1 | .805 | 47 | -.149 | 29 | +0.52 | 34 | -1.42 | 195 | -1.70 | 206 | |
206 | White River Valley | 40 | -1.66 | 12 | 2 | 3 | .929 | 94 | -.135 | 26 | +0.53 | 32 | -1.80 | 212 | -1.63 | 205 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
207 | North White | 41 | -1.68 | 8 | 7 | 2 | .820 | 54 | -.289 | 51 | +0.27 | 48 | -1.70 | 209 | -1.70 | 208 | |
210 | Sheridan | 42 | -1.73 | 10 | 5 | 2 | .840 | 62 | -.188 | 39 | +0.43 | 41 | -1.71 | 210 | -1.77 | 210 | |
211 | Henryville | 43 | -1.75 | 10 | 3 | 1 | .896 | 80 | -.142 | 27 | +0.50 | 35 | -1.66 | 207 | -1.83 | 213 | |
212 | Christel House | 44 | -1.78 | 3 | 7 | 2 | .557 | 15 | -.219 | 45 | +0.37 | 44 | -1.65 | 206 | -1.87 | 214 | |
213 | Elkhart Christian | 45 | -1.78 | 6 | 9 | 2 | .574 | 16 | -.164 | 34 | +0.46 | 38 | -1.94 | 215 | -1.81 | 211 | |
214 | Trinity Lutheran | 46 | -1.87 | 7 | 8 | 1 | .812 | 50 | -.338 | 54 | +0.16 | 52 | -2.01 | 219 | -1.82 | 212 | |
215 | Morristown | 47 | -1.93 | 6 | 7 | 0 | .810 | 48 | -.346 | 55 | +0.13 | 53 | -1.97 | 218 | -1.95 | 215 | |
217 | Tri-Central | 48 | -2.01 | 11 | 5 | 0 | .919 | 90 | -.231 | 48 | +0.31 | 47 | -1.91 | 214 | -2.09 | 220 | |
218 | Rock Creek Academy | 49 | -2.02 | 6 | 3 | 3 | .839 | 60 | -.210 | 41 | +0.34 | 45 | -1.96 | 217 | -2.05 | 219 | |
219 | Lafayette Central Catholic | 50 | -2.03 | 9 | 9 | 1 | .675 | 23 | -.173 | 37 | +0.40 | 42 | -2.01 | 220 | -2.05 | 218 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
225 | North Posey | 51 | -2.27 | 5 | 10 | 0 | .754 | 34 | -.421 | 59 | -0.05 | 58 | -2.23 | 226 | -2.32 | 226 | |
226 | Rising Sun | 52 | -2.31 | 5 | 7 | 4 | .821 | 56 | -.380 | 56 | +0.01 | 56 | -2.40 | 229 | -2.31 | 225 | |
227 | Hebron | 53 | -2.32 | 6 | 11 | 0 | .801 | 46 | -.447 | 64 | -0.10 | 59 | -2.20 | 224 | -2.40 | 229 | |
228 | Indianapolis International | 54 | -2.34 | 3 | 6 | 0 | .555 | 14 | -.216 | 44 | +0.27 | 49 | -2.23 | 225 | -2.45 | 230 | |
231 | Washington Township | 55 | -2.48 | 5 | 8 | 1 | .828 | 58 | -.435 | 62 | -0.11 | 60 | -2.52 | 232 | -2.46 | 231 | |
233 | Taylor | 56 | -2.55 | 8 | 8 | 0 | .882 | 74 | -.384 | 57 | -0.04 | 57 | -2.50 | 231 | -2.54 | 233 | |
234 | Shoals | 57 | -2.64 | 10 | 7 | 2 | .906 | 85 | -.327 | 53 | +0.04 | 55 | -2.64 | 233 | -2.67 | 235 | |
238 | Milan | 58 | -2.78 | 8 | 8 | 1 | .813 | 51 | -.311 | 52 | +0.04 | 54 | -2.83 | 238 | -2.75 | 238 | |
239 | Indiana Math & Science | 59 | -2.78 | 10 | 3 | 0 | .947 | 98 | -.179 | 38 | +0.25 | 50 | -3.03 | 240 | -2.66 | 234 | |
