The TWISTR Ratings are an iterative least-squares, score-based ratings system built in the spirit of an Elo model. Team ratings are agnostic to the final result of a game, as only the scoring margins are important when rating teams. No additional benefit is provided for a win or penalty for a loss. The TWISTR ratings for BASKETBALL incorporate three key concepts:
The RATING represents the number of points a team would be favored by against an average opponent. Teams with a positive RATING are considered better than average, while teams with a negative RATING are considered worse than average. The RATING can be thought of as a composite of the INDEPENDENT (INDY) rating, in which the time a game was played does not matter, and the FORECASTER (CASTER) rating, where recent results are weighted more heavily.
Both the STRENGTH OF RECORD (SoR) and Z-SCORE (Z-SCR) are resume ratings - SoR only considers a team's win-loss record and is independent of margin of victory, while Z-SCR is a blend of RATING and SoR.
TWISTR IHSAA TEAM RATINGS | SCHEDULE & RESUME | COMPONENT RATINGS | TEAM PROFILE | |||||||||||||||||
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RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | SCORING | Rk | DEVIANCE | Rk | |
1 | Fishers | 1 | +47.63 | 29 | 0 | .636 | 4 | +.366 | 1 | +2.76 | 1 | +47.92 | 1 | +47.49 | 1 | 70.86 | 13 | 12.28 | 397 | |
3 | Lawrence North | 2 | +36.11 | 22 | 7 | .685 | 12 | +.073 | 7 | +1.60 | 4 | +36.49 | 3 | +35.93 | 4 | 68.46 | 35 | 8.02 | 174 | |
4 | Avon | 3 | +35.99 | 20 | 4 | .754 | 18 | +.077 | 6 | +1.60 | 3 | +35.69 | 4 | +36.15 | 3 | 60.00 | 223 | 11.03 | 382 | |
5 | Westfield | 4 | +34.95 | 18 | 4 | .717 | 16 | +.102 | 4 | +1.60 | 2 | +35.02 | 5 | +34.94 | 5 | 59.38 | 234 | 8.65 | 238 | |
6 | Jeffersonville | 5 | +34.39 | 22 | 5 | .704 | 15 | +.110 | 2 | +1.59 | 5 | +33.91 | 6 | +34.63 | 6 | 64.67 | 94 | 8.25 | 205 | |
7 | Noblesville | 6 | +33.22 | 19 | 6 | .654 | 7 | +.108 | 3 | +1.54 | 6 | +32.95 | 8 | +33.34 | 8 | 55.87 | 327 | 7.62 | 132 | |
8 | Mount Vernon (Fortville) | 7 | +32.98 | 21 | 6 | .695 | 13 | +.084 | 5 | +1.47 | 7 | +32.10 | 10 | +33.38 | 7 | 63.90 | 111 | 8.48 | 228 | |
10 | Greenfield-Central | 8 | +32.74 | 23 | 4 | .807 | 22 | +.044 | 8 | +1.38 | 8 | +33.12 | 7 | +32.58 | 10 | 73.19 | 5 | 8.35 | 216 | |
11 | Crown Point | 9 | +30.60 | 23 | 3 | .844 | 33 | +.041 | 9 | +1.27 | 9 | +31.28 | 12 | +30.33 | 11 | 67.36 | 54 | 8.72 | 245 | |
12 | Northridge | 10 | +30.40 | 21 | 4 | .919 | 75 | -.079 | 16 | +1.01 | 12 | +31.34 | 11 | +29.93 | 13 | 67.62 | 49 | 9.83 | 335 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | SCORING | Rk | DEVIANCE | Rk | |
