The TWISTR Ratings are an iterative least-squares, score-based ratings system built in the spirit of an Elo model. Team ratings are agnostic to the final result of a game, as only the scoring margins are important when rating teams. No additional benefit is provided for a win or penalty for a loss. The TWISTR ratings for SOCCER incorporate two key concepts:
The RATING represents the number of goals a team would be favored by against an average opponent. Teams with a positive RATING are considered better than average, while teams with a negative RATING are considered worse than average. The RATING can be thought of as a composite of the INDEPENDENT (INDY) rating, in which the time a game was played does not matter, and the FORECASTER (CASTER) rating, where recent results are weighted more heavily.
TWISTR IHSAA TEAM RATINGS | SCHEDULE & RESUME | COMPONENT RATINGS | |||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
60 | Westview | 1 | +2.45 | 16 | 3 | 1 | .628 | 8 | +.197 | 2 | +2.39 | 64 | +2.51 | 58 | |
62 | Bethany Christian | 2 | +2.35 | 15 | 4 | 2 | .487 | 1 | +.275 | 1 | +2.47 | 60 | +2.33 | 62 | |
64 | Fort Wayne Blackhawk | 3 | +2.28 | 11 | 4 | 2 | .618 | 7 | +.088 | 4 | +2.27 | 66 | +2.32 | 63 | |
79 | Trinity Greenlawn | 4 | +1.72 | 10 | 4 | 0 | .684 | 12 | +.030 | 9 | +1.86 | 77 | +1.68 | 82 | |
80 | Faith Christian | 5 | +1.71 | 13 | 3 | 1 | .741 | 19 | +.053 | 5 | +1.83 | 79 | +1.71 | 81 | |
85 | Covenant Christian | 6 | +1.59 | 11 | 8 | 1 | .543 | 2 | +.032 | 8 | +1.77 | 82 | +1.55 | 85 | |
87 | Covington | 7 | +1.49 | 10 | 1 | 0 | .786 | 25 | +.123 | 3 | +1.59 | 86 | +1.47 | 87 | |
90 | Wheeler | 8 | +1.26 | 13 | 4 | 3 | .704 | 13 | +.021 | 10 | +1.41 | 89 | +1.22 | 90 | |
92 | Muncie Burris | 9 | +1.18 | 14 | 4 | 1 | .721 | 15 | +.042 | 7 | +1.36 | 90 | +1.13 | 95 | |
93 | Park Tudor | 10 | +1.14 | 12 | 7 | 0 | .586 | 5 | +.046 | 6 | +1.17 | 95 | +1.20 | 91 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
103 | Greenwood Christian | 11 | +0.96 | 14 | 5 | 0 | .752 | 20 | -.015 | 11 | +0.96 | 101 | +1.00 | 101 | |
121 | Forest Park | 12 | +0.48 | 15 | 8 | 0 | .785 | 24 | -.132 | 20 | +0.41 | 125 | +0.57 | 120 | |
130 | DeMotte Christian | 13 | +0.14 | 10 | 3 | 2 | .849 | 37 | -.116 | 19 | +0.15 | 130 | +0.17 | 130 | |
136 | Carroll (Flora) | 14 | -0.10 | 13 | 5 | 1 | .816 | 28 | -.105 | 17 | -0.08 | 138 | -0.06 | 136 | |
140 | University | 15 | -0.18 | 6 | 6 | 2 | .603 | 6 | -.103 | 16 | -0.18 | 143 | -0.09 | 138 | |
142 | Oldenburg Academy | 16 | -0.21 | 17 | 3 | 0 | .886 | 45 | -.036 | 12 | -0.12 | 139 | -0.21 | 143 | |
143 | Elkhart Christian | 17 | -0.22 | 11 | 6 | 0 | .732 | 16 | -.085 | 14 | -0.15 | 140 | -0.21 | 142 | |
146 | Indianapolis Scecina | 18 | -0.37 | 7 | 10 | 1 | .630 | 9 | -.213 | 27 | -0.33 | 145 | -0.33 | 146 | |
