The TWISTR Ratings are an iterative least-squares, score-based ratings system built in the spirit of an Elo model. Team ratings are agnostic to the final result of a game, as only the scoring margins are important when rating teams. No additional benefit is provided for a win or penalty for a loss. The TWISTR ratings for SOCCER incorporate two key concepts:
The RATING represents the number of goals a team would be favored by against an average opponent. Teams with a positive RATING are considered better than average, while teams with a negative RATING are considered worse than average. The RATING can be thought of as a composite of the INDEPENDENT (INDY) rating, in which the time a game was played does not matter, and the FORECASTER (CASTER) rating, where recent results are weighted more heavily.
Both the STRENGTH OF RECORD (SoR) and Z-SCORE (Z-SCR) are resume ratings - SoR only considers a team's win-loss record and is independent of margin of victory, while Z-SCR is a blend of RATING and SoR.
TWISTR IHSAA TEAM RATINGS | SCHEDULE & RESUME | COMPONENT RATINGS | |||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
35 | Covenant Christian | 1 | +3.15 | 18 | 1 | 1 | .460 | 4 | +.466 | 1 | +2.39 | 1 | +3.22 | 35 | +3.08 | 35 | |
65 | Fort Wayne Blackhawk | 2 | +2.13 | 13 | 5 | 1 | .413 | 3 | +.299 | 2 | +1.93 | 2 | +2.05 | 68 | +2.16 | 63 | |
67 | Bethany Christian | 3 | +2.09 | 12 | 3 | 4 | .464 | 5 | +.276 | 3 | +1.88 | 3 | +2.04 | 69 | +2.08 | 65 | |
75 | Westview | 4 | +1.79 | 11 | 6 | 2 | .475 | 8 | +.156 | 6 | +1.63 | 6 | +1.80 | 76 | +1.75 | 75 | |
82 | Faith Christian | 5 | +1.54 | 13 | 1 | 4 | .636 | 22 | +.200 | 5 | +1.66 | 5 | +1.65 | 79 | +1.45 | 83 | |
87 | Greenwood Christian | 6 | +1.40 | 14 | 4 | 2 | .527 | 13 | +.228 | 4 | +1.68 | 4 | +1.36 | 91 | +1.27 | 92 | |
92 | Providence | 7 | +1.34 | 6 | 6 | 4 | .404 | 2 | +.092 | 8 | +1.44 | 7 | +1.43 | 87 | +1.25 | 93 | |
117 | Muncie Burris | 8 | +0.88 | 14 | 4 | 2 | .625 | 21 | +.121 | 7 | +1.41 | 8 | +1.00 | 110 | +0.81 | 117 | |
132 | Fort Wayne Canterbury | 9 | +0.36 | 3 | 11 | 1 | .240 | 1 | -.007 | 14 | +1.10 | 11 | +0.42 | 131 | +0.32 | 132 | |
134 | Indianapolis Lutheran | 10 | +0.28 | 10 | 6 | 2 | .599 | 18 | +.011 | 10 | +1.12 | 10 | +0.35 | 135 | +0.22 | 135 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
136 | Indianapolis Scecina | 11 | +0.23 | 7 | 11 | 0 | .498 | 10 | -.111 | 23 | +0.90 | 17 | +0.24 | 140 | +0.18 | 137 | |
138 | South Knox | 12 | +0.23 | 14 | 1 | 1 | .869 | 73 | +.038 | 9 | +1.15 | 9 | +0.38 | 133 | +0.08 | 143 | |
141 | Wheeler | 13 | +0.17 | 11 | 6 | 2 | .625 | 20 | +.004 | 12 | +1.08 | 12 | +0.28 | 138 | +0.12 | 140 | |