14 | Ben Davis | 11 | +29.25 | 17 | 9 | .673 | 11 | -.019 | 12 | +1.08 | 11 | +29.88 | 14 | +28.95 | 15 | 58.77 | 251 | 6.75 | 47 | |
16 | Fort Wayne Wayne | 12 | +28.73 | 16 | 7 | .844 | 34 | -.149 | 29 | +0.78 | 18 | +28.88 | 18 | +28.66 | 16 | 66.65 | 62 | 9.10 | 274 | |
19 | Pike | 13 | +28.31 | 11 | 10 | .658 | 8 | -.136 | 28 | +0.79 | 17 | +28.40 | 19 | +28.25 | 18 | 65.57 | 74 | 6.93 | 70 | |
21 | Anderson | 14 | +27.80 | 21 | 3 | .836 | 30 | +.039 | 10 | +1.14 | 10 | +27.99 | 21 | +27.76 | 21 | 69.34 | 28 | 7.75 | 143 | |
22 | South Bend Riley | 15 | +27.55 | 21 | 5 | .826 | 27 | -.019 | 13 | +1.00 | 13 | +27.94 | 22 | +27.35 | 22 | 69.67 | 23 | 7.93 | 165 | |
23 | Warren Central | 16 | +26.85 | 13 | 9 | .645 | 5 | -.053 | 15 | +0.90 | 16 | +27.15 | 24 | +26.71 | 24 | 58.43 | 262 | 7.39 | 115 | |
24 | Hamilton Southeastern | 17 | +26.84 | 13 | 12 | .652 | 6 | -.130 | 26 | +0.73 | 19 | +26.78 | 25 | +26.90 | 23 | 62.49 | 147 | 5.26 | 3 | |
25 | Zionsville | 18 | +26.50 | 12 | 13 | .615 | 2 | -.132 | 27 | +0.71 | 20 | +26.77 | 26 | +26.38 | 26 | 57.90 | 269 | 9.52 | 314 | |
26 | Carmel | 19 | +26.37 | 10 | 13 | .602 | 1 | -.166 | 32 | +0.64 | 26 | +27.52 | 23 | +25.82 | 27 | 53.34 | 368 | 9.11 | 275 | |
27 | Brownsburg | 20 | +26.26 | 13 | 13 | .633 | 3 | -.129 | 25 | +0.71 | 21 | +25.70 | 29 | +26.53 | 25 | 56.62 | 307 | 9.04 | 271 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | SCORING | Rk | DEVIANCE | Rk | |
28 | New Albany | 21 | +25.90 | 18 | 4 | .807 | 21 | +.011 | 11 | +0.99 | 14 | +26.24 | 27 | +25.73 | 29 | 70.23 | 19 | 6.93 | 68 | |
29 | Warsaw | 22 | +25.68 | 25 | 5 | .854 | 39 | -.022 | 14 | +0.91 | 15 | +26.20 | 28 | +25.42 | 31 | 63.70 | 118 | 8.35 | 215 | |
30 | Lawrence Central | 23 | +25.50 | 12 | 10 | .671 | 10 | -.124 | 24 | +0.68 | 24 | +25.00 | 34 | +25.76 | 28 | 67.53 | 50 | 8.80 | 251 | |
32 | Portage | 24 | +25.22 | 20 | 6 | .880 | 53 | -.111 | 21 | +0.70 | 23 | +24.70 | 36 | +25.50 | 30 | 63.07 | 134 | 9.02 | 270 | |
33 | North Central (Indianapolis) | 25 | +25.15 | 14 | 12 | .699 | 14 | -.159 | 31 | +0.59 | 27 | +25.64 | 32 | +24.92 | 34 | 69.27 | 30 | 8.87 | 261 | |
36 | Homestead | 26 | +24.50 | 22 | 6 | .880 | 52 | -.093 | 18 | +0.70 | 22 | +24.84 | 35 | +24.35 | 37 | 57.47 | 283 | 8.37 | 220 | |
37 | Lafayette Jeff | 27 | +24.25 | 20 | 4 | .946 | 80 | -.112 | 23 | +0.65 | 25 | +23.97 | 37 | +24.42 | 36 | 62.34 | 151 | 7.71 | 140 | |
38 | Plainfield | 28 | +22.94 | 16 | 8 | .822 | 25 | -.153 | 30 | +0.51 | 31 | +23.19 | 39 | +22.85 | 38 | 63.42 | 122 | 8.60 | 234 | |