147 | Rock Creek Academy | 19 | -0.37 | 14 | 1 | 2 | .973 | 88 | -.091 | 15 | -0.43 | 153 | -0.28 | 145 | |
149 | Northeast Dubois | 20 | -0.43 | 15 | 2 | 1 | .909 | 50 | -.048 | 13 | -0.39 | 151 | -0.37 | 148 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
156 | White River Valley | 21 | -0.53 | 9 | 3 | 0 | .914 | 51 | -.164 | 23 | -0.60 | 160 | -0.43 | 152 | |
160 | North White | 22 | -0.64 | 8 | 8 | 1 | .776 | 22 | -.276 | 33 | -0.57 | 158 | -0.61 | 164 | |
164 | Kouts | 23 | -0.66 | 8 | 8 | 2 | .780 | 23 | -.280 | 34 | -0.74 | 167 | -0.58 | 161 | |
167 | Argos | 24 | -0.69 | 6 | 14 | 0 | .546 | 3 | -.246 | 29 | -0.74 | 168 | -0.61 | 165 | |
168 | Indianapolis Lutheran | 25 | -0.72 | 18 | 14 | 0 | .734 | 17 | -.172 | 24 | -0.75 | 169 | -0.50 | 157 | |
169 | North Putnam | 26 | -0.72 | 12 | 4 | 0 | .863 | 39 | -.113 | 18 | -0.77 | 170 | -0.61 | 162 | |
175 | Southwestern (Hanover) | 27 | -0.85 | 14 | 2 | 5 | .949 | 69 | -.163 | 22 | -0.97 | 175 | -0.72 | 173 | |
181 | Morgan Township | 28 | -1.07 | 11 | 6 | 2 | .823 | 30 | -.191 | 25 | -1.12 | 184 | -0.99 | 180 | |
187 | Andrean | 29 | -1.36 | 5 | 12 | 0 | .549 | 4 | -.255 | 32 | -1.44 | 188 | -1.28 | 187 | |
189 | Wood Memorial | 30 | -1.51 | 9 | 5 | 2 | .923 | 56 | -.298 | 35 | -1.59 | 192 | -1.39 | 189 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
190 | Indianapolis International | 31 | -1.57 | 7 | 5 | 0 | .836 | 34 | -.252 | 31 | -1.20 | 187 | -1.73 | 199 | |
192 | Evansville Christian | 32 | -1.58 | 11 | 5 | 1 | .883 | 43 | -.207 | 26 | -1.56 | 191 | -1.53 | 192 | |
195 | Shawe Memorial | 33 | -1.67 | 10 | 2 | 4 | .970 | 87 | -.220 | 28 | -1.70 | 195 | -1.59 | 194 | |
197 | North Miami | 34 | -1.69 | 11 | 5 | 0 | .939 | 64 | -.251 | 30 | -1.65 | 194 | -1.65 | 197 | |
198 | Switzerland County | 35 | -1.71 | 10 | 7 | 0 | .966 | 86 | -.378 | 44 | -1.71 | 196 | -1.64 | 196 | |
199 | South Knox | 36 | -1.81 | 8 | 7 | 1 | .940 | 65 | -.409 | 47 | -1.87 | 200 | -1.73 | 200 | |
200 | Lafayette Central Catholic | 37 | -1.83 | 8 | 10 | 1 | .756 | 21 | -.309 | 36 | -1.89 | 202 | -1.72 | 198 | |
201 | Washington Township | 38 | -1.88 | 7 | 5 | 0 | .900 | 46 | -.316 | 40 | -1.84 | 199 | -1.94 | 206 | |
204 | Providence Cristo Rey | 39 | -1.96 | 5 | 5 | 1 | .832 | 32 | -.332 | 41 | -2.15 | 209 | -1.77 | 202 | |
205 | Southwestern (Shelbyville) | 40 | -2.00 | 13 | 3 | 0 | .947 | 67 | -.135 | 21 | -2.07 | 206 | -2.03 | 207 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
212 | Lakeland Christian | 41 | -2.20 | 8 | 8 | 1 | .811 | 27 | -.311 | 37 | -2.27 | 212 | -2.09 | 208 | |
217 | Barr-Reeve | 42 | -2.38 | 9 | 5 | 0 | .958 | 78 | -.315 | 39 | -2.44 | 218 | -2.21 | 217 | |
218 | Lakewood Park | 43 | -2.40 | 3 | 10 | 1 | .665 | 10 | -.415 | 48 | -2.58 | 220 | -2.25 | 219 | |