142 | Northeast Dubois | 14 | +0.15 | 14 | 6 | 0 | .751 | 37 | -.051 | 17 | +0.99 | 15 | +0.04 | 146 | +0.16 | 138 | |
149 | Christian Academy | 15 | -0.11 | 10 | 2 | 1 | .809 | 54 | -.005 | 13 | +1.02 | 13 | -0.12 | 150 | -0.15 | 150 | |
157 | Argos | 16 | -0.25 | 9 | 6 | 1 | .720 | 28 | -.126 | 25 | +0.79 | 23 | -0.26 | 160 | -0.27 | 155 | |
158 | Oldenburg Academy | 17 | -0.26 | 12 | 6 | 2 | .699 | 26 | -.048 | 16 | +0.92 | 16 | -0.43 | 164 | -0.23 | 151 | |
161 | Forest Park | 18 | -0.35 | 9 | 6 | 1 | .680 | 25 | -.085 | 20 | +0.84 | 19 | -0.28 | 161 | -0.42 | 164 | |
162 | Morgan Township | 19 | -0.35 | 12 | 5 | 0 | .847 | 69 | -.144 | 31 | +0.75 | 24 | -0.24 | 157 | -0.41 | 162 | |
163 | Covington | 20 | -0.36 | 9 | 4 | 0 | .680 | 24 | +.009 | 11 | +0.99 | 14 | -0.36 | 163 | -0.45 | 166 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
165 | Southwestern (Shelbyville) | 21 | -0.43 | 12 | 3 | 3 | .827 | 60 | -.074 | 18 | +0.84 | 18 | -0.35 | 162 | -0.42 | 163 | |
169 | University | 22 | -0.55 | 7 | 11 | 0 | .472 | 7 | -.084 | 19 | +0.81 | 21 | -0.75 | 175 | -0.47 | 168 | |
170 | Lakeland Christian | 23 | -0.55 | 14 | 5 | 0 | .826 | 59 | -.089 | 21 | +0.80 | 22 | -0.74 | 174 | -0.47 | 167 | |
171 | Kouts | 24 | -0.70 | 9 | 6 | 2 | .744 | 33 | -.154 | 33 | +0.66 | 26 | -0.63 | 168 | -0.74 | 171 | |
175 | North Putnam | 25 | -0.78 | 10 | 5 | 2 | .802 | 48 | -.154 | 34 | +0.65 | 27 | -0.73 | 173 | -0.84 | 176 | |
177 | Tell City | 26 | -0.85 | 13 | 5 | 0 | .755 | 38 | -.032 | 15 | +0.84 | 20 | -0.73 | 172 | -0.96 | 179 | |
179 | Shawe Memorial | 27 | -0.97 | 11 | 5 | 1 | .785 | 46 | -.105 | 22 | +0.69 | 25 | -1.10 | 183 | -0.95 | 178 | |
183 | Lakewood Park | 28 | -1.10 | 5 | 10 | 0 | .464 | 6 | -.126 | 26 | +0.64 | 28 | -1.23 | 189 | -1.11 | 184 | |
185 | Wood Memorial | 29 | -1.17 | 10 | 6 | 0 | .836 | 65 | -.212 | 43 | +0.48 | 36 | -0.95 | 178 | -1.31 | 189 | |
187 | Southmont | 30 | -1.19 | 6 | 8 | 1 | .591 | 17 | -.159 | 35 | +0.56 | 29 | -1.17 | 185 | -1.22 | 187 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
188 | Andrean | 31 | -1.20 | 4 | 11 | 1 | .503 | 12 | -.218 | 45 | +0.47 | 38 | -1.21 | 187 | -1.20 | 186 | |
190 | Bethesda Christian | 32 | -1.30 | 5 | 7 | 2 | .603 | 19 | -.171 | 37 | +0.52 | 33 | -1.21 | 188 | -1.39 | 195 | |
191 | Carroll (Flora) | 33 | -1.31 | 10 | 8 | 0 | .765 | 39 | -.209 | 42 | +0.46 | 39 | -1.20 | 186 | -1.39 | 193 | |
194 | Evansville Christian | 34 | -1.40 | 7 | 7 | 0 | .768 | 40 | -.267 | 50 | +0.35 | 44 | -1.40 | 194 | -1.43 | 196 | |
196 | Marquette Catholic | 35 | -1.42 | 9 | 6 | 1 | .737 | 31 | -.143 | 30 | +0.55 | 31 | -1.49 | 199 | -1.38 | 192 | |