39 | Evansville Reitz | 29 | +22.87 | 13 | 5 | .829 | 28 | -.111 | 22 | +0.59 | 28 | +23.55 | 38 | +22.54 | 39 | 64.85 | 90 | 8.61 | 235 | |
40 | Bloomington South | 30 | +22.30 | 18 | 9 | .888 | 58 | -.223 | 38 | +0.33 | 33 | +22.09 | 40 | +22.42 | 40 | 64.68 | 93 | 7.68 | 138 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | SCORING | Rk | DEVIANCE | Rk | |
41 | Harrison (West Lafayette) | 31 | +21.84 | 19 | 7 | .837 | 32 | -.105 | 19 | +0.55 | 29 | +22.00 | 41 | +21.76 | 41 | 67.28 | 56 | 9.06 | 272 | |
43 | Terre Haute North | 32 | +20.84 | 21 | 6 | .887 | 57 | -.110 | 20 | +0.50 | 32 | +20.95 | 43 | +20.82 | 43 | 60.60 | 201 | 6.82 | 58 | |
44 | Seymour | 33 | +20.46 | 16 | 7 | .880 | 54 | -.186 | 33 | +0.32 | 34 | +20.34 | 49 | +20.52 | 44 | 51.03 | 390 | 7.76 | 145 | |
46 | Columbus North | 34 | +20.40 | 19 | 4 | .911 | 72 | -.085 | 17 | +0.53 | 30 | +20.45 | 48 | +20.38 | 46 | 61.06 | 188 | 10.22 | 349 | |
49 | Penn | 35 | +20.00 | 16 | 9 | .836 | 31 | -.197 | 34 | +0.27 | 35 | +20.70 | 45 | +19.66 | 50 | 57.01 | 298 | 8.18 | 191 | |
53 | Castle | 36 | +19.64 | 12 | 12 | .863 | 41 | -.367 | 54 | -0.10 | 42 | +19.39 | 54 | +19.77 | 49 | 63.73 | 117 | 6.94 | 72 | |
54 | Evansville Harrison | 37 | +19.05 | 15 | 8 | .861 | 40 | -.213 | 36 | +0.20 | 36 | +18.69 | 56 | +19.22 | 54 | 62.12 | 159 | 8.36 | 217 | |
59 | Whiteland | 38 | +18.18 | 15 | 12 | .891 | 61 | -.336 | 50 | -0.11 | 43 | +17.66 | 65 | +18.44 | 57 | 64.63 | 95 | 5.70 | 7 | |
61 | Southport | 39 | +17.79 | 12 | 12 | .806 | 20 | -.305 | 44 | -0.06 | 40 | +18.52 | 57 | +17.45 | 62 | 60.34 | 214 | 6.61 | 41 | |
64 | Kokomo | 40 | +17.61 | 17 | 8 | .917 | 74 | -.237 | 39 | +0.08 | 37 | +18.29 | 62 | +17.30 | 65 | 77.23 | 1 | 9.17 | 283 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | SCORING | Rk | DEVIANCE | Rk | |
66 | Columbus East | 41 | +17.10 | 15 | 10 | .890 | 59 | -.291 | 42 | -0.06 | 41 | +16.97 | 68 | +17.17 | 66 | 64.82 | 92 | 11.39 | 389 | |
69 | Chesterton | 42 | +16.88 | 15 | 9 | .845 | 35 | -.221 | 37 | +0.08 | 38 | +16.76 | 71 | +16.99 | 67 | 60.36 | 212 | 7.72 | 142 | |
71 | Franklin Central | 43 | +16.74 | 7 | 15 | .659 | 9 | -.338 | 51 | -0.18 | 44 | +16.53 | 74 | +16.85 | 68 | 60.50 | 208 | 7.08 | 83 | |
76 | Fort Wayne South | 44 | +15.80 | 17 | 7 | .912 | 73 | -.203 | 35 | +0.07 | 39 | +16.57 | 73 | +15.39 | 77 | 65.16 | 81 | 11.42 | 390 | |
77 | Evansville North | 45 | +15.71 | 11 | 13 | .874 | 49 | -.420 | 57 | -0.40 | 52 | +15.97 | 77 | +15.57 | 75 | 56.80 | 304 | 8.90 | 264 | |
84 | Center Grove | 46 | +14.67 | 11 | 10 | .847 | 37 | -.325 | 48 | -0.25 | 46 | +15.37 | 78 | +14.32 | 85 | 60.04 | 220 | 9.84 | 337 | |