220 | Jac-Cen-Del | 44 | -2.42 | 9 | 6 | 3 | .952 | 74 | -.369 | 42 | -2.43 | 216 | -2.36 | 223 | |
221 | Henryville | 45 | -2.44 | 9 | 7 | 2 | .953 | 75 | -.398 | 45 | -2.62 | 221 | -2.27 | 220 | |
224 | Rossville | 46 | -2.52 | 7 | 9 | 0 | .873 | 42 | -.436 | 50 | -2.66 | 225 | -2.37 | 224 | |
226 | North Posey | 47 | -2.59 | 3 | 13 | 0 | .832 | 33 | -.645 | 68 | -2.77 | 227 | -2.42 | 227 | |
227 | Christian Academy | 48 | -2.59 | 3 | 6 | 3 | .930 | 57 | -.555 | 58 | -2.80 | 228 | -2.39 | 226 | |
228 | Mitchell | 49 | -2.62 | 5 | 7 | 3 | .951 | 72 | -.518 | 56 | -2.90 | 231 | -2.39 | 225 | |
230 | Tell City | 50 | -2.68 | 5 | 12 | 0 | .871 | 41 | -.577 | 60 | -2.82 | 229 | -2.53 | 230 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
231 | Prairie Heights | 51 | -2.71 | 2 | 11 | 2 | .681 | 11 | -.481 | 53 | -2.94 | 232 | -2.53 | 231 | |
232 | Tri-Central | 52 | -2.74 | 10 | 6 | 0 | .938 | 62 | -.313 | 38 | -2.90 | 230 | -2.61 | 233 | |
234 | Hammond Science & Tech | 53 | -2.92 | 2 | 5 | 2 | .932 | 59 | -.599 | 62 | -3.10 | 235 | -2.77 | 234 | |
237 | Hebron | 54 | -3.10 | 6 | 10 | 1 | .866 | 40 | -.484 | 54 | -3.20 | 237 | -2.98 | 237 | |
240 | Bloomfield | 55 | -3.35 | 6 | 6 | 1 | .934 | 60 | -.434 | 49 | -3.48 | 239 | -3.21 | 240 | |
241 | Marquette Catholic | 56 | -3.40 | 7 | 10 | 0 | .819 | 29 | -.407 | 46 | -3.48 | 240 | -3.29 | 242 | |
243 | Union County | 57 | -3.48 | 6 | 8 | 1 | .907 | 49 | -.474 | 51 | -3.52 | 243 | -3.39 | 244 | |
245 | Trinity Lutheran | 58 | -3.57 | 6 | 11 | 0 | .952 | 73 | -.599 | 64 | -3.72 | 245 | -3.34 | 243 | |
246 | South Ripley | 59 | -3.68 | 1 | 10 | 4 | .946 | 66 | -.746 | 76 | -3.87 | 248 | -3.50 | 246 | |
247 | Morristown | 60 | -3.73 | 6 | 7 | 1 | .956 | 76 | -.492 | 55 | -3.78 | 246 | -3.53 | 247 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
249 | Central Noble | 61 | -3.78 | 0 | 14 | 0 | .720 | 14 | -.720 | 73 | -3.97 | 250 | -3.61 | 249 | |
252 | Shoals | 62 | -3.94 | 5 | 11 | 0 | .963 | 84 | -.650 | 69 | -4.32 | 253 | -3.72 | 250 | |
254 | Taylor | 63 | -4.31 | 2 | 12 | 0 | .921 | 54 | -.778 | 78 | -4.48 | 256 | -4.15 | 257 | |
255 | Washington Catholic | 64 | -4.31 | 4 | 7 | 0 | .962 | 82 | -.599 | 63 | -4.53 | 258 | -4.12 | 255 | |
256 | Vincennes Rivet | 65 | -4.33 | 0 | 10 | 1 | .950 | 71 | -.904 | 88 | -4.56 | 261 | -4.13 | 256 | |
257 | Rising Sun | 66 | -4.34 | 2 | 11 | 4 | .957 | 77 | -.722 | 74 | -4.49 | 257 | -4.17 | 258 | |
259 | Bethesda Christian | 67 | -4.35 | 1 | 11 | 0 | .735 | 18 | -.652 | 70 | -4.61 | 263 | -4.10 | 254 | |
263 | Knightstown | 68 | -4.46 | 4 | 8 | 2 | .921 | 55 | -.564 | 59 | -4.61 | 264 | -4.30 | 262 | |
265 | Lapel | 69 | -4.56 | 3 | 11 | 0 | .839 | 36 | -.624 | 65 | -4.93 | 272 | -4.28 | 261 | |