200 | Barr-Reeve | 36 | -1.49 | 10 | 5 | 1 | .844 | 68 | -.188 | 40 | +0.46 | 40 | -1.45 | 198 | -1.57 | 200 | |
201 | Providence Cristo Rey | 37 | -1.52 | 9 | 6 | 0 | .722 | 29 | -.124 | 24 | +0.56 | 30 | -1.64 | 205 | -1.48 | 199 | |
203 | Tipton | 38 | -1.61 | 10 | 5 | 1 | .795 | 47 | -.139 | 29 | +0.52 | 34 | -1.44 | 197 | -1.72 | 208 | |
204 | Southwestern (Hanover) | 39 | -1.62 | 9 | 7 | 2 | .780 | 43 | -.224 | 46 | +0.38 | 43 | -1.59 | 203 | -1.66 | 205 | |
206 | White River Valley | 40 | -1.67 | 12 | 2 | 3 | .923 | 96 | -.129 | 27 | +0.53 | 32 | -1.81 | 212 | -1.64 | 203 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
208 | North White | 41 | -1.70 | 8 | 7 | 2 | .812 | 56 | -.281 | 51 | +0.27 | 48 | -1.72 | 208 | -1.71 | 207 | |
210 | Henryville | 42 | -1.76 | 10 | 3 | 1 | .890 | 83 | -.136 | 28 | +0.50 | 35 | -1.65 | 206 | -1.81 | 212 | |
211 | Sheridan | 43 | -1.77 | 10 | 5 | 2 | .834 | 64 | -.182 | 39 | +0.42 | 41 | -1.74 | 210 | -1.80 | 211 | |
212 | Elkhart Christian | 44 | -1.79 | 6 | 9 | 2 | .561 | 14 | -.150 | 32 | +0.47 | 37 | -1.93 | 215 | -1.73 | 209 | |
213 | Christel House | 45 | -1.84 | 3 | 7 | 2 | .563 | 16 | -.226 | 49 | +0.34 | 45 | -1.70 | 207 | -1.93 | 213 | |
214 | Trinity Lutheran | 46 | -1.90 | 7 | 8 | 1 | .806 | 50 | -.333 | 54 | +0.15 | 52 | -2.04 | 220 | -1.96 | 215 | |
216 | Morristown | 47 | -1.97 | 6 | 7 | 0 | .803 | 49 | -.340 | 55 | +0.12 | 53 | -2.02 | 218 | -2.00 | 216 | |
218 | Rock Creek Academy | 48 | -2.03 | 6 | 3 | 3 | .833 | 63 | -.205 | 41 | +0.33 | 46 | -1.98 | 217 | -2.02 | 218 | |
219 | Tri-Central | 49 | -2.03 | 11 | 5 | 0 | .912 | 93 | -.224 | 47 | +0.30 | 47 | -1.93 | 216 | -2.11 | 221 | |
220 | Lafayette Central Catholic | 50 | -2.05 | 9 | 9 | 1 | .670 | 23 | -.168 | 36 | +0.39 | 42 | -2.03 | 219 | -2.07 | 220 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
225 | North Posey | 51 | -2.26 | 5 | 10 | 0 | .739 | 32 | -.406 | 59 | -0.04 | 57 | -2.22 | 224 | -2.32 | 226 | |
226 | Hebron | 52 | -2.28 | 6 | 11 | 0 | .782 | 45 | -.428 | 63 | -0.08 | 59 | -2.17 | 222 | -2.35 | 227 | |
229 | Rising Sun | 53 | -2.37 | 5 | 7 | 4 | .812 | 57 | -.371 | 56 | -0.00 | 56 | -2.43 | 230 | -2.36 | 228 | |
230 | Indianapolis International | 54 | -2.42 | 3 | 6 | 0 | .563 | 15 | -.224 | 48 | +0.23 | 50 | -2.30 | 226 | -2.53 | 231 | |
231 | Washington Township | 55 | -2.45 | 5 | 8 | 1 | .810 | 55 | -.416 | 61 | -0.09 | 60 | -2.49 | 231 | -2.42 | 230 | |
232 | Taylor | 56 | -2.57 | 8 | 8 | 0 | .871 | 76 | -.373 | 57 | -0.04 | 58 | -2.52 | 232 | -2.55 | 232 | |
235 | Shoals | 57 | -2.64 | 10 | 7 | 2 | .894 | 85 | -.314 | 53 | +0.04 | 54 | -2.65 | 233 | -2.67 | 235 | |