85 | Fort Wayne Snider | 47 | +14.60 | 14 | 10 | .890 | 60 | -.305 | 43 | -0.21 | 45 | +15.00 | 82 | +14.39 | 84 | 68.10 | 43 | 8.62 | 236 | |
86 | Bedford North Lawrence | 48 | +14.57 | 9 | 13 | .818 | 24 | -.411 | 55 | -0.43 | 54 | +15.20 | 80 | +14.26 | 86 | 60.51 | 207 | 7.56 | 128 | |
88 | Carroll (Fort Wayne) | 49 | +14.27 | 11 | 16 | .846 | 36 | -.439 | 58 | -0.51 | 57 | +14.29 | 88 | +14.25 | 87 | 53.49 | 367 | 9.22 | 286 | |
93 | Mooresville | 50 | +13.32 | 14 | 12 | .865 | 43 | -.327 | 49 | -0.31 | 48 | +13.15 | 94 | +13.41 | 91 | 65.32 | 79 | 8.72 | 246 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | SCORING | Rk | DEVIANCE | Rk | |
95 | Lake Central | 51 | +12.99 | 9 | 14 | .871 | 47 | -.481 | 60 | -0.65 | 59 | +12.57 | 99 | +13.21 | 94 | 61.53 | 171 | 8.88 | 262 | |
97 | Franklin | 52 | +12.93 | 8 | 14 | .872 | 48 | -.509 | 63 | -0.72 | 60 | +12.76 | 97 | +13.02 | 95 | 59.63 | 229 | 8.22 | 199 | |
100 | Pendleton Heights | 53 | +12.42 | 9 | 15 | .791 | 19 | -.416 | 56 | -0.54 | 58 | +12.92 | 96 | +12.17 | 100 | 60.72 | 197 | 7.67 | 136 | |
101 | McCutcheon | 54 | +11.73 | 13 | 9 | .929 | 76 | -.338 | 52 | -0.41 | 53 | +11.98 | 100 | +11.62 | 102 | 69.47 | 24 | 11.23 | 387 | |
104 | LaPorte | 55 | +11.48 | 16 | 10 | .894 | 62 | -.280 | 41 | -0.30 | 47 | +11.25 | 106 | +11.61 | 103 | 61.30 | 179 | 8.20 | 194 | |
106 | Goshen | 56 | +11.40 | 14 | 10 | .897 | 64 | -.314 | 46 | -0.38 | 50 | +11.45 | 105 | +11.36 | 106 | 58.57 | 255 | 7.17 | 95 | |
107 | Michigan City | 57 | +11.06 | 13 | 9 | .907 | 68 | -.317 | 47 | -0.40 | 51 | +11.05 | 107 | +11.10 | 107 | 68.58 | 34 | 6.59 | 40 | |
108 | Decatur Central | 58 | +10.80 | 7 | 16 | .863 | 42 | -.559 | 71 | -0.92 | 62 | +10.73 | 112 | +10.83 | 109 | 65.02 | 84 | 8.20 | 193 | |
110 | Valparaiso | 59 | +10.70 | 10 | 15 | .867 | 44 | -.467 | 59 | -0.73 | 61 | +10.44 | 114 | +10.86 | 108 | 57.80 | 271 | 7.27 | 106 | |
111 | Munster | 60 | +10.51 | 16 | 8 | .945 | 79 | -.278 | 40 | -0.34 | 49 | +10.39 | 115 | +10.59 | 110 | 60.57 | 203 | 8.33 | 213 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | SCORING | Rk | DEVIANCE | Rk | |
114 | South Bend Adams | 61 | +10.18 | 11 | 10 | .871 | 46 | -.347 | 53 | -0.50 | 56 | +10.86 | 111 | +9.84 | 115 | 66.35 | 67 | 10.81 | 372 | |
116 | Bloomington North | 62 | +9.80 | 7 | 17 | .869 | 45 | -.577 | 72 | -1.01 | 64 | +9.74 | 119 | +9.85 | 114 | 63.09 | 133 | 8.98 | 268 | |
124 | Concord | 63 | +9.22 | 13 | 9 | .899 | 65 | -.309 | 45 | -0.47 | 55 | +9.48 | 123 | +9.09 | 122 | 56.20 | 318 | 9.35 | 298 | |
135 | Muncie Central | 64 | +7.51 | 8 | 16 | .832 | 29 | -.498 | 62 | -0.95 | 63 | +7.12 | 137 | +7.71 | 132 | 55.01 | 338 | 9.38 | 301 | |