240 | Wapahani | 60 | -2.87 | 7 | 6 | 2 | .747 | 31 | -.213 | 42 | +0.18 | 51 | -2.92 | 239 | -2.85 | 240 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
245 | DeMotte Christian | 61 | -3.25 | 3 | 9 | 3 | .849 | 65 | -.552 | 76 | -0.45 | 65 | -3.41 | 247 | -3.16 | 243 | |
246 | Rensselaer Central | 62 | -3.27 | 2 | 10 | 2 | .791 | 44 | -.576 | 78 | -0.49 | 68 | -3.30 | 245 | -3.27 | 246 | |
247 | Mitchell | 63 | -3.29 | 5 | 7 | 3 | .930 | 97 | -.497 | 66 | -0.37 | 62 | -3.31 | 246 | -3.30 | 247 | |
249 | Bloomfield | 64 | -3.47 | 6 | 6 | 2 | .930 | 96 | -.430 | 61 | -0.29 | 61 | -3.53 | 250 | -3.47 | 249 | |
252 | Hammond Science & Tech | 65 | -3.62 | 3 | 5 | 1 | .903 | 81 | -.513 | 71 | -0.45 | 66 | -3.49 | 249 | -3.63 | 252 | |
257 | Vincennes Rivet | 66 | -3.94 | 7 | 9 | 1 | .885 | 77 | -.443 | 63 | -0.40 | 63 | -4.13 | 258 | -3.87 | 256 | |
258 | Hauser | 67 | -4.02 | 4 | 9 | 2 | .786 | 41 | -.451 | 65 | -0.42 | 64 | -4.07 | 257 | -4.01 | 258 | |
259 | LaVille | 68 | -4.15 | 5 | 9 | 2 | .885 | 76 | -.508 | 68 | -0.54 | 69 | -4.21 | 260 | -4.16 | 259 | |
261 | Evansville Day | 69 | -4.20 | 4 | 8 | 1 | .856 | 68 | -.511 | 69 | -0.55 | 70 | -4.18 | 259 | -4.21 | 261 | |
262 | Rossville | 70 | -4.32 | 2 | 13 | 0 | .875 | 72 | -.740 | 93 | -0.95 | 84 | -4.57 | 265 | -4.23 | 262 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
266 | South Ripley | 71 | -4.52 | 1 | 14 | 2 | .820 | 55 | -.700 | 89 | -0.92 | 82 | -4.63 | 267 | -4.46 | 267 | |
267 | Caston | 72 | -4.53 | 5 | 8 | 1 | .906 | 84 | -.514 | 72 | -0.62 | 71 | -4.71 | 271 | -4.45 | 266 | |
268 | Eastern Greene | 73 | -4.55 | 4 | 7 | 2 | .958 | 99 | -.573 | 77 | -0.72 | 73 | -4.64 | 268 | -4.51 | 269 | |
269 | Lighthouse Christian | 74 | -4.59 | 2 | 6 | 1 | .970 | 101 | -.690 | 86 | -0.92 | 81 | -4.82 | 272 | -4.49 | 268 | |
270 | Union City | 75 | -4.65 | 5 | 6 | 0 | .857 | 69 | -.401 | 58 | -0.46 | 67 | -4.67 | 270 | -4.59 | 270 | |
272 | South Spencer | 76 | -4.68 | 1 | 15 | 0 | .762 | 35 | -.700 | 88 | -0.95 | 83 | -4.66 | 269 | -4.71 | 273 | |
274 | Jac-Cen-Del | 77 | -4.75 | 0 | 13 | 4 | .791 | 43 | -.670 | 82 | -0.92 | 80 | -4.87 | 274 | -4.67 | 272 | |
275 | Winamac | 78 | -4.84 | 6 | 11 | 0 | .903 | 83 | -.550 | 75 | -0.74 | 74 | -4.96 | 276 | -4.78 | 275 | |
276 | Liberty Christian | 79 | -4.85 | 3 | 11 | 0 | .732 | 30 | -.512 | 70 | -0.68 | 72 | -4.95 | 275 | -4.84 | 276 | |
279 | Knightstown | 80 | -5.01 | 3 | 12 | 0 | .826 | 57 | -.627 | 80 | -0.89 | 79 | -5.20 | 282 | -4.90 | 277 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