238 | Milan | 58 | -2.81 | 8 | 8 | 1 | .807 | 51 | -.305 | 52 | +0.03 | 55 | -2.87 | 238 | -2.81 | 239 | |
239 | Indiana Math & Science | 59 | -2.83 | 10 | 3 | 0 | .945 | 98 | -.177 | 38 | +0.23 | 49 | -3.08 | 242 | -2.73 | 236 | |
240 | Wapahani | 60 | -2.90 | 7 | 6 | 2 | .748 | 36 | -.214 | 44 | +0.16 | 51 | -2.95 | 239 | -2.88 | 240 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
245 | DeMotte Christian | 61 | -3.23 | 3 | 9 | 3 | .832 | 62 | -.535 | 75 | -0.43 | 65 | -3.39 | 247 | -3.14 | 243 | |
246 | Rensselaer Central | 62 | -3.26 | 2 | 10 | 2 | .777 | 41 | -.562 | 78 | -0.48 | 68 | -3.29 | 245 | -3.26 | 244 | |
247 | Mitchell | 63 | -3.30 | 5 | 7 | 3 | .921 | 94 | -.488 | 66 | -0.36 | 62 | -3.34 | 246 | -3.31 | 247 | |
249 | Bloomfield | 64 | -3.48 | 6 | 6 | 2 | .921 | 95 | -.421 | 62 | -0.29 | 61 | -3.53 | 250 | -3.48 | 249 | |
251 | Hammond Science & Tech | 65 | -3.59 | 3 | 5 | 1 | .884 | 79 | -.494 | 68 | -0.43 | 64 | -3.46 | 248 | -3.59 | 251 | |
257 | Vincennes Rivet | 66 | -3.94 | 7 | 9 | 1 | .872 | 77 | -.430 | 64 | -0.39 | 63 | -4.14 | 258 | -3.88 | 257 | |
258 | Hauser | 67 | -4.06 | 4 | 9 | 2 | .779 | 42 | -.444 | 65 | -0.43 | 66 | -4.08 | 257 | -4.07 | 258 | |
259 | LaVille | 68 | -4.11 | 5 | 9 | 2 | .871 | 75 | -.494 | 67 | -0.52 | 69 | -4.18 | 259 | -4.14 | 259 | |
261 | Evansville Day | 69 | -4.19 | 4 | 8 | 1 | .843 | 67 | -.498 | 70 | -0.55 | 70 | -4.18 | 260 | -4.22 | 260 | |
263 | Rossville | 70 | -4.35 | 2 | 13 | 0 | .861 | 72 | -.726 | 93 | -0.95 | 84 | -4.59 | 265 | -4.25 | 262 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
266 | Caston | 71 | -4.52 | 5 | 8 | 1 | .891 | 84 | -.498 | 71 | -0.61 | 71 | -4.70 | 270 | -4.43 | 265 | |
267 | South Ripley | 72 | -4.55 | 1 | 14 | 2 | .809 | 53 | -.689 | 89 | -0.93 | 82 | -4.66 | 269 | -4.51 | 267 | |
268 | Eastern Greene | 73 | -4.56 | 4 | 7 | 2 | .947 | 99 | -.562 | 77 | -0.72 | 73 | -4.65 | 268 | -4.53 | 269 | |
269 | Lighthouse Christian | 74 | -4.61 | 2 | 6 | 1 | .963 | 101 | -.683 | 86 | -0.93 | 81 | -4.84 | 272 | -4.52 | 268 | |
270 | Union City | 75 | -4.66 | 5 | 6 | 0 | .856 | 71 | -.401 | 58 | -0.47 | 67 | -4.71 | 271 | -4.63 | 270 | |
272 | South Spencer | 76 | -4.67 | 1 | 15 | 0 | .746 | 34 | -.684 | 87 | -0.94 | 83 | -4.65 | 267 | -4.72 | 272 | |
274 | Jac-Cen-Del | 77 | -4.78 | 0 | 13 | 4 | .781 | 44 | -.661 | 83 | -0.92 | 80 | -4.91 | 273 | -4.72 | 273 | |
275 | Winamac | 78 | -4.82 | 6 | 11 | 0 | .887 | 81 | -.534 | 74 | -0.72 | 74 | -4.94 | 275 | -4.75 | 275 | |
276 | Liberty Christian | 79 | -4.92 | 3 | 11 | 0 | .731 | 30 | -.511 | 73 | -0.70 | 72 | -4.98 | 276 | -4.89 | 276 | |