136 | Floyd Central | 65 | +7.39 | 4 | 19 | .825 | 26 | -.653 | 79 | -1.28 | 74 | +7.16 | 136 | +7.48 | 135 | 64.13 | 105 | 7.25 | 105 | |
139 | Hammond Central | 66 | +6.75 | 6 | 11 | .909 | 71 | -.556 | 70 | -1.11 | 68 | +6.70 | 139 | +6.79 | 137 | 66.03 | 70 | 6.17 | 20 | |
143 | Hammond Morton | 67 | +6.07 | 5 | 15 | .853 | 38 | -.602 | 74 | -1.23 | 73 | +5.73 | 148 | +6.24 | 143 | 67.17 | 58 | 6.82 | 57 | |
144 | Terre Haute South | 68 | +6.06 | 9 | 16 | .902 | 67 | -.541 | 68 | -1.10 | 67 | +6.06 | 145 | +6.06 | 145 | 58.51 | 258 | 6.21 | 23 | |
146 | Huntington North | 69 | +5.97 | 10 | 14 | .944 | 78 | -.526 | 65 | -1.08 | 66 | +5.96 | 146 | +5.97 | 148 | 65.26 | 80 | 8.55 | 232 | |
153 | Fort Wayne Northrop | 70 | +5.35 | 10 | 14 | .908 | 69 | -.491 | 61 | -1.03 | 65 | +5.45 | 153 | +5.32 | 152 | 60.27 | 217 | 11.95 | 395 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | SCORING | Rk | DEVIANCE | Rk | |
159 | Fort Wayne North | 71 | +4.99 | 9 | 15 | .908 | 70 | -.532 | 66 | -1.14 | 69 | +5.50 | 152 | +4.74 | 160 | 65.73 | 73 | 6.84 | 59 | |
162 | Perry Meridian | 72 | +4.69 | 6 | 18 | .885 | 56 | -.636 | 78 | -1.37 | 75 | +5.25 | 158 | +4.40 | 164 | 64.42 | 100 | 10.78 | 371 | |
163 | Richmond | 73 | +4.61 | 7 | 14 | .875 | 51 | -.542 | 69 | -1.17 | 70 | +4.63 | 163 | +4.60 | 162 | 62.00 | 163 | 5.95 | 11 | |
172 | East Central | 74 | +3.78 | 8 | 12 | .938 | 77 | -.538 | 67 | -1.21 | 72 | +3.22 | 182 | +4.04 | 169 | 54.30 | 349 | 10.96 | 379 | |
177 | Merrillville | 75 | +3.59 | 7 | 19 | .901 | 66 | -.632 | 77 | -1.41 | 76 | +3.17 | 184 | +3.82 | 173 | 65.03 | 83 | 6.76 | 48 | |
184 | Indianapolis Tech | 76 | +2.75 | 5 | 18 | .730 | 17 | -.514 | 64 | -1.20 | 71 | +2.75 | 188 | +2.74 | 183 | 70.51 | 15 | 7.89 | 160 | |
186 | Elkhart | 77 | +2.64 | 4 | 17 | .817 | 23 | -.628 | 76 | -1.45 | 77 | +2.97 | 186 | +2.47 | 187 | 64.92 | 88 | 8.02 | 175 | |
199 | Martinsville | 78 | +0.83 | 5 | 18 | .896 | 63 | -.679 | 81 | -1.64 | 79 | +1.05 | 198 | +0.74 | 200 | 69.11 | 31 | 7.18 | 99 | |
215 | Scottsburg | 79 | -0.62 | 6 | 16 | .884 | 55 | -.613 | 75 | -1.57 | 78 | -0.81 | 219 | -0.55 | 214 | 63.74 | 116 | 10.92 | 377 | |
235 | Mishawaka | 80 | -3.07 | 5 | 18 | .875 | 50 | -.659 | 80 | -1.78 | 80 | -2.33 | 234 | -3.48 | 239 | 61.35 | 176 | 9.61 | 322 | |
RANK | TEAM | CLASS | RATING | WIN | LOSS | SoS | Rk | SoR | Rk | Z-SCR | Rk | INDY | Rk | CASTER | Rk | SCORING | Rk | DEVIANCE | Rk | |
261 | Hobart | 81 | -7.44 | 9 | 15 | .975 | 81 | -.600 | 73 | -1.86 | 81 | -7.17 | 261 | -7.60 | 265 | 63.77 | 115 | 7.57 | 129 |