267 | Sheridan | 70 | -4.60 | 5 | 9 | 2 | .851 | 38 | -.476 | 52 | -4.72 | 267 | -4.46 | 265 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
269 | Liberty Christian | 71 | -4.72 | 6 | 20 | 2 | .884 | 44 | -.634 | 66 | -4.84 | 269 | -4.60 | 267 | |
271 | Milan | 72 | -4.83 | 2 | 12 | 0 | .965 | 85 | -.822 | 80 | -4.93 | 271 | -4.69 | 269 | |
274 | Hauser | 73 | -4.96 | 2 | 12 | 1 | .950 | 70 | -.783 | 79 | -5.14 | 276 | -4.86 | 273 | |
275 | Caston | 74 | -5.01 | 6 | 8 | 0 | .962 | 83 | -.534 | 57 | -5.00 | 274 | -4.82 | 272 | |
276 | Eastern Greene | 75 | -5.07 | 0 | 14 | 2 | .938 | 63 | -.876 | 84 | -5.14 | 275 | -4.98 | 277 | |
277 | Evansville Day | 76 | -5.13 | 0 | 5 | 0 | .903 | 47 | -.903 | 87 | -5.29 | 278 | -4.96 | 276 | |
282 | South Spencer | 77 | -5.29 | 0 | 16 | 0 | .828 | 31 | -.828 | 81 | -5.42 | 282 | -5.14 | 281 | |
283 | Indiana Math & Science | 78 | -5.32 | 7 | 4 | 1 | .997 | 93 | -.372 | 43 | -5.39 | 281 | -5.19 | 282 | |
285 | Seton Catholic | 79 | -5.81 | 2 | 10 | 1 | .919 | 52 | -.727 | 75 | -6.33 | 288 | -5.46 | 284 | |
286 | North Knox | 80 | -5.90 | 1 | 12 | 0 | .959 | 81 | -.882 | 85 | -6.14 | 286 | -5.66 | 285 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
287 | Wapahani | 81 | -5.97 | 1 | 13 | 2 | .837 | 35 | -.712 | 72 | -6.11 | 285 | -5.80 | 287 | |
288 | LaVille | 82 | -6.27 | 2 | 11 | 0 | .796 | 26 | -.643 | 67 | -6.25 | 287 | -6.17 | 288 | |
290 | Lanesville | 83 | -6.44 | 0 | 13 | 1 | .958 | 79 | -.922 | 90 | -6.77 | 291 | -6.18 | 289 | |
291 | Winamac | 84 | -6.68 | 4 | 11 | 0 | .976 | 89 | -.709 | 71 | -6.70 | 290 | -6.35 | 291 | |
292 | Culver | 85 | -6.73 | 1 | 10 | 0 | .959 | 80 | -.868 | 83 | -6.83 | 293 | -6.58 | 292 | |
293 | Indianapolis Riverside | 86 | -6.82 | 3 | 6 | 0 | .920 | 53 | -.586 | 61 | -6.81 | 292 | -6.76 | 293 | |
294 | Anderson Prep | 87 | -7.23 | 1 | 12 | 0 | .931 | 58 | -.854 | 82 | -7.41 | 296 | -7.07 | 295 | |
297 | Oregon-Davis | 88 | -7.42 | 3 | 11 | 0 | .987 | 90 | -.773 | 77 | -7.39 | 295 | -7.35 | 297 | |
298 | Austin | 89 | -7.96 | 0 | 11 | 0 | .947 | 68 | -.947 | 92 | -8.15 | 298 | -7.79 | 299 | |
299 | Central Christian | 90 | -8.11 | 1 | 8 | 0 | .996 | 92 | -.884 | 86 | -8.51 | 300 | -7.79 | 298 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | TIE | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | |
301 | Westville | 91 | -8.52 | 0 | 13 | 0 | .907 | 48 | -.907 | 89 | -8.56 | 301 | -8.45 | 301 | |
302 | MTI School of Knowledge | 92 | -9.92 | 0 | 3 | 0 | .999 | 94 | -.999 | 94 | -9.96 | 302 | -9.82 | 302 | |
304 | Delphi | 93 | -11.41 | 0 | 5 | 0 | .992 | 91 | -.992 | 93 | -11.57 | 304 | -11.24 | 304 | |
305 | Indianapolis Tindley | 94 | -12.17 | 0 | 8 | 0 | .936 | 61 | -.936 | 91 | -12.51 | 305 | -11.92 | 305 |