279 | Knightstown | 80 | -5.05 | 3 | 12 | 0 | .822 | 58 | -.622 | 80 | -0.91 | 79 | -5.26 | 282 | -4.95 | 278 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
281 | Anderson Prep | 81 | -5.11 | 4 | 9 | 0 | .887 | 80 | -.575 | 79 | -0.84 | 78 | -5.23 | 281 | -5.07 | 281 | |
284 | Central Noble | 82 | -5.32 | 0 | 14 | 0 | .500 | 11 | -.502 | 72 | -0.76 | 76 | -5.41 | 285 | -5.29 | 285 | |
285 | Purdue Poly North | 83 | -5.34 | 1 | 8 | 0 | .808 | 52 | -.699 | 90 | -1.09 | 87 | -5.35 | 284 | -5.35 | 287 | |
286 | Westville | 84 | -5.41 | 3 | 13 | 0 | .911 | 92 | -.725 | 92 | -1.14 | 89 | -5.58 | 287 | -5.28 | 284 | |
287 | Union County | 85 | -5.43 | 1 | 13 | 0 | .746 | 35 | -.674 | 84 | -1.06 | 86 | -5.71 | 290 | -5.32 | 286 | |
288 | Washington Catholic | 86 | -5.44 | 1 | 13 | 2 | .907 | 88 | -.781 | 94 | -1.24 | 92 | -5.53 | 286 | -5.41 | 289 | |
290 | Indianapolis Riverside | 87 | -5.61 | 3 | 4 | 0 | .924 | 97 | -.497 | 69 | -0.81 | 77 | -5.82 | 292 | -5.51 | 290 | |
292 | North Miami | 88 | -5.72 | 3 | 11 | 1 | .889 | 82 | -.657 | 82 | -1.09 | 88 | -5.66 | 288 | -5.75 | 293 | |
293 | Central Christian | 89 | -5.80 | 1 | 6 | 1 | .876 | 78 | -.689 | 88 | -1.15 | 90 | -5.97 | 293 | -5.72 | 292 | |
294 | Prairie Heights | 90 | -5.99 | 1 | 13 | 0 | .478 | 9 | -.409 | 60 | -0.73 | 75 | -6.08 | 294 | -5.95 | 294 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
296 | Daleville | 91 | -6.33 | 0 | 12 | 1 | .712 | 27 | -.676 | 85 | -1.23 | 91 | -6.59 | 297 | -6.20 | 295 | |
297 | Seton Catholic | 92 | -6.33 | 4 | 10 | 1 | .842 | 66 | -.535 | 76 | -1.00 | 85 | -6.37 | 296 | -6.33 | 297 | |
298 | Clarksville | 93 | -6.63 | 2 | 12 | 0 | .856 | 70 | -.717 | 91 | -1.36 | 94 | -6.85 | 298 | -6.54 | 298 | |
299 | Austin | 94 | -7.12 | 3 | 14 | 0 | .832 | 61 | -.657 | 81 | -1.35 | 93 | -7.35 | 299 | -7.03 | 299 | |
300 | MTI School of Knowledge | 95 | -7.71 | 0 | 3 | 0 | .958 | 100 | -.959 | 101 | -1.95 | 99 | -7.88 | 300 | -7.63 | 300 | |
302 | Indianapolis Tindley | 96 | -7.99 | 0 | 8 | 0 | .905 | 87 | -.905 | 99 | -1.91 | 96 | -8.22 | 302 | -7.86 | 301 | |
303 | Lanesville | 97 | -8.18 | 0 | 12 | 0 | .898 | 86 | -.890 | 98 | -1.92 | 98 | -8.32 | 303 | -8.14 | 303 | |
304 | Oregon-Davis | 98 | -8.26 | 1 | 7 | 0 | .908 | 89 | -.782 | 95 | -1.76 | 95 | -8.51 | 304 | -8.36 | 304 | |
305 | Culver | 99 | -8.92 | 1 | 9 | 0 | .909 | 90 | -.806 | 96 | -1.92 | 97 | -9.13 | 306 | -8.73 | 305 | |
306 | Delphi | 100 | -9.01 | 0 | 16 | 0 | .909 | 91 | -.911 | 100 | -2.11 | 101 | -9.02 | 305 | -9.02 | 306 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
307 | North Knox | 101 | -9.24 | 0 | 17 | 0 | .871 | 74 | -.869 | 97 | -2.08 | 100 | -9.32 | 307 | -9.22 | 307 |