282 | Anderson Prep | 81 | -5.06 | 4 | 9 | 0 | .891 | 79 | -.579 | 79 | -0.83 | 78 | -5.19 | 281 | -5.03 | 281 | |
284 | Purdue Poly North | 82 | -5.27 | 1 | 8 | 0 | .814 | 52 | -.704 | 90 | -1.07 | 87 | -5.29 | 284 | -5.27 | 285 | |
285 | Central Noble | 83 | -5.38 | 0 | 14 | 0 | .516 | 11 | -.517 | 73 | -0.78 | 76 | -5.46 | 285 | -5.37 | 287 | |
286 | Union County | 84 | -5.39 | 1 | 13 | 0 | .753 | 32 | -.680 | 85 | -1.05 | 86 | -5.67 | 291 | -5.26 | 284 | |
287 | Washington Catholic | 85 | -5.43 | 1 | 13 | 2 | .918 | 88 | -.792 | 95 | -1.24 | 92 | -5.52 | 286 | -5.39 | 289 | |
288 | Westville | 86 | -5.46 | 3 | 13 | 0 | .926 | 93 | -.740 | 92 | -1.16 | 90 | -5.61 | 287 | -5.32 | 286 | |
290 | Indianapolis Riverside | 87 | -5.56 | 3 | 4 | 0 | .929 | 95 | -.503 | 67 | -0.79 | 77 | -5.77 | 292 | -5.45 | 290 | |
292 | North Miami | 88 | -5.71 | 3 | 11 | 1 | .903 | 82 | -.671 | 83 | -1.10 | 88 | -5.66 | 289 | -5.76 | 293 | |
293 | Central Christian | 89 | -5.75 | 1 | 6 | 1 | .880 | 73 | -.692 | 87 | -1.14 | 89 | -5.92 | 293 | -5.66 | 292 | |
294 | Prairie Heights | 90 | -6.06 | 1 | 13 | 0 | .494 | 9 | -.425 | 60 | -0.75 | 75 | -6.14 | 294 | -6.03 | 294 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
296 | Seton Catholic | 91 | -6.30 | 4 | 10 | 1 | .844 | 64 | -.538 | 74 | -0.98 | 85 | -6.32 | 296 | -6.28 | 297 | |
297 | Daleville | 92 | -6.36 | 0 | 12 | 1 | .711 | 27 | -.675 | 84 | -1.22 | 91 | -6.56 | 297 | -6.15 | 295 | |
298 | Clarksville | 93 | -6.61 | 2 | 12 | 0 | .867 | 71 | -.728 | 91 | -1.35 | 94 | -6.83 | 298 | -6.51 | 298 | |
299 | Austin | 94 | -7.10 | 3 | 14 | 0 | .839 | 61 | -.665 | 81 | -1.34 | 93 | -7.33 | 299 | -7.00 | 299 | |
300 | MTI School of Knowledge | 95 | -7.66 | 0 | 3 | 0 | .967 | 100 | -.968 | 101 | -1.94 | 99 | -7.84 | 300 | -7.58 | 300 | |
302 | Indianapolis Tindley | 96 | -7.94 | 0 | 8 | 0 | .911 | 87 | -.911 | 99 | -1.90 | 96 | -8.17 | 302 | -7.79 | 301 | |
303 | Lanesville | 97 | -8.16 | 0 | 12 | 0 | .907 | 86 | -.899 | 98 | -1.92 | 97 | -8.31 | 303 | -8.11 | 303 | |
304 | Oregon-Davis | 98 | -8.53 | 1 | 7 | 0 | .918 | 89 | -.792 | 94 | -1.81 | 95 | -8.52 | 304 | -8.39 | 304 | |
305 | Culver | 99 | -8.88 | 1 | 9 | 0 | .921 | 91 | -.818 | 96 | -1.92 | 98 | -9.14 | 306 | -8.75 | 305 | |
306 | Delphi | 100 | -9.00 | 0 | 16 | 0 | .922 | 92 | -.924 | 100 | -2.12 | 101 | -9.01 | 305 | -9.01 | 306 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
307 | North Knox | 101 | -9.23 | 0 | 17 | 0 | .882 | 75 | -.881 | 97 | -2.09 | 100 | -9.32 | 307 | -9.20 | 307 |